Using Bayes' Rule to Define the Value of Evidence from Syndromic Surveillance

• Mats Gunnar Andersson ,

  Contributed equally to this work with: Mats Gunnar Andersson, Céline Faverjon

  * E-mail: gunnar.andersson@sva.se

  Affiliation Department of Chemistry, Environment and Feed Hygiene, The National Veterinary Institute, Uppsala, Sweden

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• Céline Faverjon ,

  Contributed equally to this work with: Mats Gunnar Andersson, Céline Faverjon

  Affiliation INRA UR346 Animal Epidemiology, VetagroSup, Marcy L'Etoile, France

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• Flavie Vial,

  Affiliation Veterinary Public Health Institute, DCR-VPH, Vetsuisse Fakultät, Bern, Switzerland

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• Loïc Legrand,

  Affiliations LABÉO - Frank Duncombe, Unité Risques Microbiens (U2RM), EA 4655, Normandie Universite, Caen, Normandy, France, Réseau d'EpidémioSurveillance en Pathologie Equine (RESPE), Caen, France

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• Agnès Leblond

  Affiliations Réseau d'EpidémioSurveillance en Pathologie Equine (RESPE), Caen, France, INRA UR346 Animal Epidemiology et Département Hippique, VetAgroSup, Marcy L'Etoile, France

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