About the Authors

James A. Hay

Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

jhay@hsph.harvard.edu (JAH); s.riley@imperial.ac.uk (SR)

Affiliations MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom, Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America

Amanda Minter

Roles Formal analysis, Investigation, Software, Validation, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom

Kylie E. C. Ainslie

Roles Formal analysis, Investigation, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom

Justin Lessler

Roles Conceptualization, Methodology, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Bingyi Yang

Roles Writing – review & editing

Affiliations Department of Biology, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, United States of America, Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, United States of America

Derek A. T. Cummings

Roles Conceptualization, Writing – review & editing

Affiliations Department of Biology, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, United States of America, Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, United States of America

Adam J. Kucharski

Contributed equally to this work with: Adam J. Kucharski, Steven Riley

Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Methodology, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom

Steven Riley

Contributed equally to this work with: Adam J. Kucharski, Steven Riley

Roles Conceptualization, Investigation, Methodology, Supervision, Validation, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

jhay@hsph.harvard.edu (JAH); s.riley@imperial.ac.uk (SR)

Affiliation MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom

Competing Interests

The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.