Peer Review History
| Original SubmissionDecember 5, 2022 |
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PONE-D-22-33396Effects of heat waves on cardiovascular and respiratory mortality in Rio de Janeiro, BrazilPLOS ONE Dear Dr. Silveira, Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process. ============================== Please submit your revised manuscript by Feb 18 2023 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at plosone@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file. Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:
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Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: No ********** 2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: No ********** 3. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available? The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified. Reviewer #1: No Reviewer #2: No ********** 4. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English? PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 5. Review Comments to the Author Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters) Reviewer #1: I read with interest this paper evaluating the effects of heat waves on cause-specific mortality in Rio de Janeiro. The paper is well-written and well-structured. The statistical methods (conditional logistic regression) are coherent with a time-stratified case cross-over design. The results are coherent with those published previously in the literature and followed by an adequate discussion. I have only some reservation about three aspects: 1) usually aboslute humidity is highly correlated with ambient temperature, so I guess could be also highly correlated with heat waves indicator. I wonder if could be more robust presenting as main results the estimates not adjusted by absolute huidity and in the sensitivity analysis presents the results adjusted by absolute humidity. Related to this point it would be interesting to explore the possible modifier effect of humidity instead of the confounding effect. 2) Looking at the lagged effect on respiratory deaths it looks that a longer lag should be considered for this cause. Does the lag curve tend to the null effect when considering 10 days of lags? 3) I would have considered in the main analysis only warmest months (November to March) Reviewer #2: Overall, I think the manuscript would be quite interesting to both the general public and health and climate scientists, however, there are areas lacking detail which need to be addressed, in particular regarding the meteorological aspects. The manuscript is not always clear, it is silent on several methodological aspects/procedures. Also, there are other aspects that, in my opinion, can mislead the reader, especially regarding meteorological data/analysis. In general, I was not able to analyze properly the results and discussion sections since I have several doubts regarding the data and methods used. Overall, I suggest that the authors consider all the major and minor changes suggested below which I hope will help the authors to improve their manuscript. Introduction The first sentence of the introduction states that Heat waves, meteorological events characterized by high temperatures sustained for two or more consecutive days. Defining heat wave as a sequence of high temperatures does not correspond to any of the standard HW definitions. I suggest: HW are meteorological events characterized by UNUSUAL high temperatures. Otherwise, the inattentive reader might think that all high temperatures correspond to heat waves. Moreover, along the manuscript, authors say that there is no universal definition for a heat wave (L138, L292). Accordingly, I suggest a more general definition, such as: HW are meteorological events characterized by UNUSUAL high temperatures, sustained for PROLONGED periods. Finally, the link for the WHO site is not working. L65 – Reference [9] please refer to the lasted IPCC report. L76-83. Please consider taking into account a recent national-level review: https://nyaspubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/nyas.14887; Also, I suggest to consider other related works for Rio de Janeiro: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.09.060 L84. Please define the study period here. Methods I feel some parts in the data and methods description are not well explained. The methods, as such, do not clearly describe how the research was conducted. L94-95. I suppose that mortality data belongs from Tabnet system http://tabnet.rio.rj.gov.br/. Please clarify in the text. Mortality data: why using just the period from 2012 to 2017? Why not using the entire available data? Please clarify in the text. Weathar data. First it is important to describe the name and code of each meteorological station and the website used to download the dataset. Second, it is important to clarify the period of the dataset and if all stations provide data for the same period. Third, is it essential that the author clarify how they calculate daily mean temperature (average value of all hourly data; average between Tmax and Tmin?). As far as I know, both the source of the data used here, INMET and ICEA, provide daily mean temperature and relative humidity already calculated according to the rules provided by the World Meteorological Organization. Accordingly, authors should clarify why not using a pre-calculated information. Moreover, I fail to understand how and why you need to fill the gaps of missing values. Why not just ignoring them? If you have only selected station with less than 20% missing data per year, then missing values will not compromise your analysis. L114-116, very difficult to follow. What do you mean here with modeled temporal components? Why? It is also difficult to understand table S1. Please clarify if TABLE S1 is about hourly or daily missing values for the entire period. HW definition A major concern of mine is about the definition and identification of the periods under HW. Mean temperature is not the best option to define HW events. A recent paper (https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-020-01908-x) analyzed the relationship between various HW indices and mortality in Rio de Janeiro for the 2000 to 2015 period and concluded that the EHF index showed a better predictive capacity than Tmax and Tmean. EHF has the advantage of considering both the maximum and the minimum temperatures and to consider the acclimatization of the population during an HW preceding period of 30 days. Moreover, regardless of the use of Tmean, the definition of HW as based of a fixed threshold for the entire period is not appropriate (as in table S3). Authors should be aware about the importance of accommodating the strong seasonal cycle of temperature and humidity variables. It is also important to clarify the climatological period used. For instance, looking at Table S3, by using a threshold of 29 °C during summer you will detect HW in almost all days. But during the winter, the situation could be very different. It would be nice to see a figure showing the time series of Tmean and the identification of periods in HW conditions. I think it would be important if you could make a clear statement about this. Otherwise, the inattentive reader might think that heat waves occur every day in the summer. In general, a different percentile threshold value is computed for each day of the year in order to take into account the seasonal cycle. This is also important because you say in L185-186 that you restricted your analysis to the “hot season” (November to March). I also failed to understand table S3 the HW definition in the spatial context. You have 13 stations, why just showing one value in table S3? Each station should have its own thresholds. Finally, authors say that duration is less important than intensity. Could you please me more assertive in this attribution? Also, please explain how you have defined intensity. Please explain how humidity data was used in your study and why it is important. Study design and statistical analysis This section is very hard to follow. It would be nice to have an explanation about the results expected by applying each procedure. Please clarify if the analysis was carried out for each weather station or not. L185-186 you need to justify this choice. Please consider this paper that shows the greatest short-time (daily-scale) mortality peaks in Rio de Janeiro are observed during summer periods, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-020-01908-x Results Table 1. Again, I cannot understand the meaning of the values regarding weather variables here. This is an average for the 13 stations? For what period and for what time scale (hour, days, months, year)? What do you mean by individual-level? ********** 6. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files. If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public. Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy. Reviewer #1: Yes: Francesco Sera Reviewer #2: No ********** [NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files.] While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Registration is free. Then, login and navigate to the UPLOAD tab, where you will find detailed instructions on how to use the tool. If you encounter any issues or have any questions when using PACE, please email PLOS at figures@plos.org. Please note that Supporting Information files do not need this step. |
| Revision 1 |
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Effects of heat waves on cardiovascular and respiratory mortality in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil PONE-D-22-33396R1 Dear Dr. Silveira, We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements. Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication. An invoice for payment will follow shortly after the formal acceptance. To ensure an efficient process, please log into Editorial Manager at http://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/, click the 'Update My Information' link at the top of the page, and double check that your user information is up-to-date. If you have any billing related questions, please contact our Author Billing department directly at authorbilling@plos.org. If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper to help maximize its impact. If they’ll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team as soon as possible -- no later than 48 hours after receiving the formal acceptance. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information, please contact onepress@plos.org. Kind regards, Nir Y. Krakauer Academic Editor PLOS ONE Reviewers' comments: Reviewer's Responses to Questions Comments to the Author 1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation. Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed ********** 2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented. Reviewer #1: Yes ********** 3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? Reviewer #1: Yes ********** 4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available? The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified. Reviewer #1: No ********** 5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English? PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here. Reviewer #1: Yes ********** 6. Review Comments to the Author Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters) Reviewer #1: The authors answered positevely to all my comments. I think the manuscript has improved from the origianl submission and could give a contribution on the litterature on health effects of heat waves. ********** 7. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files. If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public. Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy. Reviewer #1: Yes: Francesco Sera ********** |
| Formally Accepted |
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PONE-D-22-33396R1 Effects of heat waves on cardiovascular and respiratory mortality in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Dear Dr. Silveira: I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department. If your institution or institutions have a press office, please let them know about your upcoming paper now to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information please contact onepress@plos.org. If we can help with anything else, please email us at plosone@plos.org. Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access. Kind regards, PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staff on behalf of Dr. Nir Y. Krakauer Academic Editor PLOS ONE |
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