Peer Review History
| Original SubmissionFebruary 21, 2022 |
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PONE-D-22-05224Temporal aspects of unrealistic optimism and robustness of this bias: longitudinal study in the context of the COVID-19 pandemicPLOS ONE Dear Dr. Izydorczak, Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process. Your article has been reviewed by one reviewer and their comments are appended below. The reviewer has raised a number of concerns that require your attention. They state that the results need to contain more information about the participant characteristics in addition to age and sex only, and these differences in characteristics might need to be discussed further. In addition, the reviewer states that the overall reporting of the article could be improved. Please note that we have only been able to secure a single reviewer to assess your manuscript. We are issuing a decision on your manuscript at this point to prevent further delays in the evaluation of your manuscript. Please be aware that the editor who handles your revised manuscript might find it necessary to invite additional reviewers to assess this work once the revised manuscript is submitted. However, we will aim to proceed on the basis of this single review if possible. Please submit your revised manuscript by Sep 30 2022 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at plosone@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file. Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:
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Kind regards, Maria Elisabeth Johanna Zalm, Ph.D Editorial Office PLOS ONE Journal requirements: When submitting your revision, we need you to address these additional requirements. 1. Please ensure that your manuscript meets PLOS ONE's style requirements, including those for file naming. The PLOS ONE style templates can be found at https://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/file?id=wjVg/PLOSOne_formatting_sample_main_body.pdf and [Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.] Reviewers' comments: Reviewer's Responses to Questions Comments to the Author 1. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented. Reviewer #1: No ********** 2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? Reviewer #1: Yes ********** 3. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available? The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified. Reviewer #1: Yes ********** 4. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English? PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here. Reviewer #1: Yes ********** 5. Review Comments to the Author Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters) Reviewer #1: I thank the authors for their interesting contribution toward trying to better understand the pandemic. I agree that the pandemic is an excellent circumstance to study the phenomenon of unrealistic optimism (UO). The authors produced a longitudinal assessment of UO in a Polish cohort (all same employer), finding that UO increased in association with government restrictions (used as a proxy of potential risk perception). I very much appreciate the effort it took to complete this project. I hope that these comments (in no particular order) are useful. 1. The need for editing by a native-English speaker is completely understandable and recommended. 2. I recommend specifying the ethics committee that approved the project. 3. I think it would be easier on the reader if the dates of the wave were illustrated in a figure that also included the pandemic milestones as discussed on page 13. 4. A lot of statistical analyses could lead to autocorrelation, which could be addressed. 5. Did UP correlate with reporting likelihood of saying they would get vaccinated? Those with UP may be quite anxious to get vaccinated. 6. For the primary analyses, were local case counts and deaths used, or were those numbers for the country or world? How do you know all participants had the same information on COVID case numbers? 7. My concern (enough to prevent recommendation for publication until clarification) is that there appear to be no more data on participant characteristics besides age and sex. What were their health status, pre-existing conditions, political affiliation, occupation, and other factors that likely explain UO? Many people developed both RP and UP because of their health risk factors, and these effects are likely much, much greater than anything gleaned from government restrictions. It may also be that those with UO thought they were at lower risk during the government restrictions simply because they were not allowed to interact with others as much. And I remain unconvinced that Google mobility trends are a proxy for amount of social contact. Overall this is a great idea and I appreciate the effort; the execution does not substantiate the conclusions at this time without more information on participant health status. ********** 6. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files. If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public. Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy. Reviewer #1: Yes: Michael Muehlenbein ********** [NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files.] While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Registration is free. Then, login and navigate to the UPLOAD tab, where you will find detailed instructions on how to use the tool. If you encounter any issues or have any questions when using PACE, please email PLOS at figures@plos.org. Please note that Supporting Information files do not need this step. |
| Revision 1 |
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Temporal aspects of unrealistic optimism and robustness of this bias: a longitudinal study in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic PONE-D-22-05224R1 Dear Dr. Izydorczak, We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements. Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication. An invoice for payment will follow shortly after the formal acceptance. To ensure an efficient process, please log into Editorial Manager at http://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/, click the 'Update My Information' link at the top of the page, and double check that your user information is up-to-date. If you have any billing related questions, please contact our Author Billing department directly at authorbilling@plos.org. If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper to help maximize its impact. If they’ll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team as soon as possible -- no later than 48 hours after receiving the formal acceptance. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information, please contact onepress@plos.org. Kind regards, Maurizio Fiaschetti Academic Editor PLOS ONE Reviewers' comments: Reviewer's Responses to Questions Comments to the Author 1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation. Reviewer #2: All comments have been addressed Reviewer #3: All comments have been addressed ********** 2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented. Reviewer #2: Yes Reviewer #3: Yes ********** 3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? Reviewer #2: Yes Reviewer #3: Yes ********** 4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available? The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified. Reviewer #2: Yes Reviewer #3: Yes ********** 5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English? PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here. Reviewer #2: Yes Reviewer #3: Yes ********** 6. Review Comments to the Author Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters) Reviewer #2: Thank you for letting me read this paper and learn from the study described. In this article the Authors present a very intriguing research concerning unrealistic optimism. For 12 months 120 participants were consequetivelly asked to estimate their own and their peers’ risk of COVID-19 infection. In this longitudinal study, the Authors were able to observe the robustness of the UO bias and to investigate the relations between the level of threat (objective information about the numer of cases and deaths as well as information about political decisions) and the magnitude of unrealistic optimism. Overall, I found the paper very interesting to read. The manuscript is clearly written and the pattern of results obtained is intriguing. The theory and results obtained are relevant and contribute to the current body of knowledge, and this is why I think that after some (very minor) alternations are made to it, the article should be accepted. (1) At the very begining of the article, the Authors introduce the term ”unrealistic optimism”. As authors most probably know, in psychology this term is used in two meanings: - unrealistic absolute optimism - unrealistic comparative optimism (see: Shepperd, Klein, Waters & Weinstein, 2013 (Taking stock af unrealistic optimism – Perspectives on Psychological Science) The authors decided to investigate comparative unrealistic optimism in their research (and without any doubts they were right, only such a measure is justified here). However, it is worth writing in the paper some words about the absolute optimism phenomenon (just 2 – 3 sentences). Thanks to this, the reader will have no doubts how the authors treated the unrealistic optimism and what they actually measured. (2) I am very impressed by the authors longitudinal research on the dynamics of the unrealistic optimism. As far as I know, nobody in the world has investigated optimistic bias so many times in such a long period (one year!). Authors have shown changes in the level of unrealistic optimism under the influence of various factors. The question came to my mind to what extend the level of unrealistic optimism is stable in normal (typical) situations. For ecample: does the level of unrealistic otpimism in relations to cancer or being the victim of car accident change over time? Of course, I am aware that the Authors do not know the answer to this question (I do not know it either), but perhaps it is worth asking such a rhetorical question in the section ”Limitation and directions of further research”. Reviewer #3: I think the author did their best to address all comments and the manuscript is getting better and it could be published ********** 7. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files. If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public. Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy. Reviewer #2: No Reviewer #3: No **********
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| Formally Accepted |
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PONE-D-22-05224R1 Temporal aspects of unrealistic optimism and robustness of this bias: a longitudinal study in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic Dear Dr. Izydorczak: I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department. If your institution or institutions have a press office, please let them know about your upcoming paper now to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information please contact onepress@plos.org. If we can help with anything else, please email us at plosone@plos.org. Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access. Kind regards, PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staff on behalf of Dr. Maurizio Fiaschetti Academic Editor PLOS ONE |
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