Temporal shifts in dengue epidemic in Guangdong Province before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: a Bayesian model study from 2012 to 2022

Jiaqing Xu; Xiaohua Tan; Yi Quan; Dexin Gong; Hui Deng; Jianguo Zhao; Xing Huang; Yingtao Zhang; Zhoupeng Ren; Zuhua Rong; Weilin Zeng; Xing Li; Wenyuan Zheng; Shu Xiao; Jianpeng Xiao; Meng Zhang

doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0012832

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Open Access

Peer-reviewed

Research Article

Temporal shifts in dengue epidemic in Guangdong Province before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: a Bayesian model study from 2012 to 2022

Jiaqing Xu ,

Contributed equally to this work with: Jiaqing Xu, Xiaohua Tan, Yi Quan

Roles Formal analysis, Methodology, Software, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

Affiliations School of Public Health, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China, Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
⨯
Xiaohua Tan ,

Contributed equally to this work with: Jiaqing Xu, Xiaohua Tan, Yi Quan

Roles Data curation, Investigation, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

Affiliations Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China, Guangdong Workstation for Emerging Infectious Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
⨯
Yi Quan ,

Contributed equally to this work with: Jiaqing Xu, Xiaohua Tan, Yi Quan

Roles Data curation, Writing – original draft

Affiliations Pingshan Hospital, Southern Medical University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China, Pingshan District Peoples’ Hospital of Shenzhen, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
⨯
Dexin Gong,

Roles Formal analysis, Methodology, Visualization, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
⨯
Hui Deng,

Roles Investigation

Affiliations Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China, Guangdong Workstation for Emerging Infectious Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
⨯
Jianguo Zhao,

Roles Methodology, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
⨯
Xing Huang,

Roles Visualization, Writing – review & editing

Affiliations Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China, School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
⨯
Yingtao Zhang,

Roles Investigation

Affiliations Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China, Guangdong Workstation for Emerging Infectious Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
⨯
Zhoupeng Ren,

Roles Funding acquisition

Affiliation State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System (LREIS), Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
⨯
Zuhua Rong,

Roles Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
⨯
Weilin Zeng,

Roles Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
⨯
Xing Li,

Roles Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
⨯
Wenyuan Zheng,

Roles Writing – review & editing

Affiliations Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
⨯
Shu Xiao,

Roles Writing – review & editing

Affiliations Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
⨯
Jianpeng Xiao ,

Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Supervision, Validation, Writing – review & editing

* E-mail: jpengx@163.com (JX); ccmeng0914@163.com (MZ)

Affiliations School of Public Health, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China, Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China, School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China

https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9665-6036

⨯
[ ... ],
Meng Zhang

Roles Conceptualization, Funding acquisition, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Validation

* E-mail: jpengx@163.com (JX); ccmeng0914@163.com (MZ)

Affiliations Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China, Guangdong Workstation for Emerging Infectious Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
⨯
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Temporal shifts in dengue epidemic in Guangdong Province before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: a Bayesian model study from 2012 to 2022

Jiaqing Xu,
Xiaohua Tan,
Yi Quan,
Dexin Gong,
Hui Deng,
Jianguo Zhao,
Xing Huang,
Yingtao Zhang,
Zhoupeng Ren,
Zuhua Rong

Published: February 3, 2025
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0012832

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