Peer Review History
| Original SubmissionOctober 5, 2020 |
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PONE-D-20-31262 Shifts in the epidemic season of human respiratory syncytial virus associated with inbound overseas travelers and meteorological conditions in Japan, 2014-2017: an ecological study PLOS ONE Dear Dr. Wagatsuma, Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process. Please submit your revised manuscript by Jan 09 2021 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at plosone@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file. Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:
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The PLOS ONE style templates can be found at https://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/file?id=wjVg/PLOSOne_formatting_sample_main_body.pdf and 2. Please include the date(s) on which you accessed the databases or records to obtain the data used in your study. Reviewers' comments: Reviewer's Responses to Questions Comments to the Author 1. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Partly ********** 2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: No ********** 3. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available? The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 4. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English? PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 5. Review Comments to the Author Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters) Reviewer #1: Thank you for the opportunity to review this interesting manuscript I just have some minor suggestions which I hope will help the authors improve their paper 1. Can the authors confirm the NIID data used came from the same sites during the study period (so that readers can be assured the authors are comparing the same target population across time) 2. Defining onset week = how is it possible to define the 101-st percentile rank? – by definition the maximum percentile rank is 100 3. Modelling with ‘onset week’ as an outcome is an interesting idea. It is not clear how temperature and travel numbers were included as variables in the model, but I suspect they were included cross-sectionally? Did the authors consider including a lag-time of 2-4 weeks in their models? We know from previous research that there is a lag of 2-4 weeks between temperature/travel changes and RSV detections. At the least the authors should conduct sensitivity analyses using different assumptions regarding lag-times 4. Could the meaning of the results be explained more clearly? E.g. “every 1 degree increase in temperature led to an earlier onset week by 0.18%” – I am not sure what 0.18% actually represents. It might help readers if this change could be reported in days or weeks (which is a unit that everyone understands) 5. Do authors have access to 2020 data? It would be very interesting to include data for this year to see how the onset week changes (given the effect of covid19 on travel visitors, but not on meteorological data) 6. Could the variables included in the model (travel numbers, temperature etc) be displayed in a Figure please? Similar to the current figure which shows how RSV cases change over calendar week. The current figure shows that 2017 has a distinct curve to the other years – it would be very interesting to see how the travel numbers/temperature etc for 2017 compare to other years. Reviewer #2: The author’s work examining the associations between number of inbound travelers and meteorological factors on the onset week of HRSV epidemic season. Though an interesting and valuable subject, the methodologies and results were less robust and confusing. A few comments to improve the manuscript below: Statistical analysis: 1. The authors use multivariate multiple linear regression to model the relationship between number of inbound travelers and meteorological factors on the onset week of HRSV epidemic season (page 13, lines 182-195). However, the regression model chosen by the authors seems to be less desirable: a. Multivariate multiple linear regression is used to model the linear relationship between more than one dependent variable and more than one independent variables. However, in the present study, there was only ONE dependent variable (i.e. onset week of HRSV epidemic season by prefecture (N=46)) and the independent variables included: 1. Yearly mean temperature by prefecture; 2. Yearly relative humidity by prefecture; 3. Yearly number of inbound travelers (overall, Tai Wan, South Korea, China and Australia) by prefecture. b. Furthermore, multivariate multiple linear regression is NOT suitable for longitudinal data with repeated measurements at multiple time point. In the present study, both independent and dependent variables were repeatedly measured in 2014, 2015, 2016 and 2017. Temporal autocorrelation might be present between data points, while the statistical methods used in this study could not account for it. c. Revision of the statistical methods is recommended. In this case, multilevel model seems to be a more reasonable method for the present study, rather that rather than multivariate multiple linear regression. First level of the model account for the within prefecture’s time varying variation, while the second level account for the between prefecture variation. 2. Explain if the 4-years longitudinal data in the present study could provide sufficient power. Results: 3. The results of the regression analysis were recommended to be reworked with a more appropriate statistical methods used so that it could provide more robust results. Discussion: 4. While the onset week of HRSV epidemic season was shown to be earlier with a greater number of inbound overseas travelers. What are the specific public health implications of this study? ********** 6. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files. If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public. Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy. Reviewer #1: Yes: Robert Ware Reviewer #2: No [NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files.] While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Registration is free. Then, login and navigate to the UPLOAD tab, where you will find detailed instructions on how to use the tool. If you encounter any issues or have any questions when using PACE, please email PLOS at figures@plos.org. Please note that Supporting Information files do not need this step. |
| Revision 1 |
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Shifts in the epidemic season of human respiratory syncytial virus associated with inbound overseas travelers and meteorological conditions in Japan, 2014-2017: an ecological study PONE-D-20-31262R1 Dear Dr. Wagatsuma, We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements. Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication. An invoice for payment will follow shortly after the formal acceptance. To ensure an efficient process, please log into Editorial Manager at http://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/, click the 'Update My Information' link at the top of the page, and double check that your user information is up-to-date. If you have any billing related questions, please contact our Author Billing department directly at authorbilling@plos.org. If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper to help maximize its impact. If they’ll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team as soon as possible -- no later than 48 hours after receiving the formal acceptance. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information, please contact onepress@plos.org. Kind regards, Ngai Sze Wong Academic Editor PLOS ONE Reviewer's Responses to Questions Comments to the Author 1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation. Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed Reviewer #2: All comments have been addressed ********** 2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available? The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified. Reviewer #1: No Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English? PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 6. Review Comments to the Author Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters) Reviewer #1: Thank you for the thorough response to the Reviewer comments. Thank you for the thorough response to the Reviewer comments. Reviewer #2: All the comments has been addressed. The revised version of the manuscript seems to be much more easy to follow, with appropriate statistical methods applied and more robust results provided. ********** 7. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files. If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public. Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy. Reviewer #1: Yes: Robert S Ware Reviewer #2: No |
| Formally Accepted |
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PONE-D-20-31262R1 Shifts in the epidemic season of human respiratory syncytial virus associated with inbound overseas travelers and meteorological conditions in Japan, 2014-2017: an ecological study Dear Dr. Wagatsuma: I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department. If your institution or institutions have a press office, please let them know about your upcoming paper now to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information please contact onepress@plos.org. If we can help with anything else, please email us at plosone@plos.org. Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access. Kind regards, PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staff on behalf of Dr. Ngai Sze Wong Academic Editor PLOS ONE |
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