Peer Review History

Original SubmissionFebruary 17, 2026
Decision Letter - Chinh Quoc Luong, Editor

-->PONE-D-26-08416-->-->Complex patterns of functional change among TBI survivors from discharge to 6-month follow-up: findings from a registry-based cohort study-->-->PLOS One

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Reviewer #1:  Thank you for the opportunity to review the paper by Kouchaki et al entitled “Complex patterns of functional change among TBI survivors from discharge to 6-month follow up: findings from a registry-based cohort study. This is a retrospective single-centre registry analysis of TBI patients who survived until discharge, aiming to understand which baseline variables are associated with change in GOSE between discharge and 6-month follow up.

Most TBI prognostic studies to date have looked at the association between baseline variables and 6-month GOSE, rather than the change in GOSE between discharge and 6-month. This different perspective is welcome as it will be useful to the discharging clinician when counselling families at that point.

MAJOR POINTS

1. The potential to improve between discharge and 6-month will heavily depend on how much recovery has already occurred (i.e. GOSE at discharge) and how much more time remains to recover (i.e. length of stay in hospital). In fact the degree of recovery may directly influence the decision as to whether the patient is ready for discharge. Therefore all models must be adjusted for GOSE0 and LOS by including them as predictors, which is currently missing. GOSE0 should also be shown in Table 1.

2. The statistical method for variable selection is flawed. Authors use univariate analysis and include all variables with p<0.20 for the multivariate analysis. This approach will lead to missing potentially important variables if they are confounded by others and should be included regardless of p-value. I would suggest the authors use existing literature (e.g. CRASH and IMPACT models) and their knowledge of the subject matter to inform selection. In addition they could consider stepwise inclusion/exclusion of covariates guided by AIC/BIC or penalised regression.

MINOR POINTS

1. In the introduction the authors say that TBI affects younger adults, citing a reference from 2007. The demographic in Western countries has now shifted to include predominantly older adults. This does not take away from the importance of the paper but a more balanced statement and newer epidemiological reference should be provided (e.g. Maas, Lancet Neurology 2022).

2. The introduction states the current system of classifying severity of TBI uses GCS. Actually the new current system is the CBI-M system (Manley, Lancet 2025), the traditional older methods was using GCS – reword please.

3. Patients with missing data were excluded. As the number is relatively small (n= 157) this unlikely to change results but ideally missing data would be managed at least by checking for differences between those included and excluded, plus/minus multiple imputation and/ or sensitivity analysis (see Richter, J Neurotrauma, 2019)

4. Regarding presentation of results. Usually in the literature moderate-severe TBI is grouped together and mild TBI is kept separate. For comparison with other literature, please could the authors present results (also) in these groupings.

5. This study addresses a very specific subgroup of patients: those who have been admitted (as opposed to been discharged from the emergency department) but have not died as an inpatient. So a “medium” risk group for poor outcome. This should be made a bit clearer in the discussion/limitation section so the reader can appreciate the generalisability of results.

6. Line 266 states a result is present with “lower power”. Please reword to statistically correct terminology.

7. As this paper directly addresses the question of recovery trajectories, it should refer to other major works addressing this question such as papers by the TRACK-TBI group (Nelson et al; McCrea et al; Curpen et al)

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Revision 1

We are grateful to the esteemed editor for this opportunity, and we sincerely appreciate the invaluable contributions of the respected reviewers, who dedicated their precious time to improving our manuscript. We have acknowledged our shortcomings and errors, and within the short period that has passed, we have made every effort to implement all the suggestions provided by the esteemed reviewers. Their feedback has been highly valuable to us, and we have incorporated the following changes into the manuscript:

Best Regards,

Dr. Tabrizi

Reviewer #1

Thank you for the opportunity to review the paper by Kouchaki et al entitled “Complex patterns of functional change among TBI survivors from discharge to 6-month follow up: findings from a registry-based cohort study. This is a retrospective single-centre registry analysis of TBI patients who survived until discharge, aiming to understand which baseline variables are associated with change in GOSE between discharge and 6-month follow up.

MAJOR POINTS

1. The potential to improve between discharge and 6-month will heavily depend on how much recovery has already occurred (i.e. GOSE at discharge) and how much more time remains to recover (i.e. length of stay in hospital). In fact the degree of recovery may directly influence the decision as to whether the patient is ready for discharge. Therefore all models must be adjusted for GOSE0 and LOS by including them as predictors, which is currently missing. GOSE0 should also be shown in Table 1.

Response:

We thank the reviewer for this insightful and methodologically well-founded comment. We fully agree with the underlying rationale that both baseline functional status (GOSE₀) and hospital length of stay (LOS) are important determinants of recovery potential and post-discharge trajectories.

However, in the context of our study design, there are important statistical considerations that limit the direct inclusion of these variables in the primary models:

1. GOSE₀ (baseline functional status):

Our primary outcome was defined as functional change (GOSE₆ − GOSE₀). Because GOSE₀ is inherently a component of this outcome, including it as a covariate in regression models would introduce mathematical coupling and collinearity, which can bias parameter estimates and distort associations. This issue has been well described in methodological literature addressing analyses of change scores and baseline adjustment.

To appropriately account for baseline functional status, we instead performed subgroup analyses stratified by GOSE₀ (Supplementary Table 10), which allow for evaluation of recovery trajectories within comparable baseline categories without introducing collinearity. We believe this represents a more statistically appropriate and clinically interpretable approach.

In addition, GOSE₀ has now been explicitly included in Table 1, as suggested.

2. Hospital length of stay (LOS):

As noted in the Methods section, hospital LOS reflects downstream effects of clinical management and in-hospital recovery, and its inclusion in primary models may introduce post-treatment bias. For this reason, LOS was not included in the main analyses.

Nevertheless, to address the reviewer’s concern, we conducted exploratory models including LOS, and these results are presented in the Supplementary Tables. The findings were consistent with the primary analyses, suggesting that exclusion of LOS did not materially affect our conclusions.

We greatly appreciate the reviewer’s comment, which highlights an important methodological consideration. While we fully agree with the conceptual importance of GOSE₀ and LOS, the statistical structure of our outcome required alternative approaches to ensure valid and interpretable results.

“In addition, unfavorable discharge functional status (GOSE0 ≤ 4) was markedly more frequent among patients who subsequently regressed or recovered than among those who remained stable.” (Table 1)

“Unfavorable GOSE0 was substantially more common in the regression and recovery groups than in the stable group (Table 2)”

“Hospital LOS was excluded from the final model to avoid post-treatment bias; however, the results of a parallel model including hospital LOS are provided in Supplementary Table 3.”

“Supplementary Table 5 provides the same model with the inclusion of hospital LOS.”

Supplementary Table 3. Multivariate multinomial logistic regression of independent baseline predictors in mild to moderate TBI patients (including hospital LOS)

Mild to Moderate TBI, GCS 9 – 15 (n = 1873)

Variables Recovering Regressing

p-value OR 95% CI p-value OR 95% CI

Age (40 – 59) 0.365 0.850 0.598, 1.208  0.001 5.533 2.314, 13.232

Age (60 – 74) 0.112 1.428 0.920, 2.215  0.001 8.875 3.281, 24.008

Age (75 and older)  0.001 4.096 2.366, 7.089  0.001 40.172 14.116, 114.319

Sex (male) 0.581 0.901 0.623, 1.304 0.838 1.073 0.546, 2.110

Pupils (anisocoria) 0.261 0.674 0.339, 1.342 0.311 0.343 0.044, 2.710

Pupils (bilateral fixed) 0.440 0.631 0.196, 2.030 0.971 1.035 0.162, 6.633

Pupils (uncheckable) 0.613 1.131 0.701, 1.825 0.168 0.500 0.187, 1.338

Mechanism (motor vehicle) 0.482 1.136 0.795, 1.624 0.211 0.619 0.291, 1.314

Mechanism (pedestrian) 0.636 0.902 0.589, 1.381 0.532 0.776 0.350, 1.719

Mechanism (others) 0.064 0.549 0.292, 1.034 0.386 0.606 0.195, 1.882

HTN 0.049 0.568 0.324, 0.998 0.458 0.735 0.326, 1.657

DM 0.053 0.511 0.258, 1.009 0.539 1.354 0.515, 3.562

CVA/CVD 0.397 1.444 0.618, 3.377 0.090 2.398 0.874, 6.583

SAH 0.002 1.590 1.186, 2.131 0.036 1.888 1.044, 3.414

IVH 0.999 1.000 0.502, 1.993 0.309 1.749 0.596, 5.135

BSFx 0.742 1.051 0.782, 1.412 0.125 0.570 0.278, 1.168

Pneumocephalus 0.040 1.462 1.018, 2.100 0.659 0.808 0.314, 2.081

EDH 0.315 0.845 0.608, 1.174 0.023 0.312 0.114, 851

SDH 0.530 1.103 0.812, 1.499 0.750 1.104 0.602, 2.023

DSFx 0.163 0.684 0.402, 1.166 0.254 1.940 0.622, 6.056

Midline shift (> 5 mm) 0.127 1.443 0.901, 2.312 0.981 0.989 0.381, 2.565

Cisterns status (absent) 0.053 1.863 0.991, 3.501 0.700 1.372 0.275, 6.851

Cisterns status (compressed) 0.478 0.784 0.401, 1.535 0.822 0.868 0.253, 2.973

Hospital LOS  0.001 1.046 1.035, 1.056  0.001 1.050 1.032, 1.068

GCS  0.001 0.869 0.812, 0.930  0.001 0.683 0.591, 0.788

INR 0.411 1.153 0.821, 1.618 0.531 1.192 0.688, 2.068

Random BS, mg/dl  0.001 1.004 1.002, 1.006 0.338 0.998 0.993, 1.002

SBP, mmHg 0.582 1.002 0.995, 1.009 0.573 1.004 0.991, 1.016

Hemoglobin, g/dl 0.427 0.974 0.911, 1.040 0.149 0.909 0.797, 1.035

Platelet count 0.987 1.000 0.998, 1.002  0.001 1.005 1.002, 1.008

Multivariate multinomial logistic regression evaluating independent baseline predictors of six-month functional trajectory in patients with mild to moderate traumatic brain injury (GCS 9–15). "Stable" served as the reference category. Odds ratios (ORs), 95% confidence intervals (CIs), and p-values are shown for comparisons between Regressing and Recovering groups versus Stable. GCS = Glasgow Coma Scale; HTN = Hypertension; DM = Diabetes Mellitus; CVA/CVD = Cerebrovascular disease/Cardiovascular disease; SAH = Subarachnoid hemorrhage; IVH = Intraventricular hemorrhage; SDH = Subdural hematoma; EDH = Epidural hematoma; BSFx = Basal skull fracture; DSFx = Depressed skull fracture; LOS = Length of Stay; INR = International Normalized Ratio; SBP = Systolic Blood Pressure; BS = Blood Sugar. Significant p-values (< 0.05) are bolded.

Supplementary Table 5. Multivariate multinomial logistic regression of independent baseline predictors in severe TBI patients (including hospital LOS)

Severe TBI, GCS 3 – 8 (n = 1075)

Variables Recovering Regressing

p-value OR 95% CI p-value OR 95% CI

Age (40 – 59) 0.610 1.098 0.766, 1.573  0.001 3.347 1.956, 5.727

Age (60 – 74) 0.730 0.901 0.496, 1.634 0.002 3.545 1.613, 7.791

Age (75 and older) 0.383 0.505 0.109, 2.345 0.008 7.846 1.721, 35.773

Pupils (anisocoria) 0.247 1.313 0.828, 2.080 0.531 0.757 0.316, 1.811

Pupils (bilateral fixed) 0.393 1.184 0.803, 1.747 0.018 2.006 1.127, 3.572

Pupils (uncheckable) 0.418 0.803 0.472, 1.366 0.848 0.912 0.357, 2.329

Mechanism (motor vehicle) 0.386 0.816 0.516, 1.292 0.581 1.247 0.570, 2.728

Mechanism (pedestrian) 0.260 0.731 0.423, 1.262 0.819 1.107 0.465, 2.636

Mechanism (others) 0.546 0.816 0.422, 1.579 0.492 1.484 0.481, 4.575

HTN 0.574 1.329 0.493, 3.586 0.114 2.470 0.805, 7.582

DM 0.629 1.260 0.493, 3.217 0.697 1.266 0.386, 4.144

CVA/CVD 0.684 1.719 0.126, 23.417 0.304 3.901 0.291, 52.340

SAH 0.107 1.275 0.949, 1.713 0.194 1.381 0.849, 2.247

IVH 0.050 1.521 1.000, 2.312 0.016 2.142 1.149, 3.993

BSFx 0.020 1.396 1.053, 1.850 0.862 1.043 0.646, 1.684

Pneumocephalus 0.015 0.574 0.366, 0.898 0.257 1.478 0.752, 2.903

EDH 0.814 0.959 0.679, 1.355 0.054 0.518 0.265, 1.012

SDH 0.705 0.940 0.684, 1.293 0.940 1.021 0.603, 1.729

ICH 0.4007 1.125 0.852, 1.485 0.269 1.303 0.815, 2.082

Cisterns status (absent) 0.184 1.394 0.854, 2.275 0.370 1.406 0.667, 2.963

Cisterns status (compressed) 0.686 1.109 0.670, 1.837 0.875 0.935 0.407, 2.150

Hospital LOS  0.001 1.023 1.014, 1.032  0.001 1.038 1.027, 1.050

GCS 0.033 0.907 0.829, 0.992 0.038 0.858 0.743, 0.992

Random BS, mg/dl 0.130 1.002 0.999, 1.004 0.410 0.998 0.994, 1.002

PTT, seconds 0.024 1.021 1.003, 1.040 0.035 1.029 1.002, 1.056

Hemoglobin, g/dl 0.445 1.025 0.963, 1.091 0.453 0.961 0.866, 1.066

SBP, mmHg 0.345 1.003 0.997, 1.009 0.867 1.001 0.991, 1.011

Multivariate multinomial logistic regression evaluating independent baseline predictors of six-month functional trajectory in patients with severe traumatic brain injury (GCS 3–8). "Stable" served as the reference category. Odds ratios (ORs), 95% confidence intervals (CIs), and p-values are shown for comparisons between Regressing and Recovering groups versus Stable. GCS = Glasgow Coma Scale; HTN = Hypertension; DM = Diabetes Mellitus; CVA/CVD = Cerebrovascular disease/Cardiovascular disease; SAH = Subarachnoid hemorrhage; IVH = Intraventricular hemorrhage; SDH = Subdural hematoma; EDH = Epidural hematoma; ICH = Intracerebral hemorrhage; BSFx = Basal skull fracture; LOS = Length of Stay; PTT = Partial Thromboplastin Time; SBP = Systolic Blood Pressure; BS = Blood Sugar. Significant p-values (< 0.05) are bolded.

2. The statistical method for variable selection is flawed. Authors use univariate analysis and include all variables with p<0.20 for the multivariate analysis. This approach will lead to missing potentially important variables if they are confounded by others and should be included regardless of p-value. I would suggest the authors use existing literature (e.g. CRASH and IMPACT models) and their knowledge of the subject matter to inform selection. In addition they could consider stepwise inclusion/exclusion of covariates guided by AIC/BIC or penalised regression.

Response:

We thank the reviewer for this important methodological comment.

We agree that reliance solely on univariate p-value thresholds for variable selection may risk excluding clinically relevant predictors, particularly in the presence of confounding. However, we note that the use of a liberal threshold (e.g., p<0.20) for initial variable screening is a commonly applied approach in epidemiological modeling, especially prediction models with a wide set of variables, intended to reduce the likelihood of prematurely excluding potentially important variables that may become significant in multivariable analyses.

To address the reviewer’s concern more comprehensively, we have now:

1. Retained the original modeling approach using univariate screening with a liberal threshold, while clarifying its rationale in the Methods section.

2. Conducted additional sensitivity analyses in which covariate selection was based on clinical relevance and prior evidence, informed by established TBI prognostic models such as CRASH and IMPACT.

3. Added these results to the manuscript (Supplementary Tables 4 and 6), demonstrating that the findings were consistent across both approaches.

We believe this combined approach strengthens the robustness and transparency of our analysis, and we are grateful to the reviewer for prompting this improvement.

“Candidate variables for multivariable modeling were initially selected based on univariate analysis using a liberal threshold (p<0.20). This approach is commonly used in epidemiological research to avoid excluding potentially important variables that may not show strong univariate associations but could become significant in multivariable contexts due to confounding or interaction effects. Indeed, prior methodological studies recommend using higher p-value thresholds (e.g., 0.15-0.25) during initial screening to minimize the risk of omitting relevant predictors (Bursac, Gauss, Williams, & Hosmer, 2008; Chowdhury & Turin, 2020).

However, recognizing the limitations of purely data-driven selection methods, we conducted additional sensitivity analyses in which covariate selection was based on clinical relevance and prior evidence, informed by established TBI prognostic models (e.g., CRASH and IMPACT).”

“Additional sensitivity analyses using clinically selected covariates based on the CRASH and IMPACT prognostic models yielded broadly consistent findings (Supplementary Table 4). Recovery was independently associated with age ≥75 years (OR = 2.586, p < 0.001), SAH (OR = 1.581, p = 0.001), absent cisterns (OR = 2.668, p = 0.001), lower GCS scores (OR = 0.825, p < 0.001), higher admission BS (OR = 1.004, p < 0.001), and lower Hb levels (OR = 0.931, p = 0.020). Regression was independently associated with older age across all age categories, lower GCS scores (OR = 0.651, p < 0.001), lower Hb levels (OR = 0.863, p = 0.015), and absence of EDH, as EDH remained protective against regression (OR = 0.258, p = 0.005). SAH showed a borderline association with regression but did not reach statistical significance.”

“Sensitivity analyses using clinically selected CRASH/IMPACT-based covariates also supported the primary findings in sTBI patients (Supplementary Table 6). In this model, recovery was independently associated only with lower GCS scores (OR = 0.871, p = 0.002) and higher admission BS (OR = 1.002, p = 0.047). Regression was independently associated with older age, bilateral fixed pupils (OR = 2.239, p = 0.004), and lower GCS scores (OR = 0.791, p < 0.001). SAH (p = 0.051), EDH (p = 0.067), and absent cisterns (p = 0.092) showed borderline associations but did not reach statistical significance.”

Furthermore, we acknowledge that stepwise and penalised regression approaches can be useful for data-driven variable selection. However, automated stepwise procedures are not fully supported for multinomial logistic regression in SPSS, which was used in this study. Future studies using alternative statistical platforms may further explore penalised regression approaches.

Supplementary Table 4. Multivariate multinomial logistic regression of independent baseline predictors in mild to moderate TBI patients (selecting variables based on CRASH and IMPACT models)

Mild to Moderate TBI, GCS 9 – 15 (n = 1873)

Variables Recovering Regressing

p-value OR 95% CI p-value OR 95% CI

Age (40 – 59) 0.304 0.841 0.605, 1.170  0.001 5.601 2.487, 12.612

Age (60 – 74) 0.318 1.222 0.824, 1.813  0.001 8.504 3.481, 20.776

Age (75 and older)  0.001 2.586 1.621, 4.126  0.001 35.185 14.625, 84.684

Pupils (anisocoria) 0.480 0.787 0.404, 1.531 0.274 0.315 0.040, 2.498

Pupils (bilateral fixed) 0.849 0.902 0.312, 2.611 0.767 1.286 0.244, 6.780

Pupils (uncheckable) 0.499 1.171 0.741, 1.853 0.186 0.529 0.206, 1.359

SAH 0.001 1.581 1.199, 2.084 0.069 1.670 0.961, 2.901

EDH 0.085 0.763 0.561, 1.038 0.005 0.258 0.100, 0.665

Midline shift (> 5 mm) 0.251 1.294 0.833, 2.012 0.811 1.114 0.461, 2.689

Cisterns status (absent) 0.001 2.668 1.463, 4.869 0.554 1.606 0.335, 7.705

Cisterns status (compressed) 0.728 0.892 0.468, 1.700 0.986 0.990 0.315, 3.106

GCS  0.001 0.825 0.774, 0.879  0.001 0.651 0.569, 0.745

Random BS, mg/dl  0.001 1.004 1.002, 1.006 0.620 1.001 0.997, 1.005

SBP, mmHg 0.669 0.999 0.992, 1.005 0.371 1.005 0.994, 1.017

Hemoglobin, g/dl 0.020 0.931 0.877, 0.989 0.015 0.863 0.767, 0.972

Multivariate multinomial logistic regression evaluating independent baseline predictors of six-month functional trajectory in patie

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Submitted filename: Response to the Reviewers.docx
Decision Letter - Chinh Quoc Luong, Editor

Complex patterns of functional change among TBI survivors from discharge to 6-month follow-up: findings from a registry-based cohort study

PONE-D-26-08416R1

Dear Dr. Tabrizi,

We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements.

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Chinh Quoc Luong, MD., PhD.

Academic Editor

PLOS One

Additional Editor Comments (optional):

Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

-->Comments to the Author

1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation.-->

Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed

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Reviewer #1: (No Response)

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-->3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? -->

Reviewer #1: (No Response)

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Reviewer #1: (No Response)

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Reviewer #1: (No Response)

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-->6. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)-->

Reviewer #1: (No Response)

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Reviewer #1: No

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Formally Accepted
Acceptance Letter - Chinh Quoc Luong, Editor

PONE-D-26-08416R1

PLOS One

Dear Dr. Tabrizi,

I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS One. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now being handed over to our production team.

At this stage, our production department will prepare your paper for publication. This includes ensuring the following:

* All references, tables, and figures are properly cited

* All relevant supporting information is included in the manuscript submission,

* There are no issues that prevent the paper from being properly typeset

You will receive further instructions from the production team, including instructions on how to review your proof when it is ready. Please keep in mind that we are working through a large volume of accepted articles, so please give us a few days to review your paper and let you know the next and final steps.

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If we can help with anything else, please email us at customercare@plos.org.

Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access.

Kind regards,

PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staff

on behalf of

Assoc. Prof. Chinh Quoc Luong

Academic Editor

PLOS One

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