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Fig 1.

Schematic representation of the data.

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Fig 2.

Schematic representation of the model.

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Table 1.

Model parameters.

95% CIs are given in parentheses.

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Table 2.

Profile of time series included in the analysis, by HAT project.

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Fig 3.

Estimates of the incidence rate, by village time series.

Shown are maximum likelihood values (points), median values (crosses) and 95% percentile intervals (vertical lines) for each village time series. Time series are ranked on the x-axis by project and ascending maximum likelihood value. The y-axis is truncated at 15 cases per 1000 susceptible person-months for clarity purposes.

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Fig 4.

Distribution of maximum likelihood estimates of the incidence rate, by project.

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Table 3.

Estimates of incidence rate and detection coverage, by HAT project.

95%CIs are given in parentheses.

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Table 3 Expand

Table 4.

Association of incidence rate with village population size and passive case detection rate.

Coefficient is the median adjusted coefficient, and p-value the median adjusted p-value, both with 95% confidence intervals given in parentheses.

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Table 5.

Estimates of the human-to-human reproduction number and transmission impact of passive detection, by HAT project.

95%CIs are given in parentheses.

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