About the Authors

Nicholas Steyn

Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Resources, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

nicholas.steyn@univ.ox.ac.uk

Affiliation Department of Statistics, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom

Marc Chadeau-Hyam

Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

Affiliations MRC Centre for Environment and Health, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom

Paul Elliott

Roles Data curation, Funding acquisition, Project administration, Writing – review & editing

Affiliations MRC Centre for Environment and Health, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom

Christl A. Donnelly

Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

Affiliations Department of Statistics, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom, Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom

Competing Interests

We have read the journal’s policy and the authors of this manuscript have the following competing interests: MCH holds shares in the OSMOSE consulting company. Consultancies are independent of the present work.