Thank you for your letter and for the reviewers' and editors' comments concerning
our manuscript. These comments are very helpful for revising and improving our paper.
We have studied comments carefully and have made corrections which we hope meet with
approval.
Reviewer #1comments1:
The Introduction fails to motivate the study. In the present form, it resembles a
mini-review of literature, rather than discussing any policy-level problem. Why this
study is necessary? What policy level problem this study is addressing? How the study
is expected to provide any solution to that problem? How does the choice of sample
is complementing that problem? Are the results and policies generalizable? The introduction
is silent in all these aspects. The mere choice of new variables, new methods, or
choosing a new context is not considered as contribution of a study.
Response: Thanks for your valuable comments and suggestions. We have revised and supplemented
the introduction, including the necessity of this study, the policy issues to be solved
by the study, and the reasons for the selection of research samples. To stimulate
research. At the same time, the academic literature cited in the introduction has
been greatly deleted to find out the long-standing policy problems in China. The details
are as follows:
Income distribution has always been a popular issue of the entire society. Reasonable
income distribution system and income gap are not only the common aspiration of the
people but also an important embodiment of social justice. Since the reform and opening
up, China's economy has achieved sustained and rapid development, and the living standards
of residents have gradually improved. However, while per capita income is flourishing,
the imbalance in economic development is also increasing. At present, there are still
four major gaps: regional gaps, urban-rural gaps, industry gaps, and class gaps. Among
them, the income gap between urban and rural residents has attracted the wide attention
of the academic community, because it has the largest proportion in the causes of
the overall income gap of Chinese residents, up to over 65%. Especially in recent
years, with the widening gap between urban and rural residents' income growth rate,
the income gap between urban and rural areas in China continues to increase, which
has become an obstacle to the long-term healthy and stable development of China's
economy. The data from China Statistical Bureau show that the income ratio of urban
and rural residents in China has decreased from 3.30: 1 in 2007 to 2.64: 1 in 2019,
and the overall trend is declining. However, compared with the world level, the income
gap between urban and rural areas in China is hovering at a high level and shows a
fluctuating trend. During 2002-2019, it expanded at a high level before 2009, and
then fell within a narrow range, showing an inverted U-shaped trend. At this stage,
the income distribution of residents in China is still very serious, the income gap
between urban and rural residents fluctuated and expand, which will inevitably affect
social harmony and stability. Therefore, in realizing the path of establishing and
improving the institutional mechanism of urban-rural integration development and balancing
urban-rural integration development put forward in the 19th National Congress of the
Communist Party of China, solving the urban-rural income gap has become the key point
the sustainable economic development at this stage and in the future for a long time.
Various comprehensive factors affect the income gap between urban and rural areas,
including the national fiscal policies and the national financial development, especially
the reason for widening the gap is the imbalance of urban and rural financial development.
For example, when financial resources do not support rural residents’ income increase,
the urban-rural income gap will continue to expand. If the urban-rural income gap
continues to expand, it will strengthen the imbalance between urban-rural financial
resource allocation, which will lead to a vicious cycle of imbalance. Since the establishment
of agriculture-related loan statistics in 2007, the amount of agriculture-related
loans of national financial institutions has increased by 361.7%, with an average
annual growth rate of 18.8% in ten years. The amount of agriculture-related loans
increased from 6.1 trillion yuan at the end of 2007 to 30.95 trillion yuan at the
end of 2017, an increase of 4.5 percent in the proportion of loans. Rural loans and
savings have increased substantially. However, China’s rural financial supply still
cannot keep up with the pace of rapid growth in demand, the financial correlation
rate in rural areas, the proportion of deposits and loans on the financial development
scale, and the efficiency of financial institutions are still lower than those in
cities. In addition, a high monopoly characterizes China’s current financial structure.
Compared with cities, corporate loans in rural areas are more disadvantaged, resulting
in more scarce rural financial resources. According to statistics, there is still
a gap in financial services in over 1200 townships in China. Over 8,000 townships
only rely on the only financial organization to carry out basic financial business.
The coverage rate of rural loans across the country does not exceed 35%. Therefore,
China's financial development presents a typical 'dual structure. Technological innovation
is considered to be the main factor affecting macroeconomic variables. Hou Zhenmei,
Tian Mao, et al. [1] pointed out that the process of technological innovation is an
economic growth process that takes technology as the mainline and causes social change
and technological innovation is a key driving force for economic growth, and its development
process will inevitably affect the change of income distribution pattern of different
groups. Pan et al. [2], Wang and Wang [3] dwell on the influence of technological
innovation on energy efficiency. Technological innovation can influence environmental
degradation [4]. Recently, the effect of innovation on the income gap is an important
field of research [5-6].
The China's economy is an essential case. In 2016, China became the first middle-income
economy to enter the top 25 of the global innovation index. China's scientific and
technological innovation capability was enhanced and the main scientific and technological
innovation indicators were steadily improved in 2018. The state intellectual property
office of the data shows the proportion of research and experimental development expenditure
of the entire society in GDP in 2018 was 2.15%. The total number of R&D personnel
reached 4.18 million person-years, ranking first in the world; The number of international
scientific papers and citations ranked second in the world; The number of patent applications
and authorization of invention ranks first in the world; The contribution rate of
scientific and technological progress is expected to exceed 58.5%, and the national
comprehensive innovation ability ranks 17th in the world. The level of scientific
and technological innovation in China has been continuously improved, and fruitful
achievements have been made in many fields such as innovation input, innovation output,
and innovation efficiency. These developments indicate technological innovations advance
rapidly in China. In addition, income distribution has been a vital matter in China
for a long time. According to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics,
China's urban-rural income gap in 2019 was 2.7:1, higher than the world average, and
is one country with the largest urban-rural income gap. In this context, to incorporate
technological innovation into the important factors that affect the income gap between
urban and rural areas, and to explore ways and channels to ease and eliminate the
excessive income gap in residential areas in China, which is of great significance
to reduce income inequality and realize social equity at this stage.
Considering all the above explanations, the present study creates the following questions:
First, is the FKC hypothesis valid for China? Second, how technological innovation
influences income gap in China's economy? Third, is there a causal linkage between
technological innovation and urban-rural income gap? In addition, there are no studies
on the causal linkage between them. In this regard, this is the first study on China's
economy. To answer these questions above, we attempt to make an empirical study on
the link between technological innovation and income gap in China from 1985 to 2019
under the context of FKC hypothesis. We intensify on the long-term and causal relations
between the variables. In the study of financial development and the income gap between
urban and rural residents, this paper adds the index of technological innovation.
By citing these three variables, hope to be more comprehensive on the causes of China
's urban-rural income gap and how to solve this problem are discussed, and thus draw
more accurate results and set forward more constructive suggestions. The widening
income gap between urban and rural areas in China has attracted wide attention from
the government and academia, but from the domestic existing literature, it focuses
on the role of law decision-making factors. There is no analysis on the impact of
technological innovation on the income gap under the background of FKC hypothesis.
In addition, the utility research on the long- and short-term causality test between
technological innovation and income gap is indeed more inadequate. Thus, the study
intends to focus on verifying the validity of the FKC hypothesis and the dynamic relationship
between technological innovation and the urban-rural income gap in the FKC hypothesis.
Producing a new explanation for the causes of urban-rural income gap, this has important
theoretical and practical relevance for developing regional coordinated expansion
and achieving social equity.
Thanks!
Reviewer #1comments2:
What is the aim of the review of literature? The authors have merely listed out the
studies without even creating a debate among them. Without that debate and thoughtful
contradictions, the research gap cannot be substantiated.
Response: Thanks for your valuable comments and suggestions. We have supplemented
the domestic and foreign literature on income gap, and created a debate among them.
The whole literature review has been revised, supplemented and sorted out. The details
are as follows:
The urbanization process and financial development of developed countries began earlier.
Foreign scholars have carried out relatively full research on financial development
and income gap, but no consensus has been reached and there is a big controversy.
FKC Hypothesis was first developed by Kuznets [7], an American economist and statistician,
through an analysis of data related to economic growth and income gap in several countries,
there is an inverted U-shaped relationship between financial development and urban-rural
income gap. This is because, in the early stage of financial development, only a few
high-income people can pay the cost of financial services and get high returns financial
services, so the income gap expands; When the financial development is to a certain
extent, most people can cross the wealth threshold of financial services, share the
benefits of financial development, the income gap narrowed slowly. Then Greenwood
and Jovanovic [8] found developed a GJ model to explore the communication between
financial development and economic growth and income distribution and found that they
also conformed to the 'inverted U' trend. Townsend and Ueda improved the model on
this basis and reached similar conclusions [9]. However, Clarke [10] adjusted the
research data to the panel data of several countries and found that from an international
perspective, financial development and income gap did not show an 'inverted U' feature,
but were negatively correlated. Further deepening of financial development would have
a positive effect on narrowing the urban-rural income gap. Pradhan [11] used time-series
data from India 45 to show the relationship between economic growth, financial development,
and the income gap between urban and rural residents, and also found that financial
development is conducive to narrowing the income gap. However, some scholars have
reached different conclusions in their studies. Law et al. [12] used the threshold
regression method to conduct an empirical analysis of financial development and income
gap. The results show that there is a threshold effect between them. Only after reaching
a certain threshold, financial development will narrow the income gap, and the implementation
does not exist before. Sehrawat and Giri use ARDL model analysis results show that
both in the long and short term. India's financial development level has increased
the income gap [13].
Since the 1990s, with the swift growth of financial markets and the advance of urbanization,
the class bias of communal income has come better and further serious. Domestic scholars
analyzed and discuss the issue of the urban-rural income gap. Many scholars have different
perspectives on the impact of financial development on the urban-rural income gap.
For example, Qiao Haishu and Chen Li [14], Hu Zongyi and Liu Yiwen [15], and Yang
Nan and Ma Chuoxin [16] upheld that the impact mechanism of China's financial development
on the urban-rural income gap is also in line with the 'inverted U' component. Based
on the theory of economic growth, Ye Zhiqiang et al. [17] analyzed and discussed the
impact of financial development on narrowing the income gap, and thought that the
problem of poverty in rural China cannot be solved effectively by developing finance
alone, and unreasonable financial expansion will lead to the widening of the income
gap between urban and rural areas. Jia Fei found that the low financial transformation
efficiency in rural areas will lead to the imbalance of urban and rural financial
development and further aggravates the widening income gap [18]. From the standpoint
of the regional economy, Sun Yongqiang et al. [19] pointed out that for a long time,
China's financial development and financial development showed a significant positive
correlation, especially in the eastern region. Yang Youcai used the threshold model
to verify the threshold effect of financial development and found that the financial
threshold of China's regions showed an increasing trend from west to east. However,
due to the differences between the corresponding thresholds of the level of financial
development in the eastern and western regions, there are also differences in the
changes in the income gap caused by financial growth in the eastern and western regions
[20].
Existing studies have shown that technological innovation is a key determinant of
the urban-rural income gap. Technological innovation promotes economic development
and pushes the development process of industrialization and urbanization. What is
the impact of technological innovation on the income gap? Foreign scholars have conducted
in-depth research on the impact of technological innovation on income disparity and
the results of the study are also different. The major research results focus on the
following aspects:
Firstly, the skill bias of technological progress makes the pay growth of high-skilled
and low-skilled workers polarization, which leads to the widening income gap, the
effect of skill-biased technological progress. Leamer believes that technological
progress in technology-intensive sectors contributes to higher wages for skilled workers,
in labour-demanding parts contributes to higher wages for unskilled workers, and that
technological progress in technology-intensive sectors has a more pronounced impact
on income gaps [21].
Second is the spillover effect of skills. Aghion and others found new technologies
can improve labor productivity, and workers can learn to increase their knowledge
[22]. The result is that the wages of workers in the same skill level group are rare,
and the relative supply and technology spillover efficiency of skilled workers among
workers various skill levels cause the wage gap between workers with different skill
levels. Cirillo.V analysis shows that technological innovation is conducive to narrowing
the overall income gap, but it will aggravate the income gap among high-income groups
[23].
The third is the Organizational Effect on Labor Market. Nathan M points out that technological
innovation affects the direction and intensity of the income gap, which is also related
to aspects such as the size of the labor force, the structure of labor skills and
the degree of economic development [24]. Akcigit et al. [25] remarked that innovation
exacerbates the gap between high-income meets and that the income of most successful
innovators has risen dramatically.
Domestic scholars have also studied this issue from multiple perspectives, aiming
at the relationship between technological innovation and income gap. Some studies
believe that technological innovation tends to widen the income gap. Chen Yong and
Bai Zhe found that skill-biased technological progress is the most important factor
in the widening regional wage gap in China [26]. Zeng Peng et al. [27] found that
in terms of China’s urban agglomerations, technological progress will expand the urban-rural
income gap, and technological progress will promote the improvement of urbanization.
However, some scholars believe that technological innovation can alleviate the income
gap. Dong Zhiqing et al. [28] and others believe that neutral technological advances
can raise the supply of skilled labour and reduce the wage gap between skilled and
non-skilled labour. Ma Lei discussed the impact of total factor productivity and human
capital structure on urban-rural income gap from the perspective of innovation-driven
development [29]. The study found that the optimization of human capital structure
in the central and western regions has a powerful effect on reducing the urban-rural
income gap. The growth of total factor productivity and the improvement of technological
progress can narrow the gap in the central and western regions, but it shows an expansion
effect in the eastern field.
From the above summary, we can see that the existing literature has conducted in-depth
research on the problem of urban-rural income gap, and applied research has also made
abundant achievements. However, there are still some shortcomings which need to be
further studied: Firstly, the empirical results related to FKC hypothesis are very
complex and inconsistent. The main reason for this statement is that periods, analysis
techniques and country groups considered are different. Secondly, most of the studies
focus on the validity of FKC hypothesis, but they do not integrate technological innovation
into the income gap specifications. Lastly, even if several studies only investigate
the technological innovation-income gap link, they do not dwell on the FKC hypothesis.
The research on the above three points can be regarded as the contribution of this
paper. Therefore, the present study aims at examining the relationship between technological
innovation and urban-rural income gap in the presence of FKC hypothesis for China’s
economy, and put forward policy recommendations on this basis.
Thanks!
Reviewer #1comments3:
How the authors have derived the empirical model? There should be a thorough theoretical
underpinning behind the model. This section should be based on the logic of the authors,
and no citation/reference should appear here. This section will be followed by the
empirical model.
Response: Thanks for your valuable comments and suggestions. We have supplemented
the theoretical underpinning behind the model and removed the cited citation/reference.
The details are as follows:
Materials and method
The selection of variables
Technological innovation. The technological innovation process of a country is embodied
in the economic growth process that takes technology as the main line and causes social
changes. The process of technological innovation and development will inevitably affect
the changes of income distribution pattern of different groups. In measuring the level
of technological innovation, there are usually two interrelated patent indicators,
namely the amount of patent authorization and the amount of patent acceptance, which
are widely used in the literature. Compared with the patent acceptance, the index
of patent authorization can more calculate the innovation level. Therefore, this paper
will still use this index to measure the level of technological innovation in China.
Financial development. Goldsmith proposed that the financial correlation ratio refers
to the ratio of the value of all financial assets of a country to the total amount
of economic activities in that country at a certain date. The change in financial
related ratio reflects the changing relationship between the financial sector and
the economic base in terms of scale, which is used to measure the scale of a country's
or region's financial development and the degree of financial deepening. Based on
the fact that China's financial market is not perfect and the scale of the banking
industry accounts for a high proportion of the financial industry, So this study selects
the Gohren index (FIR) which is measured by the ratio of the end-of-year loans of
financial institutes to GDP. Since the inverted U-shaped contact between the level
of financial development and the income gap has regularly been a hot subject in academic
research. Scholars all use this variable as an important factor in analyzing income
disparity. Therefore, this paper introduces the financial development scale (FIR)
and its quadratic call to demonstrate whether there is an inverted U-shaped link between
the two.
Urban-rural income gap. Indicators to measure the income gap between urban and rural
residents are Gini coefficient, Theil coefficient, Wolfson polarization index, etc.
Based on the pertinent indexes selected in this article need to reflect the efficiency
of the input and output level of urban and rural residents' productivity, so this
paper selects the urban residents' per capita disposable income UI and the ratio of
rural residents' per capita net income RI to measure the income gap between urban
and rural residents.
Thanks!
Reviewer #1comments4:
Authors have merely reported the results without even discussing the economic intuitions
behind the results. Are these results supporting or refuting the existing policies
in the chosen context? Are the results directed towards any new policy initiatives?
The discussion of results should open up the threads of policy discussion, which is
completely absent in this case. A mere comparison of the results with the literature
doesn't ensure the novelty of the results unless they give out something new on the
theory/policy front.
Response: Thanks for your valuable comments and suggestions. We have added economic
intuitions and policy discussion behind the results. The details are as follows:
Estimation Results
After checking the co-integration between the series, the long-term parameters can
be estimated by the FMOLS, DOLS and CCR estimators. The estimation results are shown
in Table 6. The coefficients of lnFIR and lnFIR2 are found positive and negative at
1% level of significance, respectively. The findings are consistent with the validity
of the FKC hypothesis proposed by Greenwood and Jovanovich [8]. Thus, this reveals
that there exists an inverted-U shaped relationship between financial development
and urban-rural income gap in China’s economy. Namely, in the initial stage of financial
development, the income gap between urban and rural areas continues to expand. When
developed to a certain extent, because of the diffusion and infiltration of financial
resources from central cities to surrounding rural areas, and improve the financial
imbalance. The scale of rural financial resources is expanded and the utilization
efficiency is raised. Capital accumulation and technological progress in rural areas
promote sustained income growth of rural residents, then narrow the income gap between
urban and rural residents [14]. Our findings coincide with the research results of
some scholars: Considering the time-varying relationship, there is a dynamic inverted
U-shaped between financial development and urban-rural income gap, and different regions
are in different stages of the inverted U-shaped curve [16]. Analyzing the direction
and effect of China’s economic financialization on the urban-rural income gap from
both the national and regional levels, it is settled that there is a Kuznets inverted
U-shaped trajectory between the financial development of the western region and the
urban-rural income gap, and it is directly in the stage of diminishing the income
gap [40].
The long-term estimates of Models (1) and (2) obtained from the FMOLS, DOLS and CCR
methods indicate that the coefficient of technological innovation is positive and
statistically significant at the significance level of 1 %. This reveals that technological
innovation increases income gap in China. This may be due to the following reasons.
The skill-biased type of technological progress increases the remuneration of high-
and low-skilled workers, resulting in polarization and widening the income gap. The
result of the skill spillover effect will eventually lead to wage differences among
workers with the same skill level. Moreover, Technological innovation may hinder small
and medium-sized enterprises from entering monopoly and oligopoly industries. The
wage gap between workers with different skill levels is determined by the relative
supply of skilled workers and skill spillover efficiency among workers with different
skill levels. Our empirical finding is consistent with Aghion et al., who finds that
technological innovation has a positive impact on income inequality in the US [41].
Likewise, Mnif reveals that technological innovation exacerbates income inequality
in 19 developing countries [42].
Table 6. FMOLS DOLS CCR long term estimates
Dependent variable:lnGI
Variables Model(1) Model(2)
FMOLS DOLS CCR FMOLS DOLS CCR
C 5.0290***
[0.0036] 5.0152***
[0.0015] 4.7773***
[0.0051] 2.8399*** 2.8478*** 2.7111***
[0.0001] [0.0028] [0.0001]
lnTI 0.1380***
[0.0002] 0.1364***
[0.0020] 0.1279***
[0.0000] 0.1387*** 0.1384*** 0.1272***
[0.0001] [0.0035] [0.0000]
lnFIR 0.9423***
[0.0051] 0.9377**
[0.0445] 0.8817***
[0.0065] - - -
- - -
lnFIR2 -
- -
- -
- -0.1013***
[0.0035] -0.1015**
[0.0316] -0.0938***
[0.0046]
Note: The p-values are given in []. ***, ** and denote significance at 1% and 5%
leves,
respectively.
VECM Granger causality test
On the basis of the above test results, in the case of the optimal lag order of order
1, this section will continue to test the long-term and short-term causality of △lnGI、△lnTI
and △lnFIR based on VECM. This method verifies the causality between variables in
the composite system, which can avoid the disadvantage that the traditional Granger
causality test cannot be applied to the cointegration test. The causality results
presented in Table 7 suggest that financial development and income inequality cause
each other. This conclusion is the same as that of Zhang Yingli and Yang Zhengyong
[43]. He uses the VECM model to dynamically analyze the relationship between financial
development, urbanization, and the urban-rural income gap. The empirical results show
that financial development is the uni-directional Granger cause of the urban-rural
income gap. The causal relationship results also show that there is a bidirectional
causal linkage between technological innovation and urban-rural income gap at the
significance levels of 1% and 5%. Ma Lei explored the impact of human capital structure
and total factor productivity on urban-rural income gap from the perspective of innovation-driven
development [29]. However, there is no research on the causal relationship between
technological innovation and urban-rural income gap.
Table 7. VECM Granger causality test
Dependent variable Independent variable
Short-run Long-run
[p-value]
F-statistic
[p-value]
△lnGI △lnTI △lnFIR ECTt-1
△lnGI ¬- 13.824***
[0.0008] 9.4808**
[0.0044] -0.0003**
[0.035]
△lnTI 7.4338**
[0.0107] - 7.5969***
[0.0098] -0.0015**
[0.006]
△lnFIR 5.0151**
[0.0327] 4.2866**
[0.0471] - -0.0010***
[0.000]
Note: *** and **denote significance at 1% and 5% levels, respectively.
Overall, short-term fluctuations and long-term equilibrium characterize the relationship
between financial development, technological innovation, and the urban-rural income
gap. Financial development and technological innovation will have an impact on the
urban-rural income gap, which is the result of China's financial development bias,
and it is also an inevitable phenomenon that the process of technological innovation
and development has an impact on the income distribution pattern of different groups.
The bias in financial development has had an impact on the expansion of the urban-rural
income gap in China to a certain extent. On the one hand, the profit orientation of
capital and China's financial policies focus on supporting urbanization, resulting
in a part of rural funds entering the urban financial market, accelerating the economic
development of cities and the increase of urban residents' income, but not affecting
rural construction, hindering the development and growth of the rural economy. On
the other hand, when rural finance lags behind the development of urban finance, due
to the imperfect rural financial market and mechanism, the low level of rural investment
and consumption, coupled with the relatively weak government support for rural finance
to agricultural development, the agricultural support function of financial institutions
has been seriously degraded, resulting in the phenomenon that financial institutions
are 'retreating weaker and weaker, weaker and retreating' in rural areas, leading
to the development dilemma of small-scale and low efficiency of rural financial markets,
these long-term constraints lead to narrowing the income gap between urban and rural
residents has become quite difficult.
Due to the 'urban-rural dual' structure of the national industrial policy, there are
differences in scientific and technological innovation ability and innovation efficiency
between urban and rural areas.
Agricultural scientific and technological innovation does not match human capital,
the accumulation rate of agricultural high-quality human capital lags behind the needs
of technological innovation, and agricultural technological innovation has a weak
impact on the urban-rural income gap; The urban industrial sector and science and
technology service sector have an enormous investment in innovation resources, high
scientific and technological innovation ability, high innovation efficiency, large
profit space, and rapid production efficiency improvement. In addition, the dual economic
structure of urban and rural causes the endowment of household resources and the education
level of farmers less than in the city, which affects the increase of rural residents'
income and increases the income gap between urban and rural residents.
Thanks!
Reviewer #1comments5:
Conclusion reiterates the results, which is completely undesirable. The authors should
summarize the results within a maximum of 3 sentences. Moreover, the policies are
completely vague, and it seems that the authors already had the policies in mind before
even starting the paper. The policies should be directly derived from the discussion
of the results, and they should not go beyond the results.
Response: Thanks for your valuable comments and suggestions. We have re-summarized
the results within 3 sentences in the conclusion policy suggestion. Moreover, we have
deleted, supplemented, and revised the corresponding policy recommendations based
on the research conclusion of this paper. The details are as follows:
Conclusion and policy suggestion
There is no relevant research on the relationship between financial development, technological
innovation and urban-rural income gap in the existing literature. In the current environment
of steady economic development and building a harmonious society, narrowing the urban-rural
income gap is an important problem in the process of economic development in China.
Therefore, this study investigates the FKC for urban-rural income gap in case of China
for the period of 1985-2019. This study has intensified on the technological innovation-income
gap link with the FKC. For this purpose, we apply the ARDL approach and Johansen method
for cointegration. In addition, the long run coefficient estimates are conducted by
DOLS, FMOLS and CCR estimators. We also apply the VECM Granger procedure to causality.
Finally, we using OLS regression analysis to variables. Compared with existing research,
this study has made improvements in the following two aspects: This paper will add
the indicator of technological innovation. On the one hand, there is no literature
on the relationship between the three in China. On the other hand, technological innovation
is closely related to financial development and the income gap between urban and rural
residents. Thus, the level of technological innovation cannot be abandoned in the
study; It will verify the FKC theory and analyze the link between technological innovation
and urban-rural income gap under the FKC hypothesis.
It is found that the long-run relationship exists among the variables under the
structural breaks. The main finding obtained from the long-run coefficient estimates
reveal that technological innovation increases urban-rural income gap. The findings
confirm the validity of the FKC hypothesis for China’s economy in the long run. The
causality analysis shows a bi-directional causality between financial development,
technological innovation and urban-rural income gap in the long run. China's financial
development bias is the main reason for this gap.
Based on the research conclusion of this paper, to further narrow the income gap between
urban and rural areas, it is necessary to reduce the harmful effects of the technological
innovation development process, and actively promote rural areas to build a new framework
for economic development; Meanwhile, it is necessary to reverse the financial development
bias and coordinate the balanced development of urban and rural finance. Therefore,
the following countermeasures and suggestions are put forward:
First, the optimization and improvement of financial structure have a significant
promotion effect on the main measurement indicators of technological innovation such
as R&D investment and patent activities of large enterprises, but this may also be
one of the main reasons for the intensification of urban-rural income gap in developing
countries. Therefore, the government should take practical measures and introduce
preferential policies to support technological innovation of small and medium-sized
enterprises, create good financing conditions for small and medium-sized enterprises,
and establish and develop technological service systems for small and medium-sized
enterprises. In addition, local governments should insist on promoting industry to
agriculture in technological innovation, cities supporting rural areas, and continuously
increasing the intensity of financial investment in science and technology. On the
one hand, while creating a good background to promote technological innovation, it
should also introduce and implement relevant policies to promote technological innovation,
create special innovation funds, actively subsidize and encourage scientific and technological
innovation in large, medium, and small enterprises, research and development institutions,
universities and other major scientific and technological innovation achievements.
Vigorously promote industry-university-research cooperation between enterprises and
universities, and help enterprises expand the market for technological innovation
products and services. On the other hand, actively establish and improve the agricultural
technology innovation coordination mechanism, improve the construction of agricultural
technology innovation software and hardware, raise the level of agricultural technology,
and lay a solid foundation for the construction of new rural industries.
Second, expand the scale of rural financial development and improve the efficiency
of rural financial development. Because of the difficulty of loans in rural areas
and the outflow of rural funds from rural areas through household savings and savings
of township enterprises, when farmers have financing needs, they cannot get corresponding
financing support because they cannot meet the credit threshold of financial institutions,
and the efficiency of rural financial allocation is low. Therefore, the government
should establish a sound agricultural financial system, optimize the share of agricultural
financial services and financial resources, and try to improve the uneven distribution
of financial resources between urban and rural areas and financial development to
benefit more high-income people and less rural residents. Increase preferential policy
support for rural economic development, improve the rural financial organization system,
and promote agricultural modernization. In addition, the continuous expansion and
upgrading of rural agricultural financial services will help attract more financial
institutions and financial products to enter the countryside, and will also help rural
areas reduce financing costs and thresholds, and reduce the loss of rural financial
resources and talents. The improvement of rural financial operation efficiency can
convert the absorbed rural savings into rural loans in real time, increase support
for 'agriculture, rural areas and farmers' funds, increase the utilization rate of
rural financial resources, and improve the development of rural financial development.
Third, establish and improve the system of rural financial security, guide and standardize
the benign operation and development of rural areas. Under the background of the new
era, with the rapid development and popularization of the Internet and e-commerce,
the development potential of rural areas has gradually emerged. For example, at present,
the Internet financial platform 'agriculture, rural areas and farmers' in China has
continued to increase, the development of service industry has become increasingly
diversified, and the business form has continued to evolve. In order to promote the
benign operation and development of new rural finance, it is necessary to construct
the institutional norms of rural financial market, a unified and effective financial
supervision system and risk early warning system.
Last, many macroeconomic factors are also closely related to urban-rural income gap.
For example, high inflation, interest rates, and exchange rates in China's economic
development have exacerbated income distribution. Therefore, government decision-makers
should ensure economic and financial stability.
This paper has some limitations. First, since we strengthen the relationship between
technological innovation and urban-rural income gap in the context of FKC hypothesis,
several explanatory variables such as globalization, human capital, and renewable
energy are not included in our specifications. Second, many indicators of financial
developments such as current liabilities and financial development index are not used
for empirical analysis. At the same time, the study may inspire future researches.
In this paper, there are some limitations in the relationship between patent licensing
data analysis and urban-rural income gap. In the follow-up study, independent technological
innovation indicators such as high-tech product export and R&D investment can be considered
to further demonstrate the impact of technological innovation on urban-rural income
gap and the differences in the results of different indicators. Therefore, future
researches can investigate the impact of technological innovation on urban-rural income
gap in detail and prefer comparative empirical results.
Thanks once more!
Reviewer #2comments1:
The results of causality analysis should be discussed in detailed with the findigs
of other empirical studies.
Response: Thanks for your valuable comments and suggestions. We have discussed the
results of causality analysis in detail with the findigs of other empirical studies.
The details are as follows:
VECM Granger causality test
On the basis of the above test results, in the case of the optimal lag order of order
1, this section will continue to test the long-term and short-term causality of △lnGI、△lnTI
and △lnFIR based on VECM. This method verifies the causality between variables in
the composite system, which can avoid the disadvantage that the traditional Granger
causality test cannot be applied to the cointegration test. The causality results
presented in Table 7 suggest that financial development and income inequality cause
each other. This conclusion is the same as that of Zhang Yingli and Yang Zhengyong
[43]. He uses the VECM model to dynamically analyze the relationship between financial
development, urbanization, and the urban-rural income gap. The empirical results show
that financial development is the uni-directional Granger cause of the urban-rural
income gap. The causal relationship results also show that there is a bidirectional
causal linkage between technological innovation and urban-rural income gap at the
significance levels of 1% and 5%. Ma Lei explored the impact of human capital structure
and total factor productivity on urban-rural income gap from the perspective of innovation-driven
development [29]. However, there is no research on the causal relationship between
technological innovation and urban-rural income gap.
Table 7. VECM Granger causality test
Dependent variable Independent variable
Short-run Long-run
[p-value]
F-statistic
[p-value]
△lnGI △lnTI △lnFIR ECTt-1
△lnGI ¬- 13.824***
[0.0008] 9.4808**
[0.0044] -0.0003**
[0.035]
△lnTI 7.4338**
[0.0107] - 7.5969***
[0.0098] -0.0015**
[0.006]
△lnFIR 5.0151**
[0.0327] 4.2866**
[0.0471] - -0.0010***
[0.000]
Note: *** and **denote significance at 1% and 5% levels, respectively.
Overall, short-term fluctuations and long-term equilibrium characterize the relationship
between financial development, technological innovation, and the urban-rural income
gap. Financial development and technological innovation will have an impact on the
urban-rural income gap, which is the result of China's financial development bias,
and it is also an inevitable phenomenon that the process of technological innovation
and development has an impact on the income distribution pattern of different groups.
The bias in financial development has had an impact on the expansion of the urban-rural
income gap in China to a certain extent. On the one hand, the profit orientation of
capital and China's financial policies focus on supporting urbanization, resulting
in a part of rural funds entering the urban financial market, accelerating the economic
development of cities and the increase of urban residents' income, but not affecting
rural construction, hindering the development and growth of the rural economy. On
the other hand, when rural finance lags behind the development of urban finance, due
to the imperfect rural financial market and mechanism, the low level of rural investment
and consumption, coupled with the relatively weak government support for rural finance
to agricultural development, the agricultural support function of financial institutions
has been seriously degraded, resulting in the phenomenon that financial institutions
are 'retreating weaker and weaker, weaker and retreating' in rural areas, leading
to the development dilemma of small-scale and low efficiency of rural financial markets,
these long-term constraints lead to narrowing the income gap between urban and rural
residents has become quite difficult.
Due to the 'urban-rural dual' structure of the national industrial policy, there are
differences in scientific and technological innovation ability and innovation efficiency
between urban and rural areas.
Agricultural scientific and technological innovation does not match human capital,
the accumulation rate of agricultural high-quality human capital lags behind the needs
of technological innovation, and agricultural technological innovation has a weak
impact on the urban-rural income gap; The urban industrial sector and science and
technology service sector have an enormous investment in innovation resources, high
scientific and technological innovation ability, high innovation efficiency, large
profit space, and rapid production efficiency improvement. In addition, the dual economic
structure of urban and rural causes the endowment of household resources and the education
level of farmers less than in the city, which affects the increase of rural residents'
income and increases the income gap between urban and rural residents.
Thanks!
Reviewer #2comments2:
To improve the empirical litarature, the following references should be integrated
into the literature.
Response: Thanks for your valuable comments and suggestions. We have integrated the
following references into the literature. The details are as follows:
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Response: Thanks for your valuable comments and suggestions. We have made modifications
in the text of your manuscript. The details are as follows:
Empirical results and discussion
Unit root test
To avoid the phenomenon of pseudo-regression, the variables of the time series must
be stable before constructing the dynamic econometric model. This study uses ADF and
PP as two test methods to test the unit root stationery of the time series of the
variables one by one. From the test results (see Table 2), at the significance level
of 1%, the t statistical values of the ADF and PP tests of lnTI are−16.04485 and−13.7094,
which are less than the critical values. Therefore, the null hypothesis is rejected.
There is no unit root in lnTI, which is the zero-order unitary sequence I(0), the
original sequence is stable. However, the first-order difference series of lnGI, lnFIR
and lnFIR2 are stable at a 1% significant level, belonging to the first-order mono
integral sequence I(1). In order to analyze the cointegration relationship of the
same order difference sequence, we carried the cointegration test out below.
Table 2. Unit root test results
Varizbles Form ADF
t-atatistic PP
Adj.t-atatistic Result
lnGI (C,T,1) -1.661718 -2.77091 -
lnTI (C,T,1) -16.04485*** -13.7094*** I(0)
lnFIR (C,T,1) -2.745414 -2.88569 -
lnFIR2 (C,T,1) -2.591233 -2.72779 -
△lnGI (C,T,1) -4.474620*** -4.50768*** I(1)
△lnFIR (C,T,1) -5.519429*** -8.02233*** I(1)
△lnFIR2 (C,T,1) -5.56658*** -8.01153*** I(1)
Note: △ represents the first-order difference of variables;(C,T,K)
represents the intercept term, trend term and lag order of ADF resp-
ectively; ***represents rejection of the null hypothesis at the1% sig-
nificance level.
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