Fig 1.
A) Location of the Rio Negro region study region within ARgentina and within the context of South America. B) Map of Rio Negro regions: Bariloche (1), Comallo (2), El bolson (3), El Cuy (4), Gral. Conesa (5), Jacobacci (6), Los Menucos (7), Maquinchao (8), Niorquinco (9), Pilcaniyeu (10), Ramos Mexia (11), San Antonio (12), Sierra Colorada (13), Sierra Grande (14), Valcheta (15), Valle Alto (16), Valle Inferior (17), Valle Medio (18).
Table 1.
Proportion of farms with recent transmission, estimated probability of a farm having recent transmission, and standard deviation.
Table 2.
Proportion of farms with recent transmission, estimated probability of a farm having recent transmission, and its standard deviation.
Fig 2.
Proportion of farms with recent transmission (left) and estimated probability of a farm having recent transmission (right).
Fig 3.
Proportion of screened people who were positive.
Grey areas indicate no people were screened in those regions in that time frame.
Fig 4.
Model 1.1a - Spatially Correlated Error Term–u.
Note that the values are zero centered and affect the relative risk on the log scale.
Fig 5.
Posterior exceedences for relative risks from model 1.1a.
Fig 6.
Model 1.1a –Posterior mean relative risks—Surveillance Data.
Fig 7.
β2006i values based on Model 1.3a.
Fig 8.
β2010i values based on Model 1.3a.