Measuring the impact of climate change on potato production in Bangladesh using Bayesian Hierarchical Spatial-temporal modeling

Md. Sifat Ar Salan; Md. Moyazzem Hossain; Imran Hossain Sumon; Md. Mizanur Rahman; Mohammad Alamgir Kabir; Ajit Kumar Majumder

doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0277933

Peer Review History

Original SubmissionJuly 31, 2022
19 Sep 2022 Decision Letter - Moumita Gangopadhyay, Editor PONE-D-22-21496Measuring the Impact of Climate Change on Potato Production in Bangladesh using Bayesian Hierarchical Spatio-temporal ModelingPLOS ONE Dear Dr. Hossain, Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process. Please submit your revised manuscript by Nov 03 2022 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at plosone@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file. 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The following resources for replacing copyrighted map figures may be helpful: USGS National Map Viewer (public domain): http://viewer.nationalmap.gov/viewer/ The Gateway to Astronaut Photography of Earth (public domain): http://eol.jsc.nasa.gov/sseop/clickmap/ Maps at the CIA (public domain): https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/index.html and https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/cia-maps-publications/index.html NASA Earth Observatory (public domain): http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/ Landsat: http://landsat.visibleearth.nasa.gov/ USGS EROS (Earth Resources Observatory and Science (EROS) Center) (public domain): http://eros.usgs.gov/# Natural Earth (public domain): http://www.naturalearthdata.com/. Additional Editor Comments: The manuscript entitled ““Measuring the Impact of Climate Change on Potato Production in Bangladesh using Bayesian Hierarchical Spatio-temporal Modelling” (PONE-D-22-21496)” is very important for potato production. Here the authors given a good impression about the current situation of Measuring the Impact of Climate Change on Potato Production in Bangladesh. The findings revealed that there is a potential impact of climate change on potato production in Bangladesh. Bayesian Spatiotemporal modelling for Linear, ANOVA, and Auto-Regressive models was used to find the best fit compared with the independent Error Bayesian model for statistical analysis. However, the authors need to be focus on the following issues for modification- 1. Some specific previous studies on correlation between climate factors and its effect on potato crop (if available) may be included or mentioned in the introduction part. 2. English should be checked by any native speaker. 3. Modification is required for proper synchronization of figures and legends in journal format. 4. Resolution of the images use here should be increased. 5. Needs clearly defined objectives with proper deliverable outcome in details. Concerning the above-mentioned issues, I am suggesting that this manuscript can be resubmitted as a major revision to this journal. [Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.] Reviewers' comments: Reviewer's Responses to Questions Comments to the Author 1. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Partly ******** 2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? Reviewer #1: I Don't Know Reviewer #2: Yes ****** 3. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available? The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes ****** 4. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English? PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes ******** 5. Review Comments to the Author Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters) Reviewer #1: 1. In line no -53 , the font size has to be rectified. 2. Some specific previous studies on correlation between climate factors and its effect on potato crop ( if available ) may be included or mentioned in the introduction part. Reviewer #2: The author has given a good impression about the current situation of Measuring the Impact of Climate Change on Potato Production in Bangladesh. The findings revealed that there is a potential impact of climate change on potato production in Bangladesh. Bayesian Spatiotemporal modelling for Linear, ANOVA, and Auto-Regressive models was used to find the best fit compared with the independent Error Bayesian model for statistical analysis. 1. English modification has to be done in proper manner. 2. Ligand should be added in figure 1. Addition of standard deviation should added in Fig 1. 3. Explanation of * should be clearly written as figure ligand in Fig 2. 4. Clarity of the Fig 3 should be increased. 5. Discussion part must be more elaborated. ******** 6. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files. If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public. Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy. Reviewer #1: No Reviewer #2: Yes: Arpita Das ******** [NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files.] While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Registration is free. Then, login and navigate to the UPLOAD tab, where you will find detailed instructions on how to use the tool. If you encounter any issues or have any questions when using PACE, please email PLOS at figures@plos.org. Please note that Supporting Information files do not need this step. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0277933.r001
Revision 1
4 Oct 2022 Author Response Author responses to the review comments: We would like to express our sincere gratitude to the two reviewers and the Academic Editor for their valuable comments. We have considered all the comments made by the reviewers and thoroughly revised and formatted the manuscript accordingly. A detailed response to each of the comments is provided in the table below: Responses to the Academic Editor comments: Thank you very much. The required files are submitted through the submission system. We include all required information in the cover letter. Revised texts are in red color. Responses Journal Requirements: 1. Many thanks. The manuscript is revised according to PLOS ONE’s style. All necessary files are uploaded to the system of the journal. Revised texts are in red color. Page: 1-16 2. Thanks for raising these points. We revised the whole manuscript as per your comments. The whole manuscript is revised in light of grammatical mistakes and typos. A clean version of the manuscript and track changed version is uploaded to the journal system. Revised texts are in red color. Page: 1-16 3. Thanks. We have revised the data availability statement. This study is based on the secondary data that is freely available in the websites of the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (http://bbs.portal.gov.bd/sites/default/files/files/bbs.portal.gov.bd/page/b343a8b4_956b_45ca_872f_4cf9b2f1a6e0/45%20years%20Major%20Crops.pdf) and Bangladesh Agricultural Research Council (https://bbs.portal.gov.bd/site/page/453af260-6aea-4331-b4a5-7b66fe63ba61/-). Revised texts are in red color. Page: 16 4. Thank you very much for your concern on this point. We ensure you that all maps are produced by using R-coding written by authors. All of them are the author’s own work. No maps were taken from any other sources. Responses to the Additional Editor Comments: 1. Thank you very much. We have revised the Introduction section as per comments. Revised texts are in red color. Page: 2-4 2. Thanks. The whole manuscript is revised to fix grammatical issues and typos. Revised texts are in red color. Page: 1-16 3. Thank you very much. All figures and legends are modified as per requirement. All high resolute figures are uploaded to the journal system. Revised texts are in red color. Page: 7-13 4. Thank you very much for highlighted this point. All high resolute figures are uploaded to the journal system separately. 5. Thanks. We have revised the manuscript and submitted it to the journal system. Responses to the Reviewer 1 comments: 1. Thank you very much for your comments and feedback. We revise it. Revised texts are in red color. Page: 3 2. Thanks. We appreciate this comment. We have revised the Introduction section as per your comments. Revised texts are in red color. Page: 2-4 Responses to the Reviewer 2 comments: 1. Thank you very much for your valuable comment and suggestions that help us improve the manuscript's quality. We have revised the manuscript as per your comments. The whole manuscript is revised to fix grammatical issues and typos. Revised texts are in red color. Page: 1-16 2. Thanks. Actually, we consider the yearly potato production in Bangladesh. It is a single time series data, therefore, we think that to calculate the standard deviation is not possible here. In the left panel of Fig 1, we visualized the total potato production of Bangladesh by a time series plot and in the right panel, we want to show the spatial distribution of the potato production. Revised texts are in red color. Page: 7 3. Thanks. We add the explanation of * in legend of Fig 2. Revised texts are in red color. Page: 8 4. Thank you very much. We appreciate this comment. All high resolute figures are uploaded to the journal system. 5. Thanks. The Discussion section is revised as per your comment. Revised texts are in red color. Page: 13-16 Finally, the revised manuscript has been produced following the valuable comments and suggestions of the reviewers. Once again, we would like to thank the reviewers for their sincere dedication, professional insights, and earnest cooperation in reviewing the manuscript. Attachments Attachment Submitted filename: Response to Reviewers.pdf https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0277933.r002
1 Nov 2022 Decision Letter - Moumita Gangopadhyay, Editor PONE-D-22-21496R1Measuring the Impact of Climate Change on Potato Production in Bangladesh using Bayesian Hierarchical Spatial-temporal ModelingPLOS ONE Dear Dr. Hossain, Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process. Please submit your revised manuscript by Dec 16 2022 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at plosone@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file. Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript: A rebuttal letter that responds to each point raised by the academic editor and reviewer(s). You should upload this letter as a separate file labeled 'Response to Reviewers'. A marked-up copy of your manuscript that highlights changes made to the original version. You should upload this as a separate file labeled 'Revised Manuscript with Track Changes'. An unmarked version of your revised paper without tracked changes. You should upload this as a separate file labeled 'Manuscript'. If you would like to make changes to your financial disclosure, please include your updated statement in your cover letter. Guidelines for resubmitting your figure files are available below the reviewer comments at the end of this letter. If applicable, we recommend that you deposit your laboratory protocols in protocols.io to enhance the reproducibility of your results. Protocols.io assigns your protocol its own identifier (DOI) so that it can be cited independently in the future. For instructions see: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/submission-guidelines#loc-laboratory-protocols. Additionally, PLOS ONE offers an option for publishing peer-reviewed Lab Protocol articles, which describe protocols hosted on protocols.io. Read more information on sharing protocols at https://plos.org/protocols?utm_medium=editorial-email&utm_source=authorletters&utm_campaign=protocols. We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript. Kind regards, Moumita Gangopadhyay Academic Editor PLOS ONE Journal Requirements: Please review your reference list to ensure that it is complete and correct. If you have cited papers that have been retracted, please include the rationale for doing so in the manuscript text, or remove these references and replace them with relevant current references. Any changes to the reference list should be mentioned in the rebuttal letter that accompanies your revised manuscript. If you need to cite a retracted article, indicate the article’s retracted status in the References list and also include a citation and full reference for the retraction notice. Additional Editor Comments: Dear Sir/Madam After reevaluating this revised manuscript the following revisions can be taken into consideration- 1. Modifying English Language specially in introduction and conclusion section. 2. Give some justification how this model can be implemented to another agro climatic environment. i.e. Mention global impact of using this model. [Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.] Reviewers' comments: [NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files.] While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Registration is free. Then, login and navigate to the UPLOAD tab, where you will find detailed instructions on how to use the tool. If you encounter any issues or have any questions when using PACE, please email PLOS at figures@plos.org. Please note that Supporting Information files do not need this step. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0277933.r003
Revision 2
2 Nov 2022 Author Response Dear Moumita Gangopadhyay Academic Editor PLOS ONE We would like to express our sincere gratitude to the two reviewers and the Academic Editor for their valuable comments. We have considered all the comments made by the reviewers and thoroughly revised and formatted the manuscript accordingly. A detailed response to each of the comments is provided below. Response to the Academic Editor comments: Thank you very much. The required files are submitted through the submission system. We include all required information in the cover letter. Revised texts are in red color. Response to the Journal Requirements: Many thanks. We checked all the references and ensure that all of them are complete and correct. Response to the Additional Editor Comments: 1. Thank you very much. We have revised the Introduction and Conclusion sections as per comments. Moreover, the whole manuscript is revised to fix grammatical issues and typos. Revised texts are in red color. Page: 1-13 2. Thanks. We add this in the last part of the Introduction section. Revised texts are in red color. Page: 4 Thank you very much for your comments and feedback. We already checked all figures using PACE at the time of submission of the revised version of the manuscript (PONE-D-22-21496R1). Finally, the revised manuscript has been produced following the valuable comments and suggestions of the reviewers. Once again, we would like to thank the reviewers for their sincere dedication, professional insights, and earnest cooperation in reviewing the manuscript. Attachments Attachment Submitted filename: Response to Reviewers.docx https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0277933.r004
8 Nov 2022 Decision Letter - Sathishkumar V E, Editor Measuring the Impact of Climate Change on Potato Production in Bangladesh using Bayesian Hierarchical Spatial-temporal Modeling PONE-D-22-21496R2 Dear Dr. Hossain, We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements. Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication. An invoice for payment will follow shortly after the formal acceptance. To ensure an efficient process, please log into Editorial Manager at http://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/, click the 'Update My Information' link at the top of the page, and double check that your user information is up-to-date. If you have any billing related questions, please contact our Author Billing department directly at authorbilling@plos.org. If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper to help maximize its impact. If they’ll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team as soon as possible -- no later than 48 hours after receiving the formal acceptance. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information, please contact onepress@plos.org. Kind regards, Sathishkumar V E Academic Editor PLOS ONE Additional Editor Comments (optional): Reviewers' comments: Reviewer's Responses to Questions Comments to the Author 1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation. Reviewer #3: All comments have been addressed Reviewer #4: (No Response) ******** 2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented. Reviewer #3: Yes Reviewer #4: (No Response) ****** 3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? Reviewer #3: Yes Reviewer #4: (No Response) ****** 4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available? The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified. Reviewer #3: Yes Reviewer #4: (No Response) ****** 5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English? PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here. Reviewer #3: Yes Reviewer #4: (No Response) ****** 6. Review Comments to the Author Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters) Reviewer #3: All the comments as mentioned in the last review, now addressed and now the paper stands Accepted with no further revisions. Reviewer #4: (No Response) ****** 7. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files. If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public. Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy. Reviewer #3: No Reviewer #4: Yes: Usha Moorthy ******** https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0277933.r005
Formally Accepted
11 Nov 2022 Acceptance Letter - Sathishkumar V E, Editor PONE-D-22-21496R2 Measuring the Impact of Climate Change on Potato Production in Bangladesh using Bayesian Hierarchical Spatial-temporal Modeling Dear Dr. Hossain: I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department. If your institution or institutions have a press office, please let them know about your upcoming paper now to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information please contact onepress@plos.org. If we can help with anything else, please email us at plosone@plos.org. Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access. Kind regards, PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staff on behalf of Dr. Sathishkumar V E Academic Editor PLOS ONE https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0277933.r006

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