Skip to main content
Advertisement
Browse Subject Areas
?

Click through the PLOS taxonomy to find articles in your field.

For more information about PLOS Subject Areas, click here.

  • Loading metrics

Comparison of ischemic cardiovascular events between dapagliflozin and empagliflozin in combination with metformin: A nationwide population-based cohort study

  • Hayeon Kim,

    Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – original draft

    Affiliation College of Pharmacy, Korea University, Sejong, Republic of Korea

  • Seung Won Lee,

    Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – review & editing

    Current Address: Institute of Immunology and Immunological Disease, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea

    Affiliation Institute of Pharmaceutical Science, Korea University, Sejong, Republic of Korea

  • Yejee Lim,

    Roles Writing – review & editing

    Affiliation Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam, Republic of Korea

  • Nayoung Han,

    Roles Writing – review & editing

    Affiliation College of Pharmacy and Research Institute of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Jeju National University, Jeju, Republic of Korea

  • Suin Kang,

    Roles Writing – original draft

    Affiliations College of Pharmacy, Korea University, Sejong, Republic of Korea, Education and Research Group for the Convergence of New Approach Methodologies and Innovative Drug Development, Korea University, Sejong, Republic of Korea

  • Youngjoo Byun,

    Roles Writing – review & editing

    Affiliations College of Pharmacy, Korea University, Sejong, Republic of Korea, Institute of Pharmaceutical Science, Korea University, Sejong, Republic of Korea, Education and Research Group for the Convergence of New Approach Methodologies and Innovative Drug Development, Korea University, Sejong, Republic of Korea

  • Kyungim Kim

    Roles Conceptualization, Funding acquisition, Methodology, Project administration, Supervision, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

    kim_ki@korea.ac.kr

    Affiliations College of Pharmacy, Korea University, Sejong, Republic of Korea, Institute of Pharmaceutical Science, Korea University, Sejong, Republic of Korea, Education and Research Group for the Convergence of New Approach Methodologies and Innovative Drug Development, Korea University, Sejong, Republic of Korea

Abstract

The comparative effectiveness of individual sodium–glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT-2is) in preventing ischemic cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains uncertain. Thus, this study compared the incidence of ischemic CVD events in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) treated with dapagliflozin or empagliflozin in combination with metformin. This retrospective cohort study analyzed national claims data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service. Patients with T2DM who received dapagliflozin or empagliflozin, combined with metformin, between 2014 and 2019 were included. The primary outcome was composite ischemic CVD events, defined as myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, or coronary revascularization. Secondary outcomes included each component of composite ischemic CVD events, unstable angina, and all-cause mortality. Hazard ratios (HRs) and confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models, adjusting for covariates in three stepwise models: Model 1 (age and sex), Model 2 (Model 1 variables plus patient characteristics), and Model 3 (Model 2 variables plus clinical parameters). In Model 3, after full adjustment for systolic blood pressure, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, fasting blood glucose, and serum creatinine, no significant difference was observed in the incidence of composite ischemic CVD events between dapagliflozin and empagliflozin when each was used in combination with metformin (adjusted HR 0.50, 95% CI: 0.24–1.03). Additionally, no significant differences were observed in individual components of composite ischemic CVD events, unstable angina, and all-cause mortality. These real-world findings may help in selecting an SGLT-2is subtype for CVD prevention in Asian patients with T2DM.

Introduction

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a representative chronic disease and a significant public health concern, placing a substantial burden not only on individuals but also on society. Globally, the age-standardized incidence rate of T2DM was 184.6 per 100,000 people in 2017 and is projected to rise to 284.4 per 100,000 people in the 2030s [1]. Diabetes is also associated with a reduction in life expectancy by approximately 10 years [2], and two-thirds of deaths among patients with T2DM are attributed to cardiovascular disease (CVD) [3]. Macrovascular disease, particularly of cardiac origin, is a common complication of T2DM. Studies have shown that patients with T2DM have a 1.5 to 2.3 times higher risk of cardiovascular death than the nondiabetic population [46]. Therefore, current T2DM management guidelines emphasize not only blood glucose control but also strategies for CVD prevention [7].

Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT-2is) have shown significant clinical benefits for CVD in patients with T2DM. Large-scale randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and real-world studies have confirmed the positive effects of SGLT-2is on key cardiovascular outcomes, including major adverse cardiovascular events, cardiovascular death, and hospitalization for heart failure [810]. Consequently, there is a growing interest in investigating whether different SGLT-2is subtypes have varying effects on reducing the risk of CVD. In previous RCTs, varying degrees of effects in reducing CVD risk have been reported for two widely prescribed SGLT-2is, dapagliflozin and empagliflozin [8,11,12]. However, no RCTs have directly compared the two SGLT-2is. Some network meta-analyses have evaluated their differences in reducing CVD risk, but the findings remain inconclusive [1316]. Furthermore, these studies have limitations as they combined data from both RCTs and observational studies or relied on indirect analyses mediated using a placebo. Several retrospective cohort studies have compared the risk of CVD between dapagliflozin and empagliflozin [1721]. However, these cohort studies did not restrict the background antidiabetic agent class, and the study population received various antidiabetic combinations, making it difficult to isolate SGLT-2is-specific effects. Because the extent of antidiabetic agent use often reflects diabetes severity, a key confounder for CVD, the homogeneity of the underlying antidiabetic regimens is essential [22,23]. Moreover, certain antidiabetic agents may directly affect CVD risk [2426], further complicating the interpretation of study results.

While dapagliflozin and empagliflozin show pharmacokinetic (PK) and pharmacodynamic (PD) differences, there is no evidence for a clinically meaningful difference in glycemic control; thus, agent selection can be individualized by comorbidities [2730]. In this context, understanding differences in CVD risk reduction across SGLT-2is subtypes may help tailor their use in clinical practice. Therefore, this study aimed to compare the risk of subsequent ischemic CVD events in adults with T2DM who initiated dapagliflozin or empagliflozin, both combined with metformin, using nationwide claims data from South Korea. Previous studies have shown that metformin, the first-line antidiabetic agent commonly used in combination with SGLT-2is in clinical practice, has no effect on CVD incidence [31,32]. Moreover, it has been reported that combination of metformin with either empagliflozin or dapagliflozin exhibits no clinically meaningful differences in glucose-lowering effects or serious adverse effects, regardless of which SGLT-2i is used [29,30]. Therefore, the present study restricted baseline antidiabetic agents to metformin to better reflect real-world practice, ensure homogeneity of the study group, and enable a clearer comparison of the effects of SGLT-2is.

Materials and methods

Data source

This retrospective, nationwide, population-based cohort study was conducted using customized data from the National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) claims data of South Korea. The NHIS is a national healthcare insurance system covering 97% of the Korean population. Its claims database provides anonymized, longitudinal health data, including sociodemographic information, medical diagnoses (coded using the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision [ICD-10]), therapeutic procedures, drug prescriptions (prescription date, supply duration, dosage, and administration route), and healthcare use type (outpatient, inpatient, or emergency department). The structure of the NHIS data has been detailed in a previous publication [33]. The NHIS also provides health checkup data, including physical examination results (height, weight, and blood pressure); selected laboratory test findings (low-density lipoprotein cholesterol [LDL-C], fasting blood glucose [FBG], serum creatinine [SCr], total cholesterol, triglycerides, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, hemoglobin, liver function tests, and urinalysis); and information on personal and family medical history, and health-related behaviors, such as smoking status and alcohol consumption. These data are collected through annual or biennial general health checkups for NHIS-insured individuals and their dependents. For this study, both the claims and the health checkup data from the NHIS were used.

The study was approved by the Institutional Review Board of Korea University (KUIRB-2021-0036-01) and the Korea NHIS National Health Information Data Request Review Committee (NHIS 2021-1-410). The requirement for informed consent was waived because NHIS provided anonymized data. All data used in this study were fully anonymized before being accessed by the researchers. Therefore, the authors had no access to any information that could identify individual patients during and after data collection. Data used for this study were accessed for research purposes from March 24, 2021, to March 23, 2023. This study followed the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) reporting guideline [34].

Study population

From the NHIS database, which includes approximately 100 million individuals, this study identified adults aged 30–90 years with T2DM who were newly prescribed dapagliflozin or empagliflozin as an add-on to metformin between 2014 and 2019. Patients with T2DM were defined as individuals who met the following two criteria: a primary or subdiagnosis of T2DM (ICD-10 code E11) and at least one prescription history for an antidiabetic agent. This operational definition was validated in a Korean study using NHIS claims data with high specificity and accuracy and is consistent with Canadian validation findings showing that diagnosis-plus-prescription algorithms achieve very high specificity [35,36]. Patients were included if they had received metformin monotherapy for at least 90 days before adding SGLT-2is to minimize the possibility of metformin-induced glycemic fluctuations. This 90-day duration was selected based on previous studies indicating that metformin provides no statistically significant additional blood glucose–lowering effects after approximately 3 months (90 days) [37,38]. The initiation date of dapagliflozin or empagliflozin was designated as the index date. To ensure comparability between the treatment groups and assess the actual effects of each SGLT-2i, this study excluded patients treated with antidiabetic agents other than metformin within 1 year before the index date. Additionally, individuals who had previously used other subtypes of SGLT-2is (such as ertugliflozin or ipragliflozin) before the index date were also excluded. To minimize the impact of pre-existing CVD events or cancer on the study outcomes, individuals with a history of ischemic heart disease (I20–I25), heart failure (I50), cerebrovascular disease (I60–I69), coronary revascularization (percutaneous coronary intervention or coronary artery bypass graft), or transient cerebral ischemic attack (G45) were excluded. Patients diagnosed with any cancer type within 1 year before or 90 days after the index date were also excluded. The exclusion criterion for pre-existing CVD events was based on evidence suggesting that most recurrent CVD events tend to occur within the first year following the initial episode [39,40]. The study selection process is presented in Fig 1.

thumbnail
Fig 1. Flow diagram of the study population.

This cohort study used customized Korean claims data from the NHIS database. Patients with T2DM who newly initiated dapagliflozin or empagliflozin as an add-on to metformin between 2014 and 2019 were identified. After applying predefined exclusion criteria, 9,109 eligible patients remained, including 5,580 treated with dapagliflozin and 3,529 with empagliflozin. aCVEs include ischemic heart diseases (I20–I25), coronary revascularization (procedure codes: M6551, M6552, M6561, M6563, M6564, M6571, M6572, O1641, O1642, O1647, OA641, OA642, and OA647), heart failure (I50), cerebrovascular disease (I60–I69), or transient cerebral ischemic attack (G45). Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; CVEs, cardiovascular events; DPP-4is, dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors; GLP-1RAs, glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists; SUs, sulfonylureas; T2DM, type 2 diabetes mellitus; TZDs, thiazolidinediones.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0333604.g001

Study outcomes

The primary outcome was composite ischemic CVD events, defined as a patient hospitalized or visited the emergency department for myocardial infarction (MI) (I21–I23), coronary revascularization procedures (M6551, M6552, M6561, M6563, M6564, M6571, M6572, O1641, O1642, O1647, OA641, OA642, OA647), or ischemic stroke (I63). The secondary outcomes included individual components of the composite ischemic CVD events, unstable angina (I20.0), and all-cause mortality. Study outcomes were determined based on at least one record of hospitalization or emergency department visit with the corresponding diagnostic or procedure code as the primary or first subdiagnosis. Patients were followed from 90 days after the index date until the first occurrence of the study outcome, death from any cause, or the end of the study (December 31, 2019), whichever occurred first. The 90-day lag period was prespecified to account for the induction/latency period required for SGLT-2is to affect ischemic CVD risk and to reduce reverse causation. This design is supported by large-scale RCTs on dapagliflozin and empagliflozin, which showed that cardiovascular benefits typically emerged approximately 3 months after initiation [11,12,41]. The same lag was applied to both study groups to minimize differential immortal time [42].

Covariates

The study covariates included age, sex, metformin monotherapy duration, index year, household income, region of residence, Charlson comorbidity index (CCI), comorbidities, comedications, and health checkup data. The duration of metformin monotherapy was defined as the period during which metformin was used alone before adding dapagliflozin or empagliflozin, starting in 2013. CCI scores were calculated based on patients’ disease records using previously validated algorithms [43]. Comorbidities included hypertension, dyslipidemia, atrial fibrillation, chronic kidney disease, microvascular complications of diabetes, and rheumatoid arthritis, all diagnosed within 1 year before the index date. Comedications were defined as antihypertensive, antihyperlipidemic, antiplatelet, and anticoagulant agents prescribed for more than total 90 days within 1 year before the index date. The relevant ICD-10 codes and generic names for comorbidities and comedications are provided in S1 and S2 Tables. Health checkup data recorded within 2 years before the index date were included as covariates. These variables comprised body mass index (BMI), smoking status, family history of stroke or heart disease (MI or angina pectoris), systolic blood pressure (SBP), LDL-C, FBG, and SCr.

Statistical analyses

Baseline characteristics of the dapagliflozin and empagliflozin groups were presented as frequencies and percentages and compared using the χ2 test. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the risk of composite ischemic CVD events in the empagliflozin group relative to the dapagliflozin group. Crude and adjusted HR (aHR) were estimated for individual components of composite ischemic CVD events, unstable angina, and all-cause mortality. The covariates were adjusted in three sequential models to show the incremental impact of broader baseline information on the effect estimates: Model 1 adjusted for age and sex; Model 2 adjusted for the variables in Model 1 as well as metformin monotherapy duration, index year, comorbidities, CCI score, comedications, BMI, smoking status, and family history of stroke or heart disease; and Model 3 adjusted for the variables in Model 2 along with specific clinical parameters from health checkup data (SBP, LDL-C, FBG, and SCr) measured within 2 years before the index date. Because Model 3 represented the fully adjusted and most conservative specification, it served as the primary basis for inference.

Subgroup analyses were conducted to assess crude HR and aHR in Model 2 for composite ischemic CVD events, stratified by age group, sex, BMI, FBG, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and LDL-C. However, due to the small sample size in each subgroup in Model 3, further subgroup analyses for Model 3 were not conducted. All analyses followed an intention-to-treat approach and were conducted using SAS software, Version 9.4 (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, USA). A two-sided p-value of <0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Results

Study population and baseline characteristics

This study included 9,109 patients who were newly prescribed SGLT-2is as an add-on to metformin, with 5,580 receiving dapagliflozin and 3,529 receiving empagliflozin (Fig 1). Detailed baseline characteristics are presented in Table 1. The mean follow-up duration was 747.6 ± 495.9 days for the dapagliflozin group and 529.5 ± 341.9 days for the empagliflozin group. The mean age was 52.82 ± 9.78 for dapagliflozin group and 53.86 ± 9.83 for empagliflozin group.

thumbnail
Table 1. Baseline characteristics of dapagliflozin and empagliflozin groups.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0333604.t001

Comparative risk of ischemic CVD events among patients using different SGLT-2is

A total of 55 and 10 composite ischemic CVD events occurred in the dapagliflozin and empagliflozin groups, respectively. In Models 1 and 2, patients newly treated with empagliflozin showed an approximately 55% lower risk of composite ischemic CVD events than those receiving dapagliflozin (aHR 0.42, 95% CI: 0.21–0.84; aHR 0.48, 95% CI: 0.23–0.98, respectively). However, in Model 3, after fully adjusting for all covariates, including clinical parameters—SBP, LDL-C, FBG, and SCr—the significant difference between empagliflozin and dapagliflozin groups was no longer observed (aHR 0.50, 95% CI: 0.24–1.03; Table 2). Additionally, across all three adjusted models, there were no significant differences between dapagliflozin and empagliflozin groups in the risk of individual components of composite ischemic CVD events, unstable angina, and all-cause mortality (Table 2).

thumbnail
Table 2. Risk comparison of ischemic CVD events between dapagliflozin and empagliflozin groups.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0333604.t002

Subgroup analysis

Subgroup analysis was conducted by stratifying patients based on age group, sex, BMI, FBG, eGFR, and LDL-C to assess the risk of composite ischemic CVD events. Both crude HR and aHR from Model 2 were reported. Overall, the results showed no significant differences between dapagliflozin and empagliflozin groups, except for patient group with eGFR levels between 60 and 90 mL/min/1.73m2 (S3 Table).

Discussion

This retrospective cohort study assessed whether the risk of ischemic CVD events differed between dapagliflozin and empagliflozin, used as add-on therapies to metformin, among adults with T2DM. Using three stepwise-adjusted models, the results from Models 1 and 2 showed a potential difference in risk. However, in the fully adjusted Model 3, no significant difference in risk was observed between dapagliflozin and empagliflozin. Additionally, the two SGLT-2is showed no significant differences in the individual components of composite ischemic CVD events, unstable angina, and all-cause mortality in any of Models 1–3, supporting the conclusion that there were no statistically significant between-drug differences in reducing the incidence of ischemic CVD events.

In this study, Model 3 adjusted for key clinical parameters, including SBP, LDL-C, FBG, and SCr, in addition to traditional covariates such as comorbidities, an approach consistent with previous studies [19,21,44,45]. This approach was employed because the incidence of ischemic CVD events can be influenced by the presence of disease as well as by its severity, and incorporating these parameters allows for a more accurate reflection of the underlying disease state. These four clinical parameters are well-established risk factors for ischemic CVD events. SBP, a known risk factor for ischemic heart disease and stroke, has a documented positive association with the risk of both conditions [46,47]. LDL-C is supported by both clinical and genetic evidence as a correlate of atherosclerotic CVDs, including MI and stroke [48,49]. The atherogenic potential of LDL-C, such as its role in atherosclerotic plaque formation and acceleration of inflammatory processes, may contribute to ischemic CVD events [48]. Furthermore, impaired FBG level is a significant risk factor for ischemic CVD events, as abnormal glucose levels can induce endothelial dysfunction and promote plaque formation [50,51]. Decreased eGFR, as determined by creatinine levels, is associated with a higher risk of future ischemic CVD events [52,53]. High SCr levels are linked to endothelial dysfunction and contribute to increased cardiovascular risk by placing additional strain on the heart [54]. Therefore, by including these four significant risk factors as covariates, the present study offers more comprehensive and reliable findings on the development of ischemic CVD events.

Differences in the PK and PD properties of dapagliflozin and empagliflozin have been documented. Previous studies have reported that empagliflozin has greater selectivity for SGLT-2 over SGLT-1 and reaches peak concentration faster than dapagliflozin, whereas dapagliflozin has a slightly longer half-life, higher protein binding, and a larger volume of distribution [27,28]. However, differential effects on clinical parameters, such as HbA1c, FBG, and BMI, remain inconclusive [29,30,55,56]. Furthermore, it remains unclear whether differences in PK or PD properties translate into distinct effects on ischemic CVD events. Notably, a meta-regression analysis found no correlation between the magnitude of HbA1c reduction from SGLT-2is use and the incidence of CVD events [57]. These results imply that the development and manifestation of ischemic CVD events likely result from the complex interplay of multiple factors. In this context, the findings of current study—where significant differences in ischemic CVD events were observed between dapagliflozin and empagliflozin in Models 1 and 2, but not in Model 3 which adjusted for key clinical parameters—can be better understood.

Previous cohort studies have reported comparable effects of dapagliflozin and empagliflozin on subsequent cardiovascular outcomes [1721]. While the results are similar, the current study differentiates itself in its design. Restricting the study population to patients receiving a combination of metformin and SGLT-2i provides a more controlled comparison between the two treatment groups. The type and number of antidiabetic agents used may reflect a patient’s glycemic control status or disease severity [23]. A previous study has shown that the duration for which HbA1c levels remain above target is positively associated with the number of antidiabetic agents used [58]. Additionally, different antidiabetic agents and their combinations may have varying effects on diabetes progression and subsequent ischemic CVD events [59]. For example, some antidiabetic agents, such as sulfonylureas, have been suggested to increase CVD risk patients with T2DM [60]. In this context, the current study focuses on patients who received dapagliflozin or empagliflozin as an add-on to metformin, offering more substantive evidence by comparing the distinct effects of these two SGLT-2is within a homogenous patient group—an approach that distinguishes it from previous studies.

This study has several key strengths. First, this study used comprehensive, nationwide healthcare data encompassing most of the South Korean population. Second, to enhance the robustness of the study, multivariable adjustments were performed incorporating health checkup data as covariates, including smoking status, family history of stroke or heart disease, and clinical parameters associated with ischemic CVD events [61,62]. By fully adjusting for potential risk factors for ischemic CVD events, this study effectively minimizes confounding effects.

Despite its strengths, this study has several limitations. First, because of the inherent limitations of claims and health checkup data, unmeasured or unknown residual confounding factors cannot be excluded. In particular, since information on HbA1c and diabetes duration was unavailable, data on FBG—the only available glycemic measure—were used for adjustment. However, considering that FBG may not fully reflect long-term glycemic control, residual confounding likely persisted and may have affected the results. Second, this study cannot rule out the possibility of selection bias. To ensure population homogeneity, individuals who had been treated with other antidiabetic agents within 1 year prior to the index date were excluded. This approach may have biased the study population toward patients with T2DM at earlier disease stages or those whose condition was relatively well controlled with metformin monotherapy. Moreover, the average participation rate in the general health checkup program during the study period was 75.4% [63]. Model 3 excluded individuals without health checkup data, which may have introduced bias related to data missing not at random (MNAR). Nevertheless, considering that even patients with early-stage diabetes have a higher risk for CVD and a greater need for risk factor management than the general population [6467], examining CVD risk in this population still provides clinically meaningful insights. However, caution is warranted when interpreting and applying these findings. Third, a temporal difference in enrollment was observed between dapagliflozin and empagliflozin users, as empagliflozin was covered by the NHIS later than dapagliflozin in Korea. Although the index year was adjusted in the multivariate analyses in Models 2 and 3, the possibility that it may act as a time-related confounder cannot be ruled out. Finally, the small number of outcome events in this study may have limited its statistical power. However, the incidence of ischemic CVD events in Korean patients with T2DM has been reported to be lower than that in other countries [6871], with previous Korean studies demonstrating event rates comparable to those observed in our study [1820]. Moreover, the relatively healthy study population—consisting of patients with early-stage or well-controlled diabetes managed with metformin monotherapy, and a high proportion of patients in their 50s—may have contributed to the low event rates. Therefore, further studies with longer follow-up durations are warranted to address these limitations and improve the accuracy and generalizability of the findings.

In this nationwide cohort study, after adjustment for potential risk factors, including key clinical parameters, no significant difference in the risk of ischemic CVD events was observed between dapagliflozin and empagliflozin in combination with metformin in patients with T2DM. This finding provides real-world evidence that neither agent showed statistically significant superiority over the other in reducing the incidence of ischemic CVD events.

Supporting information

S1 Table. List of outcomes and comorbidities with corresponding codes.

Abbreviations: ICD-10, International Classification of Diseases 10th revision.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0333604.s001

(PDF)

S2 Table. List of drugs used for the covariates with corresponding codes.

Abbreviations: ACEI, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors; ADP, adenosine diphosphate; ARB, angiotensin receptor blocker; BB, beta-blocker; CCB, calcium channel blocker; COX, cyclooxygenase; DU, diuretic; LMWH, low molecular weight heparin; PCSK9, proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9; PDE, phosphodiesterase; UFH, unfractionated heparin.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0333604.s002

(PDF)

S3 Table. Subgroup analysis for composite ischemic CVD events.

Composite ischemic CVD events include MI, coronary revascularization, or ischemic stroke. Bold values indicate statistical significance. aHazard ratios were adjusted for age, sex, metformin monotherapy duration, index year, household income, region of residence, comorbidities (hypertension, dyslipidemia, atrial fibrillation, chronic kidney disease, microvascular complications of diabetes [diabetic retinopathy, neuropathy, and nephropathy], and rheumatoid arthritis), CCI, comedications (antihypertensive, antihyperlipidemic, antiplatelet, and anticoagulant agents), BMI, smoking status, and family history of stroke or heart disease. bThe BMI < 18.5 kg/m2 group (n = 9) and FBG < 70 mg/dL group (n = 3) are omitted because of the small total number of patients. Abbreviations: CVD, cardiovascular disease; DAPA, dapagliflozin; EMPA, empagliflozin; MET, metformin; BMI, body mass index; CCI, Charlson comorbidity index; CI, confidence interval; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; FBG, fasting blood glucose; HR, hazard ratio; LDL-C, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; MI, myocardial infarction.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0333604.s003

(PDF)

Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank the Korea National Health Insurance Service for providing the data.

References

  1. 1. Ye J, Wu Y, Yang S, Zhu D, Chen F, Chen J, et al. The global, regional and national burden of type 2 diabetes mellitus in the past, present and future: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. Front Endocrinol (Lausanne). 2023;14:1192629. pmid:37522116
  2. 2. Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration. Life expectancy associated with different ages at diagnosis of type 2 diabetes in high-income countries: 23 million person-years of observation. Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 2023;11(10):731–42. pmid:37708900
  3. 3. Cavallari I, Bhatt DL, Steg PG, Leiter LA, McGuire DK, Mosenzon O, et al. Causes and Risk Factors for Death in Diabetes: A Competing-Risk Analysis From the SAVOR-TIMI 53 Trial. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2021;77(14):1837–40. pmid:33832610
  4. 4. Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration, Sarwar N, Gao P, Seshasai SRK, Gobin R, Kaptoge S, et al. Diabetes mellitus, fasting blood glucose concentration, and risk of vascular disease: a collaborative meta-analysis of 102 prospective studies. Lancet. 2010;375(9733):2215–22. pmid:20609967
  5. 5. Barnett KN, Ogston SA, McMurdo ME, Morris AD, Evans JM. A 12-year follow-up study of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among 10,532 people newly diagnosed with Type 2 diabetes in Tayside, Scotland. Diabet Med. 2010;27:1124–9.
  6. 6. Eberly LE, Cohen JD, Prineas R, Yang L, Intervention Trial Research group. Impact of incident diabetes and incident nonfatal cardiovascular disease on 18-year mortality: the multiple risk factor intervention trial experience. Diabetes Care. 2003;26(3):848–54. pmid:12610048
  7. 7. Kelsey MD, Nelson AJ, Green JB, Granger CB, Peterson ED, McGuire DK, et al. Guidelines for Cardiovascular Risk Reduction in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes: JACC Guideline Comparison. Journal of the American College of Cardiology. 2022;79:1849–57.
  8. 8. McGuire DK, Shih WJ, Cosentino F, Charbonnel B, Cherney DZI, Dagogo-Jack S, et al. Association of SGLT2 Inhibitors With Cardiovascular and Kidney Outcomes in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes: A Meta-analysis. JAMA Cardiol. 2021;6(2):148–58. pmid:33031522
  9. 9. Kosiborod M, Cavender MA, Fu AZ, Wilding JP, Khunti K, Holl RW, et al. Lower Risk of Heart Failure and Death in Patients Initiated on Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter-2 Inhibitors Versus Other Glucose-Lowering Drugs: The CVD-REAL Study (Comparative Effectiveness of Cardiovascular Outcomes in New Users of Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter-2 Inhibitors). Circulation. 2017;136(3):249–59. pmid:28522450
  10. 10. Kosiborod M, Lam CSP, Kohsaka S, Kim DJ, Karasik A, Shaw J, et al. Cardiovascular Events Associated With SGLT-2 Inhibitors Versus Other Glucose-Lowering Drugs: The CVD-REAL 2 Study. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2018;71(23):2628–39. pmid:29540325
  11. 11. Zinman B, Wanner C, Lachin JM, Fitchett D, Bluhmki E, Hantel S, et al. Empagliflozin, Cardiovascular Outcomes, and Mortality in Type 2 Diabetes. N Engl J Med. 2015;373(22):2117–28. pmid:26378978
  12. 12. Wiviott SD, Raz I, Bonaca MP, Mosenzon O, Kato ET, Cahn A, et al. Dapagliflozin and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Type 2 Diabetes. N Engl J Med. 2019;380(4):347–57. pmid:30415602
  13. 13. Täger T, Atar D, Agewall S, Katus HA, Grundtvig M, Cleland JGF, et al. Comparative efficacy of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) for cardiovascular outcomes in type 2 diabetes: a systematic review and network meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials. Heart Fail Rev. 2021;26(6):1421–35. pmid:32314085
  14. 14. Jiang Y, Yang P, Fu L, Sun L, Shen W, Wu Q. Comparative Cardiovascular Outcomes of SGLT2 Inhibitors in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Network Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials. Front Endocrinol (Lausanne). 2022;13:802992.
  15. 15. Duan XY, Liu SY, Yin DG. Comparative efficacy of 5 sodium glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor and 7 glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists interventions on cardiorenal outcomes in type 2 diabetes patients: A network meta-analysis based on cardiovascular or renal outcome trials. Medicine (Baltimore). 2021;100:e26431.
  16. 16. Sinha T, Gul U, Babar NN, Israr F, Butt AA, Chaudhari SS, et al. The Comparison of the Effectiveness of Dapagliflozin and Empagliflozin in the Prevention of Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes: A Network Meta-Analysis. Cureus. 2024;16(9):e69711. pmid:39429324
  17. 17. Suzuki Y, Kaneko H, Okada A, Itoh H, Matsuoka S, Fujiu K, et al. Comparison of cardiovascular outcomes between SGLT2 inhibitors in diabetes mellitus. Cardiovasc Diabetol. 2022;21(1):67. pmid:35585590
  18. 18. Lim J, Hwang I-C, Choi H-M, Yoon YE, Cho G-Y. Comparison of cardiovascular and renal outcomes between dapagliflozin and empagliflozin in patients with type 2 diabetes without prior cardiovascular or renal disease. PLoS One. 2022;17(10):e0269414. pmid:36251654
  19. 19. Lim J, Choi Y-J, Kim BS, Rhee T-M, Lee H-J, Han K-D, et al. Comparative cardiovascular outcomes in type 2 diabetes patients taking dapagliflozin versus empagliflozin: a nationwide population-based cohort study. Cardiovasc Diabetol. 2023;22(1):188. pmid:37496050
  20. 20. Kim J-H, Yoon Y-C, Kim Y-H, Park J-I, Choi K-U, Nam J-H, et al. Cardiovascular outcomes between dapagliflozin versus empagliflozin in patients with diabetes mellitus. Clin Cardiol. 2024;47(3):e24248. pmid:38436204
  21. 21. Shao S-C, Chang K-C, Hung M-J, Yang N-I, Chan Y-Y, Chen H-Y, et al. Comparative risk evaluation for cardiovascular events associated with dapagliflozin vs. empagliflozin in real-world type 2 diabetes patients: a multi-institutional cohort study. Cardiovasc Diabetol. 2019;18(1):120. pmid:31551068
  22. 22. Zhao Y, Malik S, Budoff MJ, Correa A, Ashley KE, Selvin E, et al. Identification and Predictors for Cardiovascular Disease Risk Equivalents among Adults With Diabetes Mellitus. Diabetes Care. 2021;dc210431. pmid:34380703
  23. 23. Haghighatpanah M, Nejad ASM, Haghighatpanah M, Thunga G, Mallayasamy S. Factors that Correlate with Poor Glycemic Control in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Patients with Complications. Osong Public Health Res Perspect. 2018;9(4):167–74. pmid:30159222
  24. 24. Azoulay L, Suissa S. Sulfonylureas and the Risks of Cardiovascular Events and Death: A Methodological Meta-Regression Analysis of the Observational Studies. Diabetes Care. 2017;40(5):706–14. pmid:28428321
  25. 25. Rivera FB, Cruz LLA, Magalong JV, Ruyeras J, Aparece JP, Bantayan NRB, et al. Cardiovascular and renal outcomes of glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists among patients with and without type 2 diabetes mellitus: A meta-analysis of randomized placebo-controlled trials. Am J Prev Cardiol. 2024;18:100679.
  26. 26. Herman ME, O’Keefe JH, Bell DSH, Schwartz SS. Insulin Therapy Increases Cardiovascular Risk in Type 2 Diabetes. Prog Cardiovasc Dis. 2017;60(3):422–34. pmid:28958751
  27. 27. Anker SD, Butler J. Empagliflozin, calcium, and SGLT1/2 receptor affinity: another piece of the puzzle. ESC Heart Fail. 2018;5(4):549–51. pmid:30024112
  28. 28. Papakitsou I, Vougiouklakis G, Elisaf MS, Filippatos TD. Differential pharmacology and clinical utility of dapagliflozin in type 2 diabetes. Clin Pharmacol. 2019;11:133–43.
  29. 29. Xu L, Wu Y, Li J, Ding Y, Chow J, Li L, et al. Efficacy and safety of 11 sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors at different dosages in type 2 diabetes mellitus patients inadequately controlled with metformin: a Bayesian network meta-analysis. BMJ Open. 2025;15(2):e088687. pmid:40010842
  30. 30. Shyangdan DS, Uthman OA, Waugh N. SGLT-2 receptor inhibitors for treating patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: a systematic review and network meta-analysis. BMJ Open. 2016;6(2):e009417. pmid:26911584
  31. 31. Goldberg RB, Orchard TJ, Crandall JP, Boyko EJ, Budoff M, Dabelea D, et al. Effects of Long-term Metformin and Lifestyle Interventions on Cardiovascular Events in the Diabetes Prevention Program and Its Outcome Study. Circulation. 2022;145(22):1632–41. pmid:35603600
  32. 32. Griffin SJ, Leaver JK, Irving GJ. Impact of metformin on cardiovascular disease: a meta-analysis of randomised trials among people with type 2 diabetes. Diabetologia. 2017;60(9):1620–9. pmid:28770324
  33. 33. Cheol Seong S, Kim Y-Y, Khang Y-H, Heon Park J, Kang H-J, Lee H, et al. Data Resource Profile: The National Health Information Database of the National Health Insurance Service in South Korea. Int J Epidemiol. 2017;46(3):799–800. pmid:27794523
  34. 34. von Elm E, Altman DG, Egger M, Pocock SJ, Gøtzsche PC, Vandenbroucke JP, et al. The Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) statement: guidelines for reporting observational studies. J Clin Epidemiol. 2008;61(4):344–9. pmid:18313558
  35. 35. Baek JH, Park Y-M, Han KD, Moon MK, Choi JH, Ko S-H. Comparison of Operational Definition of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Based on Data from Korean National Health Insurance Service and Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Diabetes Metab J. 2023;47(2):201–10. pmid:36750233
  36. 36. Lipscombe LL, Hwee J, Webster L, Shah BR, Booth GL, Tu K. Identifying diabetes cases from administrative data: a population-based validation study. BMC Health Serv Res. 2018;18(1):316. pmid:29720153
  37. 37. Usui R, Hamamoto Y, Imura M, Omori Y, Yamazaki Y, Kuwata H, et al. Differential effects of imeglimin and metformin on insulin and incretin secretion-An exploratory randomized controlled trial. Diabetes Obes Metab. 2025;27(2):856–65. pmid:39592886
  38. 38. Ferrannini E, Berk A, Hantel S, Pinnetti S, Hach T, Woerle HJ, et al. Long-term safety and efficacy of empagliflozin, sitagliptin, and metformin: an active-controlled, parallel-group, randomized, 78-week open-label extension study in patients with type 2 diabetes. Diabetes Care. 2013;36(12):4015–21. pmid:24186878
  39. 39. van der Heijden AA, Van’t Riet E, Bot SD, Cannegieter SC, Stehouwer CD, Baan CA, et al. Risk of a recurrent cardiovascular event in individuals with type 2 diabetes or intermediate hyperglycemia: the Hoorn Study. Diabetes Care. 2013;36:3498–502.
  40. 40. Berghout BP, Bos D, Koudstaal PJ, Ikram MA, Ikram MK. Risk of recurrent stroke in Rotterdam between 1990 and 2020: a population-based cohort study. Lancet Reg Health Eur. 2023;30:100651. pmid:37228392
  41. 41. Rastogi A, Bhansali A. SGLT2 Inhibitors Through the Windows of EMPA-REG and CANVAS Trials: A Review. Diabetes Ther. 2017;8(6):1245–51. pmid:29076040
  42. 42. Suissa S. Immortal time bias in pharmaco-epidemiology. Am J Epidemiol. 2008;167(4):492–9.
  43. 43. Quan H, Sundararajan V, Halfon P, Fong A, Burnand B, Luthi J-C, et al. Coding algorithms for defining comorbidities in ICD-9-CM and ICD-10 administrative data. Med Care. 2005;43(11):1130–9. pmid:16224307
  44. 44. Ha KH, Kim B, Choi H, Kim DJ, Kim HC. Cardiovascular events associated with second-line anti-diabetes treatments: analysis of real-world Korean data. Diabet Med. 2017;34(9):1235–43. pmid:28523719
  45. 45. Kohsaka S, Lam CSP, Kim DJ, Cavender MA, Norhammar A, Jørgensen ME, et al. Risk of cardiovascular events and death associated with initiation of SGLT2 inhibitors compared with DPP-4 inhibitors: an analysis from the CVD-REAL 2 multinational cohort study. Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 2020;8(7):606–15. pmid:32559476
  46. 46. Rao S, Li Y, Nazarzadeh M, Canoy D, Mamouei M, Hassaine A, et al. Systolic Blood Pressure and Cardiovascular Risk in Patients With Diabetes: A Prospective Cohort Study. Hypertension. 2023;80(3):598–607. pmid:36583386
  47. 47. Peters SAE, Huxley RR, Woodward M. Comparison of the sex-specific associations between systolic blood pressure and the risk of cardiovascular disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis of 124 cohort studies, including 1.2 million individuals. Stroke. 2013;44(9):2394–401. pmid:23821229
  48. 48. Ference BA, Ginsberg HN, Graham I, Ray KK, Packard CJ, Bruckert E, et al. Low-density lipoproteins cause atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. 1. Evidence from genetic, epidemiologic, and clinical studies. A consensus statement from the European Atherosclerosis Society Consensus Panel. Eur Heart J. 2017;38(32):2459–72. pmid:28444290
  49. 49. Elosua R, Sayols-Baixeras S. The Genetics of Ischemic Heart Disease: From Current Knowledge to Clinical Implications. Rev Esp Cardiol (Engl Ed). 2017;70(9):754–62. pmid:28623161
  50. 50. Wei M, Gibbons LW, Mitchell TL, Kampert JB, Stern MP, Blair SN. Low fasting plasma glucose level as a predictor of cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality. Circulation. 2000;101(17):2047–52. pmid:10790345
  51. 51. Park C, Guallar E, Linton JA, Lee D-C, Jang Y, Son DK, et al. Fasting glucose level and the risk of incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases. Diabetes Care. 2013;36(7):1988–93. pmid:23404299
  52. 52. Ninomiya T, Kiyohara Y, Tokuda Y, Doi Y, Arima H, Harada A, et al. Impact of kidney disease and blood pressure on the development of cardiovascular disease: an overview from the Japan Arteriosclerosis Longitudinal Study. Circulation. 2008;118(25):2694–701. pmid:19106392
  53. 53. Liu M, Ye Z, He P, Wu Q, Yang S, Zhang Y, et al. Different cardiovascular risks associated with elevated creatinine-based eGFR and cystatin C-based eGFR. npj Cardiovasc Health. 2024;1(1).
  54. 54. Chen X, Jin H, Wang D, Liu J, Qin Y, Zhang Y, et al. Serum creatinine levels, traditional cardiovascular risk factors and 10-year cardiovascular risk in Chinese patients with hypertension. Front Endocrinol (Lausanne). 2023;14:1140093. pmid:37008918
  55. 55. Ku EJ, Lee D-H, Jeon HJ, Oh TK. Empagliflozin versus dapagliflozin in patients with type 2 diabetes inadequately controlled with metformin, glimepiride and dipeptidyl peptide 4 inhibitors: A 52-week prospective observational study. Diabetes Res Clin Pract. 2019;151:65–73. pmid:30954510
  56. 56. Hussain M, Elahi A, Iqbal J, Bilal Ghafoor M, Rehman H, Akhtar S. Comparison of Efficacy and Safety Profile of Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter-2 Inhibitors as Add-On Therapy in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes. Cureus. 2021;13(4):e14268. pmid:33954073
  57. 57. Fralick M, Colacci M, Odutayo A, Siemieniuk R, Glynn RJ. Lowering of hemoglobin A1C and risk of cardiovascular outcomes and all-cause mortality, a meta-regression analysis. J Diabetes Complications. 2020;34(11):107704. pmid:32888788
  58. 58. Khunti K, Gomes MB, Pocock S, Shestakova MV, Pintat S, Fenici P, et al. Therapeutic inertia in the treatment of hyperglycaemia in patients with type 2 diabetes: A systematic review. Diabetes Obes Metab. 2018;20(2):427–37. pmid:28834075
  59. 59. Xie X, Wu C, Hao Y, Wang T, Yang Y, Cai P, et al. Benefits and risks of drug combination therapy for diabetes mellitus and its complications: a comprehensive review. Front Endocrinol (Lausanne). 2023;14:1301093. pmid:38179301
  60. 60. Phung OJ, Schwartzman E, Allen RW, Engel SS, Rajpathak SN. Sulphonylureas and risk of cardiovascular disease: systematic review and meta-analysis. Diabet Med. 2013;30(10):1160–71. pmid:23663156
  61. 61. Peters R, Ee N, Peters J, Beckett N, Booth A, Rockwood K, et al. Common risk factors for major noncommunicable disease, a systematic overview of reviews and commentary: the implied potential for targeted risk reduction. Ther Adv Chronic Dis. 2019;10:2040622319880392. pmid:31662837
  62. 62. National Health Insurance Service NHIS. National health screening statistical yearbook. Seoul: National Health Insurance Service. 2015. https://www.nhis.or.kr/nhis/together/wbhaec07000m01.do?mode=view&articleNo=122186&article.offset=10&articleLimit=10
  63. 63. Kang H-T. Current Status of the National Health Screening Programs in South Korea. Korean J Fam Med. 2022;43(3):168–73. pmid:35610963
  64. 64. Gyldenkerne C, Kahlert J, Thrane PG, Olesen KKW, Mortensen MB, Sørensen HT, et al. 2-Fold More Cardiovascular Disease Events Decades Before Type 2 Diabetes Diagnosis: A Nationwide Registry Study. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2024;84(23):2251–9.
  65. 65. Gyldenkerne C, Mortensen MB, Kahlert J, Thrane PG, Warnakula Olesen KK, Sørensen HT, et al. 10-Year Cardiovascular Risk in Patients With Newly Diagnosed Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2023;82(16):1583–94.
  66. 66. Wright AK, Suarez-Ortegon MF, Read SH, Kontopantelis E, Buchan I, Emsley R, et al. Risk Factor Control and Cardiovascular Event Risk in People With Type 2 Diabetes in Primary and Secondary Prevention Settings. Circulation. 2020;142(20):1925–36. pmid:33196309
  67. 67. Song DK, Hong YS, Sung Y-A, Lee H. Risk factor control and cardiovascular events in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. PLoS One. 2024;19(2):e0299035. pmid:38422102
  68. 68. Kim JH, Lee J, Han K, Kim J-T, Kwon H-S, Diabetic Vascular Disease Research Group of the Korean Diabetes Association. Cardiovascular Disease & Diabetes Statistics in Korea: Nationwide Data 2010 to 2019. Diabetes Metab J. 2024;48(6):1084–92. pmid:39610135
  69. 69. Read SH, Fischbacher CM, Colhoun HM, Gasevic D, Kerssens JJ, McAllister DA, et al. Trends in incidence and case fatality of acute myocardial infarction, angina and coronary revascularisation in people with and without type 2 diabetes in Scotland between 2006 and 2015. Diabetologia. 2019;62(3):418–25. pmid:30656362
  70. 70. Han K, Jung J-H, Choi S-S, Ko S-H. 2024 Cardio-cerebrovascular disease fact sheet in Korea. CPP. 2025;7(3):85–93.
  71. 71. Mulnier HE, Seaman HE, Raleigh VS, Soedamah-Muthu SS, Colhoun HM, Lawrenson RA, et al. Risk of stroke in people with type 2 diabetes in the UK: a study using the General Practice Research Database. Diabetologia. 2006;49(12):2859–65. pmid:17072582