Peer Review History

Original SubmissionNovember 24, 2021
Decision Letter - Sanjay Kumar Singh Patel, Editor

PONE-D-21-34926How common are high-risk coronavirus contacts? A video-observational analysis of outdoor public place behavior during the COVID-19 pandemicPLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Appelman,

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Sanjay Kumar Singh Patel, Ph.D.

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

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We will update your Data Availability statement on your behalf to reflect the information you provide.

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Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Partly

Reviewer #3: Yes

**********

2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

Reviewer #3: Yes

**********

3. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: No

Reviewer #3: Yes

**********

4. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

Reviewer #3: Yes

**********

5. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: This very research article entitled " How common are high-risk coronavirus contacts? A video-observational analysis of outdoor public place behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic" by Appelman et al., video-observed high-risk contacts in outdoor public places in Amsterdam, the Netherlands, during the COVID-19 pandemic. Authors found that high-risk contacts were relatively uncommon as out of 7,814 individuals observed, only 20 (0.26%) displayed such contact. While the topic is of increasing relevance, still, this reviewer has certain suggestions that would help produce a more comprehensive study of the topic:

Specific comments that the authors should consider

1, Authors have performed this study at outdoor public places in Amsterdam, it would be interesting to analyze other available data from other geographical location in the Netherlands.

2, Authors should provide their data graphical representable format.

3, Authors should discuss their study by putting/citing some current research.

4, At least one supplementary Figure as illustration may be afforded as to highlight the summary or prospect of this study.

5, What was the infection rate in Netherlands when this study was conducted and what might be the proposed reason for that?

Reviewer #2: This paper uses video-observational analysis to investigate the high-risk contact behaviour at outdoor public place during the COVID-19 pandemic. According to WHO, high-risk situation is defined as contacts with a COVID-19 patient via physical contact or via face-to-face contact within one meter, for at least 15 minutes. And the authors find that such high-risk contacts were relatively uncommon. The authors thus conclude that their results alleviate the public health concern regarding coronavirus transmission in outdoor public places.

This conclusion may mislead. From the several waves of SARS-CoV-2 virus infection outbreak in the past two years in almost all major countries in the world, we can see that although the rate of outdoor person-to-person viral transmission is much lower than that of the indoor transmission, outdoor transmission is still a considerable form of transmission. The authors’ result rather shows that the WHO definition of high-risk contact is inadequate: long distance (greater than one meter) and short time (less than 15 minutes) can still constitute high risk of infection. This is because, the SARS-CoV-2 virus can be transmitted in airborne way [1-3].

The highly contagious nature of the SARS-CoV-2 viral infection shows that although facial mask may slow down the transmission of the virus, in long run, infection is inevitable, and we have to live with this SARS-CoV-2 virus. Epidemiologic data show that most of the COVID-19 cases are asymptomatic and mild [4] and the SARS-CoV-2 virus is self-limiting [5]. The severe cases of COVID-19 is dominantly caused by the immunopathology, i.e., the overreaction of the host immune system and the cytokine storm [6,7] instead of viral infection. So the public health authorities may focus more on the curing of the noncommunicable diseases like morbid obesity, type 2 diabetes mellitus and other metabolic syndromes than the concern regarding the coronavirus infection and transmission.

Reference

1. Huang J, Jones P, Zhang A, Hou SS, Hang J and Spengler JD (2021) Outdoor Airborne Transmission of Coronavirus Among Apartments in High-Density Cities. Front. Built Environ. 7:666923. doi: 10.3389/fbuil.2021.666923

2. Yu ITS, Li Y, Wong TW (2004) Evidence of airborne transmission of the severe acute respiratory syndrome virus. N. Engl. J. Med. 350(17):1731–1739. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa032867.

3. Zhang R, Li Y, Zhang AL, Wang Y, Molina MJ (2020) Identifying airborne transmission as the dominant route for the spread of COVID-19. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 117(26):14857-14863. DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2009637117.

4. Wu Z, McGoogan JM (2020) Characteristics of and Important Lessons From the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Outbreak in China: Summary of a Report of 72 314 Cases From the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention. JAMA. 323(13):1239-1242. DOI: 10.1001/jama.2020.2648

5. Zhu CC, Zhu J (2021) The effect of self-limiting on the prevention and control of the diffuse COVID-19 epidemic with delayed and temporal-spatial heterogeneous. BMC Infect Dis 21, 1145. DOI: 10.1186/s12879-021-06670-y

6. Cao, X (2020) COVID-19: immunopathology and its implications for therapy. Nat Rev Immunol 20, 269–270. DOI: 10.1038/s41577-020-0308-3

7. van Eijk LE, Binkhorst M, Bourgonje AR, Offringa AK, Mulder DJ, Bos EM, Kolundzic N, Abdulle AE, van der Voort PH, Olde Rikkert MG, van der Hoeven JG, den Dunnen WF, Hillebrands JL, van Goor H (2021) COVID-19: immunopathology, pathophysiological mechanisms, and treatment options. J Pathol. 254(4):307-331. DOI: 10.1002/path.5642.

Reviewer #3: In this paper entitled " How common are high-risk coronavirus contacts? A video-observational analysis of outdoor public place behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic", the authors used video-observed high-risk contacts in outdoor public places. The study has 7814 individuals and only 0.26 % of individuals display high-risk contact. The manuscript alleviates public health concerns regarding coronavirus transmission in outdoor places based on a low number of high-risk individuals. In addition, the manuscript is fascinating and easy to understand. However, there are a few concerns in the manuscript.

Minor Comments:

1) The English may be polished. There are grammatical errors and spelling mistakes in the manuscript.

2) The link provided in the manuscript in line 100 is not working. Find a way to make the data available to readers.

3) The cameras were located in busy settings such as shopping streets, public transportation. Will footage from pubs, grocery shops, coffee shops change the results?. Why did authors not consider these settings for their study as these sites are closer and human interaction is more?.

4) The footage is from 1 p.m and 1.30 p.m; for half an hour in the afternoon. During this time, the rush in public transport is minor. Why did the authors not consider another time for their study?. Will footage time like office hours and school hours affect the results?

5) Please mention the limitation of the study?

6) The authors may additionally provide one Figure as a summary in results section.

7) The author may elaborate on the results of observational video analysis in the discussion.

9) Discuss similar studies in the introduction and few information on social distancing, nature biomolecules for their treatment, and importance of health (few references i.e. doi: 10.1007/s12088-020-00908-0; doi: 10.1007/s12088-020-00893-4).

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Revision 1

*** Response to reviews of ‘How common are high-risk COVID-19 contacts?’****

***Editors feedback***

1. Please ensure that your manuscript meets PLOS ONE's style requirements, including those for file naming. The PLOS ONE style templates can be found at https://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/file?id=wjVg/PLOSOne_formatting_sample_main_body.pdf and https://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/file?id=ba62/PLOSOne_formatting_sample_title_authors_affiliations.pdf

***REPLY: Validated.

2. In your Data Availability statement, you have not specified where the minimal data set underlying the results described in your manuscript can be found. PLOS defines a study's minimal data set as the underlying data used to reach the conclusions drawn in the manuscript and any additional data required to replicate the reported study findings in their entirety. All PLOS journals require that the minimal data set be made fully available. For more information about our data policy, please see http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/data-availability.

Upon re-submitting your revised manuscript, please upload your study’s minimal underlying data set as either Supporting Information files or to a stable, public repository and include the relevant URLs, DOIs, or accession numbers within your revised cover letter. For a list of acceptable repositories, please see http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/data-availability#loc-recommended-repositories. Any potentially identifying patient information must be fully anonymized.

Important: If there are ethical or legal restrictions to sharing your data publicly, please explain these restrictions in detail. Please see our guidelines for more information on what we consider unacceptable restrictions to publicly sharing data: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/data-availability#loc-unacceptable-data-access-restrictions. Note that it is not acceptable for the authors to be the sole named individuals responsible for ensuring data access.

***REPLY: Replication data and materials are available at https://osf.io/7ek9d/.

3. We note that you have indicated that data from this study are available upon request. PLOS only allows data to be available upon request if there are legal or ethical restrictions on sharing data publicly. For more information on unacceptable data access restrictions, please see http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/data-availability#loc-unacceptable-data-access-restrictions.

In your revised cover letter, please address the following prompts:

a) If there are ethical or legal restrictions on sharing a de-identified data set, please explain them in detail (e.g., data contain potentially sensitive information, data are owned by a third-party organization, etc.) and who has imposed them (e.g., an ethics committee). Please also provide contact information for a data access committee, ethics committee, or other institutional body to which data requests may be sent.

b) If there are no restrictions, please upload the minimal anonymized data set necessary to replicate your study findings as either Supporting Information files or to a stable, public repository and provide us with the relevant URLs, DOIs, or accession numbers. For a list of acceptable repositories, please see http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/data-availability#loc-recommended-repositories.

***REPLY: We would like to stress that all data scripts, transcripts, and materials are publicly available at https://osf.io/7ek9d/. Only the raw data, consisting of video recordings of individuals moving through public space, is available upon request. Ethical and legal restrictions for sharing this data are mentioned in the revised Data Availability statement.

***Reviewer #1***

4. Authors have performed this study at outdoor public places in Amsterdam, it would be interesting to analyze other available data from other geographical location in the Netherlands.

***REPLY: We agree that this would be interesting and relevant. However, in the current study, we only have access to CCTV camera footage from Amsterdam. In fact, we were only able to collect this data because of our long-term collaboration with the Amsterdam Police Department—there exists no centralized, nationwide archive of CCTV data. In the revised paper (p. 9), we have further flagged this geographical issue as a study limitation.

5. Authors should provide their data graphical representable format.

***REPLY: We agree that this would add clarity to the argument and have thus summarized the data patterns in Figure 1 (p. 5) and Figure 2 (p. 6).

6. Authors should discuss their study by putting/citing some current research.

***REPLY: We now cite and discuss other recent studies relating to the topic at hand, both in the introduction (p. 3) and the discussion section (p. 8-9).

7. At least one supplementary Figure as illustration may be afforded as to highlight the summary or prospect of this study.

***REPLY: In the exercise of trying to visualize our main results, we decided to create two figures. Figure 1 (p. 5) is a descriptive figure which summarizes the main findings with regard to the frequency of high-risk contacts, and Figure 2 (p. 6) is modelling based and details the difference between low and high risk distancing contacts. We have revised the Results section as part of the inclusion of these figures.

8. What was the infection rate in Netherlands when this study was conducted and what might be the proposed reason for that?

***REPLY: In the revised paper (p. 4), we now specify that the Netherlands case largely followed the European pattern, with fluctuating infection rates across the data collections period lasting one full year.

***Reviewer #2:***

9. The authors thus conclude that their results alleviate the public health concern regarding coronavirus transmission in outdoor public places.

This conclusion may mislead. From the several waves of SARS-CoV-2 virus infection outbreak in the past two years in almost all major countries in the world, we can see that although the rate of outdoor person-to-person viral transmission is much lower than that of the indoor transmission, outdoor transmission is still a considerable form of transmission. The authors’ result rather shows that the WHO definition of high-risk contact is inadequate: long distance (greater than one meter) and short time (less than 15 minutes) can still constitute high risk of infection. This is because, the SARS-CoV-2 virus can be transmitted in airborne way [1-3].

The highly contagious nature of the SARS-CoV-2 viral infection shows that although facial mask may slow down the transmission of the virus, in long run, infection is inevitable, and we have to live with this SARS-CoV-2 virus. Epidemiologic data show that most of the COVID-19 cases are asymptomatic and mild [4] and the SARS-CoV-2 virus is self-limiting [5]. The severe cases of COVID-19 is dominantly caused by the immunopathology, i.e., the overreaction of the host immune system and the cytokine storm [6,7] instead of viral infection. So the public health authorities may focus more on the curing of the noncommunicable diseases like morbid obesity, type 2 diabetes mellitus and other metabolic syndromes than the concern regarding the coronavirus infection and transmission.

***REPLY: We agree that the implications of our results could be nuanced along the suggested lines. The revised paper (p. 8-9) now unpacks these potential implications and considerations in a paragraph.

***Reviewer #3:***

10. The English may be polished. There are grammatical errors and spelling mistakes in the manuscript.

***REPLY: We have copy-edited the manuscript.

11. The link provided in the manuscript in line 100 is not working. Find a way to make the data available to readers.

***REPLY: We thank reviewer #3 for flagging this; the link is now updated.

12. The cameras were located in busy settings such as shopping streets, public transportation. Will footage from pubs, grocery shops, coffee shops change the results?. Why did authors not consider these settings for their study as these sites are closer and human interaction is more?.

***REPLY. We agree that this would be interesting, but the CCTV data systems we have obtained access to are only installed in outdoor public places. However, in the revised paper (p. 9), we now flag this as a study limitation. Further, in the discussion (p. 9), we now also consider the current result with respect to interaction in indoor vis-à-vis outdoor settings.

13. The footage is from 1 p.m and 1.30 p.m; for half an hour in the afternoon. During this time, the rush in public transport is minor. Why did the authors not consider another time for their study?. Will footage time like office hours and school hours affect the results?

***REPLY: We thank reviewer #3 for this comment, we now add a comment on why this period was selected, and furthermore, we acknowledge this as a study limitation that may have influenced the current results (p. 9).

14. Please mention the limitation of the study?

***REPLY: We have further detailed the study limitations (presented in the last paragraphs of the paper (p. 9).

15. The authors may additionally provide one Figure as a summary in results section.

***REPLY: In the exercise of trying to visualize our main results, we decided to create 2 figures. Figure 1 (p. 5) is a descriptive figure which summarizes the main findings with regard to the frequency of high-risk contacts, and Figure 2 (p. 6) is modelling based and details the difference between low and high risk distancing contacts. We have revised the Results section as part of the inclusion of these figures.

16. The author may elaborate on the results of observational video analysis in the discussion.

***REPLY: Thanks to this comment, the revised paper now elaborates/discusses the results of the analysis in more detail (p. 8). Relatedly, we have also expanded the introduction with citations and considerations of other research so as to clarify the contribution of the paper (p. 2-3).

17. The authors discuss similar studies in the introduction and few information on social distancing, nature biomolecules for their treatment, and importance of health (few references i.e. doi: 10.1007/s12088-020-00908-0; doi: 10.1007/s12088-020-00893-4).

***REPLY: Throughout the paper revision, we have considered additional relevant citations and have included several. We hope that this helps position our contribution more clearly within the emerging social distancing and related Covid-19 literature.

Attachments
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Submitted filename: Response to Reviewers (2).docx
Decision Letter - Sanjay Kumar Singh Patel, Editor

How common are high-risk coronavirus contacts? A video-observational analysis of outdoor public place behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic

PONE-D-21-34926R1

Dear Dr. Appelman,

We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements.

Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication.

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If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper to help maximize its impact. If they’ll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team as soon as possible -- no later than 48 hours after receiving the formal acceptance. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information, please contact onepress@plos.org.

Kind regards,

Sanjay Kumar Singh Patel, Ph.D.

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Reviewer #1: The manuscript entitled "How common are high-risk coronavirus contacts? A video-observational analysis of outdoor public place behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic " has been improved form its previous draft.

Reviewer #2: As the authors have addressed all my previous review comments, I have no further comments to the manuscript, and the manuscript can now be accepted for publication in its current state.

Formally Accepted
Acceptance Letter - Sanjay Kumar Singh Patel, Editor

PONE-D-21-34926R1

How common are high-risk coronavirus contacts? A video-observational analysis of outdoor public place behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic

Dear Dr. Appelman:

I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department.

If your institution or institutions have a press office, please let them know about your upcoming paper now to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information please contact onepress@plos.org.

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Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access.

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on behalf of

Dr. Sanjay Kumar Singh Patel

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

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