Forecasting high-risk areas for dengue outbreaks in China: A trend analysis of Aedes albopictus and Aedes aegypti distributions from 2014 to 2030

Yulun Xie; Bingbing Wang; Qi Chen; Hongjie Wei; Yanshu Ke; Fang Xie; Xuhua Guan; Jia Rui; Tianmu Chen

doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0013237

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Open Access

Peer-reviewed

Research Article

Forecasting high-risk areas for dengue outbreaks in China: A trend analysis of Aedes albopictus and Aedes aegypti distributions from 2014 to 2030

Yulun Xie ,

Contributed equally to this work with: Yulun Xie, Bingbing Wang, Qi Chen

Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Resources, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation State Key Laboratory of Vaccines for Infectious Diseases, Xiang An Biomedicine Laboratory, National Innovation Platform for Industry-Education Integration in Vaccine Research, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, People’s Republic of China
⨯
Bingbing Wang ,

Contributed equally to this work with: Yulun Xie, Bingbing Wang, Qi Chen

Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Resources, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation State Key Laboratory of Vaccines for Infectious Diseases, Xiang An Biomedicine Laboratory, National Innovation Platform for Industry-Education Integration in Vaccine Research, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, People’s Republic of China
⨯
Qi Chen ,

Contributed equally to this work with: Yulun Xie, Bingbing Wang, Qi Chen

Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Hubei Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuhan, China
⨯
Hongjie Wei,

Roles Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation State Key Laboratory of Vaccines for Infectious Diseases, Xiang An Biomedicine Laboratory, National Innovation Platform for Industry-Education Integration in Vaccine Research, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, People’s Republic of China
⨯
Yanshu Ke,

Roles Data curation, Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation State Key Laboratory of Vaccines for Infectious Diseases, Xiang An Biomedicine Laboratory, National Innovation Platform for Industry-Education Integration in Vaccine Research, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, People’s Republic of China
⨯
Fang Xie,

Roles Data curation, Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation State Key Laboratory of Vaccines for Infectious Diseases, Xiang An Biomedicine Laboratory, National Innovation Platform for Industry-Education Integration in Vaccine Research, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, People’s Republic of China
⨯
Xuhua Guan ,

Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Project administration, Resources, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

* E-mail: chentianmu@xmu.edu.cn (TC); ruijia5345@163.com (JR); guanxh9999@163.com (XG)

Affiliation Hubei Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuhan, China
⨯
Jia Rui ,

Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

* E-mail: chentianmu@xmu.edu.cn (TC); ruijia5345@163.com (JR); guanxh9999@163.com (XG)

Affiliation State Key Laboratory of Vaccines for Infectious Diseases, Xiang An Biomedicine Laboratory, National Innovation Platform for Industry-Education Integration in Vaccine Research, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, People’s Republic of China
⨯
Tianmu Chen

Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

* E-mail: chentianmu@xmu.edu.cn (TC); ruijia5345@163.com (JR); guanxh9999@163.com (XG)

Affiliation State Key Laboratory of Vaccines for Infectious Diseases, Xiang An Biomedicine Laboratory, National Innovation Platform for Industry-Education Integration in Vaccine Research, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, People’s Republic of China

https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0710-5086

⨯

Forecasting high-risk areas for dengue outbreaks in China: A trend analysis of Aedes albopictus and Aedes aegypti distributions from 2014 to 2030

Yulun Xie,
Bingbing Wang,
Qi Chen,
Hongjie Wei,
Yanshu Ke,
Fang Xie,
Xuhua Guan,
Jia Rui,
Tianmu Chen

Published: July 9, 2025
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0013237

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