Figures
Abstract
Urban traffic is an important source of global CO2 emissions. Uncovering the temporal and structural characteristics can provide scientific support to identify the variation regulation and main subjects of urban traffic CO2 emissions. The road class is one of the most important factors influencing the urban traffic CO2 emissions. Based on the annual traffic field monitoring work in 2014 and the localized MOVES model, this study unravels the temporal variation and structural characteristics of the urban traffic CO2 emissions and conducts a comparative analysis of expressway (5R) and arterial road (DB), two typical classes of urban roads in Beijing. Obvious differences exist in the temporal variation characteristics of the traffic CO2 emissions between the expressway and arterial road at the annual, week and daily scales. The annual traffic CO2 emissions at the expressway (5R, with 47271.15 t) are more than ten times than those of the arterial road (DB, with 4139.19 t). Stronger weekly “rest effect” is observed at the expressway than the arterial road. The daily peak time and duration of the traffic CO2 emissions between the two classes of urban roads show significant differences particular in the evening peak. The differences of the structural characteristics between the two classes of urban roads are mainly reflected on the contribution of the public and freight transportation. Passenger vehicles play a predominant role at both the two classes of urban roads. The public transportation contributed more at DB (24.76%) than 5R (5.47%), and the freight transportation contributed more at 5R (23.41%) than DB (3.49%). The results suggest that the influence of traffic CO2 emissions on the CO2 flux is significant at the residential and commercial mixed underlying urban areas with arterial roads (DB) but not significant at the underlying urban park area with expressway (5R) in this study. The vegetation cover in urban areas have effects on the CO2 reduction. Increasing the design and construction of the green space along the urban roads with busy traffic flow will be an effective way to mitigate the urban traffic CO2 emissions and build the low-carbon cities.
Citation: Zheng J, Dong S, Hu Y, Li Y (2020) Comparative analysis of the CO2 emissions of expressway and arterial road traffic: A case in Beijing. PLoS ONE 15(4): e0231536. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0231536
Editor: Jinjun Tang, Central South University, CHINA
Received: September 23, 2019; Accepted: March 25, 2020; Published: April 14, 2020
Copyright: © 2020 Zheng et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
Data Availability: All relevant data are within the manuscript and its Supporting Information files.
Funding: This research was funded the National Natural Science Foundation of China, grant numbers 41771182, 41271186 and 41801220, and the Science & Technology Basic Resources Investigation Program of China, grant number 2017FY101303. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.
Competing interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.
Introduction
Urban areas account for more than 70% of the global fossil fuel CO2 emissions [1]. To provide scientific references for urban planning decisions on CO2 reductions at a finer scale, direct CO2 flux measurements by the eddy covariance (EC) have been widely applied in urban areas [2–4]. More than 40 urban CO2 flux sites have joined the Urban Flux Network (http://ibis.geog.ubc.ca/urbanflux/). Traffic, contributing 23% of total CO2 emissions [5], is one of the most important direct CO2 sources, particularly in urban areas [6]. For example, the CO2 emissions emitted from the urban area of Chennai, India were quantified by Kumar et al. [7], and the results showed that traffic contributed 29.7%. However, based on an overview of the experiences and results of transport CO2 reduction, Kelly and Zhu [8] suggested that reducing road transport emissions remained a major challenge in cities around the world. To develop and implement more practical traffic CO2 reduction measures in urban areas, investigating the effects of traffic CO2 emissions on CO2 fluxes and uncovering the characteristics of traffic CO2 emissions are in urgent need.
Investigating the influence of traffic on the CO2 flux is useful to uncover the role that traffic plays in urban carbon emissions. Coutts et al. [9] compared the CO2 flux between Preston and Surrey Hills and found that higher local traffic volumes contributed to higher CO2 fluxes even though the vegetation cover was higher in Surrey Hills. Gratani and Varone [10] compared five sites in the center of Rome. Their results indicated that traffic levels and tree coverage were both significantly correlated to CO2 concentrations. However, the comparability of CO2 fluxes and the influence of traffic on the CO2 fluxes among different cities or sites are still limited due to the distinct local climates and inconsistent observation periods. In addition, although traffic has a significant impact on CO2 fluxes and several mature micro-scale traffic CO2 emission estimation models, such as CMEM (Computer Program to Calculate Emissions from Road Transport, CMEM) [11], MOVES (Motor Vehicle Emission Simulator, MOVES) [12–14] and EMBEV (the Emission Factor Model for the Beijing Vehicle fleet) [15, 16], have been developed, most previous research have not applied these models to investigate the influence of traffic CO2 emissions on the CO2 flux [17].
Based on the national statistical data, many studies have revealed the annual variations of traffic CO2 emissions and proposed traffic CO2 reduction related policies at the national or regional level [18, 19]. China, with 10.29 billion tons CO2 emissions in 2014 [20], has become the largest CO2 emitter and has faced large pressure to reduce CO2 emissions. The CO2 emissions in the transport, storage and post sectors in China rapidly increased from 103.10 million tons in 1995 to 701.04 million tons in 2016 [21]. However, the energy consumption and CO2 emissions of the transport, storage and post sectors are not accounted separately, hardly at the city level or finer scale, and only contain the vehicles in operation, without the private transportation, in the statistical data in China. There are large amount of private vehicles in metropolitan areas. Taking Beijing as an example, the possession of private motor vehicles are 4.76 million, contributing 80.49% to the possession of motor vehicles [22].It’s necessary to conduct the traffic volume monitoring work at the city level and finer scale to estimate the urban traffic CO2 emissions and investigate the variation characteristics at various scales.
However, due to the mobility of the transportation, research on the traffic CO2 emissions on high spatial and temporal resolution are still a hot and difficult scientific topic. Ma et al. [23] estimated the passenger traffic CO2 emissions in urban Guangzhou in 2010 at the sub-district level by an improved bottom-up method and found an evident variation in the individual travel-related CO2 emissions between the workday (420 g per person) and the weekend (407 g per person). The higher daily traffic CO2 emissions on weekdays and the peak traffic CO2 hours were observed by Zhang et al. [24] in Nanjing in August 2013. Based on the taxi GPS data on the 1st November, 2012, Li et al. [25] found that the peak hour of taxi trips appeared at 10:00, 16:00 and 20:00, which showed different variations to the urban traffic demand. However, GPS data of private passenger cars, which contribute most to urban traffic CO2 emissions, are difficult to obtain because of privacy problems.
Traffic CO2 emissions are influenced by multi-factor interactions. Fontaras et al. [26] reviewed the influencing factors of traffic CO2 emissions and divided these factors into four categories, including vehicle characteristics, traffic and environmental conditions, driver related factors and vehicle certification tests. The results confirmed that traffic conditions and driving behaviors were highly influential. The road classes influence both the traffic conditions, including the average and maximum speeds, transient operation (accelerations-decelerations) and engine idling, and the behaviors of the drivers through the road capacity [27] and speed limit [28]. Nocera et al. [29] estimated the road transport CO2 emissions from different road classes, including motorways, primary roads and secondary roads, in Seville, Spain and compared the total CO2 emissions of the 32 road segments. The urban road classification system is somewhat different in different countries. In China, the urban road classification system includes four classes as follows: expressway, arterial road, sub-arterial road and collector road [30]. Since there are no statistical data of the energy consumption data of the urban traffic CO2 emissions at city level or finer scale and the traffic activity data at the road segment level can’t be obtained directly from the transportation management department in China, studies that investigate the traffic CO2 emissions of different classes of urban roads are insufficient.
To fulfill the shortcomings above, this study conducts a comparative analysis of the traffic CO2 emissions between two typical classes of urban roads on the high spatial and temporal resolution, the road link level and half-hour scale, and investigates their influence on the CO2 fluxes at two geographically proximate but in different types’ underlying urban areas in the Beijing Olympic Sports Centre Area, China. The Beijing Olympic Sports Centre Area is a pilot project for the construction of a low-carbon world city. It is bound to have a profound influence on the urban traffic CO2 reduction in Beijing and other cities in China and other developing countries. The two study areas include a mixed residential and commercial area with an intersection of urban arterial roads (DB) and an urban park area with an urban expressway segment (5R). The traffic are busy at urban expressways and arterial roads, and the mixed residential and commercial area is a kind of typical underlying urban areas in Beijing. In addition, the DB study area locates in the traffic restrict area and the 5R study area locates out of the traffic restrict area. The two study areas are geographically proximate and have consistent observation period of CO2 fluxes and meteorological factors. The traffic CO2 emissions are estimated by the localized MOVES model on the basis of traffic volume field monitoring data. These make the two sites more comparable. Comparing traffic CO2 emissions on various urban road classes and exploring their influence on CO2 fluxes at various underlying urban areas with similar geographies and climates but different anthropogenic activities, biogenic activities and different policy conditions are meaningful to help transportation department propose urban traffic CO2 reduction measures from the perspective of planning and designing. This paper will enhance the local understanding of the traffic CO2 emissions in metropolitan areas and provide scientific support to the accurate management of the CO2 reduction.
Materials and methods
A comprehensive approach is established to analyze the role and characteristics of traffic CO2 emissions in various underlying urban areas. First, the boundary of the study area is defined by the Kormann and Meixner model (KM). Second, the CO2 flux data are obtained and processed through the ChinaFLUX data processing and quality control technology system. Then, the localized MOVES model is applied to estimate traffic CO2 emissions on the basis of the traffic volume field monitoring data. Finally, the multiple regression method is used to investigate the influence of traffic CO2 emissions on the CO2 flux.
Definition of study area boundary
The spatial boundary of the study area is defined every 30 minutes by using the KM flux footprint model [31]. The KM function is as follows:
(1)
(2)
where f(x, y, zm) (unit: m-2) denotes the total flux footprint, fy(x, zm) (unit: m-1) denotes the product of the crosswind-integrated footprint function, Dy(x, y) (unit: m-1) denotes the crosswind dispersion function,
is a constant,
(unit: m) is the flux length scale, ω (unit: m1-m s-1) denotes a constant of the wind speed power law profile, q (unit: m1-n s-1) denotes a constant of the turbulent diffusion power law profile, z denotes the height from zero, and r denotes a shape factor (where r = m + 2−n, and m and n are indices of the wind speed and turbulent diffusion power law profiles, respectively).
To better understand the role of traffic CO2 emissions play in urban areas, we select two different types of urban areas where the urban roads of two classes are located. The 5th Ring Road study area (5R), an underlying urban park area, is located at 40° 01’ 35" N, 116° 23’ 29" E and adjacent to the 5th Ring Road, an urban expressway. The 5th Ring Road is not within the study area on a 30-minute scale through the entire year of 2014. To ensure the integrity of the road, this study defines the 5th Ring Road as the part that lies west to Lincui Road and east to Anli Road as the case road section in this study. More than 90% of the 5R study area is covered by plants. The Datun-Beichen West Road Intersection study area (DB), a mixed residential and commercial underlying area which is one of the most typical urban areas in Beijing, is located at 40° 00’ 06" N, 116° 22’ 45" E. The maximum footprint of the DB study area in 2014 covers 72.24 ha. There are ten buildings, and two urban arterial roads (Datun Road and Beichen West Road) with busy traffic flows and nearly 30% vegetation cover. The location proximity and climate similarity make the two underlying urban areas more comparable.
Acquisition and processing of CO2 flux
The turbulent CO2 flux is measured by an open-air infrared CO2/H2O gas analyzer (Model Li-7500, LI-COR Inc., Lincoln, Nebraska, USA) and a three-dimensional ultrasonic anemometer (Model CSAT3A, Campbell Scientific Inc., Logan, Utah, USA). The gas analyzer is inclined to minimize solar radiation interference and facilitate the shedding of water droplets from the sensor lenses. All raw data (10 Hz) are recorded with a CR3000 (Model CR3000, Campbell Scientific Inc., Logan, Utah, USA).
Regarding the data post-processing and flux measurement quality control [32], 30-minute fluxes are derived and examined with the ChinaFLUX data processing and quality control technology system [33] as follows: outlier removal, time delay correction, planar fitting, high-frequency and low-frequency flux loss correction, ultrasonic virtual temperature correction and air density fluctuation effects on CO2 flux. We also examine the characteristics of the instruments and the reliability and quality of the CO2 flux measurements by calculating the power spectra and co-spectra. To reduce the interference of anomalous data, same-period observation data for precipitation, observation data beyond the threshold [–3, 3], the friction wind velocity beyond the threshold (determined by the method of Reichstein et al. [34]) and anomalous data are removed following the method of Papale et al. [35].
The non-linear regression method is used to interpolate missing data. A linear internal interpolation is used for short-term (<2h) missing data, and the Michaelis-Menten equation is used to interpolate long-term (≥2h) missing daytime data during the plant growing season. The longest stretches of missing data during the plant growing season are from 5:00 on the 20th May to 22:00 on the 22nd May at DB and from 13:30 on 27th June to 15:30 on 5th July at 5R. The time window is ten days. Night-time missing data are interpolated using the Lloyd and Taylor equation for CO2 flux [36, 37]. Because of the presence of non-biogenic CO2 fluxes in urban areas, the mean diurnal variation (MDV) method is also applied to fill data gaps, and a similar result is generated.
Estimation of traffic CO2 emissions–localized MOVES model
Traffic flows at both the 5R and DB study areas were monitored from January to December in 2014. The main monitoring equipment include cameras (Sony HDR-CX510E, Sony Corporation, Tokyo, Japan) and a 7-meter-high tower. Three days, including two weekdays and one weekend day, are sampled every month. The traffic flow is monitored from 6:00 to 1:00 the next day. A man-machine interaction visual interpretation method is applied to classify the traffic flow into the following categories: large passenger vehicles, medium passenger vehicles, small passenger vehicles, heavy trucks, medium trucks, light trucks, ordinary buses, articulated buses, double-decker buses and other vehicles. The small passenger vehicles, which contribute more than 70% of the vehicles in the two study areas on the basis of the preliminary statistic, are classified into taxis and other small passenger cars. We also establish a group to validate the counting and classification results from the interpretation group. The random sampling validation, covering general and peak hours, weekdays and weekends for every month, is conducted. The classification results from the interpretation group and the validation group are compared. The data accuracy is greater than 95%.
Based the traffic flow monitoring and man-machine interaction visual interpretation data, the localized MOVES model is used to estimate traffic CO2 emissions every 30 minutes. The localization process of the MOVES model includes five steps: (1) Define the time span of the model. (2) Define the spatial boundary. Input the spatial boundary definition, which is defined by the KM model every 30 minutes of the study area. (3) Input the classified vehicle flow data. (4) Define the characteristics of the roads, including the road capacity, the limit speed of the road, the road grade and the signal light information. (5) Create the localization data management template. Create the temporary worksheet by the Project Data Manage of the MOVES model and localize the base emission factors, traffic condition factors and micrometeorological factors. We refer to Li et al. [17] for the base CO2 emission factors of a passenger car (with 7 seats or less, gasoline) in Beijing.
Multiple regression
The multiple linear regression analysis method from SPSS 19.0 is used to quantitatively analyze the relationship between traffic CO2 emissions and the CO2 flux. The dependent variable is the CO2 flux, and the independent variables include radiation, temperature and traffic CO2 emissions. To enhance the comparability of the analysis, all variables are assessed every 30 minutes. According to the Administrative Measures on Heating in Beijing, the heating period starts on the 15th of November and ends on the 15th of March the next year. To better reveal the influence of traffic on the urban carbon cycle, the regression analysis is divided into two periods. One covers the entire year of 2014, and the other only contains the non-heating period.
Results
Annual CO2 emissions of the expressway and arterial road
The annual traffic CO2 emissions at 5R are more than ten times as much as the traffic CO2 emissions at DB. In 2014, the annual traffic CO2 emissions at 5R are 47,271.15 t and the annual traffic CO2 emissions at DB are 4139.19 t. The daily average traffic CO2 emissions at 5R are 129.51 t/d and the daily average traffic CO2 emissions at DB are 11.34 t/d. The traffic CO2 emissions of the urban expressway are higher than those of the arterial road in this study. Based on the intelligent transportation system data, Zhang et al. found that the daily average traffic CO2 emissions at urban arterials (7.44 t/d) were higher than urban highways (4.39 t/d) in Nanjing, China. Beijing, as the capital and the political, cultural, international communication and technology innovation center of China, has more traffic demand. Therefore, the daily average traffic CO2 emissions at the two sites in Beijing were higher than the daily average traffic CO2 emissions at urban arterials and urban highways in Nanjing. Large traffic volume at the ring expressway in Beijing led to more serious traffic congestion. The combination of the two factors caused more traffic CO2 emissions at the expressway than the arterial road in this study in Beijing. In Nanjing, the traffic activities mainly concentrate in the urban center areas where the traffic congestion is more serious. The urban arterial roads also concentrate in the urban center areas in Nanjing. Therefore, the adverse relationships of the traffic CO2 emissions between the expressway and arterial road are observed in Beijing and Nanjing. This phenomenon indicates that different cities have different demand for the design and construction of different classes of urban roads.
Temporal variation characteristics
Fig 1 shows the daily variation of the traffic CO2 emissions. The traffic CO2 emissions at 5R and DB both show a “double-peak” pattern, but the time and duration of the peaks of the traffic CO2 emissions are distinct. The morning peak of 3838.48 kg 30 min-1 appears at 9:00–9:30 at 5R, and the evening peak of 3759.63 kg 30 min-1 appears at 17:00–17:30. At DB, the morning peak appears at 8:00–8:30 with 705.14 kg 30 min-1, and the evening peak appears at 17:30–18:00 with 788.40 kg 30 min-1. The morning peak time of the traffic CO2 emissions at 5R appears 30 minutes later than at DB. The city center area of Beijing is north to the North 5th Ring Road and south to the South 3rd Ring Road. Most of the government agencies and departments, state-owned enterprises and government-affiliated institutions are located in the city center area of Beijing. These occupations need the employees to have a fixed and earlier office time. This can partly explain the earlier time of the morning peak of the traffic CO2 emissions at DB, located in the city center area of Beijing, than at 5R. In addition, the residents living in the city center area often have the habitats to take children to school by vehicles. The school hours in the morning starts earlier than commuting. It is also an important reason for the earlier morning peak time at DB.
The durations of the morning peak hours at 5R and DB are similar, but the duration of the evening peak hours at DB is two hours longer than at 5R. The morning peak of 5R lasts 2.5 hours from 7:30 to 10:00, and the morning peak of DB lasts three hours from 7:00 to 10:00. The evening peak of 5R lasts 2.5 hours from 16:00 to 18:30, and the evening peak of DB lasts 4.5 hours from 15:00 to 19:30. At DB, a small peak appears at 15:30–16:00, consistent with the end time of the school hours of the primary schools in Beijing. Picking up children from school to home by vehicles is an important reason for the small peak at 15:30–16:00. Later the commuting evening peak appears at 16:00–19:30. Therefore, the evening peak hours at DB appears earlier and lasts longer than at 5R. In addition, a sub evening peak appearing at 22:00–22:30 is also observed at DB, where located in the truck limit policy implemented area. The truck limit policy in Beijing regulates that no trucks can go into the area within the 5th Ring Road during 6:00–22:00. After 22:00, the traffic CO2 emissions at DB increase rapidly. It suggests that the truck limit policy has an important influence on the mitigation of the traffic congestion and the reduction of traffic CO2 emissions.
The average value and variation coefficient of traffic CO2 emissions by weekday and weekend at 5R and DB are shown in Table 1. The average daily traffic CO2 emissions at 5R are 131.74 t/d on weekdays and 126.33 t/d on weekends. The average daily traffic emissions at DB are 12.13 t/t on weekdays and 10.61 t/d on weekends. At 5R and DB, the average daily traffic CO2 emissions are both higher on weekdays than on weekends. Although the tail number limited measure on motor vehicles is implemented in Beijing on weekdays, the average daily traffic CO2 emissions on weekdays are still higher than on weekends. It indicates that the inelastic demands for traveling by vehicles, such as commuting and going to school, still dominate traffic CO2 emissions. Both on weekdays and weekends, the average daily traffic CO2 emissions at 5R are more than ten times higher than at DB. To overcome the influence from the mean values with large differences at DB and 5R, this study selects variation coefficients to make comparative analysis between the two case sites. The variation coefficients of traffic CO2 emissions are discrepant by weekday and weekend at 5R and DB. Both 5R and DB have higher variation coefficients of traffic CO2 emissions on weekends than on weekdays. At 5R, the variation coefficients are 17.80% on weekdays and 23.22% on weekends, respectively. At DB, the coefficients of variation are 3.05% on weekdays and 7.73% on weekends. The “rest effect”, less commuting traffic demand and more freedom on weekends are observed at 5R and DB. However, the variation coefficients of traffic CO2 emissions at 5R are much higher than those at DB on both weekdays and weekends. The traffic limited measures in Beijing have been carried out since 2008, and this policy is implemented on urban roads within the 5th Ring road (except the 5th Ring Road). Although the traffic CO2 emissions at 5R have also been influenced by the traffic limited measures, the influence is smaller than in the policy implementation area. Thus, more elastic and random travel demand leads to larger variation coefficients at 5R.
Structural characteristics
The structure of the traffic CO2 emissions at 5R and DB is shown in Fig 2. Most of the traffic CO2 emissions are derived from passenger vehicles at both 5R and DB. The contribution of passenger vehicles on the total amount of traffic CO2 emissions at 5R is 75.92%, and the contribution at DB is 81.99%. Among the passenger vehicles, private transportation dominates the traffic CO2 emissions in the metropolitan area. We subtract the traffic CO2 emissions derived from taxis, medium passenger vehicles and large passenger vehicles from the passenger vehicles, and assumes the results as the traffic CO2 emissions derived from private transportation. To some extent, it will underestimate the contribution from the private transportation since the traffic CO2 emissions derived from private trucks are not included. The private transportation contributed 67.02% and 69.14% to the total amount of the traffic CO2 emissions at 5R and DB, respectively. However, in China, the statistical data of the energy consumption of the transportation sector only contains the commercial vehicles at regional and city level. It will seriously underestimate the traffic energy consumption and CO2 emissions in the metropolitan areas where the private transportation have important influences on the traffic CO2 emissions.
Obvious differences in the structure of traffic CO2 emissions exist between the urban roads of the two classes. The contributions of taxis and buses, two typical types of public transportation, at DB are higher than that at 5R. The traffic CO2 emissions derived by taxis contributed 10.24% at DB and 4.80% at 5R. The traffic CO2 emissions derived by buses14.52% at DB and 0.67% at 5R. Most public transportation services are centrally provided in the city central areas, and people usually choose to take a bus or taxi when they travel relatively short distances. Therefore, the CO2 contributions of buses and taxis are both higher at the arterial road than the urban expressway in this study. Due to the truck limited measure, the contribution of trucks on traffic CO2 emissions at DB is lower than that at 5R. The CO2 emissions of trucks accounted for 23.41% at 5R and 3.49% at DB.
Comparison of the effects of traffic CO2 emissions on the CO2 flux at different underlying urban areas with the urban roads of two classes
Temporal variation characteristics of the CO2 flux at different underlying urban areas.
The diurnal variation of the CO2 flux at 5R and DB is shown in Fig 3. The DB study area is always a CO2 source, whereas the 5R study area is a CO2 sink during the daytime but a source during the nighttime. The diurnal patterns of the CO2 flux at 5R and DB are distinct. At DB, the CO2 fluxes are all above zero and show a “double-peak” pattern. A small peak is observed during the daytime and an absolute peak appears at night. The small daytime peak (0.0779 mg C m-2 s-1) occurs during 11:00–11:30. The nighttime peak (0.1122 mg C m-2 s-1) occurs during 20:30–21:00 and is 0.03427 mg C m-2 s-1 (44%) higher than the daytime peak value. The diurnal pattern of the CO2 flux at 5R shows a “U-shape”. The valley value of -0.2668 mg C m-2 s-1 occurs during 10:00–10:30, and the CO2 flux values are below zero during 7:30–17:30. The CO2 flux at DB, the mixed commercial and residential urban area, varies less than that at 5R, the urban park area with a greater proportion of vegetation. During the daytime, vegetation plays a sink role by photosynthesis and leads to a decrement of the CO2 flux. During the nighttime, vegetation and soil release CO2 by respiration and lead to more CO2 emissions than the impervious ground. The proportion of vegetation cover at 5R is larger than that at DB, so the CO2 flux fluctuates more at 5R.
The monthly variation pattern of the CO2 flux at 5R and DB both show a “U-shape” (shown in Fig 4). The CO2 flux from January to March and from October to December in 2014 is higher, and from April to September, it is lower. However, the differences of the monthly variation between 5R and DB are reflected in three aspects as follows. (1) The CO2 flux at 5R is relatively lower than that at DB. In 2014, the annual average CO2 fluxes were 2.9747 g C m-2 d-1 and 0.3712 g C m-2 d-1 at DB and 5R, respectively. (2) The monthly average CO2 fluxes at DB are always above zero, whereas at 5R, the monthly average CO2 fluxes are below zero from May to September. (3) The CO2 flux changes more dramatically at DB from January to March and from November to December, covering the heating period in Beijing, generally consistent with the non-plant growing season. However, at 5R, the CO2 flux changes more dramatically from April to October, covering the plant growing season.
Monthly variations of the CO2 flux at 5R (a) and DB (b).
Influences of traffic CO2 emissions on the CO2 flux.
Based on the distinctive characteristic of the CO2 flux between the plant growing season and non-plant growing season as mentioned above, this study not only conducts a multiple regression analysis for the entire year, but also extracts the data of the plant growing season to further investigate the effects of traffic CO2 emissions on the CO2 flux during the plant growing season. The stepwise regression results are shown in Table 2. At a significance threshold of sig. < 0.001, the models of both 5R and DB for the entire year of 2014 pass the significance test, and the R values are 0.38 and 0.66 at DB and 5R, respectively. Both models of 5R and DB during the plant growing season pass the significance test, and the R values of 0.78 and 0.31 at 5R and DB, respectively. Although the R values are relatively low, related research results, such as the model R value of 0.3 in Hiller et al. [38] and of 0.5 in Contini et al. [39], show that the fitting of the models in this study is acceptable.
For the entire year, the temperature (sig. < 0.001), radiation (sig. < 0.001) and traffic CO2 emissions (sig. = 0.001) all have significant effects on the CO2 flux at DB; the radiation (sig. <0.001) and temperature (sig. < 0.001) have significant effects on the CO2 flux at 5R. The regression results show that the influence of traffic CO2 emissions is not significant at 5R, but that the influence of traffic CO2 emissions is significant at DB. It suggests that traffic CO2 emissions play an important role at the mixed commercial and residential urban underlying area with urban arterial roads, though the traffic CO2 emissions at 5R are more than ten times than those of DB. This phenomenon is related to the higher proportion of vegetation cover at 5R (more than 90%) than at DB (27.53%). With a larger proportion of vegetation cover, the 5R study area has more CO2 sequestration. The coefficients of radiation are negative at both 5R and DB. When the radiation increases, the CO2 flux decreases. In addition, the variation of the CO2 flux caused by one unit change of the radiation is larger at the 5R (-0.001) than at DB (-6.845×105). It indicates that vegetation is important for the CO2 sink by the photosynthesis, and that vegetation at the urban park area can compensate for the large amount of CO2 emissions derived from traffic.
Conclusions
Based on the 36-day classified traffic flow monitoring and interpretation work on the urban roads of two classes and one-year CO2 fluxes and micro-meteorological factors at two different types of underlying urban areas in Beijing, this study uncovers the differences of the traffic CO2 emissions between the urban roads of two classes from the perspective of temporal variation, structural characteristics and their influences on the CO2 flux. The following conclusions can be drawn:
Obvious differences exists in the temporal variation characteristics of the traffic CO2 emissions between the expressway and arterial road at various temporal scales. At the annual scale, the traffic CO2 emissions at the expressway (5R, with 47271.15 t) are more than ten times than those at the arterial road (DB, with 4139.19 t). At the week scale, “rest effect” is observed at the urban roads of two classes, and the elastic is stronger at the expressway. At the daily scale, the differences of the peak time and duration between the urban roads of two classes suggest that the traffic CO2 emissions of urban arterial roads are influenced by the travel demand derived of urban life and the existing traffic limit policies.
The traffic CO2 emissions derived from passenger vehicles play a predominant role in the CO2 emissions of urban on-road transportation, and more traffic CO2 emissions are derived from the private transportation than those of the public transportation at the urban roads of the two classes in this study. However, significant differences existed in the structural characteristics of traffic CO2 emissions between 5R and DB. The passenger transport contributed nearly all the traffic CO2 emissions at DB, but the traffic CO2 emissions derived from freight transport play an important role at the expressway 5R (23.41%). The buses contributed more traffic CO2 emissions at the arterial road (14.52%) than at the expressway (0.67%). The concept of shared mobility provides a path to improve the efficiency of the private passenger transport, which accounted for most of the traffic CO2 emissions at urban areas, and to reduce the traffic CO2 emissions. The promotion of the shared mobility demands the formulation and improvement of the related laws and regulations to ensure the safety of drivers and passengers and regulate the use and park of the shared cars.
Although the traffic CO2 emissions at the expressway are more than ten times than those of the arterial road, the influence of traffic CO2 emissions on the CO2 flux is significant at the commercial and residential mixed underlying urban areas with arterial roads but not significant at the urban park area with expressway in this study. The results indicated that the green space along the urban roads had important effects in the CO2 absorption. Increasing the design and construction of the green space along the urban roads with busy traffic flow can mitigate the direct CO2 emissions produced by the urban transportation.
Discussions
To estimate the local traffic CO2 emissions more accurately, this paper localizes the MOVES model mainly from the aspects of the base emission factors, micro-meteorological factors and road segment characteristics. However, this paper only modified the base emission factors of the passenger cars with seven seats or less, which accounted for more than 80% of the total traffic volume of the study areas. Due to a lack of CO2 emission factors for other types of vehicles proposed by a national or regional authority in China, this paper directly uses the base emission factors, embedded in the MOVES model, of other vehicles. It will lead to the uncertainty of the estimation of the total amount of traffic CO2 emissions in this study.
Since local traffic detection data cannot be obtained directly from the transportation management department in China, we conduct traffic field monitoring work three days per month in 2014 at the two case sites in Beijing. However, due to the high economic and labor costs of the collecting and interpreting process, the traffic CO2 emissions on the days without traffic field monitoring data are substituted by the traffic CO2 estimation results of the adjacent workday or weekend. This substitution process will lead to uncertainty in the annual total traffic CO2 emissions values.
Due to the data limitations, this study only compare the traffic CO2 emissions between the urban roads of two classes. Given the various classes of urban roads and the various types of underlying urban areas, research from a study of one single fixed point site to a comparison study and a transect analysis are of great significance to further uncover the role of traffic in the urban CO2 emissions and to provide scientific references to reduce the traffic CO2 emissions at urban areas and to construct the low-carbon transportation system.
Acknowledgments
All authors would like to acknowledge Prof. Tianshan Zha and Dr. Xin Jia from Beijing Forestry University and the Chinese Flux Observation and Research Network (ChinaFLUX) for the CO2 flux data collection and processing. We also show our sincere thanks to the precious suggestions from the anonymous reviewers.
References
- 1. Rosenzweig C, Solecki W, Hammer SA, Mehrotra S. Cities lead the way in climate-change action. Nature 2010; 467(7318): 909–911. pmid:20962822
- 2. Christen A, Coops NC, Crawford BR, Kellett R, Liss KN, Olchovski I, et al. Validation of modeled carbon-dioxide emissions from an urban neighborhood with direct eddy-covariance measurements. Atmos Environ 2011; 45(33): 6057–6069.
- 3. Ueyama M, Ando T. Diurnal, weekly, seasonal, and spatial variabilities in carbon dioxide flux in different urban landscapes in Sakai, Japan. Atmos Chem Phys 2016; 16(22): 14727–14740.
- 4. Heusinger J. Weber S. Extensive green roof CO2 exchange and its seasonal variation quantified by eddy covariance measurements. Sci Total Environ 2017; 607: 623–632.
- 5.
International Energy Agency (IEA). CO2 emissions from fuel combustion 2014. Paris: IEA Publication 2015; 10–11.
- 6. Crawford B, Christen A. Spatial source attribution of measured urban eddy covariance CO2 fluxes. Theor Appl Climatol 2015; 119: 733–755.
- 7. Kumar MK, Shiva NSM. Quantification of anthropogenic CO2 emissions in a tropical urban environment. Atmos Environ 2016; 125(A): 272–282.
- 8. Kelly FJ, Zhu T. Transport solutions for cleaner air. Science 2016; 352(6288): 934–936. pmid:27199415
- 9. Coutts AM, Beringer J, Tapper NJ. Characteristics influencing the variability of urban CO2 fluxes in Melbourne, Australia. Atmos Environ 2007; 41(1): 51–62.
- 10. Gratani L, Varone L. Atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration variations in Rome: relationship with traffic level and urban park size. Urban Ecosys 2014; 17(2): 501–511.
- 11. Gan M, Liu X, Chen S, Yan Y, Li D. The identification of truck-related greenhouse gas emissions and critical impact factors in an urban logistics network. J Clean Prod 2018; 178: 561–571.
- 12. Liu XB. A more accurate method using MOVES (Motor Vehicle Emission Simulator) to estimate emission burden for regional-level analysis. J Air Waste Manage Assoc 2015; 65(7): 837–843. pmid:26079557
- 13. Qi Y, Padiath A, Zhao Q, Yu L. Development of operating mode distributions for different types of roadways under different congestion levels for vehicle emission assessment using MOVES. J Air Waste Manage Assoc 2016; 66(10): 1003–1011. pmid:27253200
- 14. Aziz HMA, Ukkusuri SV. A novel approach to estimate emissions from large transportation networks: Hierarchical clustering based link-driving-schedules for EPA-MOVES using dynamic time warping measures. Int J Sustain Transp 2018; 12 (3): 192–204.
- 15. Wu XM, Wu Y, Zhang SJ, Liu H, Fu LX, Hao JM. Assessment of vehicle emission programs in China during 1998–2013: Achievement, challenges and implications. Environ Pollut 2016; 214: 556–567. pmid:27131815
- 16. Zhang SJ, Wu Y, Huang RK, Wang JD, Yan H, Zheng YL, et al. High-resolution simulation of link-level vehicle emissions and concentrations for air pollutants in a traffic-populated eastern Asian city. Atmos Chem Phys 2016; 16(15): 9965–9981.
- 17. Li Y, Zheng J, Li ZH, Yuan L, Yang Y, Li FJ. Re-estimating CO2 emission factors for gasoline passenger cars adding driving behaviour characteristics——A case study of Beijing. Energ Policy 2017; 102: 353–361.
- 18. Focas C. Travel behavior and CO2 emissions in urban and exurban London and New York. Transport Policy 2016; 46: 82–91.
- 19. Loo PY, Banister D. Decoupling transport from economic growth: Extending the debate to include environmental and social externalities. J Transp Geogr 2016; 57: 134–144.
- 20.
World Bank. 2017. https://data.worldbank.org.cn/indicator/EN.ATM.CO2E.KT?view=chart
- 21. Zheng J, Hu YJ, Dong SC, Li Y. The spatiotemporal pattern of decoupling transport CO2 emissions from economic growth across 30 provinces in China. Sustainability 2019; 11: 2564.
- 22.
Beijing Transport Institute. Beijing Transport Annual Report 2018. 2018
- 23. Ma J, Zhou SH, Mitchell G, Zhang JT. CO2 emission from passenger travel in Guangzhou, China: A small area simulation. Appl Energ 2018; 98: 121–132.
- 24. Zhang SJ, Niu TL, Wu Y, Zhang KM, Wallington TJ, Xie QY, et al. Fine-grained vehicle emission management using intelligent transportation system data. Environ Pollut 2018; 241: 1027–1037. pmid:30029310
- 25. Li TT, Wu JP, Dang AR, et al. Emission pattern mining based on taxi trajectory data in Beijing. J Clean Prod 2019; 206: 688–700.
- 26. Fontaras G, Zacharof NG, Ciuffo B. Fuel consumption and CO2 emissions from passenger cars in Europe-Laboratory versus real-world emissions. Prog Energ Combust 2017; 60: 97–131.
- 27. Zhang W, Wang SG, Tian XJ, Yu DX, Yang ZS. The backbone of urban street networks: Degree distribution and connectivity characteristics. Adv Mech Eng 2017; 9(11): 1–11.
- 28. Madireddy M, De Coensel B, Can A, Degraeuwe B, Beusen B, De Vlieger I, et al. Assessment of the impact of speed limit reduction and traffic signal coordination on vehicle emissions using an integrated approach. Transport Res D-TR E. 2011; 16 (7): 504–508.
- 29. Nocera S, Ruiz-Alarcón-Quintero C, Cavallaro F. Assessing carbon emissions from road transport through traffic flow estimators. Transport Res C–Emer 2018; 95: 125–148.
- 30. Liu B, Yan LL, Wang ZW. Reclassification of urban road system: Integrating three dimensions of mobility, activity and mode priority. Transportation Research Procedia. 2017; 25: 627–638.
- 31. Kormann R, Meixner FX. An analytical footprint model for non-neutral stratification. Bound-Lay Meteorol 2001; 99(2): 207–224.
- 32. Aubinet M, Grelle A, Ibrom A, Rannik U, Moncrieff J, Foken T, et al. Estimates of the annual net carbon and water exchange of forests: The EUROFLUX methodology. Adv Ecol Res 2000; 30: 113–175.
- 33. Yu GR, Wen XF, Sun XM, Tanner BD, Lee XH, Chen J. Overview of ChinaFLUX and evaluation of its eddy covariance measurement. Agr Forest Meteorol 2006; 137(3–4): 125–137.
- 34. Reichstein M, Falge E, Baldocchi D, Papale D, Aubinet M, Berbigier P, et al. On the separation of net ecosystem exchange into assimilation and ecosystem respiration: review and improved algorithm. Global Change Biol 2005; 11(9): 1424–1439.
- 35. Papale D, Reichstein M, Canfora E, Aubinet M, Bernhofer C, Bernard L, et al. Towards a more harmonized processing of eddy covariance CO2 fluxes: algorithms and uncertainty estimation. Biogeosci Discuss 2006; 3: 961–992.
- 36. Zhang LM, Yu GR, Sun XM, Wen XF, Ren CY, Fu YL, et al. Seasonal variations of ecosystem apparent quantum yield (α) and maximum photosynthesis rate (Pmax) of different forest ecosystems in China Agr Forest Meteorol 2006; 137(3–4): 176–187.
- 37. Yu GR, Zhang LM, Sun XM, Fu YL, Wen XF, Wang QF, et al. Environmental controls over carbon exchange of three forest ecosystems in eastern China. Global Change Biol 2008; 14(11): 2555–2571.
- 38. Hiller RV, McFadden JP, Kljun N. Interpreting CO2 fluxes over a suburban lawn: The influence of traffic emissions. Bound-Lay Meteorol 2011; 138(2): 215–230.
- 39. Contini D, Donateo A, Elefante C, Grasso FM. Analysis of particles and carbon dioxide concentrations and fluxes in an urban area: Correlation with traffic rate and local micrometeorology. Atmos Environ 2012; 46: 25–35.