An investigation of spatial-temporal patterns and predictions of the coronavirus 2019 pandemic in Colombia, 2020–2021
Fig 7
Effective (instantaneous) reproduction number with 95% CrI estimated using the Cori et al. method and the estimate of reproduction number with 95% CI utilizing the GGM for simulating the parameters employed in the renewal equation method for the COVID-19 epidemic in Colombia as of March 27, 2020 (first 30 days).
The red solid line is the mean reproduction number estimated from the renewal equation method and the red dashed lines are the 95% CI coverage around the mean reproduction number. The green solid line is the median effective reproduction number estimated from the Cori et al. method and the green dashed lines are the 95% CrI coverage around the median instantaneous reproduction.