Peer Review History
| Original SubmissionOctober 3, 2024 |
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PONE-D-24-43820 Dynamical analysis of financial stocks network: improving forecasting on individual stock return using network properties. PLOS ONE Dear Dr. Achitouv, Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process. Enclosed, you will find a detailed list of observations and suggestions for your consideration. The reviewers have highlighted several strengths in your work, such as the clear articulation of your research objectives or the novelty of applying network analysis to stock return forecasting. At the same time, they have provided constructive feedback to address issues where further clarification on your methodology and additional analysis needed to strengthen the manuscript. Please carefully review these comments and address them in your revised manuscript. We appreciate if you submit your revised article by Feb 09 2025 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at plosone@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file. Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:
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Kind regards, Alejandro Raúl Hernández-Montoya, Ph D Academic Editor PLOS ONE Journal Requirements: When submitting your revision, we need you to address these additional requirements. 1.Please ensure that your manuscript meets PLOS ONE's style requirements, including those for file naming. The PLOS ONE style templates can be found at https://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/file?id=wjVg/PLOSOne_formatting_sample_main_body.pdf and 2. In your Methods section, please include additional information about your dataset and ensure that you have included a statement specifying whether the collection and analysis method complied with the terms and conditions for the source of the data. 3. Please note that PLOS ONE has specific guidelines on code sharing for submissions in which author-generated code underpins the findings in the manuscript. In these cases, we expect all author-generated code to be made available without restrictions upon publication of the work. Please review our guidelines at https://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/materials-and-software-sharing#loc-sharing-code and ensure that your code is shared in a way that follows best practice and facilitates reproducibility and reuse. 4. Please amend either the title on the online submission form (via Edit Submission) or the title in the manuscript so that they are identical. 5. We note you have included a table to which you do not refer in the text of your manuscript. Please ensure that you refer to Table 1-6 in your text; if accepted, production will need this reference to link the reader to the Table. [Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.] Reviewers' comments: Reviewer's Responses to Questions Comments to the Author 1. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented. Reviewer #1: Partly Reviewer #2: Partly ********** 2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: No ********** 3. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available? The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 4. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English? PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 5. Review Comments to the Author Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters) Reviewer #1: Revised the manuscript according to the below comments 1. The abstract clearly conveys the study's aim and findings but could provide more specifics on implications. 2. The research objective is well-articulated, highlighting the focus on network properties for stock return forecasting. 3. The contribution paragraph effectively distinguishes this study from prior work using network analysis in finance. 4. The literature gap is well-identified, but further clarification on how it directly advances prior methodologies could enhance the context. 5. Data sources, including S&P 500 prices, are appropriate, but justification for the selected periods could strengthen reliability. 6. The methodology demonstrates rigor with network construction and statistical tests, but parameter thresholds need clearer rationale. 7. Results effectively showcase network metrics' predictive power, yet additional visual comparisons with baseline models would be beneficial. 8. The tables summarizing Granger causality tests are informative, though clearer labels and legends would aid interpretation. 9. Figures illustrating network dynamics over time are compelling but could benefit from annotations for key events. 10. The conclusion succinctly ties findings to implications but misses addressing the study's limitations explicitly. 11. Policy implications, while mentioned, are underdeveloped and could connect better to actionable insights for stakeholders. 12. Future policy directions suggest incorporating network variables but could elaborate on integrating alternative machine learning models. 13. Grammatical construction is clear throughout, with minor inconsistencies in tense needing standardization. 14. Citations are extensive and relevant, but some key references lack detailed discussion on their direct relevance to this study. 15. The data availability statement is transparent but could specify access restrictions more explicitly if any apply. 16. The discussion on scale invariance provides interesting insights but needs further elaboration on its practical implications for risk management. 17. Tables effectively summarize variable correlations, but additional columns summarizing implications would enhance their utility. 18. Overall, the manuscript contributes significantly to financial network research but could integrate broader cross-market analyses for generalization. Reviewer #2: The paper aims at predicting stock returns by including network topological features as predictive variables. Despite the importance of the theme, the paper cannot be published in its current form. The main reason is that the prediction exercises were not performed properly. Apparently, the author applied the ML models to each stock individually, which is not usual. The values of the hyperparameters of the ML models were not reported, nor was how the hyperparameters were calibrated explained. There is no reason for the use of the wA model. The author reported some improvements brought about by the inclusion of the network variables (e.g., “In this case we have an improvement of 0.48/0.32 − 1 = 50% on the R2 score”, p. 13), but the reader cannot understand where these numbers came from. Finally, the selection of the predictive variables seems to be rather arbitrary. The author should consider all the available variables or apply some rigorous technique for feature selection. I suggest the author to i) employ a wider range of ML models across the set of stocks, ii) apply some technique for hyperparameter calibration, and iii) perform the prediction exercises with and without the network variables to observe the improvement in the performance metrics. Besides, there are other minor issues to be addressed by the author: • Last paragraph of the introduction (p. 2): sections are not numbered (“in sec. we describe (…)”). • Last paragraph of p. 4: I think the correct specification is Ai,j = 1 if |Ci,j| ≥ ρc, otherwise Ai,j = 0. • The meaning of the acronyms of the economic sectors in Fig. 1 at p. 5 (AEP, DUK, etc.) is missing. ********** 6. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files. If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public. Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy. Reviewer #1: No Reviewer #2: Yes: Michel Alexandre ********** [NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files.] While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Registration is free. Then, login and navigate to the UPLOAD tab, where you will find detailed instructions on how to use the tool. If you encounter any issues or have any questions when using PACE, please email PLOS at figures@plos.org. Please note that Supporting Information files do not need this step. |
| Revision 1 |
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Dynamical analysis of financial stocks network: improving forecasting using network properties PONE-D-24-43820R1 Dear Dr. Achitouv, We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements. Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication. An invoice will be generated when your article is formally accepted. Please note, if your institution has a publishing partnership with PLOS and your article meets the relevant criteria, all or part of your publication costs will be covered. Please make sure your user information is up-to-date by logging into Editorial Manager at Editorial Manager® and clicking the ‘Update My Information' link at the top of the page. If you have any questions relating to publication charges, please contact our Author Billing department directly at authorbilling@plos.org. If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper to help maximize its impact. If they’ll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team as soon as possible -- no later than 48 hours after receiving the formal acceptance. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information, please contact onepress@plos.org. Kind regards and I sincerely apologize for the unusual delay in sending my decision on your manuscript. Alejandro Raúl Hernández-Montoya, Ph D Academic Editor PLOS ONE Additional Editor Comments (optional): Reviewers' comments: Reviewer's Responses to Questions Comments to the Author 1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation. Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed Reviewer #2: All comments have been addressed ********** 2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented. Reviewer #1: Partly Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available? The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English? PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 6. Review Comments to the Author Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters) Reviewer #1: I can conclude that the comments raised during the review process have been appropriately considered during the revision of the manuscript. Furthermore, the authors have taken the reviewer’s feedback seriously and addressed each point thoroughly. The current version of the manuscript meets the necessary standards and can be considered for publication in PLoS ONE. Therefore, I recommend this work for publication in its present form. Reviewer #2: (No Response) ********** 7. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files. If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public. Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy. Reviewer #1: No Reviewer #2: No ********** |
| Formally Accepted |
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PONE-D-24-43820R1 PLOS ONE Dear Dr. Achitouv, I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now being handed over to our production team. At this stage, our production department will prepare your paper for publication. This includes ensuring the following: * All references, tables, and figures are properly cited * All relevant supporting information is included in the manuscript submission, * There are no issues that prevent the paper from being properly typeset If revisions are needed, the production department will contact you directly to resolve them. If no revisions are needed, you will receive an email when the publication date has been set. At this time, we do not offer pre-publication proofs to authors during production of the accepted work. Please keep in mind that we are working through a large volume of accepted articles, so please give us a few weeks to review your paper and let you know the next and final steps. Lastly, if your institution or institutions have a press office, please let them know about your upcoming paper now to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information, please contact onepress@plos.org. If we can help with anything else, please email us at customercare@plos.org. Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access. Kind regards, PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staff on behalf of Dr. Alejandro Raúl Hernández-Montoya Academic Editor PLOS ONE |
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