The Rise and Fall of HIV in High-Prevalence Countries: A Challenge for Mathematical Modeling

• Nico J. D. Nagelkerke,

  Affiliations Institute of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Science, United Arab Emirates University, Al Ain, United Arab Emirates, Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, Netherlands, Department of Medical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada

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• Paul Arora,

  Affiliation Center for Global Health Research, St. Michael's Hospital, Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada

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• Prabhat Jha,

  Affiliation Center for Global Health Research, St. Michael's Hospital, Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada

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• Brian Williams,

  Affiliation South African Centre for Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis, University of Stellenbosch, Stellenbosch, South Africa

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• Lyle McKinnon,

  Affiliations Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada, Department of Medical Microbiology, University of Nairobi, Nairobi, Kenya

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• Sake J. de Vlas

  * E-mail: s.devlas@erasmusmc.nl

  Affiliation Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, Netherlands

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