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Peer-reviewed
Research Article
Global, regional, and national burden of hypertensive intracerebral hemorrhage, 1990 to 2021 and projections to 2050: Results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
Global, regional, and national burden of hypertensive intracerebral hemorrhage, 1990 to 2021 and projections to 2050: Results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration,
we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria
as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the
manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.
==============================
ACADEMIC EDITOR: The topic is of interest. However, the manuscript needs revision
before further consideration.
Please submit your revised manuscript by Jul 03 2025 11:59PM. If you will need more
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We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript.
Kind regards,
Thien Tan Tri Tai Truyen, M.D.
Academic Editor
PLOS ONE
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[Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.]
Reviewers' comments:
Reviewer's Responses to Questions
Comments to the Author
1. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?
Reviewer #1: Yes
Reviewer #2: Yes
**********
2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? -->?>
Reviewer #1: Yes
Reviewer #2: I Don't Know
**********
3. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully
available??>
4. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard
English??>
Reviewer #1: Yes
Reviewer #2: Yes
**********
Reviewer #1: The manuscript analyzes the global, regional, and national burden of
hypertensive intracerebral hemorrhage (HICH) from 1990 to 2021 using data from the
Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 study. It focuses on age-standardized death rates
(ASDR) and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), examining trends across countries,
regions, age groups, sexes, and sociodemographic index (SDI) levels. The study reports
a significant decline in global ASDR (31.418%) and DALYs (32.163%) from 1990 to 2021,
with projections to 2050 using a Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model indicating
continued declines. The authors highlight persistent disparities in less developed
regions and call for targeted prevention and treatment strategies to address these
gaps.
Areas of improvement:
1. Limited Discussion of HICH-Specific Risk Factors:
While the manuscript identifies hypertension as the primary risk factor for HICH,
it does not sufficiently explore other contributing factors (e.g., smoking, alcohol
use, obesity) or their interactions with hypertension. The discussion of risk factors
is brief and relies heavily on general statements.
Recommendation: Expand the discussion to include a detailed analysis of HICH-specific
risk factors, supported by GBD data on attributable fractions or relevant literature.
Discuss how these factors vary by region, sex, or SDI.
2. Inadequate Exploration of Data Limitations:
The manuscript acknowledges variability in data quality, particularly in low- and
middle-income countries, but does not thoroughly discuss the implications of these
limitations. For example, it does not address potential biases in HICH diagnosis,
underreporting, or differences in healthcare access that may affect GBD estimates.
Recommendation: Dedicate a paragraph in the discussion to explore data limitations,
including diagnostic accuracy, data completeness, and the ecological study design’s
inability to infer causality. Discuss how these limitations may impact the findings
and projections.
3. Overreliance on Descriptive Statistics:
The results section is heavily descriptive, presenting extensive numerical data (e.g.,
ASDR, DALYs, EAPC) without sufficient synthesis or interpretation. This makes the
section dense and challenging to follow for readers unfamiliar with GBD studies.
Recommendation: Streamline the results section by focusing on key trends and using
tables/figures to summarize data. Provide more interpretive commentary to highlight
the significance of findings (e.g., why certain regions have higher burdens).
4. Insufficient Detail on BAPC Model:
The manuscript briefly describes the BAPC model but does not explain its assumptions,
limitations, or how it handles uncertainty in projections. Readers unfamiliar with
this method may struggle to assess its validity.
Recommendation: Expand the methods section to include a detailed explanation of the
BAPC model, including its mathematical framework, assumptions (e.g., stationarity
of trends), and how it accounts for future changes in risk factors or healthcare access.
Discuss potential limitations of long-term projections.
5. Generic Policy Recommendations:
The policy recommendations (e.g., increasing screening, improving medical facilities)
are broad and lack specificity regarding implementation, cost-effectiveness, or feasibility
in low-resource settings. The manuscript does not address potential barriers, such
as political or cultural resistance.
Recommendation: Provide more concrete policy recommendations, such as integrating
HICH screening into existing hypertension programs, leveraging telemedicine for rural
areas, or adopting cost-effective interventions like community health worker training.
Discuss implementation challenges and potential solutions.
6. Inconsistent Temporal References:
The manuscript inconsistently refers to the study period (e.g., “2019” in Tables 1
and 2 instead of 2021, “32 years” vs. “1990–2021”). This creates confusion about the
data’s temporal scope.
Recommendation: Standardize all temporal references to 1990–2021 and correct errors
in tables (e.g., replace “2019” with “2021”). Ensure consistency in describing the
study period throughout the manuscript.
7. Underutilized Supplementary Materials:
The manuscript references 13 supplementary figures but does not adequately integrate
them into the main text. For example, S9–S13 figures are cited but not summarized,
limiting their utility for readers.
Recommendation: Provide brief summaries of key supplementary findings in the main
text or include a dedicated section describing the supplementary materials. Ensure
all figures are clearly labeled and cross-referenced.
8. Minor Editorial Issues:
The manuscript contains minor typographical errors (e.g., “supplemalestary” in some
sections, inconsistent spacing in references) and awkward phrasing (e.g., “more severe
sites” for HICH in males). These detract from the manuscript’s professionalism.
Recommendation: Conduct a thorough proofreading to correct typos, standardize terminology,
and improve sentence clarity. Ensure references adhere to PLOS ONE’s formatting guidelines.
Reviewer #2: I have reviewed the manuscript analyzing trends in hemorrhagic intracerebral
hemorrhage (HICH) using Global Burden of Disease data. I believe that this work provides
valuable epidemiological insights, but I think that several minor revisions are needed
before publication.
Introduction:
The progression from global ICH burden to HICH specifics and then to GBD data trends
is somewhat abrupt. I would fix this flow, although it is still clear in a way, but
it would be further enhanced with more logical transitions.
I think the introduction is good, but in my opinion, it lacks a clear statement of
the knowledge gap or why analysing HICH trends specifically by geography, SDI, age,
and gender is important. This would enhance the introduction and emphasise the importance
and strength of the study. I would highly suggest that you fix this.
My last suggestion for this section is the referencing of literature. Some references
(e.g. [5], [6]) are cited vaguely, and it is unclear what specific data or findings
they refer to. If you further emphasise using numbers or statements from the studies
you have referenced, you can make the reader more intrigued to read your research,
since you have built a strong introduction.
Methods:
Generally, this section is well written and explained. There are some areas I would
like to draw attention to, and I am saying this because I am a first-time reader,
so my comments might be due to my confusion rather than my knowledge.
The phrase "queried raw data" is vague and needs clarification. I asked myself, "Did
the authors extract incidence, mortality, DALYs, or other variables from GBD 2021?
Was it done through the GHDx tool or GBD Results Tool?" I would suggest elaborating
on this section further to enhance the strength of the methods used to conduct this
strong study.
While the SDI breakdown is correct, I am confused about how the SDI is assigned to
each country. The method used to assign countries to each SDI category should be cited
or briefly explained (e.g. based on the GBD-defined quintiles for each year). This
would be enhanced if you added a statement with a reference stating that each SDI
is assigned to the countries using WHO categorisations. Explaining or emphasising
standards here is very important because of the study aim; otherwise, it will be very
vague and subject to critiques.
Also, the BAPC model is mentioned, but I am confused about how this model was used,
designed, or validated. This section is very concise and lacks clarity in some places.
Again, I believe that emphasising this section by detailing the methodological approach
is essential.
Instead of "a p-value < for 0.05…", I would say "A p-value < 0.05 was considered statistically
significant." How was the EAPC calculated? This is also not clear.
Results:
The results state that trends are "significant”, but there is no mention of p-values
or interpretation of CIs (although the CIs do not cross 0, indicating statistical
significance). I would suggest adding the P value here.
Discussion and Conclusion:
"The results of this study are generally consistent with those of previous studies
showing an overall decreasing trend in the global burden of cerebral haemorrhage;
however, the authors have not provided the actual numbers, which weakens the comparison
and decreases the study strength in adding value to the current literature. Other
sentences with the same structure in this section also lack numbers or comparison
details.
I also noticed The discussion is mostly descriptive and lacks in-depth causal interpretation.
I noticed that The limitations and strengths section is missing. You may have merged
it with the text, but I would highly recommend that you do a separate section.
I believe this manuscript addresses an important topic with significant public health
implications. A comprehensive approach examining variations by geography, SDI, age,
and sex offers valuable perspectives for targeted interventions. With the suggested
revisions to enhance methodological clarity, narrative flow, and interpretive depth,
I believe this work will make a significant contribution to understanding global HICH
patterns and trends.
I recommend this manuscript for publication following moderate revisions.
**********
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Reviewer #1: No
Reviewer #2: Yes: Areej Almutairi
**********
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Global, regional, and national burden of hypertensive intracerebral hemorrhage, 1990
to 2021 and projections to 2050: Results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
Dear Editor and Reviewers,
We are very grateful for the opportunity to revise the manuscript entitled “Global,
regional, and national burden of hypertensive cerebral hemorrhage from 1990 to 2021
and projections to 2050: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021” and
thank the reviewers for their insightful comments. These comments were invaluable
and very helpful in revising and improving the paper, as well as providing important
guidance for our research. In the submitted manuscript “Revised Manuscript with Track
Changes”, we have kept all the traces of changes and made detailed corrections to
the comments of the journal, reviewer 1, and reviewer 2, which are prominently highlighted
in blue, yellow, and green, in that order. Below, we have provided a detailed response
to each of the reviewers' comments and listed the number of lines of changes (for
“Revised Manuscript with Track Changes” manuscripts) for easy reference. In addition,
we have completely revised the entire manuscript. In this response letter, the reviewers'
comments are italicized, and our corresponding changes and additions to the manuscript
are highlighted in red. We have made every effort to make all revisions clear, and
we hope that the revised manuscript will meet the requirements for publication.
In addition, there is a question for the editors to note that "the study was supported
by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (82274458)" has been added to
the manuscript funding section, and this project has also been added to the system.
We apologize for any inconvenience caused, and please contact us if there is anything
unreasonable.
Journal Requirements:
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We have checked and revised the style requirements and file naming requirements of
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that the revised manuscript meets the requirements of your journal.
2. Please include your full ethics statement in the ‘Methods’ section of your manuscript
file. In your statement, please include the full name of the IRB or ethics committee
who approved or waived your study, as well as whether or not you obtained informed
written or verbal consent. If consent was waived for your study, please include this
information in your statement as well.
We have included a full ethical statement in the “Methods” section of the manuscript
document. The full name of the ethics committee that approved or exempted the study
has also been indicated and the exemption of the study from obtaining informed consent
has been explained. In the “Revised Manuscript with Track Changes”, lines 121-126.
3. Please ensure that you refer to Figure 9 to 13 in your text as, if accepted, production
will need this reference to link the reader to the figure.
Figures 9 to 13, referred to in the text, have been redeployed and elaborated in order
to better connect the reader to the figures. In the “Revised Manuscript with Track
Changes”, lines 339-360.
4. Please upload a copy of Supporting Information Figure/Table/etc. “Supporting information”
which you refer to in your text on page 27.
We are going to elaborate on this issue, due to our misinterpretation, the two tables
with 13 images covered in the main text were written into the supplementary material,
i.e., the “Supporting Information” on page 27 in the first version of the submitted
manuscript is the same as the charts and graphs in the main text and no new charts/tables,
etc., of supporting information have been added, so the supplementary material This
section is not available to us and this section should be deleted. We apologize for
any confusion caused to you. In the “Revised Manuscript with Track Changes”, lines
809-832.
Response to reviewer #1:
Dear Reviewer #1,
Thank you for your constructive comments on my manuscript. I appreciate your time
and effort in reviewing my paper and providing valuable suggestions. I have revised
manuscript according to your feedback and addressed each point in detail below.
Thank you again for reviewing the manuscript, and I hope my revisions meet your requirements.
Reviewer #1: The manuscript analyzes the global, regional, and national burden of
hypertensive intracerebral hemorrhage (HICH) from 1990 to 2021 using data from the
Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 study. It focuses on age-standardized death rates
(ASDR) and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), examining trends across countries,
regions, age groups, sexes, and sociodemographic index (SDI) levels. The study reports
a significant decline in global ASDR (31.418%) and DALYs (32.163%) from 1990 to 2021,
with projections to 2050 using a Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model indicating
continued declines. The authors highlight persistent disparities in less developed
regions and call for targeted prevention and treatment strategies to address these
gaps.
Areas of improvement:
1. Limited Discussion of HICH-Specific Risk Factors:
While the manuscript identifies hypertension as the primary risk factor for HICH,
it does not sufficiently explore other contributing factors (e.g., smoking, alcohol
use, obesity) or their interactions with hypertension. The discussion of risk factors
is brief and relies heavily on general statements.
Recommendation: Expand the discussion to include a detailed analysis of HICH-specific
risk factors, supported by GBD data on attributable fractions or relevant literature.
Discuss how these factors vary by region, sex, or SDI.
Your comments and suggestions are much appreciated and we have referred to the relevant
literature to further analyze the specific risk factors for HICH and to further discuss
how these factors differ by region, gender, or SDI. In the “Revised Manuscript with
Track Changes”, lines 85-100.The additions are specified below:
In addition, factors such as hypertension, diet, and the environment can also have
a significant impact on HICH risk across different regions, genders, and contexts
such as the SDI[1].High systolic blood pressure is the most important factor for high
ASDRs and age-standardized DALYs rates for ICH in 2021, followed by particulate matter
pollution, cigarette smoking, indoor air pollution from solid fuels, and a high sodium
diet, and there were gender differences in these risks, with the main factors influencing
the risk of death for males being smoking and particulate matter pollution of the
atmosphere, and the main factors influencing the risk of death for females being particulate
matter pollution and indoor air pollution from solid fuels[2]. Among the different
regions, Central and Southeast Asia have a higher prevalence of hypertension, which
is coupled with unhealthy lifestyles such as high-salt diets and smoking, which further
adds to the burden of ICH[3]. In low SDI areas, particulate matter pollution and smoking
account for only 8.1% and 5.9% of all deaths from ICH, respectively, and household
air pollution from solid fuels can account for 40.2% of all deaths. However, in areas
with high SDI levels, deaths due to particulate matter pollution, smoking, and household
air pollution are lower[2]
2. Inadequate Exploration of Data Limitations:
The manuscript acknowledges variability in data quality, particularly in low- and
middle-income countries, but does not thoroughly discuss the implications of these
limitations. For example, it does not address potential biases in HICH diagnosis,
underreporting, or differences in healthcare access that may affect GBD estimates.
Recommendation: Dedicate a paragraph in the discussion to explore data limitations,
including diagnostic accuracy, data completeness, and the ecological study design’s
inability to infer causality. Discuss how these limitations may impact the findings
and projections.
Thank you very much for your comments and suggestions, we have included a paragraph
exploring the limitations of the data including diagnostic accuracy, data completeness,
and the inability of ecological study designs to infer causality and discussing how
these limitations may affect study results and predictions. In the “Revised Manuscript
with Track Changes”, lines 526-561.The additions are specified below:
Strengths and limitations
The strength of this study lies in its systematic analysis of spatial and temporal
trends in ASDRs and age-standardized DALYs rates for HICH by country, region, age,
sex, and level of SDI using data from the GBD study from 1990 to 2021. We also projected
the global burden of ASDR, age-standardized DALYs rates for HICH to 2050. To the best
of our knowledge, this GBD-based study represents one of the more comprehensive efforts
to date to analyze the global burden of HICH in terms of mortality rates, DALYs, and
projected future trends; however, as described in previous studies[4-7], there are
some limitations to the present study: Firstly, there may be challenges in diagnosing
and reporting hypertensive cerebral hemorrhagic disease, i.e., variations in diagnostic
criteria, reporting standards, and data collection methods in different countries
and regions can affect the accuracy of results. Second, when GBD collects and organizes
regional data, there may be incomplete data for some regions. For example, some studies
may not provide regional data, while others may provide data that are inconsistent
with GBD's regional delineation. In addition, the GBD database incorporates a relatively
wide range of data, and the quality and availability of data vary significantly across
countries and regions, especially in low- and middle-income countries that mostly
lack robust data registries. As a result, the regional burden of HICH may not be accurately
estimated, thereby affecting the effectiveness of targeted interventions and resource
allocation. Third, GBD analyses rely on statistical models and assumptions to make
inferences, which to some extent ignores real-world complexity factors and may not
better reflect the lived experiences of people with HICH in different cultural contexts.
Fourth, no risk factors for HICH were identified in the GBD database. HICH is a multifactorial
disease, and its pathogenesis is related to genetics, environment, and lifestyle in
addition to hypertension as a major factor. This study may not provide a comprehensive
understanding of the risk factors for HICH, which to some extent hinders the development
of effective prevention and control strategies. Finally, the impact of time should
be considered. This analysis spanned a period of 30 years, and projections of the
future burden of HICH were mostly based on current trends and patterns, during which
major developments in medical technology, treatment protocols, and public health policies
may have had an impact on the burden of HICH, which to a certain extent ignored the
possible intervening factors that may have been relevant in the passage of time. Future
research should focus on the impact of health policies, resource allocation, etc.,
and utilize multidisciplinary approaches and technologies to enhance the prevention,
treatment, and global health outcomes of HICH.
3. Overreliance on Descriptive Statistics:
The results section is heavily descriptive, presenting extensive numerical data (e.g.,
ASDR, DALYs, EAPC) without sufficient synthesis or interpretation. This makes the
section dense and challenging to follow for readers unfamiliar with GBD studies.
Recommendation: Streamline the results section by focusing on key trends and using
tables/figures to summarize data. Provide more interpretive commentary to highlight
the significance of findings (e.g., why certain regions have higher burdens).
Thank you very much for your comments and suggestions, we have streamlined the results
section somewhat by focusing on the discussion of major trends and using tables/graphs
to summarize the data, as well as providing more explanatory comments in the discussion
section to emphasize the importance of the findings. In the “Revised Manuscript with
Track Changes”, lines 121-364.Due to the large and mostly detailed issues involved,
they are not listed separately here and have been labeled in the text.
4. Insufficient Detail on BAPC Model:
The manuscript briefly describes the BAPC model but does not explain its assumptions,
limitations, or how it handles uncertainty in projections. Readers unfamiliar with
this method may struggle to assess its validity.
Recommendation: Expand the methods section to include a detailed explanation of the
BAPC model, including its mathematical framework, assumptions (e.g., stationarity
of trends), and how it accounts for future changes in risk factors or healthcare access.
Discuss potential limitations of long-term projections.
Thank you very much for your comments and suggestions, and we have expanded the Methods
section to explain the BAPC model in detail, including its mathematical framework,
assumptions, and how it takes into account future changes in risk factors or healthcare
delivery, and to discuss potential limitations of long-term projections. In the “Revised
Manuscript with Track Changes”, lines 161-177.The additions are specified below:
A Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model was employed to predict the ASDR, the DALYs,
and the age-standardized DALYs rate for HICH from 2025 to 2050. BAPC modeling is a
methodology used in epidemiology and biostatistics to analyze the relationship between
incidence rates and time. It uses sample data and a priori information to obtain unique
parameter estimates[8], allows for the inclusion of known risk factors as covariates
in the model, and also simulates the impact of future changes in healthcare by setting
up different scenarios. Based on the assumption that the effects of age, period, and
cohort are similar in time, the Bayesian inference in the BAPC model utilizes second-order
stochastic bias to smooth the three aforementioned prior values and predict the posterior
rate[2].BAPC employs the Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (INLA) to approximate
the marginal posterior distributions, thereby avoiding the mixing and convergence
problems associated with the Markov Chain Monte Carlo method and the traditional Bayesian
approach , which has been widely used to analyze trends in chronic diseases and predict
future disease burden[9]. Its long-term predictions are prone to deviate from the
assumed conditions, and data quality and availability can suffer from the difficulty
of incorporating unpredictable events.
5. Generic Policy Recommendations:
The policy recommendations (e.g., increasing screening, improving medical facilities)
are broad and lack specificity regarding implementation, cost-effectiveness, or feasibility
in low-resource settings. The manuscript does not address potential barriers, such
as political or cultural resistance.
Recommendation: Provide more concrete policy recommendations, such as integrating
HICH screening into existing hypertension programs, leveraging telemedicine for rural
areas, or adopting cost-effective interventions like community health worker training.
Discuss implementation challenges and potential solutions.
Your comments and suggestions are greatly appreciated, and we have addressed implementation
challenges and potential solutions in the discussion section, as well as provided
more specific policy recommendations, such as incorporating HICH screening into existing
hypertension programs, utilizing telemedicine to serve rural areas, or cost-effective
interventions such as community health worker training. In the “Revised Manuscript
with Track Changes”, lines 461-464,562-590.The additions are specified below:
Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration,
we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria
as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the
manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.
Please submit your revised manuscript by Aug 17 2025 11:59PM. If you will need more
time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact
the journal office at plosone@plos.org . When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file.
A rebuttal letter that responds to each point raised by the academic editor and reviewer(s).
You should upload this letter as a separate file labeled 'Response to Reviewers'.
A marked-up copy of your manuscript that highlights changes made to the original version.
You should upload this as a separate file labeled 'Revised Manuscript with Track Changes'.
An unmarked version of your revised paper without tracked changes. You should upload
this as a separate file labeled 'Manuscript'.
We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript.
Kind regards,
Thien Tan Tri Tai Truyen, M.D.
Academic Editor
PLOS ONE
Journal Requirements:
Please review your reference list to ensure that it is complete and correct. If you
have cited papers that have been retracted, please include the rationale for doing
so in the manuscript text, or remove these references and replace them with relevant
current references. Any changes to the reference list should be mentioned in the rebuttal
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citation and full reference for the retraction notice.
[Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.]
Reviewers' comments:
Reviewer's Responses to Questions
Comments to the Author
Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed
Reviewer #2: All comments have been addressed
**********
2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions??>
Reviewer #1: Yes
Reviewer #2: Yes
**********
3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? -->?>
Reviewer #1: Yes
Reviewer #2: Yes
**********
4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully
available??>
5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard
English??>
Reviewer #1: Yes
Reviewer #2: Yes
**********
Reviewer #1: Good work. Authors have responded to reviewer comments appropriately.
Global, regional, and national burden of hypertensive intracerebral hemorrhage, 1990
to 2021 and projections to 2050 is important to make changes in health policies considering
the morbidity of hypertension in general population and its complications.
Reviewer #2: Thank you for submitting a revision and addressing the reviewer comments.
I have reviewed your manuscript, and I think that this paper is very important and
would benefit and add to the current literature.
Abstract: In Lines 33–47, although the abstract is generally well-structured, these
lines are slightly dense and long for an abstract; I suggest a clearer summarisation,
for example, regional or country comparisons might be condensed and summarised as
regional extremes in one concise sentence.
Intro: This is a very good and clear intor, however, it is subject for minor improvements.
I found lines (78–91) very dense and lacking in flow and comprehensiveness. When I
review papers, I usually suggest simplifying the meaning because if the paper is easy
to read, it will be referenced a lot. Thus, I suggest that you summarise the key points
and focus on their relevance to the HICH burden and disparities. Also, an important
sentence to add is explaining why your paper is necessary despite previous GBD work.
If you mention previous GBD work, what is different or important about your paper?
Methods: I think this section is very strong and defines how the paper has solid evidence.
In line 121, insert a space after the URL. Otherwise, well done.
Results: This section is also well-written; however, I noticed that there were inconsistencies
in terminology (for example, “countries” and “regions” are conflated); for instance,
Southeast Asia is a region, not a country.
Discussion: This is a comprehensive and well-organised section. Still, there are a
few areas that require refinement. Consider improving the transitions between paragraphs
for a smoother flow, especially when shifting between global, regional, and national
perspectives. In lines 343-344, referencing hormonal effects on neuroprotection is
valuable; however, consider linking it to policy or clinical implications (e.g. gender-sensitive
public health interventions). The final paragraph (lines 413-419) concludes well but
could be enhanced by reiterating the practical importance of these findings, for example,
how they might inform ongoing global health initiatives or SDG targets. The paragraph
on limitations related to GBD data and methods (lines 427–447) is particularly strong;
consider breaking it into two shorter paragraphs for improved readability. The Future
Directions section is very strong; however, it would benefit from reordering for improved
clarity. First outline research priorities, followed by the policy actions. For example,
lines 457-461 (research) could precede lines 465–484 (policy).
**********
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Reviewer #1: No
Reviewer #2: Yes: Areej Almutairi
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Global, regional, and national burden of hypertensive intracerebral hemorrhage, 1990
to 2021 and projections to 2050: Results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
Dear Editor and Reviewers,
We are again very grateful for the opportunity to revise the manuscript entitled “Global,
regional, and national burden of hypertensive cerebral hemorrhage from 1990 to 2021
and projections to 2050: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021” and
would like to thank the reviewers again for their insightful comments. These comments
were invaluable and very helpful in revising and refining the paper and provided important
guidance for our research. In the submitted manuscript “Revised Manuscript with Track
Changes”, we have retained all revision marks and provided detailed responses to the
comments from the journal, reviewer 1 and reviewer 2, with the responses to reviewer
2 mainly marked in red. Below, we have provided a detailed response to each of the
reviewers' comments and listed the number of lines of revision (for “Revised Manuscript
with Track Changes” manuscripts) for ease of reference. In addition, we have completely
revised the entire manuscript. In this response letter, reviewers' comments are italicized,
and our corresponding revisions and additions to the manuscript are highlighted in
red. We have endeavored to make all revisions clear and concise, and we hope that
the revised manuscript will meet the requirements for publication.
Journal Requirements:
Please review your reference list to ensure that it is complete and correct. If you
have cited papers that have been retracted, please include the rationale for doing
so in the manuscript text, or remove these references and replace them with relevant
current references. Any changes to the reference list should be mentioned in the rebuttal
letter that accompanies your revised manuscript. If you need to cite a retracted article,
indicate the article’s retracted status in the References list and also include a
citation and full reference for the retraction notice.
We have checked the reference list and this section is complete and correct and does
not cite papers that have been retracted.
Response to reviewer #1:
Dear Reviewer #1,
Thank you very much for your comments on the manuscript. Thank you for your time and
effort in reviewing the revised version of my paper.
Reviewer #1: Good work. Authors have responded to reviewer comments appropriately.
Global, regional, and national burden of hypertensive intracerebral hemorrhage, 1990
to 2021 and projections to 2050 is important to make changes in health policies considering
the morbidity of hypertension in general population and its complications.
Once again, thank you very much for your comments on the revised manuscript. We have
thoroughly proofread the manuscript to ensure that it meets the requirements for publication
in your journal.
Response to reviewer #2:
Dear Reviewer #2,
Thank you very much for your time and effort in providing valuable comments on our
revised manuscript. We have revised the manuscript based on your feedback, and have
elaborated on each of them below.
Thank you again for reviewing the manuscript, and I hope that my revisions will fulfill
your requirements.
Reviewer #2: Thank you for submitting a revision and addressing the reviewer comments.
I have reviewed your manuscript, and I think that this paper is very important and
would benefit and add to the current literature.
Abstract:
In Lines 33–47, although the abstract is generally well-structured, these lines are
slightly dense and long for an abstract; I suggest a clearer summarisation, for example,
regional or country comparisons might be condensed and summarised as regional extremes
in one concise sentence.
Thank you very much for your comments and suggestions. We have provided a clear and
concise summary of the abstract, summarizing the extremes of the country and region
in more concise sentences. In the “Revised Manuscript with Track Changes”, lines 47-57.
The details of the modifications are as follows:
Country and regional patterns showed stark contrasts: Nauru and Mozambique had the
highest ASDRs and age-standardized DALY rates, while Switzerland and Canada reported
the lowest. Regionally, Central Africa, South Africa, Central Asia, East Asia, and
Southeast Asia had the highest rates, whereas the Americas, Europe, and Oceania had
the lowest. Age and gender trends indicated global peaks in the ASDRs (90–94 age group)
and age-standardized DALY rates (85–89 age group), with men having higher rates across
all age groups. Additionally, both ASDRs and age-standardized DALY rates were negatively
associated with SDI levels. Projections from 2021 to 2050 suggest a continued overall
decline in global ASDRs and age-standardized DALYs rates for HICH.
Introduction:
This is a very good and clear intor, however, it is subject for minor improvements.
I found lines (78–91) very dense and lacking in flow and comprehensiveness. When I
review papers, I usually suggest simplifying the meaning because if the paper is easy
to read, it will be referenced a lot. Thus, I suggest that you summarise the key points
and focus on their relevance to the HICH burden and disparities. Also, an important
sentence to add is explaining why your paper is necessary despite previous GBD work.
If you mention previous GBD work, what is different or important about your paper?
Thank you very much for your comments and suggestions. We have revised (78-91) to
streamline the relevant exposition to make it more fluent, comprehensive, concise
and easy to understand. In addition, we have added explanations of the necessity and
importance of this thesis. In the “Revised Manuscript with Track Changes”, lines 101-110,123-132.
The details of the modifications are as follows:
In 2021, high systolic blood pressure was a major contributor to high ASDRs and age-standardized
DALYs. Other important risk factors include particulate matter pollution, smoking,
indoor air pollution from solid fuels, and high sodium diets, and there are gender
differences in these risks[1].Regionally, Central and Southeast Asia had a high prevalence
of hypertension, exacerbated by unhealthy habits like high-salt diets and smoking,
thus increasing the ICH burden[2]. In low SDI areas, household air pollution from
solid fuels accounted for 40.2% of all ICH deaths, compared to only 8.1% and 5.9%
for particulate matter pollution and smoking, respectively. In high SDI regions, deaths
from these pollutants were lower[1].
Although most previous studies related to GBD [1] have focused on analyzing risk factors
and distributional differences in ICH, this paper builds on previous studies by providing
a detailed analysis of hypertension as an important risk factor and systematically
analyzes the impact of geographic location, SDI, age, and sex differences on trends
in ASDRs and age-standardized DALYs. To our knowledge, this GBD-based study is one
of the most comprehensive studies to date analyzing the global burden of HICH in terms
of mortality, DALYs, and projected future trends. These findings may inform public
health interventions in specific regions, by gender, at different ages, etc., and
may also provide valuable insights for the development of future prevention and management
strategies.
Methods:
I think this section is very strong and defines how the paper has solid evidence.
In line 121, insert a space after the URL. Otherwise, well done.
Again, thank you very much for your comment. We have inserted a space after the URL
on line 121. In the “Revised Manuscript with Track Changes”, line 149.
Results:
This section is also well-written; however, I noticed that there were inconsistencies
in terminology (for example, “countries” and “regions” are conflated); for instance,
Southeast Asia is a region, not a country.
Again, thank you very much for commenting, we have double-checked this section for
inconsistency and accuracy in wording. In the “Revised Manuscript with Track Changes”,
lines 241-265.
Discussion:
This is a comprehensive and well-organised section. Still, there are a few areas that
require refinement. Consider improving the transitions between paragraphs for a smoother
flow, especially when shifting between global, regional, and national perspectives.
In lines 343-344, referencing hormonal effects on neuroprotection is valuable; however,
consider linking it to policy or clinical implications (e.g. gender-sensitive public
health interventions). The final paragraph (lines 413-419) concludes well but could
be enhanced by reiterating the practical importance of these findings, for example,
how they might inform ongoing global health initiatives or SDG targets. The paragraph
on limitations related to GBD data and methods (lines 427–447) is particularly strong;
consider breaking it into two shorter paragraphs for improved readability. The Future
Directions section is very strong; however, it would benefit from reordering for improved
clarity. First outline research priorities, followed by the policy actions. For example,
lines 457-461 (research) could precede lines 465–484 (policy).
Again, thank you very much for your comments. We have made the transition between
global, regional and national perspectives more natural by adding transitional sentences
and connecting words; we have linked hormonal effects on neuroprotection to public
health interventions, In the “Revised Manuscript with Track Changes”, lines 370-376;
and we have emphasized the importance of the study's findings for global health initiatives
and the SDGs at the end to enhance the article's logic and usefulness, In the “Revised
Manuscript with Track Changes”, lines 454-471.The details of the modifications are
as follows:
Hormonal influences may explain some gender differences—estrogen’s neuroprotective
effects in females delay ICH onset, underscoring the need for gender-sensitive interventions,
such as tailored hypertension screening programs for men and women. Clinically, this
could involve integrating sex-specific risk factor education into public health campaigns,
particularly for smoking and air pollution exposure, which disproportionately affect
males and females, respectively.
Our projections for the future indicate that the ASDR for HICH in 2050 will be 31.399
cases per 100,000 people, and the age-standardized DALYs rate will be 758.805 cases
per 100,000 people. Although the global ASDR and age-standardized DALYs rate for HICH
are on a downward trend, significant disparities persist across countries, regions,
SDI levels, and genders. This prediction underscores the urgent need to prioritize
targeted interventions in low-SDI and high-burden regions to align with Sustainable
Development Goal 3 (SDG 3), which aims to reduce premature mortality from non-communicable
diseases by one-third by 2030. For instance, the projected burden highlights the necessity
of integrating HICH prevention into global health initiatives such as the World Health
Organization’s Global Stroke Action Plan, particularly through initiatives like expanding
hypertension screening in Central Sub-Saharan Africa and implementing gender-sensitive
interventions to address male-female risk disparities. These findings also inform
strategies for achieving universal health coverage (SDG 3.8), emphasizing the need
to allocate resources toward healthcare infrastructure in regions with persistent
high ASDRs, such as Southeast Asia and Oceania. By 2050, realizing these goals will
require collaborative efforts to bridge care gaps, which our projections identify
as critical for mitigating the ongoing global HICH burden.
Strengths and limitations:
Again, thank you very much for your comments. The paragraph on limitations of the
GBD data and methodology (lines 427-447), we have split into two shorter paragraphs
to improve readability. In the “Revised Manuscript with Track Changes”, lines 480-508.
Future directions
Again, thank you very much for your comments. We have reordered this section to make
the exposition clearer. In the “Revised Manuscript with Track Changes”, lines 538-558.
The details of the modifications are as follows:
Recommendations for future research and policy are essential to maintain and enhance
HICH disease control. First, further research should focus on understanding the underlying
causes of ASDR and age - standardized DALYs rate anomalies in regions like sub-Saharan
Africa, examining socio-cultural, economic, and environmental factors, such as how
local cultures, religious beliefs, and economic development influence HICH morbidity
and mortality. Second, exploring the interactive effects of genetics, diet, and pollution
on HICH risk across different SDI levels can provide a basis for formulating targeted
prevention strategies. Third, evaluating the impact of emerging technologies, such
as telemedicine and AI-based diagnostic tools, on HICH management in resource-constrained
areas is crucial for optimizing care delivery.
Policy actions must build on these research directions to enhance HICH control. Low-
and middle-SDI regions need to strengthen healthcare infrastructure, which includes
integrating HICH screening into existing hypertension programs, training community
health workers, and establishing telemedicine networks to serve rural areas. Policy
initiatives should also prioritize formulating national HICH prevention plans and
integrating them into public health strategies, expanding health insurance coverage
for low-income groups and increasing the reimbursement for HICH-related medical expenses,
promoting international cooperation to share prevention technologies and best practices,
and implementing socio-economic development programs such as air pollution control,
the provision of safe drinking water, and the construction of public fitness facilities
to address upstream risk factors.
Again, thank you very much for your comments on my paper. I appreciate your feedback
and suggestions. I will revise my paper according to your comments and submit a revised
version soon. I hope you will find the revised paper satisfactory and acceptable for
publication. Thank you for your time and effort.
Sincerely, [Chao Zhang]
Reference
1.Song D, Xu D, Li M, Wang F, Feng M, Badr A, et al. Global, regional, and national
burdens of intracerebral hemorrhage and its risk factors from 1990 to 2021. Eur J
Neurol. 2025;32(1):e70031. Epub 2024/12/28. doi: 10.1111/ene.70031. PubMed PMID: 39731311;
PubMed Central PMCID: PMCPMC11680743.
2.Schutte AE, Srinivasapura Venkateshmurthy N, Mohan S, Prabhakaran D. Hypertension
in Low- and Middle-Income Countries. Circ Res. 2021;128(7):808-26. Epub 2021/04/02.
doi: 10.1161/circresaha.120.318729. PubMed PMID: 33793340; PubMed Central PMCID: PMCPMC8091106.
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[Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.]
Reviewers' comments:
Reviewer's Responses to Questions
Comments to the Author
Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed
Reviewer #2: All comments have been addressed
**********
2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions??>
Reviewer #1: Yes
Reviewer #2: Yes
**********
3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? -->?>
Reviewer #1: Yes
Reviewer #2: Yes
**********
4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully
available??>
5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard
English??>
Reviewer #1: Yes
Reviewer #2: Yes
**********
Reviewer #1: Good work. This article will help the literature on national burden of
hypertensive intracerebral hemorrhage, 1990 to 2021 and projections to 2050.
Reviewer #2: Dear Author, Thank you for choosing PLOS ONE and submitting your manuscript
titled ‘Global, regional, and national burden of hypertensive intracerebral haemorrhage,
1990 to 2021 and projections to 2050: Results from the Global Burden of Disease Study
2021’. This is an important topic that adds to the current literature. Although I
think this paper is good, I believe that there are minor improvements that could be
addressed.
Introduction: The introduction addresses the research question well and provides a
good reference to the literature on global and local contexts. In lines 60-62 the
sentence ‘.The sentence Hypertensive intracerebral haemorrhage (HICH) is the predominant…
contains grammatical errors. Although the information in lines Lines 64-73, althoug
they is correct, the transition is somewhat confusing; consider writing ‘Despite improvements
in clinical management, disparities remain...” to enhance the flow of the section.
In reference 8, I think the figures provided require further clarification. I recommend
specifying the populations studied or the source of these percentages for context
because it is vague, and I am not sure how these figures are important or can be relied
on. In lines 87-91,
I noticed that the paragraph reiterates several ideas already mentioned earlier (e.g.
high systolic blood pressure, regional variation, and SDI). I suggest condensing these
points to avoid redundancy and to maintain reader engagement. also, When you mentioned
“to bridge this gap,” I think it would be clearer to say exactly what gap they aim
to address—such as “the lack of data on predictors of stroke length of stay in Indonesian
hospitals.” Finally, I recommend refining the last sentence to be more specific and
precise. Rather than stating that it will help “health service planning and management”,
perhaps stating the improvement of discharge protocols or resource allocation would
be better and more focused.
Methods: This section is also well written and subject to minor suggestions. I suggest
clarifying the data source in line 107 of the manuscript. It is not obvious how the
February 2025 collection period applies when using retrospective GBD data. This could
confuse the readers. In addition, I believe it is worth rephrasing line 114. Registering
in a "paper proposal form" is vague. Do the authors mean the GBD disease proposal
database? Clarify its purpose. The definition of HICH in the GBD dataset is not mentioned;
therefore, I recommend briefly reminding readers how HICH was defined, even if it
was described in prior publications. In lines 122-123, the reference to “prior publications”
is too vague. We have named one major methodological reference and summarised the
key methods used. The information in lines 127–135 is repeated the same info twice.
I suggest condensing to avoid redundancies. I felt confused reading this section because
I am not sure why stratification is important in the context of HICH. I recommend
providing a brief explanation. In lines 154–156, the authors introduce limitations
("long-term predictions deviate…"), but I think this should be moved to the discussion
or limitations section instead of being buried here.
Results: I think this section is comprehensive and data-rich. The figures and trends
are clearly presented. In line 199, the phrase “a larger downward trend” is vague
and could be supported by EAPC values to quantify the differences more clearly. Beside
that, good job.
Discussion: I think this is a well-structured and data-rich paper. I suggest rephrasing
line 321 to emphasize the novelty more clearly for example, “This is the first study
to explore HICH burden using updated 2021 GBD data stratified by SDI, age, and sex.”
I suggest rephrasing line 321 to emphasize the novelty more clearly for example, “This
is the first study to explore HICH burden using updated 2021 GBD data stratified by
SDI, age, and sex.” In lines 333-336, the explanation for sex-based trends is informative.
However, I suggest clarifying that the differences in male and female trends may also
reflect differences in healthcare access or behaviour, not just biology. In lines
349-351, I would suggest interpreting why Nauru and Mozambique show such high values
as outliers due to data quality, small population size, or actual health system deficiencies.
In line 403, I recommend adding 1-2 words on “how” oestrogen lowers lipid levels and
affects vasodilation to strengthen biological plausibility. In addition, in line 417,
I recommend briefly stating what happened during the “reversal” in 1999–2003—was it
due to war, policy changes, or data artefacts? in lines 471-472, I think a concrete
suggestion, such as using electronic health records or AI for surveillance, would
enhance the future directions.
**********
what does this mean? ). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files.
If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still
be made public.
Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy
Reviewer #1: No
Reviewer #2: Yes: Areej Almutairi
**********
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Global, regional, and national burden of hypertensive intracerebral hemorrhage, 1990
to 2021 and projections to 2050: Results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
Dear Editor and Reviewers,
We are again very grateful for the opportunity to revise the manuscript entitled “Global,
regional, and national burden of hypertensive cerebral hemorrhage from 1990 to 2021
and projections to 2050: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021” and
would like to thank the reviewers again for their insightful comments. These comments
were invaluable and very helpful in revising and refining the paper and provided important
guidance for our research. In the submitted manuscript “Revised Manuscript with Track
Changes”, we have retained all revision marks and provided detailed responses to the
comments from the journal, reviewer 1 and reviewer 2, with the responses to reviewer
2 mainly marked in red. Below, we have provided a detailed response to each of the
reviewers' comments and listed the number of lines of revision (for “Revised Manuscript
with Track Changes” manuscripts) for ease of reference. In addition, we have completely
revised the entire manuscript. In this response letter, reviewers' comments are italicized,
and our corresponding revisions and additions to the manuscript are highlighted in
red. We have endeavored to make all revisions clear and concise, and we hope that
the revised manuscript will meet the requirements for publication.
Journal Requirements:
1.If the reviewer comments include a recommendation to cite specific previously published
works, please review and evaluate these publications to determine whether they are
relevant and should be cited. There is no requirement to cite these works unless the
editor has indicated otherwise.
We have reviewed and evaluated the previously published works cited to ensure that
they are relevant to what is being discussed.
2.Please review your reference list to ensure that it is complete and correct. If
you have cited papers that have been retracted, please include the rationale for doing
so in the manuscript text, or remove these references and replace them with relevant
current references. Any changes to the reference list should be mentioned in the rebuttal
letter that accompanies your revised manuscript. If you need to cite a retracted article,
indicate the article’s retracted status in the References list and also include a
citation and full reference for the retraction notice.
We have checked the reference list and this section is complete and correct and does
not cite papers that have been retracted.
Response to reviewer #1:
Dear Reviewer #1,
Thank you very much for your comments on the manuscript. Thank you for your time and
effort in reviewing the revised version of my paper.
Reviewer #1: Good work. This article will help the literature on national burden of
hypertensive intracerebral hemorrhage, 1990 to 2021 and projections to 2050.
Once again, thank you very much for your comments on the revised manuscript. We have
thoroughly proofread the manuscript to ensure that it meets the requirements for publication
in your journal.
Response to reviewer #2:
Dear Reviewer #2,
Thank you very much for your time and effort in providing valuable comments on our
revised manuscript. We have revised the manuscript based on your feedback, and have
elaborated on each of them below.
Thank you again for reviewing the manuscript, and I hope that my revisions will fulfill
your requirements.
Reviewer #2: Dear Author, thank you for choosing PLOS ONE and submitting your manuscript
titled ‘Global, regional, and national burden of hypertensive intracerebral haemorrhage,
1990 to 2021 and projections to 2050: Results from the Global Burden of Disease Study
2021’. This is an important topic that adds to the current literature. Although I
think this paper is good, I believe that there are minor improvements that could be
addressed.
Introduction:
1.The introduction addresses the research question well and provides a good reference
to the literature on global and local contexts. In lines 60-62 the sentence ‘.The
sentence Hypertensive intracerebral haemorrhage (HICH) is the predominant… contains
grammatical errors.
Thank you very much for your comments and suggestions. We have corrected lines 60-62
where it says "Hypertensive cerebral hemorrhage (HICH) is the main ...... " grammatical
error. In the “Revised Manuscript with Track Changes”, lines 60-62. The details of
the modifications are as follows:
Hypertensive intracerebral hemorrhage (HICH) is the predominant subtype of ICH, is
strongly associated with hypertension�and accounts for approximately 70% of all ICH cases.
2.Although the information in lines Lines 64-73, althoug they is correct, the transition
is somewhat confusing; consider writing ‘Despite improvements in clinical management,
disparities remain...” to enhance the flow of the section.
We have revised the transition after lines 64-73 to “Despite improvements in clinical
management, disparities remain ......” to enhance the flow of the section. In the
“Revised Manuscript with Track Changes”, lines 77-84. The details of the modifications
are as follows:
Despite improvements in clinical management, high systolic blood pressure, a major
risk factor for HICH, continues to be strongly associated with factors such as smoking,
diet, and the environment, and varies by country, region, gender, and SDI level[1].
3.In reference 8, I think the figures provided require further clarification. I recommend
specifying the populations studied or the source of these percentages for context
because it is vague, and I am not sure how these figures are important or can be relied
on.
We have further clarified the numbers provided in Reference 8 to be more specific
about the populations studied or the source of the percentages, thus improving the
credibility of the data. In the “Revised Manuscript with Track Changes”, lines 67-71.
The details of the modifications are as follows:
Studies on the treatment of ICH have found that blood pressure control trials reduce
ICH mortality by 10-15%[2], after administration of anticoagulant-specific reversal
agents (e.g., idarucizumab, prothrombin complex concentrate), mortality and hematoma
enlargement rates in patients with ICH are reduced by approximately 30%-40% compared
to baseline levels without reversal agents or conventional therapy[3].
4.In lines 87-91, I noticed that the paragraph reiterates several ideas already mentioned
earlier (e.g. high systolic blood pressure, regional variation, and SDI). I suggest
condensing these points to avoid redundancy and to maintain reader engagement. also,
when you mentioned “to bridge this gap,” I think it would be clearer to say exactly
what gap they aim to address—such as “the lack of data on predictors of stroke length
of stay in Indonesian hospitals.”
We have streamlined lines 87-91 where there is duplication from before. In addition,
we further elaborated on what should be “to bridge this gap”. In the “Revised Manuscript
with Track Changes”, lines 100-106. The details of the modifications are as follows:
Therefore, there is a need to explore why differences in spatial and temporal trends,
gender, and age exist in HICH—for example, "in the Republic of Nauru, patients have
low income levels and do not have access to standardized treatments[4], which can
complicate and make hospitalization unpredictable; in the Republic of Mozambique,
there is a severe shortage of health workers[5], which can prevent timely treatment
and prolong hospitalization"—to guide prevention and treatment efforts.
5.Finally, I recommend refining the last sentence to be more specific and precise.
Rather than stating that it will help “health service planning and management”, perhaps
stating the improvement of discharge protocols or resource allocation would be better
and more focused.
We have amended the last sentence to read “it could help to improve discharge protocols
or resource allocation”. In the “Revised Manuscript with Track Changes”, lines 116-118.
The details of the modifications are as follows:
These findings may inform public health interventions in specific regions, by gender,
at different ages, etc., and can also help improve discharge protocols or resource
allocation.
Methods:
1.This section is also well written and subject to minor suggestions. I suggest clarifying
the data source in line 107 of the manuscript. It is not obvious how the February
2025 collection period applies when using retrospective GBD data. This could confuse
the readers.
Again, thank you very much for your comment. We have elaborated on the data sources
in line 107 and explained how the use of retrospective GBD data relates to the February
2025 collection period. In the “Revised Manuscript with Track Changes”, lines 121-125.The
details of the modifications are as follows:
The data utilized in this study were derived from publicly available retrospective
data from the GBD study. For the purpose of data extraction and collation in this
manuscript, the specific operational period for accessing and organizing these GBD
data was from February 5, 2025, to February 16, 2025.
2.In addition, I believe it is worth rephrasing line 114. Registering in a "paper
proposal form" is vague. Do the authors mean the GBD disease proposal database? Clarify
its purpose. The definition of HICH in the GBD dataset is not mentioned; therefore,
I recommend briefly reminding readers how HICH was defined, even if it was described
in prior publications.
The platform contacted on line 114 (https://uwhealthmetrics.co1.qualtrics.com/) is a questionnaire platform that is not directly linked to the GBD database and
is the channel used to collate the data. Our data source is the Global Health Data
Exchange query tool (GHDx) (http://ghdx.healthdata.org/gbd-results-tool). In addition, we describe the definition of HICH. In the “Revised Manuscript with
Track Changes”, lines 133-137.The details of the modifications are as follows:
HICH is usually a spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage that occurs in patients with
a history of chronic hypertension (blood pressure ≥140/90 mmHg or a previous diagnosis
of hypertension) and excludes cases caused by other etiologies (e.g., cerebral aneurysms,
arteriovenous malformations, trauma, or coagulation disorders) [6].
3.In lines 122-123, the reference to “prior publications” is too vague. We have named
one major methodological reference and summarised the key methods used.
We have been more specific about “prior publications” in lines 122-123.In the “Revised
Manuscript with Track Changes”, lines 143-152.The details of the modifications are
as follows:
The data from the GBD2021 study were processed and analyzed as follows:Data were statistically
analyzed and visualized using R 4.4.1 software. A linear regression model was used
to calculate the EAPC and its 95% CI to assess the temporal trends of age-standardized
rates (ASRs). A BAPC model was used to approximate marginal posterior distributions
using the Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (INLA) method to project ASDRs and
age-standardized DALYs rates for HICH from 2025 to 2050[7,8].
4.The information in lines 127–135 is repeated the same info twice. I suggest condensing
to avoid redundancies. I felt confused reading this section because I am not sure
why stratification is important in the context of HICH. I recommend providing a brief
explanation.
We have removed and streamlined the repetitive information in lines 127-135 and explained
the important role of SDI layering in HICH. In the “Revised Manuscript with Track
Changes”, lines 168-171.The details of the modifications are as follows:
SDI stratification is critical to HICH research. It takes into account differences
in health care access, prevention, and management across SDI levels and facilitates
targeted analysis of socio-economic influences on HICH trends, thus helping to target
interventions to specific regions.
5.In lines 154–156, the authors introduce limitations ("long-term predictions deviate…"),
but I think this should be moved to the discussion or limitations section instead
of being buried here.
We have deleted (“long-term predictions deviate...”) in lines 154-156 and moved it
to the limitations section. In the “Revised Manuscript with Track Changes”, lines
518-521.
Results:
I think this section is comprehensive and data-rich. The figures and trends are clearly
presented. In line 199, the phrase “a larger downward trend” is vague and could be
supported by EAPC values to quantify the differences more clearly. Beside that, good
job.
We apologize that we did not find the “larger downward trend” in the Results section
after a careful search in and around line 199, which may be due to an oversight in
our understanding of the comment. In order to improve the manuscript, I would like
to ask you to point out the specific place where the change is needed, and I will
immediately make the change according to your suggestion. I am deeply sorry for the
inconvenience caused to you, and thank you again for your patience and guidance!
Discussion:
1.I think this is a well-structured and data-rich paper. I suggest rephrasing line
321 to emphasize the novelty more clearly for example, “This is the first study to
explore HICH burden using updated 2021 GBD data stratified by SDI, age, and sex.”
I suggest rephrasing line 321 to emphasize the novelty more clearly for example, “This
is the first study to explore HICH burden using updated 2021 GBD data stratified by
SDI, age, and sex.”
Again, thank you very much for your comments. We have revised the wording of line
321 to more clearly emphasize novelty. In the “Revised Manuscript with Track Changes”,
lines 353-359. The details of the modifications are as follows:
This is the first study to explore HICH burden using updated 2021 GBD data stratified
by SDI, age, and sex, and the findings have important value for the development of
global health policy and the effective allocation of resources.
2.In lines 333-336, the explanation for sex-based trends is informative. However,
I suggest clarifying that the differences in male and female trends may also reflect
differences in healthcare access or behaviour, not just biology.
We have revised the interpretation of rows 333-336 based on gender trends to further
clarify that differences in male and female trends may also reflect differences in
health care access or behavior, not just biological differences. In the “Revised Manuscript
with Track Changes”, lines 378-395. The details of the modifications are as follows:
In addition to biological factors, differences in gender trends are also reflected
in access to health care and daily behaviors. Relevant studies have found that among
hospital admissions, a higher proportion of men (85.6%) than women (74.7%) were admitted
to acute stroke units or acute neurological intensive care units[9], mostly due to
men's busy schedules, low health awareness, and failure to seek medical attention
in a timely manner, which resulted in more serious conditions. Smoking and excessive
alcohol consumption are important risk factors for stroke, with men having more current
smoking (23.3% vs. 4.2%) and excessive alcohol consumption (16.5% vs. 1.3%) behaviors
than women, which in turn increases the risk of stroke[10]. This highlights the need
for gender-sensitive interventions, such as tailoring hypertension screening programs
for men and women. Clinically, this may require incorporating gender-specific risk
factor education into public health campaigns, especially for men with low health
awareness and smoking and excessive drinking behaviors.
3.In lines 349-351, I would suggest interpreting why Nauru and Mozambique show such
high values as outliers due to data quality, small population size, or actual health
system deficiencies.
We have provided an explanation of why Nauru and Mozambique show such high values
in rows 349-351.In the “Revised Manuscript with Track Changes”, lines 403-409. The
details of the modifications are as follows:
It is worth noting that the abnormally high values observed in Nauru and Mozambique
may be due to limited data qual
Global, regional, and national burden of hypertensive intracerebral hemorrhage, 1990
to 2021 and projections to 2050: Results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
PONE-D-25-19666R3
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