Peer Review History
| Original SubmissionSeptember 13, 2022 |
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PONE-D-22-25039The efficacy of interventions in reducing belief in conspiracy theories: a systematic reviewPLOS ONE Dear Dr. O'Mahony, Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process. ============================== Your paper has been revised by four expert reviewers. They highlighted significant changes to be made to improve your paper. You are therefore invited to make the best use of those suggestions to provide a revised version of your paper. ============================== Please submit your revised manuscript by Dec 17 2022 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at plosone@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file. Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:
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Please ensure that you refer to Table 2 in your text; if accepted, production will need this reference to link the reader to the Table. 5. Please include your tables as part of your main manuscript and remove the individual files. Please note that supplementary tables (should remain/ be uploaded) as separate "supporting information" files. [Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.] Reviewers' comments: Reviewer's Responses to Questions Comments to the Author 1. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes Reviewer #3: Yes Reviewer #4: Partly ********** 2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? Reviewer #1: I Don't Know Reviewer #2: Yes Reviewer #3: Yes Reviewer #4: N/A ********** 3. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available? The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes Reviewer #3: Yes Reviewer #4: Yes ********** 4. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English? PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes Reviewer #3: Yes Reviewer #4: Yes ********** 5. Review Comments to the Author Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters) Reviewer #1: This is an interesting paper on an increasingly popular topic of study: conspiratorial though (CT). While this area of research has been studied extensively, especially in the time of COVID and Trump, the current study is a novel meta-analysis of CT interventions. While most papers look at the causes and consequences of CT, as shown in the paper far fewer test methods to combat this style of thinking. I have comments below I'd like to see addressed, but overall this seems like a useful contribution to this ever-growing area of research. -Abstract/Discussion: The premise that CT is on the rise is not accurate. Please see Uscinski et al. (2022a) for a test of this hypothesis. This is not a fatal flaw because, as the authors articulate well, there are many negative externalities associated with CT (regardless of whether it is on the increase). That said, I would not frame the paper around the assumption that CT is having a renaissance. -Pages 6, 9: For readers who do not conduct meta analyses themselves, please define PRISMA more clearly. Please apply this comment to any other meta-analysis terminology that might not be familiar to a lay reader. -Page 6: Why was Google Scholar not included in the search? -Table 1: Given the amount of information here, can one perform a multivariate analysis? For example, with Cohen's d as the DV, and the other columns in the table as IVs? -Page 20/Figure 2: Is it possible to add CIs to the Cohen's d plots? I would also sort this figure ascending, rather than by intervention type, to group the most/least effective interventions together. This will tie more directly into the discussion of patterns in the results on pp. 13-22. -Pages 22ff: A key takeaway of the paper is that CT is a deeply-embedded psychological characteristic that is hard to change. I would discuss this a bit more. Please see work by Uscinski et al. on this (2022a,b; 2021; 2016). -Pages 25-26: In the discussion of limitations I would note that the 24 studies represent only 10 groups of authors. Moreover, half of the studies come from just three groups. I am mindful that the analysis is limited by what research has been published, but were I writing this paper I would point this out as a possible source of bias. REFERENCES Uscinski, JE et al. 2022a Have beliefs in conspiracy theories increased over time? PLoS ONE 1 7(7): e0270429. Uscinski, JE, et al. 2022b Cause and Effect: On the Antecedents and Consequences of Conspiracy Theory Beliefs. Current Opinion in Psychology 47: 101364. Uscinski, JE, et al. 2021 Do Conspiracy Beliefs form a Belief System?: Examining the Structure and Organization of Conspiracy Beliefs. Journal of Social and Political Psychology 9: 255-271. Uscinski, JE, et al. 2016 What Drives Conspiratorial Beliefs? The Role of Informational Cues and Predispositions. Political Research Quarterly 69: 57-71. Reviewer #2: There is a lot to like in this paper. The review of this kind is timely and much needed. The authors do a good job motivating this study - they build a persuasive case. I also liked the categorization of the interventions they propose and the way it was argued. The fact that they pre registered the study and shared materials and data made it much easier to evaluate and use by future researchers (the osf documentation is clearly labeled and easy to follow) - much appreciated. The authors closely followed PRISMA protocol. They were careful not to overclaim in the Discussion section and to rely exclusively on their results. That being said, I have a few major suggestions: First, I would like the authors to acknowledge the fact that priming interventions are in fact a very heterogeneous group - explicitly state what are their shared features, but also how they differ amongst themselves. Second, the effect sizes of interventions in both directions (aimed to decrease but also to increase CT beliefs, e.g. Jolley & Douglas, 2017a) are lumped together. I would suggest redoing the analysis omitting the interventions increasing CT beliefs and also commenting the effect sizes for the two types of interventions. Next, the authors should make sure to address the fact that the analytical thinking priming interventions stem from one 4-study paper (Swami et al., 2014). Before implementing these types of interventions widely, it would be good to test the robustness of the effect in an independent replication study. I would also like the authors to discuss the upsides and drawbacks techniques for experimental priming of analytical thinking in this research (e.g. reading in a difficult font) and its manipulation checks (e.g. susceptibility to Moses illusion). The duration of the priming effects is also unknown. I also have a few minor things to suggest: First, it would be better to avoid over simplified explanations, for example: "The tendency to believe in contradicting conspiracy The efficacy of interventions in reducing belief conspiracy theories theories suggest that those who believe in conspiracies tend to make superficial judgements about whether they are true." Please consult these papers about contradictory conspiracy theories (they discuss whether they necessarily reflect superficial judgments about the veracity of the CTs): Lukić, P., Žeželj, I., & Stanković, B. (2019). How (ir) rational is it to believe in contradictory conspiracy theories?. Europe’s journal of psychology, 15(1), 94-107. Wood M. J. (2017). Conspiracy suspicions as a proxy for beliefs in conspiracy theories: Implications for theory and measurement. British Journal of Psychology, 108(3), 507–527. Second, I would also suggest rewording emotionally charged claims such as: By synthesizing the evidence, we may better prepare for future real-world threats from conspiracists. Reviewer #3: This is a good paper. I think some rewriting would make it publishable. 1. There is no "striking increase in conspiracy theory beliefs." You don't need to make this throwaway claim. See: J. Uscinski et al., Have beliefs in conspriacy theories increased over time? Plos One 17, e0270429 (2022). D. Romer, K. H. Jamieson, Conspiracy theories as barriers to controlling the spread of COVID-19 in the US. Social Science & Medicine 263, 1-8 (2020). M. Mancosu, S. Vassallo, The life cycle of conspiracy theories: evidence from a long-term panel survey on conspiracy beliefs in Italy. Italian Political Science Review/Rivista Italiana di Scienza Politica 52, 1-17 (2022). 2. I am not sure what the abstract means when it says that little research has reviewed methods for reducing beliefs. I have seen tons of studies on this topic. And lots of critiques of those studies. 3. Use newer citations for the intro. Many of the cites are more than five years old. No need for that. 4. Grimes is not a good citation for conspiracy beliefs being resistant to refutation. He doesn't test that. 5. Claiming that conspiracy theory beliefs have harmful outcomes assumes causality. I think such assumptions are unwarranted at this time. 6. The intro should almost be entirely removed - the paper can stand on its own without a broad review on conspiracy theories - just focus on the interventions, that's it. Don't cite so much stuff either, just cite the Douglas et al 2019 lit review, for example. 7. pg.6. Not sure that that conspiracy theory beliefs have "very real public health threats." I think the jury is still out. See: J. Uscinski, A. M. Enders, C. Klofstad, J. Stoler, Cause and Effect: On the Antecedents and Consequences of Conspiracy Theory Beliefs. Current Opinion in Psychology https://doi.org/10.1016/j.copsyc.2022.101364, 101364 (2022). 8. Did the search miss "conspiratorial" because it has a t instead of a c at the end? How about misperceptions and rumors? 9. There needs to be a better demarcation between general conspiracy mentality measures and specific measures of conspiracy theory beliefs. These are different things, and the implications of decreasing one versus the other are very different. 10. Figure 2 is hard to read. The dots are too far from the labels. 11. page 22: Conspiracy theories are not "becoming" widespread, and the literature cited, Oliver and Wood and van der linden show no such thing. Also those cites are both really old for making claims about recent over time change. 12. Your paper is about conspiracy theories, not conspiracies. Be sure to use the term conspiracy theories, for example, on bottom of page 23 but elsewhere too. Conspiracies are real. 13. Page 27. What is a "misinformation effect of conspiracy theories"? This is clunky language. 14. The paper, in general, needs to focus on the meta analysis, and the findings of that. Trim the front substantially and stay laser focused on the basic findings. This will highlight the paper's value. I think the abstract could highlight the main findings more: what works and what doesn't? In other words, only focus on interventions and nothing else. Reviewer #4: This paper is a systematic review of the efficacy of interventions in countering belief in conspiracy theories. It is a very meaningful study as the field is growing fast and a review is warranted. However, the paper could benefit from some substantial changes. Major comments: - Because the search was conducted in June 2021, the results feel a little outdated, as with COVID-19 there is a burgeoning number of studies that look at the issue in an empirical setting, which are not included. It may be too much to ask the authors to conduct another updated search, considering the amount of anticipated work associated with it. That said, if the authors intend to keep the included papers as they are, maybe a more in-depth discussion is necessary regarding the implications for future research given all the new emerging studies. - Relatedly, the included studies are not a lot, even though each paper investigates several interventions. The authors mentioned that many of the studies use misinformation, fake news, and conspiracy theories interchangeably. Then why not include all of them in the keyword search to expand the sample? Or at least, justify why only conspirac* is used in the search strategy. - In the background section, besides explaining the different types of interventions, it's also helpful to include a discussion on the different cognitive processes of conspiracy beliefs - proportionality bias, intentionality bias, pattern perception, jumping to conclusions, confirmation bias, and the conjunction fallacy. And if possible, relate the interventions to these categories. - Is there any systematic difference between the more general and more specific conspiracy beliefs? - As discussed in the limitations section, the paper lacks external validity. What kind of potential interventions in real life can we devise, for example, on social media platforms? Minor comments: - The PRISMA flowchart can be more detailed - breaking down the number of papers excluded according to the reason/criteria - Period missing at the end of page 30. ********** 6. 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| Revision 1 |
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The efficacy of interventions in reducing belief in conspiracy theories: a systematic review PONE-D-22-25039R1 Dear Dr. O'Mahony, We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements. Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication. An invoice for payment will follow shortly after the formal acceptance. To ensure an efficient process, please log into Editorial Manager at http://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/, click the 'Update My Information' link at the top of the page, and double check that your user information is up-to-date. If you have any billing related questions, please contact our Author Billing department directly at authorbilling@plos.org. If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper to help maximize its impact. If they’ll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team as soon as possible -- no later than 48 hours after receiving the formal acceptance. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information, please contact onepress@plos.org. Kind regards, Pierluigi Vellucci Academic Editor PLOS ONE Additional Editor Comments (optional): Reviewers' comments: Reviewer's Responses to Questions Comments to the Author 1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation. Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed Reviewer #2: All comments have been addressed ********** 2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: (No Response) ********** 3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: (No Response) ********** 4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available? The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: (No Response) ********** 5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English? PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: (No Response) ********** 6. Review Comments to the Author Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters) Reviewer #1: (No Response) Reviewer #2: I am happy with the changes the authors introduced in the revised version of the paper and I think it is now suitable for publication. ********** 7. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files. If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public. Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy. Reviewer #1: No Reviewer #2: No ********** |
| Formally Accepted |
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PONE-D-22-25039R1 The efficacy of interventions in reducing belief in conspiracy theories: a systematic review Dear Dr. O'Mahony: I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department. If your institution or institutions have a press office, please let them know about your upcoming paper now to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information please contact onepress@plos.org. If we can help with anything else, please email us at plosone@plos.org. Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access. Kind regards, PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staff on behalf of Dr. Pierluigi Vellucci Academic Editor PLOS ONE |
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