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Figure 1.

Univariate anaylsis of variables at first presentation to hospital.

The analysis compared between Dengue fever (DF), dengue hemorraghic fever (DHF), and chikungunya (Chik). For binomial variables (first column on the left), bars denote mean percentage with whiskers denoting 95% confidence intervals. For continuous variables (right 2 columns), the box shows the median values (in white) with the interquartile ranges, while the whiskers denote the central 95th percentiles. The red brackets to the left of the bars denote statistically significant comparisons between DF and chikungunya (upper brackers), and DHF and chikungunya (lower brackets). Uniformly distributed jitter of up to ±12 h has been added to the days since onset and duration of fever for graphical purposes. Five DF patients with no temperature measurement are excluded from the maximum temperature panel.

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Table 1.

Multivariate logistic regression of dengue fever versus chikungunya infection (Table 1a); and dengue hemorrhagic fever versus chikungunya (Table 1b) at presentation among in-patients Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore.

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Table 2.

Multivariate logistic regression of dengue fever versus chikungunya infection (Table 2a); and dengue hemorrhagic fever versus chikungunya (Table 2b) during entire hospital stay among inpatients at Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore, 2006–8.

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Figure 2.

Decision tree models for discrimination.

Models discriminate between dengue fever (DF) or dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) and chikungunya (Chik) for well-resourced (laboratory data included) and resource-limited (laboratory data excluded) settings. A and B discriminate between chikungunya and DF in a resource-limited and well-resourced setting respectively. C and D discriminate between chikungunya and DHF in a resource-limited and well-resourced setting respectively. Final classifications as chikungunya are shaded in grey, while classifications for DF/DHF are unshaded.

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Table 3.

Sensitivity (sens.), specificity (spec.), positive predictive value (PPV) and area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) for decision tree models to discriminate between dengue fever (DF) or dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) versus chikungunya, using data at presentation.

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Figure 3.

Time course analysis of selected variables.

Analysis shows platelet counts (A), serum hematocrit (B), leukocyte (C), and temperature (D) for dengue fever (DF), dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) and chikungunya. Individual data are indicated in semi-transparent red (chikungunya), black (DF), and blue(DHF) lines. Overall means are indicated as solid lines, with 95% credible intervals as dashed lines. The bar on X-axis indicates in black days with a ‘significant’ difference (defined as 95% credible interval for the difference between the two disease means not crossing zero) between chikungunya and DF, and the blue bar between chikungunya and DHF.

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