The authors would like to thank the Editor-in-Chief and the Referees for their time
and effort in providing valuable comments and insights. We also appreciate the opportunity
to improve our research and results. We agree with all the comments and we have revised
our manuscript accordingly. The manuscript was significantly edited according to recommendations.
The sections of Introduction and Literature review and hypotheses were extended to
include previous studies, and explain the innovativeness of the present study. Statistics
and figures in the new manuscript have all been updated based on the application date.
The sections Results and Discussion were also restructured. To facilitate the work
of the referees, we refer to the new manuscript by indicating the page number. We
have included the Table 1 in the text (p. 16) as established in guidelines. Figures
are also included separately as TIFF image files and at the end of this letter for
your perusal. We made the data available directly to supporting information and online
at https://github.com/amvallone/Data_PLOS_ONE_2020/tree/main. We hope that modifications done allowed for significant improvement of the text
clarity.
Response to comments from Anonymous Referee #1
1. This study only states the importance of the topic in the Introduction section
and fails to identify whether relevant studies have been proposed previously, determine
the difference between the present study and previous studies, or explain the innovativeness
of the present study.
We agree with the reviewer that we need to clarify the significance of the study and
the research gaps. We have carefully revised the introduction and introduced major
changes to the original text and research design. The paragraph has been revised as
follows (p. 4):
“In this paper, we establish several hypotheses regarding the relationship between
the structure and the dynamics of inventor networks, with a particular emphasis on
technology domains. Following [1], the questions of interest we examine are: What
do co-invention networks across technology domains look like, on a large scale? What
sort of clustering behavior occurs? Do technology networks undergo a “phase transition",
in which their behavior suddenly changes? What distributions and patterns do technology
graphs maintain over time? To answer these questions, we study changes in the structural
configurations of eight technology fields (IPC) via the power-law, small-world, preferential
attachment, shrinking diameter, densification law, and ‘gelling point’ hypotheses.”
We also introduced the following text in the manuscript to briefly comment on this
issue in the Literature review (p. 5):
“The network growth dynamics of technological fields have received less attention
[2]. Historically, the core problem in studying innovations in different fields has
been data availability, data silos and the limited access to cross-connections [3].
Today, the availability of large datasets that capture major activities in science
and technology has created a revolution in the discipline of scientometrics [4]. One
representative example is patent data produced by the USPTO, and particularly, the
current organization of patent data in terms of IPC sections which provides the tools
to address central questions of network analysis, such as those formulated in the
study of different technological domains [5]. Many studies investigate technological
and innovation activities by referring to links between nodes and the resulting networks
[e.g., 6, 7-9]. However, in most, the metrics identified (at both node and network
level) are mostly discussed from an economic perspective in only one field of technology
or one geographic region. This offers us an opportunity to study the variations in
the emerging patterns among collaboration networks, specifically inventor networks,
through the lens of differently organized technological domains [5, 10-12].
2. In the literature review section, this paper only explains what is known about
the static properties and dynamic properties. This study did not review those related
to the influence of different statistical properties on the productivity of the invention.
The study was needed to spell out the contribution.
In regards to the implications on the productivity, the referee raises a good point
and we are aware of this limitation. However, the issue requires more attention and
calculations. We hope to investigate this in a follow-up paper.
3. The development of the hypothesis requires sufficient theoretical or research support.
Following the reviewer’s suggestions, the following paragraphs have been changed/added
at the Literature review and hypotheses section (p. 6 onwards):
“Evidence exists, however, showing slightly disturbed power law distributions [13],
and also significant deviations from pure power-law distributions [14]. Furthermore,
less is known about the inventor population dynamics within and across technology
domains, and their repercussions on technology development [12]. With that in mind,
our first related hypotheses based on SNA metrics on the growth dynamics of inventor
networks in different technological domains is:
Hypothesis H1: the degree distribution for the co-inventor collaboration network,
regardless of the technological domain, will follow a power-law, with γ>1”
“Researchers have found mixed evidence regarding the real small-worldliness of co-inventorship
networks, which may suggest that the SW effect is either less pronounced or non-existent
in patent collaborations [15-18]. This is due in part to the nature of the invention
process, and the fact that search decisions for collaborator(s)/team members are not
necessarily taken by the inventors themselves but rather the firm, i.e. the managers
[19]. The literature suggests [10] that this may be due to the fragmentation of inventors´
networks and also the fact that said networks are small-worlds in some technology
fields (e.g., Instruments, Industrial Processes, Chemicals & Materials and Pharmaceuticals
& Biotechnology), while in other fields (e.g., Electrical Engineering & Electronics)
they are not. Nevertheless, this study does not provide any conclusive evidence on
whether inventor networks in other technologies have small-world structures, and therefore
further research is needed. Therefore, our second hypothesis is:
Hypothesis H2: the co-inventor collaboration network, regardless of the technological
domain, will exhibit properties typical of small-worlds, with small-coefficient σ>1.”
“A recent study, however, found a negative association between the net change of the
number of inventors and the net change of the number of links (that is, not all of
the new inventors collaborate with inventors that are already established in the network),
a result that appears to challenge the PA idea [20]. PA results have implications
for the global innovation system in terms of organization, growth, and hierarchy,
and they also present challenges in regard to the generation of new technologies [21].
These PA results therefore deserve further study in different fields, leading us to
our third hypothesis.
Hypothesis H3: the growth of the co-inventor collaboration network will be explained,
regardless of the technological domain, by a sublinear PA regime, with α < 1.”
“First, graphs exhibit an average distance between nodes that often shrinks as part
of their evolutionary process until it reaches an equilibrium [22]. Several experiments
have been performed to verify that the shrinkage of diameters is not intrinsic to
datasets, including the effects of missing past data [23] and disconnected components
[24]. They seem to confirm the shrinkage as an inherent property of networks, and
therefore we explore this in our dataset:
Hypothesis H4: the diameter of the co-inventor collaboration network, regardless of
the technological domain, will keep shrinking over time with the addition of new edges
until it reaches an equilibrium.
Second, most real graphs evolve over time following the densification power-law or
growth power-law, with the equation |E|(t)∝|N|(t)^β, and where |E|(t) and |N|(t) denote
the number of edges and nodes of the graph at time step t with β being the densification
exponent [23]. A densification exponent value greater than 1 indicates that the number
of edges grows super-linearly with the number of nodes as the graph densifies over
time. [24] recently describe similar increasing trends on the average degree over
time and the number of edges as a function of the number of vertices in several collaboration
networks (including patents, citations, and affiliation networks) indicating that
graphs become dense. This could suggest that the densification of graphs is an intrinsic
phenomenon. The question remains whether this property applies equally to all technology
domain networks, and therefore we hypothesize:
Hypothesis H5: the co-inventor collaboration network, regardless of the technological
domain, will densify over time with the addition of new nodes, with β>1.
Third, many small, disconnected components in real networks will merge over time and
within a few periods form a giant connected component (GCC). This relationship is
referred to as the ‘gelling point’ [1]. At this point, the GCC keeps growing, absorbing
the vast majority of the newcomer nodes, while the network diameter continues to steadily
decrease beyond this point. This observation was found to be consistent with the emergence
of invisible colleges within scientific networks containing more than 50% of the nodes
[25], and more recently, with the formation of a knowledge flow network of mobile
inventors among US firms, institutions, and universities [26], the concentration of
patents and citations around large corporations in Europe [27], as well as the dramatic
aggregation in China of oligopolistic communities with key nodes taking central positions
over time [18]. Additionally it seems to indicate a phase transition process in which
small, isolated inventor networks end up forming one giant and connected component
[15]. Therefore, the final hypothesis is:
Hypothesis H6: the co-inventor collaboration network, regardless of the technological
domain, will exhibit a ‘gel point’, at which the diameter spikes and disconnected
components gel into a giant component.”
4. The figure is unclear and vague, such as Figure 8.
All figures were revised to improve their quality. In particular, Fig 8 was replaced
by a contingency table (Fig 7) that better reflects the inferences made in the article.
Figures are included at the end of this cover letter for your revision.
5. You can also put all the figures and tables at the end of the paper to avoid breaking
up the text.
Thanks, revised. We have included all the figures at the end of the paper. Table 1
(see p. 16) is included in the text as established in the guidelines.
6. The discussion and conclusion of this study mostly explained the aforementioned
the research hypothesis and did not draw relevant conclusions and management implications.
We have followed your recommendations and have carefully revised the Discussion and
Conclusion section in the new manuscript. In particular, we would like to highlight
the following findings (p. 26 onwards):
We found evidence that technology field networks have a scale-free distribution,
and exhibit SW properties. Thus, technology networks, regardless of the sector, are
distributed in a highly skewed manner rather than following a normal pattern.
“Our results also support the shrinking diameter and densification hypotheses for
every technology sector, and we found partial evidence to support the gel point hypothesis,
although some large and advanced fields’ networks such as Physics and Electricity
do exhibit data consistent with this theory, as does the total network. This is expected
in more mature networks since the number of nodes (inventors) remains constant over
time, edges can only be added and not deleted, and densification naturally occurs
[23]. This phenomenon is therefore consistent with critical transitions and the aggregation
of isolated inventors as described in inventor network literature, and indicates that
invention production, like any other knowledge production, undergoes a phase transition
process during which small isolated inventor networks form one giant component [15].”
“The smallest technology groups, namely invention technologies in the fields of D.
Textile and paper and E. Construction do not fit the gel point rules. Although there
were indications of an early phase aggregation process, these inventor networks were
still highly fragmented and much smaller in size than any of the other technology
networks studied here, and this had important implications for their network topology.”
“All technology sectors in the long run appear to comply with network laws. There
also appear to be signs of institutional restrictions on collaboration and patenting.
These restrictions appear to have reduced the magnitude of some of these rules, especially
in smaller and newer fields.”
“Overall, we found that the relative growth rates of diversification paths for inventors
patenting in all sectors have also stabilized after a period of time. This may also
be an indication that the inventor networks in all technology sectors are reaching
a mature stage.”
“In summary, we show here that technology networks are complex and in the long run
scale-invariant. This has important implications for the development of innovations
over the different stages of technology networks.”
Response to comments from Anonymous Referee #2
The study of P.E. Pinto, G. Honores, and A. Vallone deals with statistical and dynamic
properties of the collaboration network associated with US patents. The authors perform
a thorough and encompassing characterization of the network properties such as degree
distribution, betweenness centrality, network diameter, growth dynamics, etc. for
several technological fields and analyze them. Moreover, they show what these network
properties tell us about the inner working of the these technological fields and how
innovations appear there. This aspect of their work shall be commended since network
analysis per se is an established topic now, and the challenge now is in its application
to the analysis of real, nonmathematical problems.
The paper is written clearly, pedagogically, and I like it. However, regarding presentation-
Figs. 2,3,5,8 are technically unsatisfactory. I can't read the values on X- and Y-axes,
the text and data resolution are insufficient.
Revised, thanks. Following the reviewer’s suggestions, all figures were revised and
redone to improve their quality. We recommend to click image to download the figure
the from the manuscript for improved quality. We have also included all the figures
at the end of this letter.
With respect to data analysis: Fig.3 shows plots that serve to demonstrate the preferential
attachment. I do not understand how the authors plotted the data - the figure caption
is insufficient. What is the time window for these dynamic measurements? With respect
to analysis, the data clearly can't be represented as dn/dt~n^(1+\\alpha) as the authors
claim. The data for all fields seems to follow the linear dependence with offset,
dn/dt~(n+n_0). Anyway, what is the meaning of this analysis with respect to the invention
process? What does the linear or superlinear or sublinear trend tells us about inventor
collaboration?
The figure was redone for clarity. The plot of data in Fig 3 shows the vertex degree
k value in the horizontal axis, and the vertical axis shows the attachment function
estimate (α). The data is estimated using the PAFit for PA of R [28].
According to the PA rule, only the linear case of α = 1 gives rise to a perfect PA
function (that is, the chance that an inventor gets a new collaborator is proportional
to their current number of collaborators). For 0 <α<1 the resulting degree distribution
takes the form of a stretched exponential function, where for α > 1 a small group
of large hubs receives all the new incoming connections or links in the network [29].
In other words, we can assume that popular inventors, i.e., those with more ties,
will become even more popular in all of the networks. However, inventor popularity
occurs at a sublinear growth rate in all networks we studied here. From this analysis,
we can conclude that sub -linear PA governs the growth of inventor collaboration networks.
That is, all the networks studied exhibit a tendency of PA (i.e., there is a higher
probability to link to an inventor with a large number of connections), but with different
scaling regimes and different exponents. We describe the following explanation in
the text (p. 20):
“In the sublinear PA regime, new nodes (i.e., inventors) are connected to old ones
with a probability proportional to a fractional power of their degree. This asymptotic
degree distribution is not a heavy-tailed but rather a stretched exponential degree
distribution for sublinearly growing networks, which is characterized by an exponent
smaller than one and a maximum degree that scales as a power of the logarithm of the
number of nodes [30].”
"gelling point" (??) or "gel point"?
Following the literature [1], we use both “gel” or “gelling point” indistinctively
to refer to the same phenomenon, the point at which the diameter spikes and disconnected
components gel into a giant component.
What do the studies of network diameter tell us- are there many more new inventors
or just the circle of collaborators increases?
In the context of our paper, this is an indication of how effective (or ineffective)
technology field networks are in connecting pairs of inventors in the largest component.
As stated in the manuscript (pp. 21-22):
“In line with [31], this can be attributed to each inventor in these fields working
with more inventors than is normal in other fields. The diameter of the overall largest
component is 31; therefore, 31 steps separate those inventors furthest apart from
each other in this network. The path length, defined as the average number of steps
along the shortest paths for all possible pairs of the network, is just 8.4. This
indicates the SW property, with indirect links between inventors becoming remarkedly
short regardless of their location, industry or size of the network [26]. This is
also consistent with our results showing overall decreasing values of diameter D and
average path length L over time (D=78 and L=27.5 in 2002). Our results are in the
range of those reported by other authors [10, 31].”
“A graphic representation of the absolute growth rate over time (Fig 4.b) shows size
convergence among IPC sectors. The highlighted area in the graph represents the mean
value of the growth rate per year plus/minus one standard deviation for all sectors
over time. Both calculations, the zero-growth rate between technology sectors and
the reduction of the variability rate over time, reinforce the idea of shrinking diameters
followed by stabilization processes. Thus, based on our data, we conclude that the
diameter of co-inventor collaboration networks shrinks over time in spite of the addition
of new nodes, a phenomenon that can be observed in every technological domain although
at different rates. Therefore, we accept hypothesis H4”
We then explain the reasons in the revised manuscript (p. 22):
“SNA studies have suggested that the shrinking diameter phenomenon can be attributed
to the ‘densification’ [22] and the ‘gelling point’ [1] effects. To test the first
effect and explore why we find differences among technology sections, we plot the
number of nodes N(t) versus the number of edges E(t) in log-log scales over time and
estimate the densification exponent β (Fig 5). All our graphs we studied densify over
time with the number of edges growing superlinearly in the number of nodes, with β=1.15-2,28.
This indicates that the number of edges E grows faster than the number of nodes N
in these graphs. This relation is referred to as the densification power-law (DPL)
or growth power-law [23]. The relatively good linear fit (〖 R〗^2~ 1) in a double
logarithmic axis plot appears to also agree with the DPL, which indicates that the
two variables are related through a power law of the type |E|(t)∝|N|(t)^β. It also
explains away the shrinking diameter phenomenon observed in our real graphs [1].”
Shrinking or non-shrinking of the network diameter- what are the implications for
the invention process? Or, any be these trends are the fingerprint of the new/old
field?
The shrinking diameter is the fingerprint of a mature stage in a network. As stated
in the revised manuscript (p. 27):
“Fourth, our results also support the shrinking diameter, and densification hypotheses
for every technology sector, and found partial evidence to support the hypothesis
of the gelling point, although some large and advanced fields’ networks such as Physics
and Electricity do exhibit data consistent with this theory, as does the total network.
This is expected in more mature networks the number of nodes (inventors) remains constant
over time, edges can only be added and not deleted, and densification naturally occurs
[23]. This phenomenon is therefore consistent with critical transitions and the aggregation
of isolated inventors as described in inventor network literature, and indicates that
invention production, like any other knowledge production, undergoes a phase transition
process during which small isolated inventor networks form one giant component [15].
The smallest technology groups, namely invention technologies in the fields of D.
Textile and paper and E. Construction does not fit the gelling point rules. Although
there were indications of an early phase aggregation process, these inventor networks
were still highly fragmented and much smaller in size than any of the other technology
networks studied here, and this had important implications for their network topology.”
I like the studies of diversification, but what do they tell us about dynamics of
the patents in the field? Is new field less diverse than an old field? What does it
tell us - the technological sector has reached a stationary state? Is it related to
technological revolution? Does it tell us that the field recently passed through such
revolution as does it tell us that the field stagnates?
We introduce ideas associated with the technological diversification of inventors
to complement our network analysis. Our interest here is to search for indications
of whether inventor networks in all technology sectors have reached a mature stage.
We found interesting results which we describe in the revised Discussion and Conclusion
section (p. 26):
“Finally, we explore a possible explanation by looking at the specialization/diversification
patterns of inventors, and we found that inventors in all sectors over time have become
more diversified. Overall, we found that the relative growth rates of diversification
paths for inventors patenting in all sectors have also stabilized after a period of
time. This may also be an indication that the inventor networks in all technology
sectors are reaching a mature stage.”
In summary, the authors perform a thorough network analysis and draw sporadic conclusions
about the maturity, organizational restraints, and mode of cooperation in different
technological fields. To my mind, it would be nice to supplement this by the analysis
of the invention process in each field as follows from network analysis. This does
not require new measurements- just a section in discussion where the already existing
material is rearranged differently - not according to network properties, but rather
to each technological field.
We have followed your recommendations and have carefully revised the Discussion and
Conclusion section in the new manuscript. In particular, we would like to highlight
the following findings (p. 25 onwards):
We found evidence that technology field networks have a scale-free distribution,
and exhibit SW properties. Thus, technology networks, regardless of the sector, are
distributed in a highly skewed manner rather than following a normal pattern.
“Our results also support the shrinking diameter and densification hypotheses for
every technology sector, and we found partial evidence to support the gel point hypothesis,
although some large and advanced fields’ networks such as Physics and Electricity
do exhibit data consistent with this theory, as does the total network. This is expected
in more mature networks since the number of nodes (inventors) remains constant over
time, edges can only be added and not deleted, and densification naturally occurs
[23]. This phenomenon is therefore consistent with critical transitions and the aggregation
of isolated inventors as described in inventor network literature, and indicates that
invention production, like any other knowledge production, undergoes a phase transition
process during which small isolated inventor networks form one giant component [15].”
“The smallest technology groups, namely invention technologies in the fields of D.
Textile and paper and E. Construction do not fit the gel point rules. Although there
were indications of an early phase aggregation process, these inventor networks were
still highly fragmented and much smaller in size than any of the other technology
networks studied here, and this had important implications for their network topology.”
“All technology sectors in the long run appear to comply with network laws. There
also appear to be signs of institutional restrictions on collaboration and patenting.
These restrictions appear to have reduced the magnitude of some of these rules, especially
in smaller and newer fields.”
“Finally, we explore a possible explanation by looking at the specialization/diversification
patterns of inventors, and we found that inventors in all sectors over time have become
more diversified. Overall, we found that the relative growth rates of diversification
paths for inventors patenting in all sectors have also stabilized after a period of
time. This may also be an indication that the inventor networks in all technology
sectors are reaching a mature stage. In a related issue, we found that “more productive”
inventors tend to move more (perhaps in order to achieve a better match), and they
were also more diversified. This may also suggest that inventors that move (assuming
movement is voluntary) are also likely to be exposed to more i.e., diverse knowledge,
hence the probability that they will invent more [32]. Whether or not this is permanent
condition requires further analysis.”
“In summary, we show here that technology networks are complex and in the long run
scale-invariant. This has important implications for the development of innovations
over the different stages of technology networks.”
Response to comments from Anonymous Referee #3
Reviewer #3: I would like to thank the authors for this very interesting paper and
the rigorous way in which they conducted their analyses. I do have some issues with
the paper, the main one being with the data used (see below). Besides that, I also
make some recommendations to improve the paper and make it more convincing.
The paper is quite descriptive, describing the evolution of inventor networks over
a given period. There is no clear research goal beyond describing the evolution of
the network and as such it is unclear to the reader where the discussion about 'diversifying
inventors' comes from and where it should be positioned in the literature. Is this
an observation you stumbled upon or a discussion you want to engage in? In the latter
case, you would have to include some theorization/hypotheses on this.
Furthermore, the authors mix theoretical concepts and measures/variables in the text
(this starts at the introduction), I would strongly recommend to stick to 'concepts'
in the first part of the paper and then move to the measures in the empirical part
of the paper.
Yes, we agree with the reviewer. We introduce ideas associated with the technological
diversification of inventors to complement our network analysis. Our interest here
is to search for indications of whether inventor networks in all technology sectors
have reached a mature stage. We found interesting results which we describe in the
new result section. We hope that modifications done allowed for significant improvement
of the text clarity.
There is absolutely no build up of the hypotheses, they are just 'postulated' on
page 9 and seem to appear out of thin air. Please include an argumentation/build up
for each hypo by including a paragraph preceding the hypos in which the logic can
be followed and we can see why (and in which direction) a hypothesis is drafted.
Following the reviewer’s suggestions, the following paragraphs have been changed/added
at the Literature review and hypotheses section to provide the associated theoretical
arguments preceding each hypothesis (p. 6 onwards):
“Evidence exists, however, showing slightly disturbed power law distributions [13],
and also significant deviations from pure power-law distributions [14]. Furthermore,
less is known about the inventor population dynamics within and across technology
domains, and their repercussions on technology development [12]. With that in mind,
our first related hypotheses based on SNA metrics on the growth dynamics of inventor
networks in different technological domains is:
Hypothesis H1: the degree distribution for the co-inventor collaboration network,
regardless of the technological domain, will follow a power-law, with γ>1”
“Researchers have found mixed evidence regarding the real small-worldliness of co-inventorship
networks, which may suggest that the SW effect is either less pronounced or non-existent
in patent collaborations [15-18]. This is due in part to the nature of the invention
process, and the fact that search decisions for collaborator(s)/team members are not
necessarily taken by the inventors themselves but rather the firm, i.e. the managers
[19]. The literature suggests [10] that this may be due to the fragmentation of inventors´
networks and also the fact that said networks are small-worlds in some technology
fields (e.g., Instruments, Industrial Processes, Chemicals & Materials and Pharmaceuticals
& Biotechnology), while in other fields (e.g., Electrical Engineering & Electronics)
they are not. Nevertheless, this study does not provide any conclusive evidence on
whether inventor networks in other technologies have small-world structures, and therefore
further research is needed. Therefore, our second hypothesis is:
Hypothesis H2: the co-inventor collaboration network, regardless of the technological
domain, will exhibit properties typical of small-worlds, with small-coefficient σ>1.”
“A recent study, however, found a negative association between the net change of the
number of inventors and the net change of the number of links (that is, not all of
the new inventors collaborate with inventors that are already established in the network),
a result that appears to challenge the PA idea [20]. PA results have implications
for the global innovation system in terms of organization, growth, and hierarchy,
and they also present challenges in regard to the generation of new technologies [21].
These PA results therefore deserve further study in different fields, leading us to
our third hypothesis.
Hypothesis H3: the growth of the co-inventor collaboration network will be explained,
regardless of the technological domain, by a sublinear PA regime, with α < 1.”
“First, graphs exhibit an average distance between nodes that often shrinks as part
of their evolutionary process until it reaches an equilibrium [22]. Several experiments
have been performed to verify that the shrinkage of diameters is not intrinsic to
datasets, including the effects of missing past data [23] and disconnected components
[24]. They seem to confirm the shrinkage as an inherent property of networks, and
therefore we explore this in our dataset:
Hypothesis H4: the diameter of the co-inventor collaboration network, regardless of
the technological domain, will keep shrinking over time with the addition of new edges
until it reaches an equilibrium.
Second, most real graphs evolve over time following the densification power-law or
growth power-law, with the equation |E|(t)∝|N|(t)^β, and where |E|(t) and |N|(t) denote
the number of edges and nodes of the graph at time step t with β being the densification
exponent [23]. A densification exponent value greater than 1 indicates that the number
of edges grows super-linearly with the number of nodes as the graph densifies over
time. [24] recently describe similar increasing trends on the average degree over
time and the number of edges as a function of the number of vertices in several collaboration
networks (including patents, citations, and affiliation networks) indicating that
graphs become dense. This could suggest that the densification of graphs is an intrinsic
phenomenon. The question remains whether this property applies equally to all technology
domain networks, and therefore we hypothesize:
Hypothesis H5: the co-inventor collaboration network, regardless of the technological
domain, will densify over time with the addition of new nodes, with β>1.
Third, many small, disconnected components in real networks will merge over time and
within a few periods form a giant connected component (GCC). This relationship is
referred to as the ‘gelling point’ [1]. At this point, the GCC keeps growing, absorbing
the vast majority of the newcomer nodes, while the network diameter continues to steadily
decrease beyond this point. This observation was found to be consistent with the emergence
of invisible colleges within scientific networks containing more than 50% of the nodes
[25], and more recently, with the formation of a knowledge flow network of mobile
inventors among US firms, institutions, and universities [26], the concentration of
patents and citations around large corporations in Europe [27], as well as the dramatic
aggregation in China of oligopolistic communities with key nodes taking central positions
over time [18]. Additionally it seems to indicate a phase transition process in which
small, isolated inventor networks end up forming one giant and connected component
[15]. Therefore, the final hypothesis is:
Hypothesis H6: the co-inventor collaboration network, regardless of the technological
domain, will exhibit a ‘gel point’, at which the diameter spikes and disconnected
components gel into a giant component.”
It is a bit odd that results of the analysis are included in introduction and dotted
across the manuscript (e.g. p6: Nevertheless, this study does not provide any conclusive
evidence on whether inventor networks in other technologies have small-world structures,
and therefore further research is needed). This creates the impression that results
were used to draft the text or, worse, guide the research. So, I would consider moving
results to the latter half of the manuscript.
More profoundly, and taking into account all of the comments above, the impression
is created that results were known before the hypotheses were drafted (HARKing)?
The hypothesis used here are consistent with the aggregation of inventors over time
as described in the inventor network literature. Generally speaking, the application
of network theory to several complex systems has revealed that they share a number
of common structural properties which facilitates their analysis and comparison [33],
including power-law degree distribution [29], small-world [34], preferential attachment
[35], and community structure [36]. More recently, studies have shown interest for
the dynamic properties of such networks [1]. Using a novel database containing all
patents granted by the USPTO, our study attempts to contribute to that stream of research
in an area (technology networks) that has been less explored.
In addition, we have now provided the associated theoretical arguments preceding each
hypothesis to complement the analysis. We have also redone all the statistic work
based on the reviewers’ comments.
In regards to SW, we have included the new results in Table 1 and the following text
in the manuscript (p. 18):
“The small-coefficient σ is greater than 1 (σ=10,671; with SW=0.030). As such, the
GCC has characteristics of SW, thus giving support for the hypothesis H1. We also
determine the probability of randomly finding a network with a higher clustering coefficient
for all sections. Our results consistently support the SW model of Watts and Strogatz
over time and for all the technology fields (see Table 1 above)”
Table 1. Co-inventor network statistics by technological field (IPC) and total, 1999–2019
Section Total network The largest component network
A B C D E F G H
Nodes (Vertices) 423,755 500,171 399,057 30,013 79,202 249,352 854,234 675,443 1,879,037
1,484,760
Edges (Links) 1,360,356 1,261,412 1,462,078 65,374 162,787 581,696 2,722,328 2,243,650
6,742,143 6,264,427
Degree centrality 6.4 5.0 7.3 4.4 4.1 4.7 6.4 6.6 7.2 8.4
Betweenness centrality 0.007 0.010 0.013 0.006 0.003 0.015 0.019 0.011 0.010 0.010
Clustering coefficient 0.415 0.437 0.379 0.614 0.520 0.467 0.299 0.267 0.229 0.225
k-core 4.60 3.78 5.05 3.65 3.35 3.55 4.30 4.33 4.57 5.18
Connected components
46,523
(261,177; 147) 58,251
(292,810; 195) 27,330
(295,309; 294) 5,135
(3,349; 1,965) 15,442 (19,065; 2,034) 34,433 (121,126; 233) 66,305 (629,482; 126)
46,254 (521,501; 53) 124,609 (1,484,760; 100) 1
(1,484,760)
Largest component
Modularity 0.818 0.833 0.797 0.826 0.807 0.842 0.745 0.728 0.718 0.718
Number of communities 13,044 15,974 14,407 255 1,217 6,960 32,088 25,964 65,944
65,944
Average community size 20.02 18.33 20.50 13.13 15.66 17.40 19.62 20.08 22.51 22.51
2-4 inventor/community 9% 8% 7% 9% 12% 9% 10% 10% 10% 10%
5-9 24% 24% 24% 34% 28% 27% 23% 24% 22% 22%
10 or more 67% 68% 69% 57% 60% 64% 67% 66% 68% 68%
SW coefficient (σ) 20.65 121.60 144.10 26.99 44.65 103.59 124.74 113.89 10,671 10,671
Context with regard to the evolution of the IPR system during the relevant time frame
is lacking. For instance, there can be a number of reasons as to why inventor/patent
networks grow (investments, government expenditures, subsidies for collaborative research,
competition dynamics) and why inventors diversify (scientific advances, competition…)
that go beyond pure ‘network laws”.
Yes, the reviewer is correct. We added the following text (p. 28):
“The reasons why inventor networks grow (investments, subsidies for collaborative
research, government expenditures) or why inventors diversify (scientific advances,
competition dynamics) go beyond pure “network laws”. However, we find that in the
long run that all types of technology networks appear to comply with these laws. There
also appear to be signs of institutional restrictions on collaboration and patenting
which appear to have reduced the size of the effects of some of these rules, especially
in smaller and newer fields in the early periods of network formation. In summary,
we show here that technology networks are complex and in the long run scale-invariant.
This has important implications for the development of innovations over the different
stages of technology networks.”
Finally, we agree with the reviewer that we did not discuss the evolution of the IPR
system in detail. The referee raises a good point and we are aware of this limitation.
However, given the changes we introduced to the new version and the extension of the
paper, we did not include IPR elements in the final version.
I have an issue with the data, based on the following statement with regard to the
data used. Page 10: “The original dataset contains over 3.6 million patents ranging
from 182,978 patents granted in 2007 to 392,618 in 2019.” From this, I take it that
the authors are working with 'granted patents' and not with 'patent applications'?
This approach can make for some crucial biases in the analyses. For instance, if ‘date
granted’ is used to draft the networks per year (as is implied by the aforementioned
statement, I find no reference to application date in the manuscript) then the authors
should be aware that there are large differences between technology classes with regard
to the time period between patent application and obtaining a granted patent. For
instance: in ‘hot domains’ such as life sciences it can take up to 7 years to get
to an approved patent while in other areas there are faster lead times (e.g. 3 years).
Furthermore, the US government has created 'fast-tracks' for specific domains (e.g.
clean tech under the Obama administration). This means that two patent applications
done in the same year, let's take 2009, in two different technology classes will show
up in different networks (e.g. one patent will be granted in 2012 and one in 2014).
Wouldn’t this heavily bias the composition of your networks and the analysis done
with regard to ‘technology classes’ and diversification? Furthermore, time between
application and granting of a patent varies over time (see annual performance reports
by USPTO indicating a decrease in the 'lag' over the past years).
Potential solution would be to construct the networks based on application date and
redo the analyses. Either way, you will always be confronted with the fact that you
are using only ‘granted patents’, which means you are working with a survivors dataset,
so please highlight potential biases that might arise from this dataset?
We greatly appreciate the reviewer for his/her meaningful and constructive comments
on our manuscript. As the reviewer points out, there were errors in the form we originally
estimated the networks per year. Following his/her comments, we have corrected and
improved the revised manuscript. Statistics and graphs in the new manuscript have
all been updated accordingly. This meant extensive work, which included rebuilding
all collaborative networks based on the application date, and running all the analysis
again. As briefly explained in the revised manuscript (pp. 11-12):
“The resulting dataset contained patents awarded by the USPTO between 2007 and 2019.
However, they were filed over a longer period (1969-2019). This creates an additional
problem: drawing annual networks based on the ‘granted’ date instead of the ‘filed’
date is inaccurate, since patent applications filed in one year but granted in another
will end up showing up in different networks. To solve this assignation problem, we
use the filed date to build the networks for each year. For graphical and calculation
purposes, we removed patents filed before 1999 as they were insignificant in number
and percentage (1,238 patents or 0.06% of the total). Thus, our final dataset contains
2,241,201 patents and 1,879,037 inventors. Note that a patent may contain several
technical objects and consequently be assigned to more than one section (in our case,
574,737 patents). These patents are counted in order to map each technological domain.
In the final dataset, nearly half of (47.9%) inventors patented only once, but 96.2%
of patents were made by repeat inventors with more than one patent. We could thus
track diversification as repeat inventors patented in more than one domain over time.”
We also acknowledge the survivor bias in the limitations of this study in the new
manuscript (p. 29):
“The comparison with other studies is also limited by the fact that we use patent
grants (rather than applications), which could have caused an overestimation of team
size as single inventors are less likely to obtain a patent, or an underestimation
an because not all inventors are listed on a patent application [37]. There are also
large differences between technology classes with regard to the time period between
applying and obtaining a granted patent as described in the text. Future research
could take into consideration lag periods to account for a comparison between nascent
and mature technology domains.”
P25: ‘we found that inventors patenting in fields better adjusted to network rules
were also more specialized in nature.’ How sure are you about direction of this causality?
Yes, the reviewer is right. We did not intent to test causality here. We apologize
for any misunderstanding that the original wording created. Our work found supporting
evidence to three related issues:
First, we found that inventors in all sectors over time have become more diversified.
The changes in the diversification levels are statistically significant.
Second, the relative growth rates of diversification paths for inventors patenting
in all sectors have also stabilized after a period of time. This may also be an indication
that the inventor networks in all technology sectors are reaching a mature stage.
Third, larger sectors experienced higher specialization levels and a more focused
diversification.
Response to comments from Anonymous Referee #4
1. In this paper, the R package used for the analysis is described, but the detailed
formulas and calculation process are not described. It is recommended to show the
mathematical formulae for important analysis to understand the algorithm. Some, but
not all, of the most important indicators in this study should be presented with mathematical
formulas.
Thanks, revised. The following algorithms were used:
SW package of R “brainwaver” [38].
PAFit for PA of R [28].
PowerRlaw R package [39].
Community detection [36] using igraph R package [40].
The parameter testing was performed using R. The formulas were included in the revised
manuscript (pp. 12-14):
H1: The discrete mass function of a power law distribution is:
P(X=k)=k^(-γ)/(ξ(γ,k_min))
Where ξ(γ,k_min) is the is the generalized zeta function [41]. The maximum likelihood
estimator for the γ parameter is:
γ ̂≃1+n[∑_(i=1)^n▒〖ln k_i/(k_min-0.5)〗]^(-1)
The estimation procedure and the algorithms are described in [39].
H2: The network small-worldness is quantified by the σ coefficient, calculated by
comparing clustering (C) and path length (L) of a given network to an equivalent
random network with the same degree [42]:
σ=(C⁄C_random )/(L⁄L_random )
When σ>1; C>C_random and L≈L_random, the network is small-world. To estimate the σ
we used the algorithms available in the “small.world” function of the “brainwaver”
R package [38].
H3: Following [43] in the PA mechanism, the probability P_i (t) that a node v_i acquires
a new edge at time t is proportional to a positive function, A_(k_i ) (t), of its
current degree k_i (t). The function A_k is the attachment function which assumes
a log-linear form of k^α, with α is the attachment exponent. In the fitness mechanism
the probability P_i (t) that a node v_i acquires a new edge depends only on the positive
number η_i that can be interpreted as the intrinsic attractiveness. In their combined
form, the probability P_i (t) is proportional to the product of A_(k_i ) (t) and η_i
:
P_i (t)∝ k^α×η_i
We follow the estimated parameter α, algorithms and procedures described in [43]
H4 The diameter of a network is the longest of all the calculated shortest paths in
a network. The diameter was estimated with the available algorithms in the “diameter”
function of the igraph R package [40].
H5 The densification power-law or growth power-law can be expressed as:
|E|(t)∝|N|(t)^β
where |E|(t) is the number of edges of a graph at time step t, |N|(t) denote the number
of nodes of the graph at time step t and β is the densification exponent [23]. Using
ordinary least square, the β parameter was estimated using the following model specification:
log(|E|(t))=δ+β log(|N|(t))+u
H6 The gel point was estimated as described in [1].
2. The reasons for the selection of the patent fields selected for this study should
be stated. It is also recommended to state the characteristics of the field, even
if it is a brief description. The reason is that the discussion in the concluding
section will be insightful if it reflects these characteristics.
Patents were classified according to the International Patent Classification (IPC)
model. The classification code attached to a patent defines the technological class
of the patent [44]. We added the names of the eight major sections in the Introduction
(p. 4):
“The IPC divides patentable technology into eight major sections: A: Human necessities,
B: Performing operations; Transporting, C: Chemistry; Metallurgy, D: Textiles; Paper,
E: Fixed constructions, F: Mechanical engineering; Lighting; Heating; Weapons; Blasting,
G: Physics, and H: Electricity.”
We have also stated the reasons for the selection of the technological fields as follows
(pp. 4-5):
“The assumptions underpinning our analysis are that each IPC category of patents represents
the space of a specific technology field (as a network), and that the division between
categories enables us to not only identify the characteristic structure of each technology
field network [11], but also to map the inventor relationship data across different
technology domains [12].”.
“The network growth dynamics of technological fields have received less attention
[2]. Historically, the core problem in studying innovations in different fields has
been data availability, data silos and the limited access to cross-connections [3].
Today, the availability of large datasets that capture major activities in science
and technology has created a revolution in the discipline of scientometrics [4]. One
representative example is patent data produced by the USPTO, and particularly, the
current organization of patent data in terms of IPC sections which provides the tools
to address central questions of network analysis such as those derived in the study
of different technological domains [5]. Many studies investigate technological and
innovation activities by referring to links between nodes and the resulting networks
[e.g., 6, 7-9]. However, the metrics identified (at both node and network level) are
mostly discussed from an economic perspective in only one field of technology or one
geographic region. This offers us an opportunity to study the variations in the emerging
patterns among collaboration networks, specifically inventor networks, through the
lens of differently organized technological domains [5, 10-12].”
3. The weakest part of this study is that it only describes the results of adapting
the indicators described in other papers. Of course, it is valuable in terms of reporting,
but it is difficult to say that any new findings were obtained. Many of the hypotheses
have already been stated in previous studies. I would like to know more about the
originality of this study and the new facts derived from the analysis of this study.
Our contribution resides in the use of network analyses to examine the dynamic behavior
of eight major sections and in the introduction of the diversification analysis. The
hypotheses have been derived from the literature. However, to the best of the authors'
knowledge, there have been no such studies of technology sectors, and the metrics
identified (at both node and network level) have been mostly discussed from an economic
perspective in only one field of technology or one geographic region. We also use
static analysis to reveal how different collaboration networks are structured. The
following changes have been applied in the new manuscript to make our results more
robust (pp. 24-25):
“Recent empirical studies have described the explanatory power of the diversification
paths of inventors and inventor organizations on technology field network maps [2].
Therefore, one might speculate that the compliance/non-compliance with a network’s
rules in some of the real graphs observed here may be related to the inventor diversification
pattern, among other factors. Using a contingency table (Fig. 7a), it is possible
to represent the observed frequencies of the diversification components of each sector.
In general, tables made up of R rows and C columns are considered. For i=1,..,R and
j=1,..,C, p_ij represents the probability that a random observation belonging to a
population under study will be classified in the ith row and jth column of the table.
Denoted by p_(i•) is the marginal probability that an observation will be classified
in the ith row of the table. Similarly, p_(•j) denotes the marginal probability that
an observation will be classified in the jth column of the table. The sum of the probabilities
of all the cells in the contingency table must add up to 1. To analyze dynamic changes
of each sector from 1999 to 2019, we also split data into four equivalent periods
(data for the year 1999 was included in the first period). For explanation purposes,
we use the Pr index to rate diversification. Here, it corresponds to one minus the
main diagonal value of the contingency table for each sector.
The static view (i.e., the average probability values over the total period) shows
that the most specialized inventors correspond to those who have patented in A (Pr
= 0.432), G (Pr = 0.403) and H (Pr = 0.415), with these two last sections also complementing
each other relatively well (see highlighted areas). Sections A, B, C, D, E, and F
have all average Pr-values between 0.482 and 0.490, whereas section D displays the
highest diversification level, i.e., Pr>0.5. This indicates that at least 1 out of
every 2 patents registered in section D is also registered in another one.
The more dynamic view indicates an increase in the diversification levels over time
in all sectors, including in those sectors which were highly specialized at first
(e.g., sectors E, G, and H). Inventors in sectors B, C, D, E, and F have also become
more diversified than specialized surpassing the threshold Pr>0.5. They also appear
to be patenting in various sectors at the same time.
While the analysis of the contingency tables shows a growing trend towards diversification,
differences between periods can be considered subtle. To evaluate how likely it is
that any observed difference between the three periods arose by chance using a Pearson's
chi-squared test (χ^2). The null hypothesis was rejected at a significance level of
1 per cent. Therefore, our study confirms that in the long run changes in diversification
levels are statistically significant and they grow over time.
The contingency table also allows us to measure relationships between sectors. When
analyzing cells other than the main diagonal ones, the i,j values show the proportion
of inventors who have jointly registered a patent. We can observe the set of relationships
intensifies over time in some technological sectors. For instance, in the first observed
period (1999-2004), 19.7% of inventors who registered patents in sector H also did
so in G, and 14.6% of inventors who registered in G did so at the same time in H.
In the last period (2015-2019), these numbers increased to 27.0%, and 24.4%, respectively.
A similar relationship increasing over time is found with inventors patenting simultaneously
in F and B, but with a lower intensity (a change from 12.1% to 17.2%). It is also
possible to notice sectors with a stable relationship over time (e.g., between sectors
D and B, with 17.4% of joint patents). Finally, there are also relationships that
have lost intensity over time (e.g., A and C), although they remain relevant. Other
sectors have few or almost no relationships (e.g., A, G, and H with D).
We observe the largest sectors (H, G, and B) showing an inflow greater than the smallest
sectors (e.g., D and E). The data also allows us to detect a set of increasing relationships
in the type, as is the case between G and H whose relationship increases period by
period, and the case of section B, which is becoming more relevant to G and H. This
reinforces the idea of both higher specialization levels and more focused diversification
in the larger sectors.
* Note: A Pearson's chi-squared test (χ^2) was applied:
χ^2=∑_i▒∑_j▒(S_(i,j)^(t+1)-S_(i,j)^t)/(S_(i,j)^t )
Where S_(i,j)^(t+1) are the values in the final period and S_(i,j)^t are the values
in the initial period for a matrix S.
Also, in the Discussion and Conclusion section we have included the following text
(p. 28):
“Finally, we explore a possible explanation by looking at the specialization/diversification
patterns of inventors, and we found that inventors in all sectors over time have become
more diversified. Overall, we found that the relative growth rates of diversification
paths for inventors patenting in all sectors have also stabilized after a period of
time. This may also be an indication that the inventor networks in all technology
sectors are reaching a mature stage.”
4. Finally, in the results and discussion section, there is not enough discussion
of why the results were determined the way they were. There is no clear view of some
kind of theoretical background, so it is not possible to explain causality through
the model. This may be out of the scope of this study, but the discussion is necessary
to enhance the value of the study.
We have revised the text to include implications. For the revised manuscript, the
main findings of this study are summarized below (pp. 26-27):
We found evidence that technology field networks have a scale-free distribution,
and exhibit SW properties. Thus, technology networks, regardless of the sector, are
distributed in a highly skewed manner rather than following a normal pattern.
“our results also support the shrinking diameter and densification hypotheses for
every technology sector, and we found partial evidence to support the gel point hypothesis,
although some large and advanced fields’ networks such as Physics and Electricity
do exhibit data consistent with this theory, as does the total network. This is expected
in more mature networks since the number of nodes (inventors) remains constant over
time, edges can only be added and not deleted, and densification naturally occurs
[23]. This phenomenon is therefore consistent with critical transitions and the aggregation
of isolated inventors as described in inventor network literature, and indicates that
invention production, like any other knowledge production, undergoes a phase transition
process during which small isolated inventor networks form one giant component [15].”
“The smallest technology groups, namely invention technologies in the fields of D.
Textile and paper and E. Construction do not fit the gel point rules. Although there
were indications of an early phase aggregation process, these inventor networks were
still highly fragmented and much smaller in size than any of the other technology
networks studied here, and this had important implications for their network topology.”
“All technology sectors in the long run appear to comply with network laws. There
also appear to be signs of institutional restrictions on collaboration and patenting.
These restrictions appear to have reduced the magnitude of some of these rules, especially
in smaller and newer fields.”
“The relative growth rates of diversification paths for inventors patenting in all
sectors have also stabilized after a period of time. This may also be an indication
that the inventor networks in all technology sectors are reaching a mature stage.”
5. Overall, the review covers many studies, but I would say that the organization
of the review is not structured. The review part should have a slightly more detailed
section.
Yes, we agree with the reviewer about the structure of the paper. The manuscript
was significantly edited according to recommendations. The sections of Introduction
and Literature review and hypotheses were extended to include previous studies. The
sections Results and Discussion were also restructured. All figures were revised and
redone.
We hope that with the aforementioned changes we have addressed all issues mentioned
in the reviewers’ comments.
Sincerely,
The authors.
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