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Fig 1.

The technical flowchart.

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Table 1.

Model construction and variables.

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Fig 2.

Distribution of Aedes albopictus and Aedes aegypti in China from 2010 to 2023.

The map was obtained from GaryBikini (https://zenodo.org/records/10624971).

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Fig 3.

The average percentage contribution of variables across 10 runs.

A. Variable percent contribution to Aedes albopictus. B. Variable percent contribution to Aedes aegypti.

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Fig 4.

Jackknife test results.

Panels A, B, and C represent the test AUC, test gain, and regularized training gain of Aedes albopictus. Panels D, E, and F represent the test AUC, test gain, and regularized training gain of Aedes aegypti. Light green indicates the impact on the model when this variable is excluded, and light blue indicates the independent impact of this variable to the model.

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Fig 5.

Response curve.

Panels A, B and C show the AMT, APP, and LUCC response curves of Aedes albopictus. Panels D, E and F shows the AMT, APP, and LUCC response curves of Aedes aegypti. These curves show how each variable affects the Maxent prediction. The curves show how the predicted probability of presence changes. The red curves show the mean response of the 10 replicate Maxent runs, and the blue range represents the mean + /− one standard deviation.

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Fig 6.

The suitable habitat range of Aedes albopictus across different years according to the three models.

The habitat suitability values ranged from 0 to 1, with higher values indicating greater suitability for mosquitoes. The map was obtained from GaryBikini (https://zenodo.org/records/10624971).

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Fig 7.

The suitable habitat range of Aedes aegypti across different years according to the three models.

The habitat suitability values ranged from 0 to 1, with higher values indicating greater suitability for mosquitoes. The map was obtained from GaryBikini (https://zenodo.org/records/10624971).

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Fig 8.

Distribution of habitat suitability classifications for Aedes albopictus.

0.00–0.05 indicates uninhabitable habitat, 0.05–0.25 indicates low suitable habitat, 0.25–0.50 indicates medium suitable habitat, and 0.50–1.00 indicates high suitable habitat. The map was obtained from GaryBikini (https://zenodo.org/records/10624971).

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Fig 9.

Changes in habitat suitability risk levels and the expansion and contraction of the habitat area of Aedes albopictus.

A. The risk level changes, expansion and contraction of the suitable habitats for Aedes albopictus during the three time periods of 2014–2019, 2019–2023, and 2023–2030. B. The percentage of suitable and uninhabitable habitat areas for Aedes albopictus in each year, as well as the suitable habitat areas for each risk level (10,000 km2). The map was obtained from GaryBikini (https://zenodo.org/records/10624971).

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