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Disease dynamics

Epidemic spread simulation in an area with a high-density crowd using a SEIR-based model

Jibiao Zhou, Sheng Dong, Changxi Ma, Yao Wu, Xiao Qiu

published 17 Jun 2021

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A data driven change-point epidemic model for assessing the impact of large gathering and subsequent movement control order on COVID-19 spread in Malaysia

Sarat C. Dass, Wai M. Kwok, Gavin J. Gibson, Balvinder S. Gill, Bala M. Sundram, Sarbhan Singh

published 27 May 2021

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A Discrete-Event, Simulated Social Agent-Based Network Transmission (DESSABNeT) model for communicable diseases: Method and validation using SARS-CoV-2 data in three large Australian cities

Nicolas J. C. Stapelberg, Nicolas R. Smoll, Marcus Randall, Dinesh Palipana, Bryan Bui, Kristine Macartney, Gulam Khandaker, Andre Wattiaux

published 21 May 2021

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Simple discrete-time self-exciting models can describe complex dynamic processes: A case study of COVID-19

Raiha Browning, Deborah Sulem, Kerrie Mengersen, Vincent Rivoirard, Judith Rousseau

published 09 Apr 2021

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The effect of control measures on COVID-19 transmission in South Korea

Taeyong Lee, Hee-Dae Kwon, Jeehyun Lee

published 29 Mar 2021

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Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 transmission dynamics in Uganda: Implications of complacency and early easing of lockdown

Joseph Y. T. Mugisha, Joseph Ssebuliba, Juliet N. Nakakawa, Cliff R. Kikawa, Amos Ssematimba

published 22 Feb 2021

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INFEKTA—An agent-based model for transmission of infectious diseases: The COVID-19 case in Bogotá, Colombia

Jonatan Gomez, Jeisson Prieto, Elizabeth Leon, Arles Rodríguez

published 19 Feb 2021

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Determination of critical community size from an HIV/AIDS model

Sarmistha Das, Pramit Ghosh, Sandip Banerjee, Saumyadipta Pyne, Joydev Chattopadhyay, Indranil Mukhopadhyay

published 28 Jan 2021

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Lockdown, relaxation, and acme period in COVID-19: A study of disease dynamics in Hermosillo, Sonora, Mexico

Mayra R. Tocto-Erazo, Jorge A. Espíndola-Zepeda, José A. Montoya-Laos, Manuel A. Acuña-Zegarra, Daniel Olmos-Liceaga, Pablo A. Reyes-Castro, Gudelia Figueroa-Preciado

published 03 Dec 2020

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Modeling and prediction of the 2019 coronavirus disease spreading in China incorporating human migration data

Choujun Zhan, Chi K. Tse, Yuxia Fu, Zhikang Lai, Haijun Zhang

published 27 Oct 2020

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Is “no test is better than a bad test”? Impact of diagnostic uncertainty in mass testing on the spread of COVID-19

Nicholas Gray, Dominic Calleja, Alexander Wimbush, Enrique Miralles-Dolz, Ander Gray, Marco De Angelis, Elfriede Derrer-Merk, Bright Uchenna Oparaji, Vladimir Stepanov, Louis Clearkin, Scott Ferson

published 21 Oct 2020

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Patch dynamics modeling framework from pathogens’ perspective: Unified and standardized approach for complicated epidemic systems

Shi Chen, Yakubu Owolabi, Ang Li, Eugenia Lo, Patrick Robinson, Daniel Janies, Chihoon Lee, Michael Dulin

published 15 Oct 2020

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Preliminary estimation of temporal and spatiotemporal dynamic measures of COVID-19 transmission in Thailand

Chawarat Rotejanaprasert, Saranath Lawpoolsri, Wirichada Pan-ngum, Richard J. Maude

published 24 Sep 2020

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