Chagas disease mortality in Brazil: A Bayesian analysis of age-period-cohort effects and forecasts for two decades

• Taynãna César Simões ,

  Contributed equally to this work with: Taynãna César Simões, Karina Cardoso Meira

  Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  * E-mail: taynana.simoes@cpqrr.fiocruz.br

  Affiliation Clinical Research and Public Policy in Infectious and Parasitic Diseases Group, René Rachou Institute, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil

  http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5849-343X

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• Laiane Félix Borges,

  Roles Data curation, Investigation, Methodology

  Affiliation School of Health, Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil

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• Auzenda Conceição Parreira de Assis,

  Roles Data curation, Investigation, Methodology

  Affiliation School of Health, Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil

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• Maria Vitórias Silva,

  Roles Data curation, Investigation, Methodology

  Affiliation School of Health, Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil

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• Juliano dos Santos,

  Roles Investigation, Methodology, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Ministry of Health of Brazil, São Paulo State Nucleus, São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil

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• Karina Cardoso Meira

  Contributed equally to this work with: Taynãna César Simões, Karina Cardoso Meira

  Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation School of Health, Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil

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