Peer Review History
| Original SubmissionMarch 19, 2021 |
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PONE-D-21-09046 On the effectiveness of communication strategies as non-pharmaceutical interventions to tackle epidemics PLOS ONE Dear Dr. Martinez, Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process. Please submit your revised manuscript by Jun 13 2021 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at plosone@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file. Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:
If you would like to make changes to your financial disclosure, please include your updated statement in your cover letter. Guidelines for resubmitting your figure files are available below the reviewer comments at the end of this letter. If applicable, we recommend that you deposit your laboratory protocols in protocols.io to enhance the reproducibility of your results. Protocols.io assigns your protocol its own identifier (DOI) so that it can be cited independently in the future. For instructions see: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/submission-guidelines#loc-laboratory-protocols. Additionally, PLOS ONE offers an option for publishing peer-reviewed Lab Protocol articles, which describe protocols hosted on protocols.io. Read more information on sharing protocols at https://plos.org/protocols?utm_medium=editorial-email&utm_source=authorletters&utm_campaign=protocols. We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript. Kind regards, Sebastián Gonçalves, Ph.D. Academic Editor PLOS ONE Journal Requirements: When submitting your revision, we need you to address these additional requirements. 1. Please ensure that your manuscript meets PLOS ONE's style requirements, including those for file naming. The PLOS ONE style templates can be found at https://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/file?id=wjVg/PLOSOne_formatting_sample_main_body.pdf and 2. We note that you have stated that you will provide repository information for your data at acceptance. Should your manuscript be accepted for publication, we will hold it until you provide the relevant accession numbers or DOIs necessary to access your data. If you wish to make changes to your Data Availability statement, please describe these changes in your cover letter and we will update your Data Availability statement to reflect the information you provide. [Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.] Reviewers' comments: Reviewer's Responses to Questions Comments to the Author 1. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 3. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available? The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: No ********** 4. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English? PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 5. Review Comments to the Author Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters) Reviewer #1: Comments for PONE-D-21-09046 This paper evaluates the effectiveness of social and communication factors within the population during an epidemic outbreak. The authors use an agent-based susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered-dead (SEIRD), epidemiological model, focusing on simulation results to reach a series of conclusions about the effectiveness of population communication. The model is meaningful and the derivation of the main results sounds right. But it needs to be revised before the second-round consideration. Here are some comments for this manuscript. The summary says, “Moreover, having a scheme of delivering daily messages makes a stark different in most cases compare to any other type of strategies”. I suggest that the author express the differences mentioned here. This paper focuses on the impact of communication strategies on the outcome of the epidemic, so I believe that the simulation results should compare the dynamic changes of the five types of nodes in the system with or without a certain communication strategy, and only focusing on “Sf” may not be enough to illustrate the effectiveness of the strategy. Page 8, the author introduces the simulation results of the three non-drug treatment strategies respectively and writes in the abstract that the second strategy is different from the other strategies. However, the paper does not compare and explain the differences in the results caused by the three strategies. Therefore, I recommend that the authors discuss the differences in the conclusions reached under the three strategies. The manuscript has cited more than 70 references, many quotes are necessary, such as: page 1, line 6, 2-10; page 2, line 15,14-30; etc. The explanation of Equation (1) on Page 6 is not clear enough. Page 6, what’s the basis for setting the initial condition “qi(0)=100”? Please explain. Page 7, for homogeneous and heterogeneous societies, the author shows different distribution patterns through Equation (2) and Equation (3). What is the basis for doing so? What is the reason for this phenomenon “ for example, we can jump from , for ,to ,for , or to , for ” in the first paragraph on page 10? Besides, the description of specific curves in the figure is not clear enough. I recommend the author add the legend to all elements in the simulation diagram for reading. There is some voice, grammar, and other problems in the paper, which are suggested to be modified, for example, line 194, page 5, “Let us say, we wanted to apply this model to describe the evolution of an epidemic in a certain society, we state that…”. There are problems with tense inconsistencies and punctuation, please check. Line 171, page 5, “information state ρ_i” should be “information state r_i”,please check. Line 287, page 8, “in case B’’” should be “in case B”, please check punctuations. Some picture numbers don't match the text description. Such as “Fig 3d”, line 288, and “Fig 3e”, line 296, page 8. Please check. Reviewer #2: The manuscript investigates a susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered-dead (SEIRD) model in homogeneous and heterogeneous populations combining epidemic spreading dynamics and information awareness. Different scenarios are investigated, with information coming from local interactions of agents, or from a central entity. One of the conclusions is that communication is a key to tackle epidemics, increasing the final number of susceptible individuals. The paper is well written and the introduction gives a very nice contextualization of the problem, starting with the COVID-19 situation and the current literature about epidemic spreading, its relationship with human behavior, and the need for data. The proposed model is based on the approach by Funk et al (2009) modeling the "awareness" to parametrize the susceptibility to infection. In this work, the authors investigate different strategies with an agent-based model framework in which agents can be informed with agent-agent interactions, or from a central source to reduce their infection susceptibility. The model has some limitations, such as the assumption that all information is trustworthy. To introduce the model, the authors discuss an application on the 2014-2016 Ebola outbreak in East Africa. Indeed, it is a very good example of the importance of communication to change human behavior when highly effective pharmaceutical interventions are not available. The authors compare different strategies and their equivalence in outcomes using parameters for Ebola. I have some concerns about specific details of the model and its results, although I believe they are correct according to the construction of the model. Major points: - lines 135-151: What is the initial position of agents? Uniformly distributed, and then following a 2D random walk in a 2D lattice with periodic conditions? Or do they start from similar positions? - lines 136,137,170,171,184,188,189: At the beginning, the "information state" is referred to as $r_i$. Later, $\\rho_i$ appears with the same name. In line 184 $r_i$ appears again as information state, and in lines 188-189 $\\rho_i$ is defined as "decay constant". It was quite confusing to understand what is the relationship between $r_i$, $\\rho_i$ and $q_i$ at first. - lines 150-151 and Fig S1: What are the ODE equations that were compared with the ABM? - line 212: The maximum quality of information happens with $q_i = 0$. I can understand $q_i = 1$ when the agent is exposed to a global information, and $q_i(t+1) = q_i(t) + 1$ in other cases (quality decays over time). However, when agents $i$ and $j$ interact, is there any particular reason to sum 2 to the highest quality among $i$ and $j$? - lines 225-232: Traditional ODE-based compartmental models assume a well-mixed population, but it is possible to build ODE equations considering heterogeneous mixing (see heterogeneous and quenched mean-field theories on complex networks, for example). It can be harder to write the equations and have the equivalence with ABMs, but it is not impossible. - line 252 and captions of Fig 2 and 4: For the truncated Gaussian distribution, $\\rho_m$ is defined as the mode of the distribution. However, in the caption of Fig 2, it is referred to as the median. The same happens in Fig 4. - lines 240-,303-307: The heterogeneity in the population is imposed by the decay constant distributions $p_1(\\rho)$ and $p_2(\\rho)$. When not truncated, the Gaussian is a homogeneous distribution (no heavy tails are present). Do the conclusions in lines 303-307 hold if other heavy-tailed distributions are tested, such as a Cauchy or other power-law distributions? I am not sure if the truncated Gaussian alone is enough to conclude this. - lines 240-,303-307: If the current results are for $\\rho_m$ as the mode, would not it be better to compare $p_{1,2}(\\rho)$ with the same average? - lines 356-358: "Opposite" in what sense? "then the results are opposite". I guess it is not the right word: the difference of $S_f$ is smaller, but not "opposite". - line 369 (Strategy II): I suggest to include a discussion on the difference between the time scale of the spreading dynamics and of the information spreading (with $\\tau$) - line 369 (Strategy II): How to contextualize these results with the ones of Phys. Rev. Research 2, 023181 (2020) [DOI:10.1103/PhysRevResearch.2.023181], in which they investigate the effect of pulsating campaigns? - lines 414-416: The curves delays are related to $\\delta$, not $\\tau$, right? "Now, instead of comparing curves of delays $\\tau$, we compare different $\\tau$ for the same societies". - line 482-: In this section, only communication between people is activated. It was not clear to me if the communication still happens when agents become infected, with $q_i(t+1) = 1$. This information is important to understand the results. If $q_i(t)$ is always increasing, it is expected that the outcome of this strategy is not effective. - general question 1: How to connect these results with social media? It is not a "centralized" entity but has huge importance in communication and can be an alternative when the campaigns from the central government are absent. - general question 2: What would happen to the results if a transition from R to S exists? In the case of COVID-19, for example, reinfection is possible, especially with the new variants. Minor points: - Fig S1: Why not use the ratio instead of percentage in the legend? If using percentage, it would be better to add an "%" sign. - Fig 2(d), 2(e), and 4(c) should have a label on the color bar. - line 287: Should be B' (not two primes) - lines 288,296: The reference should be Fig 2, not 3. - caption of Fig 3: It shows 1000 days of simulation, but the main text says 600 days - line 347: Is there any statistical analysis to conclude the similarity with a "Chapman-Richard function"? - lines 404-: If I am not mistaken, here the "difference" is between the curves for $S_f$, correct? That could be more clear. ********** 6. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files. If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public. Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy. Reviewer #1: No Reviewer #2: No [NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files.] While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Registration is free. Then, login and navigate to the UPLOAD tab, where you will find detailed instructions on how to use the tool. If you encounter any issues or have any questions when using PACE, please email PLOS at figures@plos.org. Please note that Supporting Information files do not need this step.
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| Revision 1 |
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PONE-D-21-09046R1 On the effectiveness of communication strategies as non-pharmaceutical interventions to tackle epidemics PLOS ONE Dear Dr. Martinez, Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process. Expressly the one referring to Supplementary Figure 1 on Reviewer #1's comments. Please submit your revised manuscript by Sep 10 2021 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at plosone@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file. Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:
If you would like to make changes to your financial disclosure, please include your updated statement in your cover letter. Guidelines for resubmitting your figure files are available below the reviewer comments at the end of this letter. If applicable, we recommend that you deposit your laboratory protocols in protocols.io to enhance the reproducibility of your results. Protocols.io assigns your protocol its own identifier (DOI) so that it can be cited independently in the future. For instructions see: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/submission-guidelines#loc-laboratory-protocols. Additionally, PLOS ONE offers an option for publishing peer-reviewed Lab Protocol articles, which describe protocols hosted on protocols.io. Read more information on sharing protocols at https://plos.org/protocols?utm_medium=editorial-email&utm_source=authorletters&utm_campaign=protocols. We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript. Kind regards, Sebastián Gonçalves, Ph.D. Academic Editor PLOS ONE Journal Requirements: Please review your reference list to ensure that it is complete and correct. If you have cited papers that have been retracted, please include the rationale for doing so in the manuscript text, or remove these references and replace them with relevant current references. Any changes to the reference list should be mentioned in the rebuttal letter that accompanies your revised manuscript. If you need to cite a retracted article, indicate the article’s retracted status in the References list and also include a citation and full reference for the retraction notice. [Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.] Reviewers' comments: Reviewer's Responses to Questions Comments to the Author 1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation. Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed Reviewer #2: All comments have been addressed ********** 2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available? The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: (No Response) ********** 5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English? PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 6. Review Comments to the Author Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters) Reviewer #1: The author used an epidemiological model of SEIRD based on the agent approach, and answered and improved the questions raised previously. However, we still have some questions. Please find them in the attachment. Reviewer #2: (No Response) ********** 7. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files. If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public. Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy. Reviewer #1: No Reviewer #2: No [NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files.] While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Registration is free. Then, login and navigate to the UPLOAD tab, where you will find detailed instructions on how to use the tool. If you encounter any issues or have any questions when using PACE, please email PLOS at figures@plos.org. Please note that Supporting Information files do not need this step.
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| Revision 2 |
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On the effectiveness of communication strategies as non-pharmaceutical interventions to tackle epidemics PONE-D-21-09046R2 Dear Dr. Martinez, We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements. Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication. An invoice for payment will follow shortly after the formal acceptance. To ensure an efficient process, please log into Editorial Manager at http://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/, click the 'Update My Information' link at the top of the page, and double check that your user information is up-to-date. If you have any billing related questions, please contact our Author Billing department directly at authorbilling@plos.org. If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper to help maximize its impact. If they’ll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team as soon as possible -- no later than 48 hours after receiving the formal acceptance. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information, please contact onepress@plos.org. Kind regards, Sebastián Gonçalves, Ph.D. Academic Editor PLOS ONE Additional Editor Comments (optional): It seems that there is a typo in Eq(1) at the end of Page 9: on the right side, the value of q_i(t+1) should not be 0, instead of 1? Please, double-check on that and make the change on the proofs if needed. Notice that from here, there is no other revision except yours. Reviewers' comments: |
| Formally Accepted |
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PONE-D-21-09046R2 On the effectiveness of communication strategies as non-pharmaceutical interventions to tackle epidemics Dear Dr. Martinez: I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department. If your institution or institutions have a press office, please let them know about your upcoming paper now to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information please contact onepress@plos.org. If we can help with anything else, please email us at plosone@plos.org. Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access. Kind regards, PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staff on behalf of Dr. Sebastián Gonçalves Academic Editor PLOS ONE |
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