Figures
Abstract
Lane snapper Lutjanus synagris is an important species that supports both commercial and recreational fisheries. In the southern Gulf of Mexico, lane snapper is one of the snapper species with the highest annual catch volumes. Nevertheless, information on several life-history traits such as longevity, natural mortality and age at maturity is lacking, which are important for providing appropriate management options. From the total captured lane snapper (n = 1150), 367 were used to estimate the age-life history. Specimens were captured through the small-scale fleet of Yucatan from 2008 to 2009 in southern Gulf of Mexico with total lengths from 14.50–45.90 cm and whole weights from 0.05–1.10 kg. Thin otolith sections were used to determine the age of lane snapper. Left sagittae were embedded in clear epoxy resin, thin sectioned (300 µm thickness), and analyzed using a stereomicroscope, counting opaque zones (white) deposited annually during late spring to early summer. Estimated ages ranged from 0+ to 16 years for females (n = 189) and from 0+ to 15 years for males (n = 164). In the growth modeling process, three candidate models were fitted to improve the plausibility of growth estimates under conditions where both small/young and large/old individuals are poorly represented, and the observed length-at-age data show high variability. A Bayesian approach based on the Markov Chain Monte Carlo was used, with informative priors on the growth parameters. During model fitting, three‑parameter versions were used: k, L∞, and a third parameter based on length-at-birth, L0; among these, the last two parameters have the same interpretation across all models. The best growth model by sex was selected based on the Leave-one-out cross-validation technique. The von Bertalanffy growth model was the best-fitting model for growth in both females and males. Growth parameters for females were for maximum mean length or asymptotic length (L∞) = 32.21 cm total length; growth coefficient (k1) = 0.27 year-1; size-at-age-zero (L0) = 2.06 cm and for males L∞ = 28.32 cm total length; k1 = 0.41 year-1; L0 = 2.03 cm. Natural mortality was estimated at 0.39 year-1 for females and 0.41 year-1 for males. Age at maturity in which 50% of the females and males have reached maturity was A50 = 3.11 years for females and 1.68 years for males. The reference points of the optimal size (Lopt) and optimal age (Aopt) to harvest the specimens to achieve maximum yield were 26.17 cm total length, 6.20 years for females and 21.24 cm total length, 3.38 years for males. These results on the age-based life history and growth of lane snapper are novel for the southern Gulf of Mexico population. This information forms the basis for developing appropriate management measures, as catch volumes and exploitation levels are steadily increasing.
Citation: Cervantes-Camacho I, Renán X, Galindo-Cortes G, Colás-Marrufo T, Noh-Quiñones V, Brulé T (2026) Lutjanus synagris (Linnaeus 1758) age-based life history using a multi-model inference approach for growth in the southern Gulf of Mexico. PLoS One 21(7): e0353946. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0353946
Editor: Claudio D’Iglio, University of Messina, ITALY
Received: February 24, 2026; Accepted: July 1, 2026; Published: July 21, 2026
Copyright: © 2026 Cervantes-Camacho et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
Data Availability: All relevant data are within the manuscript and its Supporting Information files.
Funding: Funding for this study was provided by the Yucatan Department of Rural and Fishery Development, of the Yucatan State Government, through J.K. Mena Abud (Fishery and Aquaculture director of the Yucatan Department of Rural and Fishery Development).
Competing interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exists.
Introduction
Lane snapper Lutjanus synagris (Linnaeus 1758) is widely distributed in the western Atlantic from North Carolina to southern Brazil, including the Bahamas, the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico (GoM) [1,2]. It is particularly abundant in the Antilles, Mexico (Campeche Bank, Yucatan), Panama and the north coast of South America [3]. This stenohaline species prefers clear waters and tolerates a wide temperature range. Juveniles inhabit areas with abundant seagrass beds, rocky bottoms, estuaries and inlets [2,4], while adults live mainly around coral reefs or on vegetated bottoms with sand [2]. Juveniles remain close to the coast due to high food availability while adults can migrate to depths > 40m for feeding and reproduction [4,5].
Iteroparous, this species can undergo many reproductive events throughout its lifetime; is considered a protracted spawner (March–August) with the formation of spawning aggregations during the breading season [3,6,7]. Larvae remain in the water column for thirty days, suggesting potential high species dispersal [8]. Adults move in response to food availability, spawning season, and environmental conditions [8]. Two genetically distinct lane snapper groups have recently been identified: one consists of populations from eastern Florida, the GoM, Honduras, and Colombia, and another of populations from Puerto Rico and Brazil, derived from oceanographic barriers such as river plumes and marine currents [8].
Lane snapper can live up to 19 years old with fast growth (k = 0.39 year-1) [5] and an average longevity (33 years) [2,9]. Age and growth in different parts of its distribution area have been studied using size frequency analyses [10–14]; scales [15,16]; whole otoliths [17–20]; and annuli readings in thin-sectioned otoliths [5,9,13,21–24]. Variations in environmental conditions, food availability, and fishing pressure can affect growth and demographic structure [25, 26], making it essential to determine growth parameters for each population.
Growth parameter estimation requires evaluation of different growth models to ensure its goodness of fit based on the principle of parsimony [27,28]. For Atlantic Lutjanidae, the only growth estimates based on the use of multiple models are those for northern red snapper Lutjanus campechanus (Poey 1860) [29], yellowtail snapper Ocyurus chrysurus (Bloch 1791) [30], gray snapper Lutjanus griseus (Linnaeus 1758) [26], and mutton snapper Lutjanus analis (Cuvier 1828) [31]. All growth studies of lane snapper have used the von Bertalanffy general model (VBGM). However, unexamined selection of a single model can lead to overestimation of growth parameter confidence intervals, consequently lowering estimate precision [28,32].
Lane snapper forms part of the grouper-snapper complex, which is the focus of commercial and recreational fisheries throughout its distribution area [23]. In the southern GoM, the principal target species in this complex is red grouper Epinephelus morio (Valenciennes 1828), the stock for which is overexploited and suffers declining catch volumes [33]. In response, snapper catches have steadily increased [34,35]. Northern red snapper, yellowtail snapper, and lane snapper are the main targets of the southern GoM snapper fishery, representing 85% of total snapper landing volume [36]. In Mexico, lane and yellowtail snappers catch volume records are categorized as “Rubia and Villajaiba.” In 2024, live catch weight for this category in the state of Yucatan, was 2107 metric tonne [37]. Approximately 40% of this volume are lane snappers caught by small-scale fleet [33,38].
Lane snapper stock health in the southern GoM was assessed in the 1980s and 1990s, when the resource was considered at near its optimal exploitation level [14,15] and was declare overfished between 1980–2019 [36]. This status raises concerns since lane snapper is on the IUCN (International Union for the Conservation of Nature) Red List as near threatened, with declining populations [39–41]. Furthermore, lane snapper biology is barely known in the southern GoM. Only reproductive life-history traits and diet composition were analysed for the species in this region [42,43]. Despite its commercial importance in the southern GoM, the only management measures in place are a fin-fish fishery access permit and required use of specific fishing gear (one longline with 250 hooks of number 10/0–12/0) [33,34].
With the aim of the filling gaps in knowledge on the age and growth of lane snapper in southern GoM, the present study analysed through a multi-model inference approach which growth model (VBGM, Gompertz, or logistic) best fitted the data set and determine if the species exhibited sexually-differentiated growth. For the southern GoM, this study is the first to determine age and growth based on the annuli counts in otolith thin sections, the most accurate methodology for quantifying age in reef fish species, particularly lane snapper [2,44]. Also, it’s the first-time age at maturity is address for the specie in southern GoM. Population demography data derived from life-history parameters such as maximum size, longevity, age at sexual maturity and natural mortality is essential for evaluating fishery stocks [45]. The results presented in this work are needed for assessing productivity (the capacity for rapid recovery of depleted stocks) and vulnerability (the potential for a stock to be impacted by fisheries), both crucial parameters when making fishery management decisions [46].
Materials and methods
Study area
Lane snapper specimens were caught on the carbonate continental shelf extending west and north from the Yucatan Peninsula (20–23 °N, 92–87 °W; Fig 1) [47]. Known as Campeche Bank in the southern GoM, this area is influenced by freshwater upwelling from fractures in the karst bedrock [48]. The dominant substrate is sandy, although areas of limestone, macroalgae patches, and seagrasses are also present [49]. The Gulf Loop Current is the main marine influence in the area. It originates from the Northern Equatorial Oceanic Current which becomes the Caribbean Current and passes through the Yucatan Channel. Upon entering the Gulf of Mexico, the Loop Current makes an anticyclonic turn, exits through the Florida Strait and becomes the Florida Current, considered the initial current in the Atlantic Gulf Stream system [50]. Surface water circulation is seasonally affected by polar air masses regionally known as “nortes”, and by trade winds that, in the Northern Hemisphere, blow from northeast to southwest [51].
Triangles indicate the three ports with the highest catch volumes of the small-scale fleet. Base map constructed using publicly available datasets from CONABIO and INEGI, including the Hypsometry and Bathymetry dataset and the State Political Division (1:4,000,000 scale). These data are distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 2.5 MX) license. No proprietary basemaps (e.g., Google Maps, Google Earth, or ESRI services) were used.
Sampling
Lane snapper individuals were captured by small-scale fleet along the northern coast of Yucatan and landed in the three ports with the highest catch volumes for this species: Celestún (western region), Dzilam de Bravo (central region), and Río Lagartos (eastern region) [33,52] (Fig 1). These three ports share the same climatic tropical conditions but differ in the magnitude of the influence of the Yucatan Current, an upwelling of enriched cold waters (16.0–20.5 °C) and the different biotopes found in each site [47,48]. Lane snappers were captured from February 2008 to January 2009, using handlines or longlines with 300 hooks at 5–35 m depth, during daylight (07:00–16:00 h). Fishers held fin-fish fishing permits and complied with catch practices intended to minimize animal suffering, as per ethics guidelines in the Mexican General Wildlife Law [53]. No live animals were subjected to experimentation and the biological samples taken from each dead specimen did not affect their subsequent commercialization.
A total of 1150 individual lane snappers were processed at the landing ports. Processing involved measurement (total length = TL, fork length = FL, and standard length = SL) with an ichthyometer (± 0.1 cm precision), and weighing (whole weight = WW and gutted fish weight = GW) using a digital scale (± 0.01 kg precision). Otolith sagittae were extracted through the gill arch and placed in jars containing 70% alcohol. They were then cleaned, placed in waxed paper bags and stored in dark boxes [54]. Sagittae from each analysed individual were weighed on an analytical balance (± 0.0001 g precision) to obtain mean otolith weight (OW). Sex and sexual condition, identified by histological analysis of gonads, were taken from Trejo- Martinez et al. [42] of the same individuals in the southern GoM.
To reduce time and costs in the estimation of age and growth, a subsample of otoliths was selected based on frequency histogram of the OW of all individuals (n = 1150) (Fig 2). Number of classes and class intervals of frequency histogram were generated using the Sturges’ rule [55]. For each OW established classes, 30% of the specimens were selected, without compromising accuracy and precision [18,24]. The subsample was selected taking the following into consideration: 1. Shape of TL and OW distribution, 2. sex (an equal number of male and females), 3. sexual condition (juveniles and adults), and 4. individuals from all fishing sites (Fig 2). In classes with few individuals, all specimens were analysed, with attention to smaller and large individuals, which are commonly scarce in a population, but are essential to the determination of the growth curve parameter k [56]. The selection of the otoliths subsample used in the estimation of the growth parameters, also followed established guidelines of 10 fish aged for each 10 mm length classes which provides a near optimal performance in accuracy and precision (Fig 2) [57,58]. To ensure a similar shape TL distribution of the all-dataset and the subsample, a kernel density estimator with a 95% confidence level was created. In addition, the representativeness of the subsample was evaluated by comparing it with the TL quantiles of the complete dataset, using 95% confidence intervals (95% CI), which were calculated using the Bootstrap method with 2000 iterations. All calculations and plots were performed using the R programming language [59].
Arrows indicate classes from which the subsample was selected and their correspondence to total length classes. Individuals in red from Celestún, in green form Dzilam de Bravo, and in blue from Río Lagartos ports, n = 1150.
Otolith treatment
All left sagittae were embedded in transparent epoxy resin and cut in 300 µm-thick sections with a low-speed saw (Isomet 1000, Buehler®), ensuring the cut passed as near the otolith core as possible. If the left sagittae was broken or missing the right was used. The thin sections were mounted on slides with Entellan® resin and viewed with a stereomicroscope using reflected light and a black background; a drop of chamomile oil was added to enhance contrast between growth zones. Under these conditions, translucent zones (TZ) – representing rapid growth – appear black, while opaque zones (OZ) – representing slow growth – appear white. An OZ + TZ pair is treated as corresponding to one annulus.
Age validation
Calculating OZ formation period and frequency was done by marginal increment analysis (MIA), an indirect way of validating annulus deposition during an annual period. For MIA, the Age & Shape software (Infaimon) was used to measure the distances from the otolith core to the last two OZs and to the edge (radius). The marginal increment (MI) was calculated as: MI = (R – ri)/ (ri – ri-1) where R is the radius, ri is the distance from the core to the last OZ, and ri-1 is the distance from the core to the penultimate OZ [60]. After calculating the individual MI ratios, these were averaged by month of capture over a one-year period and graphed together with an annual analysis of zone type (OZ or TZ) observed at the otolith edge. In an effort to limit measurement errors from use of a generalized analysis of annual increment [61], and considering that the MIA is better suited to young individuals [62], these analyses were run only using otoliths displaying 3–9 OZ [22]. Calculations were also done of MI by each OZ groups, and by sex, analysing monthly variations in OZ period of deposition over an annual cycle.
Age determination
Observed age was measured by counting the annuli from otolith core to edge at the ventral apex and along the margin of the sulcus acusticus [62]. The first opaque mark out from the otolith centre was discarded from the count because it corresponds to a false ring reported for the family Lutjanidae [62,63]. Annuli counts were done by two independent readers and using the Age & Shape program (Infaimon), which automatically identifies growth zones. Counts were done with no prior knowledge of an individual’s size, OW, or sex. When inter-reader discrepancies in annuli count arose, the otolith in question was recounted by the most experienced reader until reaching consensus. If a discrepancy persisted after the recount, the sample was eliminated from the study. Annuli count accuracy was estimated by calculating the overall average percentage error (APE), APE between readers, APE for the automatic count (Age & Shape), APE for age groups (3 years–9 years), and the general coefficient of variation (CV), taking into account the landmark of 5.5% APE and 7.6% CV established for otolith readings [61,64,65].
Biological age or fractional age was calculated by adding the fraction of time elapsed between each individual’s theoretical birth date and capture date to the observed age [54,66]. The theoretical birth date was June 16, the halfway point of lane snapper’s spawning season (May–July) in the southern GoM [42]. For individuals captured during the OZ formation period, as derived from the MI results, but which had not yet formed an OZ, one year was added to the biological age, considering that the individual was close to attaining one more year of life [67].
Growth parameterization
Growth models are sensitive to the absence of small juveniles or large adults, which leads to the estimation of biologically unreasonable parameters [45,68]. To address this, three asymptotic growth models were fitted to length at age data for lane snapper, explicitly incorporating prior knowledge of the model parameters in a Bayesian framework to improve the estimates [68,69]. Parameterizations based on size-at-age zero (L0) were preferred, under the assumption that this is a better descriptor of the theoretical mean length at age zero [68–70].
For all models is mean length at age t (TL in cm), L∞ is maximum mean length, and
is length-at-age zero (in cm). In the VBGM (1) k1 (in year-1) is the rate at which growth approaches this asymptote such that it takes
units of time to grow halfway towards L∞ at any given point [71]. In the Gompertz growth model (2) k2 is the rate of exponential decrease of the relative growth rate with age and in the logistic growth model (3) k3 is the relative growth rate parameter [28].
In this study, we use the approach proposed by Smart and Grammer [69] to fit Bayesian growth models using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method, with prior information for the growth parameters (L∞, L0, and k) to improve the biological plausibility of the growth estimates. We used the generalized framework implemented in the R package ‘BayesGrowth’ [72] where each growth parameter requires a prior distribution. Normally distributed informative priors were set for L∞ and L0, with mean L∞ initially defined from the maximum length of fish observed (45.9 cm TL) and L0 set to 2 cm TL based on reported length-at-birth for lane snapper [73]. Standard deviation was defined as 10% of the mean value for L∞ and as 0.1 for L0 [68]. Meanwhile, the remaining parameters (k) and the residual standard error (σ) had a uniform distribution bounded between zero and a maximum probable value (2 year-1 and 5 year-1, respectively). Four MCMC chains with 10,000 simulations were used to determine parameter posterior distributions, of which 5,000 were discarded after the burn-in phase and thinning = 1 [69,72]. Each Bayesian model was evaluated for convergence and efficiency using the R-hat statistic and the Effective Sample Size generated by the ‘rstan’ R package [74]. In addition, diagnostic plots generated with the ‘Bayesplot’ R package [75] were examined to confirm that the chains were well-mixed and free of autocorrelation (S1 Fig).
The ‘BayesGrowth’ package allows for the estimation of growth models using MCMC by specifying informative priors based on known L0 and L∞, and also provides credibility intervals around the growth curves. Within a multiple-model approach, Bayesian model selection is performed using leave-one-out-cross-validation (LOOCV), currently considered one of the most robust methods for evaluating out-of-sample predictive accuracy based on the log-likelihood calculated over the posterior distributions of the parameters [69]. From LOOCV, we obtain the leave-one-out information criterion (LOOIC), analogous to the Akaike information criterion (AIC) in the frequentist approach, as well as the LOOIC weights (LOOICw) for each candidate model, which are interpreted equivalently to the AIC weights in model selection [27,28,69].
For the VBGM model, the growth performance index (Phi prime; ) was calculated to compare the growth parameters used here with previously published parameters for the same species. Phi prime was calculated from the asymptotic length (
; TL cm) and the growth coefficient (k1; year-1), with the formula:
[76].
Life history
Natural mortality was calculated from the VBGM growth parameters. Overall natural mortality (Moverall) was calculated from: Moverall = 4.899Amax-0.916 [77] and mortality-at-age (M) was calculated using the equation:
[78].
Age at sexual maturity (A50), or the age at which 50% of the individuals have reached maturity, was calculated using generalized linear models with a binomial logit link function (0 immature, 1 mature). The 95% CI were estimated using the Bootstrap method with 1000 iterations. In both cases, the ‘plot maturity’ function of the ‘ggFishPlots’ package, the R program was used [21,59,79].
Finally, the reference points of the optimal size (Lopt) and optimal age (Aopt) at which specimens should be harvest in order to reach the maximum yield and revenue, were calculated from the VBGM growth parameters [80]. For optimal size Lopt = L∞ (3/(3 + M/k1)) and the corresponding optimal age, estimated by applying the inverse equation of the VBGM: Aopt = t0–1/k1
ln(1 – Lopt/L∞). Similarly to sexual maturity, female and male size at maturity values (L50) used in the present study were also obtained from Trejo-Martinez et al. [42].
Results
Sampled lane snappers
Fish size (TL) ranged from 14.50 to 45.90 cm, with mean of 25.90 cm SD = 4.20 cm (n = 1150). Individuals of the otoliths selected for age determination (n = 367), named subsample, varied in size from 14.50 to 45.90 cm, with mean of 26.60 cm SD = 4.90, demonstrating that all size classes obtained in the catches were included in the age estimations. The same was true for OW where the total of otolith samples (0.02–0.70 g OW; mean 0.24 g SD = 0.10 g) and the selected subsample (0.02–0.70 g OW; mean 0.27g SD = 0.13) share the same range. The Kernel density distribution indicated that subsample adequately represented the size spectrum of capture data (Fig 3). In addition, the 95% CI of the differences in quantiles between the subsample and the full dataset overlapped at zero at lower and intermediate quantiles (Q10 – Q50), suggesting not detectable size-dependent bias in these ranges. However, confidence intervals at higher quantiles (Q75 – Q90) did not overlap zero (Q75 = 0.40–1.60; Q90 = 0.20–2.50), indicating greater variability at the upper end of the size distribution rather than a consistent bias (S2 Data, S3 Fig).
All-dataset (grey continuous line), subsample (red dashed line), and percentiles of all-dataset (dotted vertical lines).
Age could be determined for 353 individuals; the sagittae of fourteen individuals were discarded due to illegibility. In total 82% of the analyzed otoliths were left and 18% were right sagittae. Total length, WW and OW for these individuals ranged from 14.50–45.90 cm TL, 0.05–1.10 kg WW and 0.02–0.70 g OW for females (n = 189), and 15.40–36.50 cm TL, 0.05–0.54 kg WW and 0.03–0.61 g OW for males (n = 164), because males were smaller than females. About 11% of females were immature (n = 21) and 89% mature (n = 168), while 5% of males were immature (n = 9) and 95% mature (n = 155).
Age validation
The OZ counts showed a difference in the number of OZs along the dorsal apex and those along the ventral apex. Counts were more discernible along the ventral apex (Fig 4), so it was decided to make the counts along this part of the otolith. Growth rings were identifiable as a succession of OZs and TZs extending outward concentrically from the otolith core to the edge. Distances between successive OZs decreased gradually to the edge.
Annuli (dark dots) consist of a bright opaque zone (OZ) and a dark translucent zone (TZ), which represent seasonal increments. The thin section shows a differential pattern depending on the apex, with 9 visible annuli in the dorsal apex and 12 in the ventral apex.
Average MI values were lowest in May ( = 0.76, S.D. ± 0.48 mm; n = 30) and June (
= 0.11 ± 0.18 mm; n = 13), suggesting that OZ formation generally occurred in these months. These same months had the highest percentage of individuals with an OZ on the otolith edge (91% in May, 87% in June). These results indicate that one OZ might be deposited annually during these months (Fig 5A).
A– Global mean (red line ± standard deviation) with the percentage of individuals showing opaque zones (OZ) and translucent zones (TZ) at the otolith edge per month (bars). B– By group according to the number of opaque zones. C– By sex.
Considering that the periodicity and frequency of OZ deposition may change in each age group or cohort, MIA were also performed separately for otoliths with 4, 7, 8, and 9 OZs (n = 139 individuals); these were the only groups present in all months of the analysed annual cycle (Fig 5A). Individuals with 4 OZs (n = 44) deposited OZs between July (MI4OZ = 0.12 mm; n = 1) and August (MI4OZ = 0.50 ± 0.21 mm; n = 5). Individuals with 7 OZs (n = 28) exhibited the lowest MI values from May (MI7OZ = 0.30 mm; n = 1) to July (MI7OZ = 0.22 mm; n = 1). Those with 8 OZs (n = 34) and 9 OZs (n = 33) deposited them in June (MI8OZ = 0.57 mm; n = 1, and MI9OZ = 0.58 ± 0.22 mm; n = 4) (Fig 5B). Caution should be taken as some of these values were obtained based on only one individual. Even though results show the existence of variations by age groups the periodicity of the OZ formation is consistent with the general pattern of an annual deposition.
Opaque zone (OZ) deposition might occur a month earlier in males (n = 111) in May (MImales = 0.64 ± 0.39 mm; n = 9) than in females (n = 115) that deposited the OZ in June (MIfemales = 0.60 ± 0.18 mm; n = 7). Nonetheless, both sexes always formed an OZ once a year between late spring and early summer (Fig 5C).
Age determination
For females ages ranged from 0+ to 16 years (16.40–45.90 cm TL) and for males 0+ to 15 years (15.70–36.50 cm TL). The most common ages for females where 4–9 years (14.50–39.20 cm TL; n = 107), and for males age 3–8 years (15.40–30.10 cm TL; n = 100). The least frequent ages for females and males where those of the youngest (0+ and 1 years) (n = 16) and the oldest (15–16 years) (n = 20) (Table 1). Overall APE was 4.19%, APE between readers was 4.38%, and automatic count APE was 4.02%. The APE per age group declined steadily from 5.63% in 3-year-olds to 1.72% in 16-year-olds. The length-at-age keys for lane snapper exhibited wide variation in size with age, primarily among 4-year-olds (16.20–30.60 cm TL; ± SD = 22.80 ± 5.70 cm TL), 9-year-olds (23.40–37.80 cm TL; 30.20 ± 5.70 cm TL), 10-year-olds and 12-years-old (23.40–41.40 cm TL; 31.80 ± 6.70 cm TL) (Table 1). The OW-at-age keys displayed the same demographic structure than the length-at-age keys corroborating that the subsample based on the OW for age estimation was correct (Table 1). Moreover, both length – age (TL = −2.29 + 8.96
Age) (S4A Fig) and OW – age (OW = 1.30 + 2.18
Age) (S4B Fig) exhibited positive linear relationships, but the latter relationship had a better goodness of fit (TL – Age r2 = 51.44% vs. OW – Age r2 = 70.13%) explaining age.
Growth parameterization
The Bayesian model selection LOOCV showed that VBGM displayed the best fit for the observed length at age for both sexes, with the lowest LOOIC and full model weight (Table 2). For females 𝐿∞ = 32.21 cm (SD = 0.74), k1 = 0.27 year-1 (SD = 0.02), L0 = 2.06 cm (SD = 0.20) and for males 𝐿∞ = 28.32 cm (SD = 0.40), k1 = 0.41 year-1 (SD = 0.03) and L0 = 2.03 cm (SD = 0.20) (Fig 6; Table 2). The credibility intervals of 𝐿∞, k1 and L0 (2.5%, 97.5%) did not overlapped in females (𝐿∞ = 30.83, 33.72, k1 = 0.23, 0.32, L0 = 1.66, 2.45) and males (𝐿∞ = 27.57, 29.15, k1 = 0.35, 0.47 and L0 = 1.64, 2.43) indicating a differential growth between sexes (Table 2). The values, calculated from the VBGM growth parameters, were
= 2.45 for females and
= 2.52 for males.
A– von Bertalanffy, B– Gompertz model, and C– logistic model. In red females and in blue males. Each growth model estimation includes in shadow the credibility intervals in gray (0.50, 0.95).
Life history
Overall natural mortality (Moverall) was lower in females (Moverall = 0.39 year-1) than in males (Moverall = 0.41 year-1). Mortality-at-age values exhibited an exponential decline from very young individuals (0+): M = 0.66 year-1 for females and 0.83 year-1 for males, to 1 and 5 years (females, M = 0.35 year-1; males, M = 0.41 year-1), and continued to decrease until 10 years (females, M = 0.23 year-1; males, M = 0.36 year-1). The decline in M-at-age versus individual age was consistently lesser in females, reaching its lowest value (M = 0.22 year-1) at 16 years, than in males at 15 years (M = 0.36 year-1) (Fig 7).
In red females and in blue males.
The southern GoM lane snapper population exhibited sex-differentiated age at sexual maturity. Males matured at an earlier age (A50 = 1.68 years; 95% CI = 0.47–2.34 years) than females (A50 = 3.11 years; 95% CI = 2.61–3.54 years) (Fig 8). All individuals of both sexes were mature at 6 years of age (Fig 8). The youngest mature male had an Amin = 1 year old (19.40 cm TL), and the youngest mature female had an Amin = 2 years old (25.60 cm TL).
Distributions of immature (0) and mature individuals (1) analyzed with logistic general lineal function (continuous lines) their standard error (grey shading). Age at maturity (A50) (dotted lines) and their 95% confidence intervals (horizontal error bars) in years by sex. In red females and in blue males.
Females had higher Lopt (26.17 cm TL) and Aopt (6.20 years) values (Fig 9A) than males (Lopt = 21.24 cm TL; Aopt = 3.38 years) (Fig 9B).
A– females and B– males. Frequency distributions of the number of individuals (bars), cumulative frequency distributions of length and age (continuous grey line), L50 and A50 (vertical continuous line by sex), mean optimal length (Lopt) and mean optimal age Aopt (vertical dotted line by sex).
Discussion
The present study provides the first age-based life history characterization of lane snapper from southern GoM using otolith thin-sections combined with a multi-model approach to determine growth. The results indicated marked sexual dimorphism where males reach age at maturity earlier than females, exhibit faster growth, higher natural mortality and shorter lifespan. Since sampling was performed 17 years ago, the present results could be considered as historical baselines.
Lane snapper age has been determined in populations from the northern and southern GoM, Florida, Bermuda, Jamaica, Guatemala, and Brazil. Wide variation in individual size at a given age has been reported in this study and all other. This occurs independently of the methodological approach, differences in the prevailing environmental conditions or the fishing gears used in sampling [9,18,24,44]. Considering only those age studies that used otolith thin sections, including the present one, observations on variation in individual size at age are consistent. Lane snapper from Florida showed length at age variations of 10–20 cm TL for ages 6–10 years [24], while in Jamaica variation was observed of up to 24 cm FL (range: 15–39 cm) in individuals aged 14 years [9], and in the present study, length variation of approximately 18 cm for individuals aged 4–6 years and 21 cm in individuals with 10–13 years. Size at age variations have also been reported in other snappers such as yellowtail snapper [23,81,82], northern red snapper [83,84], and gray snapper [85].
Due to the variability in length at age in snappers, it is inadvisable to use length-frequency distributions to estimate age beyond the first few years [62], so the use of OW as a descriptor to age could be an alternative. In this study OW had a stronger relationship with age, than TL, which would allow more accurate age estimations [5,86]. Otolith weight has been used alternatively and supplementary to traditional age estimation over the last two decades [87]. Faster growing fish have a higher amount of protein in their otoliths resulting on lighter otoliths, while slow growing fish deposits a high proportion of calcium carbonate resulting in heavier otoliths [88]. But the most useful otolith characteristic to age studies is that OW continues to increase with age unlike other variables (fish length, fish weight, otolith length) [86,89]. In extreme cases if fish growth ceases, the increment of otolith growth will continue uncoupling to the somatic growth [90].
High variability in length at age could be related to the protracted spawning season of the species, where sexually active females and males were observed from March to July [42]. Individuals born earlier at the beginning of the reproductive season may have longer time to growth becoming bigger than the ones born later in the season. To reduce the possibility that variability in length at age is caused by errors in annuli reading precision, careful considerations are required, as age determination in Lutjanids is challenging. First, the detection of the first annulus is crucial, since in Lutjanids there are checks or false rings (from 1 to 3) near the otolith core [62,91] and the presence of hyaline (translucent) bands, produce by a rapid temperature increase, may mimic the first annulus [92]. These could explain the higher values of APE recorded for younger individuals than older.
Second, the validation, for example via MIA, of the frequency and period of formation of the annulus. In lane snapper form southern GoM, growth rings form annually during May and June, consistent with previous studies using MIA for age determination: April to June in Cuban populations [17]; April to September in the northern GoM [13]; May and August in Trinidad, West Indies [18]; July in Jamaica [9]; April and May in Guatemala [21]; and April to June in Bermuda [5]. This temporal OZ formation patterns in lane snapper varied by age, which has been reported in other snappers and fishes [62,63,93]. Variations in annulus deposition period respond in part to environmental conditions and breeding seasons. In the tropics, reproductive activity influences otolith calcification continuity and efficiency, since spawning-associated physiological rhythms are responsible for growth mark formation [18,94]. This is corroborated with the results in southern GoM lane snapper, where the annulus formation coincided with its March to July breeding season [42].
Lastly, in many fishes there is a variation between apexes on otolith thin sections, an artifact of morphological asymmetry where all growth rings are visible along a single otolith axis [95,96]. This variation between apexes may be due to metabolic responses produced by changes in diet, environmental conditions, or slow growth, all resulting in crammed annuli that make ring identification and counting more challenging in one apex over the other [94,97–99]. To control for potential errors in ring counts, we recommend that counts should be done near the crest of the sulcus acusticus and on the ventral apex (where all rings were visible), specially for older individuals [62,100].
Lane snapper clearly grows rapidly during the first year of life, with growth rate progressively declining with proximity to asymptotic size (approximately 11 years in females, and 8 years in males). The maximum age observed in the present study was a 16-year-old female similar to that reported in other areas of the species’ geographic distribution: 17 years for females in Florida [13], 18 years for both sexes in Brazil [22], and 19 years in Bermuda [5]. Maximum size was also larger in females than in males. This sexual dimorphism is consistent with that reported for the Guatemalan population [21], and contrary to the populations in northern GoM and Trinidad, West Indies, where males had larger maximum sizes although the longest-lived individuals were always females [13,18]. In southern GoM lane snapper males reach asymptotic length more quickly than females. This is similar to populations from Florida, Jamaica and Guatemala (Caribbean Sea) [9,13,21]. In contrast, the Bermuda and Brazil populations exhibited no sexual differentiation in growth [5,22].
Sex-growth differences may be related to environmental factors, mainly temperature, water quality, genetic and epigenetic regulation, species-specific life history strategies [21,101–104] or even be an evolutionary response to selective fishing pressure exerted on one of the sexes [85,105]. Females in many species tend to exhibit greater growth and larger size than males, often associated with delayed maturation [103,106]. Our A50 results are consistent with the L50 data (19.25 cm TL for females, 14.73 cm TL for males) reported previously for the species [42]. The age at sexual maturity values for southern GoM lane snapper were similar to those reported for populations in Guatemala (A50 = 2.40 years for males, 3.50 years for females) [21] and in Brazil (A50 = 2.80 years for both sexes) [22]. Early maturation in males beginning prior to one year of age in approximately 20–24% of them [2,9,18] is also reported in populations of Guatemala and Trinidad, West Indies [18,21]. Inter-population differences in size-at-maturity respond to depth, habitat type, and food availability, which in consequence influence energy balance, growth, and reproduction [107]. Analysing growth separately by sex helps to understand possible evolutionary responses to scenarios of overfishing and/or fluctuating climatic conditions, since both factors can affect age and size-at-maturity [108].
The VBGM model had the best fit to the data for both females and males. Previous studies that have evaluated growth in some snappers using a multi-model approach found different models to have the best fit for different species: logarithmic model for yellowtail snapper [30], and the VBGM for northern red snapper, gray snapper and mutton snapper [26,29,31]. Earlier research on growth in lane snapper based on otolith thin sections used only the VBGM, without testing its efficacy [5,13,22,23]. The VBGM does include terms representing the metabolic properties of assimilation, but changing environmental factors can cause growth patterns to deviate from ideal growth forms, making the model unsuitable for describing the first year of life in various species [109], therefore its fitness for the data should always be tested. The Ø’ values observed here (males Ø’ = 2.52; females Ø’ = 2.45) were within the range reported in other populations (Ø’ = 2.25–2.53). In other words, growth was similar between populations, save for those inhabiting temperate waters such as in Bermuda (Ø’ = 2.63; [5], and Brazil (Ø’ = 2.84, [22] (Fig 10, Table 3).
Northern Gulf of Mexico (NGoM) [13]; Southern Gulf of Mexico (SGoM) (Present study); Guatemala [21]; Jamaica [9].
The sexual dimorphism observed in the somatic growth of lane snapper and the age-at- maturity impact growth rates, longevity, and natural mortality values [110]. For natural mortality, values were 0.39 year-1 for females and 0.41 year-1 for males, within the range of the M values reported for the specie in Florida, Guatemala, NGoM, and Brazil populations (M = 0.21–0.40 year-1) (Table 3) [13,21,22,24]. Natural mortality varies between populations in relation to predation and food availability [111], environmental conditions [112], life-history traits [113], and even human activities such as oil spills [114].
Assessing the potential impact of fishing on each lane snapper sex is essential, considering that the growth characteristics of males could make them more vulnerable to fishing. One way to address sexual dimorphism due to growth is to determine optimal size and age at capture (Lopt and Aopt) for lane snapper. These calculations are based on the growth and M values and represent a key parameter in regulating lane snapper exploitation [22]. Both values can be expected to be higher than L50 [80]. For any commercial species, management measures used to maximize fishing yield, should consider a catch size corresponding to Lopt ± 10% [80]. Due to the sexual differences in life parameter values in the southern GoM lane snapper population, minimum capture size should be based on the Lopt value of females (26.17 cm TL), with an average Aopt of 6.20 years of age. This criterion would simultaneously protect males, which reach Lopt (21.24 cm TL) at an average Aopt of 3.38 years of age. This would protect most immature individuals by preventing overfishing of younger individuals, and the smallest mature males, in the southern GoM lane snapper population. Currently most lane snapper captured in southern GoM display sizes ranging from 17–43 cm FL with a mean size of 26.0 ± 2.9 cm FL [33], so there would almost be no resistance from fishermen to the imposition of a minimum legal size of capture of ± 26 cm TL.
This study provides the first robust age-based life history assessment for lane snapper in the southern Gulf of Mexico, demonstrating clear sexual differences in growth, maturation, longevity, and mortality. Importantly, the identification of sex-specific maturity and optimal harvest sizes/ages underscores the need for management measures based on the most conservative reference points, particularly those of females. These findings provide critical inputs for stock assessment of the population over time and are vital to developing the foundations of urgent regulatory guidelines promoting population recovery and sustainability of the resource.
Supporting information
S1 Fig. Graphs for the estimation of the growth parameters obtained by the Bayesian growth method using MCMC, for growth model selection.
Upper: Females, Lower: Males. A- von Bertalanffy growth model, B- Gompertz model, C- Logistic model.
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0353946.s001
(TIF)
S3 Fig. Bootstrap-based 95% confidence intervals for total length differences in quantiles Q10 = −4.12–0.74, Q25 = −0.40–0.50, Q50 = −0.10–1.00, Q75 = 0.40–1.60, Q90 = 0.20–2.50) between the subsample (dotted line) and all-dataset individuals (solid line) of Lutjanus synagris captured during 2008–2009.
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0353946.s002
(TIF)
S2 Data. Data set of Lutjanus synagris in the southern Gulf of Mexico captured in southern Gulf of Mexico during 2008–2009. Total fish length and weight, mean otolith weight (sagittae), age, sex and sexual maturity variables used to obtained growth parameters, age at maturity, longevity and mortality.
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0353946.s003
(XLSX)
S4 Fig. Linear relationships of Lutjanus synagris in the southern Gulf of Mexico captured in southern Gulf of Mexico during 2008–2009.
A– total length and age, B– otolith weight and age. Age (dots) and regression line (continuous line) with confidence intervals (95%) grey area of the line. Color dots represent the otolith weight classes of the subsample.
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0353946.s004
(PDF)
Acknowledgments
Collections were authorized by fishing licenses no. DGOPA.04606.070508.1077 and DGOPA.06331.180609.1870 from SAGARPA/CONAPESCA (Secretaría de Agricultura, Ganadería, Desarrollo Rural, Pesca y Alimentación/Comisión Nacional de Acuacultura y Pesca). M.A. Yervez Valencia from Celestún, P.H. Ortega Tún from Dzilam de Bravo and L.A. Hernández Trejo from Río Lagartos collected lane snapper specimens. J. Trejo-Martínez and M. Sánchez-Crespo measure specimens and sampled tissue. Authors thank all of them.
References
- 1.
Cervigón-Marcos F. Los peces marinos de Venezuela. Fundación Científica Los Roques. Caracas: Fundación Científica Los Roques. 1993.
- 2.
Claro R, Lindeman KC. Biología y manejo de los pargos (Lutjanidae) en el Atlántico occidental. La Habana, Cuba: Instituto de Oceanología. 2008.
- 3.
Allen GR. FAO species catalogue. Vol. 6. Snappers of the world. An annotated and illustrated catalogue of lutjanid species known to date. 1985.
- 4.
Rivera-Arriaga E, Lara-Domínguez AL, Ramos-Miranda J, Sánchez-Gil P, Yañez-Arancibia A. Ecology and population dynamics of Lutjanus synagris on Campeche Bank. In: Arreguin-Sanchez F, Munro JL, Balgos MC, Pauly D. Biology, fisheries and culture of tropical groupers and snappers. ICLARM. 1996. 11–8.
- 5. Luckhurst BE, Dean JM, Reichert M. Age, growth and reproduction of the lane snapper Lutjanus synagris (Pisces: Lutjanidae) at Bermuda. Mar Ecol Prog Ser. 2000;203:255–61.
- 6.
Domeier MI, Koenig C, Coleman F. Reproductive biology of the gray snapper (Lutjanidae: Lutjanus griseus) with notes on spawning for other western Atlantic lutjanids. In: Arreguín-Sánchez F, Munro JL, Balgos MC, Pauly D. Biology of Tropical Groupers and Snappers. ICLARM. 1996.
- 7. Mikulas JJ Jr, Rooker JR. Habitat use, growth, and mortality of post-settlement lane snapper (Lutjanus synagris) on natural banks in the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Fish Res. 2008;93:77–84.
- 8. Núñez-Vallecillo M, Vera-Escalona I, Rivera A, Górski K, Brante A. Genetic Population Structure of Lane Snapper Lutjanus synagris (Linnaeus, 1758) in Western Atlantic: Implications for Conservation. Diversity. 2024;16(6):336.
- 9.
Aiken KA. Aspects of reproduction, age and growth of the Lane Snapper, Lutjanus synagris (Linnaeus, 1785), in Jamaican coastal waters. 2001.
- 10. Acosta A, Appeldoorn RS. Estimation of growth, mortality and yield per recruit for Lutjanus synagris (Linnaeus) in Puerto Rico. Bull Mar Sci. 1992;50:282–91.
- 11. Garcia CB, Duarte LO. Length-based estimates of growth parameters and mortality rates of fish populations of the Caribbean Sea. J Appl Ichthyol. 2006;22(3):193–200.
- 12. Gómez G, Guzmán R, Chacón R. Reproductive and populational parameters of the lane snapper Lutjanus synagris, in the Gulf of Paria, Venezuela. Zootec Trop. 2001;19:335–57.
- 13.
Johnson AG, Collins LA, Dahl J, Baker MS. Age, growth, and mortality of lane snapper from the northern Gulf of Mexico. In: Proceedings of the Forty-Ninth Annual Conference of the Southeastern Association of Fish and Wildlife Agencies, 1995. 178–86.
- 14. Torres-Lara R, Salas-Márquez S. Crecimiento y mortalidad de la rubia Lutjanus synagris de las costas de Yucatán durante las temporadas de pesca 1983-1985. Anales del Instituto de Ciencias del Mar y Limnología. 1990;:205–14.
- 15. Torres R, Chávez EA. Evaluación y diagnóstico de la pesquería de rubia (Lutjanus synagris) en el estado de Yucatán. Cienc Mar. 1987;13:7–29.
- 16.
Ayala Perez LA. Determinación de algunos parámetros poblacionales y de la biología pesquera de la biajaiba Lutjanus synagris (Linneo, 1758) (Pices: Lutjanidae). Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México. 1984.
- 17.
Claro R, Reshetnikov YS. Ecología y ciclo de vida de la biajaiba, Lutjanus synagris (Linnaeus), en la plataforma cubana: Formación de marcas de crecimiento en sus estructuras. Editora de la ACC. 1981.
- 18. Manickchand-Dass S. Reproduction, age and growth of the lane snapper, Lutjanus synagris (Linnaeus), in Trinidad, West Indies. Bull Mar Sci. 1987;40:22–8.
- 19.
Quezada-Domínguez CF. Determinación de edad y crecimiento de la rubia (Lutjanus synagris) de la costa de Yucatán. Universidad Autónoma de Yucatán. 1997.
- 20.
Rodríguez-Pino Z. Estudios estadísticos y biológicos sobre la biajaiba (Lutjanus synagris). La Habana, Cuba: Centro de Investigaciones Pesqueras. 1962.
- 21. Andrade H, Vihtakari M, Santos J. Geographic variation in the life history of lane snapper Lutjanus synagris, with new insights from the warm edge of its distribution. J Fish Biol. 2023;103(5):950–64. pmid:37339932
- 22. Aschenbrenner A, Freitas MO, Rocha GRA, de Moura RL, Francini-Filho RB, Minte-Vera C. Age, growth parameters and fisheries indices for the lane snapper in the Abrolhos Bank, SW Atlantic. Fish Research. 2017;194:155–63.
- 23.
Barbieri LR, Colvocoresses A. Age, growth and reproduction of recreationally important snappers in southeast Florida. Southeast Florida reef fish abundance and biology: Five-year performance report. Florida: US Department of Interior, US Fish and Wildlife Service, Federal Aid in Sport Fish Restoration. 2003.
- 24. Manooch CS, Mason DL. Age, Growth, and Mortality of Lane Snapper from Southern Florida. negs. 1984;7(1).
- 25. Higgins RM, Diogo H, Isidro EJ. Modelling growth in fish with complex life histories. Rev Fish Biol Fisheries. 2015;25(3):449–62.
- 26. Kim ESM, McDonald JC, Muñoz-Abril L, Drymon JM, Albins MA, Powers SP. Age, growth, maturity, and mortality of an understudied Gray Snapper fishery from the north-central Gulf of Mexico. Marine and Coastal Fisheries. 2024;16(6).
- 27. Katsanevakis S. Modelling fish growth: model selection, multi-model inference and model selection uncertainty. Fish Res. 2006;81:229–35.
- 28. Katsanevakis S, Maravelias CD. Modelling fish growth: multi‐model inference as a better alternative to a priori using von Bertalanffy equation. Fish and Fisheries. 2008;:178–87.
- 29. McGuigan CJ, Buchalla Y, Tudela CE, Starkman S, Benetti DD. Using multi-model inference to determine the growth rates of red snapper, Lutjanus campechanus, through ontogeny. Aquac Rep. 2023;32:101681.
- 30. Jurado Molina J. Model uncertainty and Bayesian estimation of growth parameters of Yellowtail Snapper (Ocyurus chrysurus) from Veracruz, Mexico. Hidrobiológica. 2018;28(2):191–9.
- 31. Escalante-Domínguez AM, Renán X, Galindo-Cortes G, Colás-Marrufo T, Brulé T. Age-based life history of Lutjanus analis from the southern Gulf of Mexico. Fish Res. 2026;293:107646.
- 32.
Burnham KP, Anderson DR. Model selection and multimodel inference: a practical information-theoretic approach. Springer. 2002.
- 33.
Monroy-García C, Gutiérrez-Pérez C, Medina-Quijano H, Uribe-Cuevas M, Chable-Ek F. La actividad pesquera de la flota ribereña en el estado de Yucatán: pesquería de escama. Instituto Nacional de Pesca y Acuacultura. 2019. https://www.gob.mx/cms/uploads/attachment/file/622300/13._Pesqueria_de_escama_en_Yucatan.pdf
- 34.
SAGARPA. Norma Oficial Mexicana NOM-065-PESC-2007, para regular el aprovechamiento de las especies de mero y especies asociadas, en aguas de jurisdicción federal del litoral del Golfo de México y Mar Caribe. Mexico: Secretaría de Gobernación. 2014. http://legismex.mty.itesm.mx/normas/pesc/pesc065p-1408.pdf
- 35.
Salas S, Mexicano-Cíntora G, Cabrera MA. ¿Hacia dónde van las pesquerías en Yucatán? Tendencias, Retos y Perspectivas. Mérida, Yucatán, México: CINVESTAV Unidad Mérida. 2006.
- 36. García-Caudillo JM, Balmori-Ramírez A, Morales-Azpeitia R. Stocks assessment and reference point estimations for the snappers fishery (Perciformes: Lutjanidae) in the Gulf of Mexico, 1980-2019. Hidrobiológica. 2024;34:121–31.
- 37.
SADER. Anuario estadístico de acuacultura y pesca. Mexico. 2024.
- 38.
Chávez C, Díaz Álvarez Á, Espinoza Méndez G, Martínez Cruz C, Monroy García E, Morales Martínez DC. Análisis de la interacción de la pesca artesanal en Yucatán y Campeche con las capturas incidentales de la flota de arrastre de camarón en la sonda de Campeche. In: INAPESCA y FAO. Gestión sostenible de la captura incidental en las pesquerías de arrastre en América Latina y el Caribe. INAPESCA y FAO. 2022.
- 39.
IUCN I. The IUCN red list of threatened species. IUCN Red List of Threatened Species. 2023. https://www.iucnredlist.org
- 40.
IUCN I. Lutjanus synagris. The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species. 2022. https://www.iucnredlist.org
- 41. Lindeman K, Anderson W, Carpenter KE, Claro R, Cowan J, Padovani-Ferreira B, et al. Lutjanus synagris: The IUCN red list of threatened species. 2016. https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/194344/84808558
- 42. Trejo-Martínez J, Brulé T, Morales-López N, Colás-Marrufo T, Sánchez-Crespo M. Reproductive Strategy of a Continental Shelf Lane Snapper Population from the Southern Gulf of Mexico. Marine and Coastal Fisheries. 2021;13(2):140–56.
- 43. Brulé T, Rincón-Sandoval LA, González-González M, Montero-Muñoz JL, Colás-Marrufo T, Renán X. Diet composition of two sympatric snappers Lutjanus synagris and Ocyurus chrysurus from the north continental shelf of Yucatan, Mexico. Cybium. 2023;47.
- 44. Schwamborn R, Freitas MO, Moura RL, Aschenbrenner A. Comparing the accuracy and precision of novel bootstrapped length-frequency and length-at-age (otolith) analyses, with a case study of lane snapper (Lutjanus synagris) in the SW Atlantic. Fish Res. 2023;264:106735.
- 45. Flinn SA, Midway SR. Trends in Growth Modeling in Fisheries Science. Fishes. 2021;6(1):1.
- 46. Patrick WS, Spencer P, Ormseth OA, Cope JM, Field JC, Kobayashi DR. Use of productivity and susceptibility indices to determine stock vulnerability, with example applications to six US fisheries. Fisheries Bulletin. 2009;108:305–22.
- 47. Merino M. Upwelling on the Yucatan Shelf: hydrographic evidence. Journal of Marine Systems. 1997;13(1–4):101–21.
- 48.
Perry E, Velazquez-Oliman G, Socki RA. Hydrogeology of the Yucatan peninsula. In: Gomez-Pompa S, Fedick SA, Jimenez-Osornio J. The lowland Maya: three millennia at the human–wildland interface. CRC Press. 2003. 115–38.
- 49.
Herrera-Silveira JA, Morales-Ojeda S. Estado de “salud” de la costa de acuerdo con indicadores del estado trófico del agua. In: Euán-Ávila JI, García de Fuentes A, Liceaga-Correa MA, Munguía-Gil A. La Costa del estado de Yucatán, un espacio de reflexión sobre la relación sociedad-naturaleza, en el contexto de su ordenamiento ecológico territorial. Merida, Mexico: Plaza y Valdés. 2014. 363.
- 50. Morey SL, Gopalakrishnan G, Sanz EP, Azevedo Correia De Souza JM, Donohue K, Pérez-Brunius P. Assessment of numerical simulations of deep circulation and variability in the Gulf of Mexico using recent observations. J Phys Oceanogr. 2020;50:1045–64.
- 51.
Cuevas-Jiménez A, Orellana Lanza L, Euán Ávila JI. Patrones locales de viento. Euán-Ávila JI, Liceaga-Correa MA, García de Fuentes A, Munguía Gil A. México: Plaza y Valdés S.L. 2014.
- 52.
Mexicano-Cintora G, Leonce-Valencia CO, Salas S, Vega-Cendejas ME. Recursos pesqueros de Yucatán fichas técnicas y referencias bibliográficas. Merida Yucatán: Centro de Investigación y Estudios Avanzados del IPN. 2007.
- 53.
SEMARNAT. Decreto por el que se reforman diversas disposiciones de la Ley General de Vida Silvestre. Secretaría de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales. Mexico: Secretaría de Gobernación. 2018. https://www.dof.gob.mx/avisos/2165/SEMARNAT_060612_02/SEMARNAT_060612_02.htm#:~:text=DECRETO%20por%20el%20que%20se%20reforman%20y,Estados%20Unidos%20Mexicanos%2C%20a%20sus%20habitantes%20sabed
- 54. Renán X, Brulé T, Galindo-Cortes G, Colás-Marrufo T. Age-based life history of three groupers in the southern Gulf of Mexico. J Fish Biol. 2022;101(4):857–73. pmid:35762332
- 55. Sturges HA. The choice of a class interval. J Am Stat Assoc. 1926;21:65–6.
- 56. Audzijonyte A, Andersen KH, Atkinson D, Bigman JS, Blanchard JL, Coghlan AR, et al. Which body size metrics should be used for assessing temperature impacts on fish growth and size?. Global Change Biology. 2025;31:e70296.
- 57. Coggins LG Jr, Gwinn DC, Allen MS. Evaluation of age–length key sample sizes required to estimate fish total mortality and growth. Trans Am Fish Soc. 2013;142:832–40.
- 58. Candy S, Constable A, Williams R. A von bertalanffy growth model for toothfish at Heard Island fitted to length-at-age data and compared to observed growth from mark-recapture studies. CCAMLR Science. 2007;14.
- 59.
R Core Team. R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing. Vienna, Austria: R Foundation for Statistical Computing. 2023.
- 60.
Lai HL, Gallucci VF, Gunderson DR, Donnelly RF. Age determination in fisheries: methods and applications to stock assessment. In: Gallucci VF, Saila SB, Gustafson DJ, Rothschild BJ. Stock assessment: quantitative methods and applications for small-scale fisheries. Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press. 1996. 107–78.
- 61. Campana SE. Accuracy, precision and quality control in age determination, including a review of the use and abuse of age validation methods. Journal of Fish Biology. 2001;59(2):197–242.
- 62. Piddocke TP, Butler GL, Butcher PA, Purcell SW, Bucher DJ, Christidis L. Age validation in the Lutjanidae: a review. Fish Res. 2015;167:48–63.
- 63.
VanderKooy S, Carroll J, Elzey S, Gilmore J, Kipp J. A practical handbook for determining the ages of Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic coast fishes. 3rd ed. Gulf States Marine Fisheries Commission Publication. 2020.
- 64. Beamish RJ, Fournier DA. A Method for Comparing the Precision of a Set of Age Determinations. Can J Fish Aquat Sci. 1981;38(8):982–3.
- 65.
Wright PJ, Panfili J, Morales-Nin B, Geffen AJ. Types of calcified structures: otoliths. In: Panfili J, De Pontual H, Troadec H, Wright PJ, editors. Manual of fish sclerochronology. Ifremer-IRD coedition Brest, France; 2002. pp. 31–57
- 66. Burton ML, Potts JC, Carr DR. Age, growth, and natural mortality of yellowfin grouper (Mycteroperca venenosa) from the southeastern United States. PeerJ. 2015;3:e1099. pmid:26244111
- 67.
Lombardi-Carlson LA, Fitzhugh GR, Mikulas JJ. Red Grouper (Epinephelus morio) age–length structure and description of growth from the eastern Gulf of Mexico: 1992–2001. NMFS Southeastern Fish Science Center, Panama City FL Contribution Series: Panama City. 2002.
- 68. Neves A, Vieira AR, Sequeira V, Silva E, Silva F, Duarte AM, et al. Modelling fish growth with imperfect data: the case of Trachurus picturatus. Fishes. 2022;7:52.
- 69. Smart JJ, Grammer GL. Modernising fish and shark growth curves with Bayesian length-at-age models. PLoS One. 2021;16(2):e0246734. pmid:33556124
- 70. Pardo SA, Cooper AB, Dulvy NK. Avoiding fishy growth curves. Methods Ecol Evol. 2013;4(4):353–60.
- 71. Fabens AJ. Properties and fitting of the Von Bertalanffy growth curve. Growth. 1965;29(3):265–89. pmid:5865688
- 72.
Smart J. BayesGrowth: Estimate Fish Growth using MCMC Analysis. 2023. https://github.com/jonathansmart/BayesGrowth
- 73. Clarke ME, Domeier M, Laroche W. Development of larvae and juveniles of the mutton snapper (Lutjanus analis), lane snapper (Lutjanis synagris) and yellowtail snapper (Lutjanus chrysurus). Bull Mar Sci. 1997;3:511–37.
- 74.
Stan Development Team. RStan: the R interface to Stan. 2020.
- 75.
Gabry JMT. Bayesplot: Plotting for Bayesian Models. 2025.
- 76. Pauly D, Munro JL. Once more on the comparison of growth in fish and invertebrates. Fishbyte. 1984;2:1–21.
- 77. Then AY, Hoenig JM, Hall NG, Hewitt DA. Evaluating the predictive performance of empirical estimators of natural mortality rate using information on over 200 fish species. ICES Journal of Marine Science. 2014;72(1):82–92.
- 78. Gislason H, Daan N, Rice JC, Pope JG. Size, growth, temperature and the natural mortality of marine fish. Fish and Fisheries. 2010;11(2):149–58.
- 79.
Vihtakari M. ggFishPlots: Visualise and calculate life history parameters for fisheries science using ‘ggplot2.’. 2023.
- 80. Froese R. Keep it simple: three indicators to deal with overfishing. Fish and Fisheries. 2004;5(1):86–91.
- 81. Garcia ER, Potts JC, Rulifson RA, Manooch CS. Age and growth of yellowtail snapper, Ocyurus chrysurus from the southeastern United States. Bull Mar Sci. 2003;72:909–21.
- 82. Renán X, Galindo-Cortes G, Cervantes-Camacho I, Ramírez M, Pasos MA, Colás-Marrufo T, et al. Population structure of yellowtail snapper using age-based life history and otolith shape in southern Gulf of México. PLoS One. 2025;20(4):e0320012. pmid:40238898
- 83.
Allman RJ, Lombardi-Carlson LA, Fitzhugh GR, Fable WA. Age structure of red snapper (Lutjanus campechanus) in the Gulf of Mexico by fishing mode and region. In: 52nd Gulf and Caribbean Fisheries Institute, 2002. 482–95.
- 84. White DB, Palmer SM. Age, growth, and reproduction of the red snapper, Lutjanus campechanus, from the Atlantic waters of the southeastern US. Bull Mar Sci. 2004;75:335–60.
- 85. Fischer AJ, Baker MS, Wilson CA, Nieland DL. Age, growth, mortality, and radiometric age validation of gray snapper (Lutjanus griseus) from Louisiana. Fishery Bulletin. 2005;103:307–20.
- 86. Francis RC, Campana SE. Inferring age from otolith measurements: a review and a new approach. Can J Fish Aquat Sci. 2004;61(7):1269–84.
- 87. Pacheco C, Bustamante C, Araya M. Mass‐effect: Understanding the relationship between age and otolith weight in fishes. Fish and Fisheries. 2021;22(3):623–33.
- 88. Radtke RL, Fine ML, Bell J. Somatic and otolith growth in the oyster toadfish (Opsanus tau L.). J Exp Mar Biol Ecol. 1985;90:259–75.
- 89. Cardinale M, Arrhenius F, Johnsson B. Erratum to “Potential use of otolith weight for the determination of age-structure of Baltic cod (Gadus morhua) and plaice (Pleuronectes platessa)”. Fish Res. 2000;48:293.
- 90. Secor DH, Dean JM. Somatic Growth Effects on the Otolith–Fish Size Relationship in Young Pond-reared Striped Bass, Morone saxatilis. Can J Fish Aquat Sci. 1989;46(1):113–21.
- 91. Peres MB, Haimovici M. Age and growth of southwestern Atlantic wreckfish Polyprion americanus. Fish Res. 2004;66:157–69.
- 92. Al-Husaini M, Al-Ayoub S, Dashti J. Age validation of nagroor, Pomadasys kaakan (Cuvier, 1830) (Family: Haemulidae) in Kuwaiti waters. Fish Res. 2001;53:71–81.
- 93. Szedlmayer ST, Beyer SG. Validation of annual periodicity in otoliths of red snapper, Lutjanus campechanus. Environ Biol Fish. 2011;91(2):219–30.
- 94. Panella G. Fish otoliths: daily growth layers and periodical patterns. Science. 1971;173(4002):1124–7. pmid:5098955
- 95. Fowler AJ. Validation of annual growth increments in the otoliths of a small, tropical coral reef fish. Mar Ecol Prog Ser. 1990;64:25–38.
- 96. Stevenson DK, Campana SE. Otolith microstructure examination and analysis. Publ Fish Aquat Sci. 1992.
- 97.
Morales-Nin B. Determinacion del crecimiento de peces oseos en base a la microestructura de los otolitos. FAO. 1992.
- 98. Griffiths SP, Fry GC, Manson FJ, Lou DC. Age and growth of longtail tuna (Thunnus tonggol) in tropical and temperate waters of the central Indo-Pacific. ICES Journal of Marine Science. 2009;67(1):125–34.
- 99.
Dery LM. American Plaice: Age Determination Methods for Northwest Atlantic Species How to Use Sectioned Otoliths to Age American Plaice. Northeast Fisheries Science Center NOAA. 2025.
- 100. Cappo M, Eden P, Newman SJ, Robertson S. A new approach to validation of periodicity and timing of opaque zone formation in the otoliths of eleven species of Lutjanus from the central Great Barrier Reef. Fishery Bulletin. 1999;98:474–88.
- 101. Saillant E, Fostier A, Menu B, Haffray P, Chatain B. Sexual growth dimorphism in sea bass Dicentrarchus labrax. Aquaculture. 2001;202(3–4):371–87.
- 102. Baroiller JF, D’Cotta H, Saillant E. Environmental effects on fish sex determination and differentiation. Sex Dev. 2009;3(2–3):118–35. pmid:19684457
- 103. Daugherty DJ, Buckmeier DL, Smith NG. Sex-Specific Dynamic Rates in the Alligator Gar: Implications for Stock Assessment and Management. North American Journal of Fisheries Management. 2019;39(3):535–42.
- 104. Baker DW, Shartau RB. The effect of environmental factors on fish growth. Encyclopedia of Fish Physiology. Elsevier. 2024. 493–506.
- 105. Jarić I, Gačić Z. Relationship between the longevity and the age at maturity in long-lived fish: Rikhter/Efanov’s and Hoenig’s methods. Fish Res. 2012;129–130:61–3.
- 106. Bunnell DB, Madenjian CP, Rogers MW, Holuszko JD, Begnoche LJ. Exploring mechanisms underlying sex‐specific differences in mortality of Lake Michigan bloaters. Trans Am Fish Soc. 2012;141:204–14.
- 107.
Grimes CB. Reproductive Biology of the Lutjanidae: A Review. Grimes B. Westview Press. 1987.
- 108. Kuparinen A, O’Hara RB, Merilä J. The role of growth history in determining age and size at maturation in exploited fish populations. Fish and Fisheries. 2008;9(2):201–7.
- 109. Gamito S. Growth models and their use in ecological modelling: an application to a fish population. Ecol Modell. 1998;113:83–94.
- 110. Cerviño S. Estimating growth from sex ratio-at-length data in species with sexual size dimorphism. Fish Res. 2014;160:112–9.
- 111. Lorenzen K. Size- and age-dependent natural mortality in fish populations: Biology, models, implications, and a generalized length-inverse mortality paradigm. Fish Res. 2022;255:106454.
- 112. Brooks J, Buckel J, Cao J. Quantifying intra-annual changes in abundance and distribution to identify the magnitude and scale of potential mortality events. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science. 2024;311:109009.
- 113. Martinez AS, Willoughby JR, Christie MR. Genetic diversity in fishes is influenced by habitat type and life-history variation. Ecol Evol. 2018;8(23):12022–31. pmid:30598796
- 114. Langangen Ø, Olsen E, Stige LC, Ohlberger J, Yaragina NA, Vikebø FB, et al. The effects of oil spills on marine fish: Implications of spatial variation in natural mortality. Mar Pollut Bull. 2017;119(1):102–9. pmid:28389076