About the Authors

Velma K. Lopez

Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Methodology, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

oko8@cdc.gov (VKL)

Affiliation COVID-19 Response, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America

Estee Y. Cramer

Roles Data curation, Methodology, Project administration, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Amherst, Massachusetts, United States of America

Robert Pagano

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Unaffiliated, Tucson, Arizona, United States of America

John M. Drake

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia, United States of America

Eamon B. O’Dea

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia, United States of America

Madeline Adee

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America

Turgay Ayer

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America

Jagpreet Chhatwal

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America

Ozden O. Dalgic

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Value Analytics Labs, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America

Mary A. Ladd

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America

Benjamin P. Linas

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America

Peter P. Mueller

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America

Jade Xiao

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America

Johannes Bracher

Roles Data curation, Project administration, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Chair of Econometrics and Statistics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany

Alvaro J. Castro Rivadeneira

Roles Data curation, Project administration, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Amherst, Massachusetts, United States of America

Aaron Gerding

Roles Data curation, Project administration, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Amherst, Massachusetts, United States of America

Tilmann Gneiting

Roles Data curation, Project administration, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Heidelberg Institute for Theoretical Studies, Heidelberg, Germany

Yuxin Huang

Roles Data curation, Project administration, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Amherst, Massachusetts, United States of America

Dasuni Jayawardena

Roles Data curation, Project administration, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Amherst, Massachusetts, United States of America

Abdul H. Kanji

Roles Data curation, Project administration, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Amherst, Massachusetts, United States of America

Khoa Le

Roles Data curation, Project administration, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Amherst, Massachusetts, United States of America

Anja Mühlemann

Roles Data curation, Project administration, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Institute of Mathematical Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland

Jarad Niemi

Roles Data curation, Project administration, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa, United States of America

Evan L. Ray

Roles Data curation, Project administration, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Amherst, Massachusetts, United States of America

Ariane Stark

Roles Data curation, Project administration, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Amherst, Massachusetts, United States of America

Yijin Wang

Roles Data curation, Project administration, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Amherst, Massachusetts, United States of America

Nutcha Wattanachit

Roles Data curation, Project administration, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Amherst, Massachusetts, United States of America

Martha W. Zorn

Roles Data curation, Project administration, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Amherst, Massachusetts, United States of America

Sen Pei

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, New York, United States of America

Jeffrey Shaman

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, New York, United States of America

Teresa K. Yamana

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, New York, United States of America

Samuel R. Tarasewicz

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, San Francisco, California, United States of America

Daniel J. Wilson

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, San Francisco, California, United States of America

Sid Baccam

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation IEM, Bel Air, Maryland, United States of America

Heidi Gurung

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation IEM, Bel Air, Maryland, United States of America

Steve Stage

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation IEM, Baton Rouge, Louisiana, United States of America

Brad Suchoski

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation IEM, Bel Air, Maryland, United States of America

Lei Gao

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation George Mason University, Fairfax, Virginia, United States of America

Zhiling Gu

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa, United States of America

Myungjin Kim

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Kyungpook National University, Bukgu, Daegu, Republic of Korea

Xinyi Li

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Clemson University, Clemson, South Carolina, United States of America

Guannan Wang

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation College of William & Mary, Williamsburg, Virginia, United States of America

Lily Wang

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation George Mason University, Fairfax, Virginia, United States of America

Yueying Wang

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Amazon, Seattle, Washington, United States of America

Shan Yu

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America

Lauren Gardner

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Sonia Jindal

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Maximilian Marshall

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Kristen Nixon

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Juan Dent

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Alison L. Hill

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Joshua Kaminsky

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Elizabeth C. Lee

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Joseph C. Lemaitre

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland

Justin Lessler

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America

Claire P. Smith

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Shaun Truelove

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Matt Kinsey

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Luke C. Mullany

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Kaitlin Rainwater-Lovett

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Lauren Shin

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Katharine Tallaksen

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Shelby Wilson

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Dean Karlen

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Victoria and TRIUMF, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada

Lauren Castro

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, New Mexico, United States of America

Geoffrey Fairchild

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, New Mexico, United States of America

Isaac Michaud

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, New Mexico, United States of America

Dave Osthus

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, New Mexico, United States of America

Jiang Bian

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Microsoft, Redmond, Washington, United States of America

Wei Cao

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Microsoft, Redmond, Washington, United States of America

Zhifeng Gao

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Microsoft, Redmond, Washington, United States of America

Juan Lavista Ferres

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Microsoft, Redmond, Washington, United States of America

Chaozhuo Li

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Microsoft, Redmond, Washington, United States of America

Tie-Yan Liu

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Microsoft, Redmond, Washington, United States of America

Xing Xie

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Microsoft, Redmond, Washington, United States of America

Shun Zhang

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Microsoft, Redmond, Washington, United States of America

Shun Zheng

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Microsoft, Redmond, Washington, United States of America

Matteo Chinazzi

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America

Jessica T. Davis

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America

Kunpeng Mu

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America

Ana Pastore y Piontti

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America

Alessandro Vespignani

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America

Xinyue Xiong

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America

Robert Walraven

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Unaffiliated, Davis, California, United States of America

Jinghui Chen

Roles Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California, United States of America

Quanquan Gu

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California, United States of America

Lingxiao Wang

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California, United States of America

Pan Xu

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California, United States of America

Weitong Zhang

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California, United States of America

Difan Zou

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California, United States of America

Graham Casey Gibson

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, New Mexico, United States of America

Daniel Sheldon

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Amherst, Massachusetts, United States of America

Ajitesh Srivastava

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, United States of America

Aniruddha Adiga

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America

Benjamin Hurt

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America

Gursharn Kaur

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America

Bryan Lewis

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America

Madhav Marathe

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America

Akhil Sai Peddireddy

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Discreet Labs, Raleigh, North Carolina, United States of America

Przemyslaw Porebski

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America

Srinivasan Venkatramanan

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America

Lijing Wang

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation New Jersey Institute of Technology, Newark, New Jersey, United States of America

Pragati V. Prasad

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation COVID-19 Response, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America

Jo W. Walker

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation COVID-19 Response, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America

Alexander E. Webber

Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation COVID-19 Response, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America

Rachel B. Slayton

Roles Project administration, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation COVID-19 Response, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America

Matthew Biggerstaff

Roles Conceptualization, Project administration, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation COVID-19 Response, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America

Nicholas G. Reich

Roles Conceptualization, Methodology, Project administration, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Amherst, Massachusetts, United States of America

Michael A. Johansson

Roles Conceptualization, Methodology, Project administration, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation COVID-19 Response, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America

Competing Interests

I have read the journal’s policy and the authors of this manuscript have the following competing interests: APP report grants from Metabiota Inc outside the submitted work. J.S. and Columbia University declare partial ownership of SK Analytics. No other authors have competing interests to declare.