Integrating information from historical data into mechanistic models for influenza forecasting

Alessio Andronico; Juliette Paireau; Simon Cauchemez

doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012523

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Open Access

Peer-reviewed

Research Article

Integrating information from historical data into mechanistic models for influenza forecasting

Alessio Andronico ,

Contributed equally to this work with: Alessio Andronico, Juliette Paireau

Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Methodology, Software, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Unit, Institut Pasteur, Université Paris Cité, UMR2000 CNRS, Paris, France
⨯
Juliette Paireau ,

Contributed equally to this work with: Alessio Andronico, Juliette Paireau

Roles Formal analysis, Methodology, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

* E-mail: juliette.paireau@pasteur.fr

Affiliations Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Unit, Institut Pasteur, Université Paris Cité, UMR2000 CNRS, Paris, France, Infectious Diseases Department, Santé publique France, Saint-Maurice, France

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5143-6256

⨯
Simon Cauchemez

Roles Conceptualization, Methodology, Supervision, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Unit, Institut Pasteur, Université Paris Cité, UMR2000 CNRS, Paris, France
⨯

Integrating information from historical data into mechanistic models for influenza forecasting

Alessio Andronico,
Juliette Paireau,
Simon Cauchemez

Published: October 30, 2024
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012523

About the Authors

Alessio Andronico

Contributed equally to this work with: Alessio Andronico, Juliette Paireau

Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Methodology, Software, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Unit, Institut Pasteur, Université Paris Cité, UMR2000 CNRS, Paris, France

Juliette Paireau

Contributed equally to this work with: Alessio Andronico, Juliette Paireau

Roles Formal analysis, Methodology, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

* E-mail: juliette.paireau@pasteur.fr

Affiliations Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Unit, Institut Pasteur, Université Paris Cité, UMR2000 CNRS, Paris, France, Infectious Diseases Department, Santé publique France, Saint-Maurice, France

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5143-6256

Simon Cauchemez

Roles Conceptualization, Methodology, Supervision, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Unit, Institut Pasteur, Université Paris Cité, UMR2000 CNRS, Paris, France

Competing Interests

The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

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Influenza
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Forecasting
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Kalman filter
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Seasons
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Alpha radiation
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Epidemiology
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France
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Statistical models
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