Peer Review History
| Original SubmissionJune 25, 2020 |
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PONE-D-20-19629 Social distancing compliance: A video observational analysis PLOS ONE Dear Dr. Hoeben, Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process. ============================== Both of the reviewers have indicated concerns with the approach taken to analyse the data and the possible limitations in the data. It is important, that these concerns are addressed and if needed, a statistician sought to assist with updating the analysis. ============================== Please submit your revised manuscript by Sep 15 2020 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at plosone@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file. Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:
If you would like to make changes to your financial disclosure, please include your updated statement in your cover letter. Guidelines for resubmitting your figure files are available below the reviewer comments at the end of this letter. If applicable, we recommend that you deposit your laboratory protocols in protocols.io to enhance the reproducibility of your results. Protocols.io assigns your protocol its own identifier (DOI) so that it can be cited independently in the future. For instructions see: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/submission-guidelines#loc-laboratory-protocols We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript. Kind regards, Holly Seale Academic Editor PLOS ONE Journal Requirements: When submitting your revision, we need you to address these additional requirements. 1. Please ensure that your manuscript meets PLOS ONE's style requirements, including those for file naming. The PLOS ONE style templates can be found at https://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/file?id=wjVg/PLOSOne_formatting_sample_main_body.pdf and 2.We note that you have indicated that data from this study are available upon request. PLOS only allows data to be available upon request if there are legal or ethical restrictions on sharing data publicly. For more information on unacceptable data access restrictions, please see http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/data-availability#loc-unacceptable-data-access-restrictions. In your revised cover letter, please address the following prompts: a) If there are ethical or legal restrictions on sharing a de-identified data set, please explain them in detail (e.g., data contain potentially sensitive information, data are owned by a third-party organization, etc.) and who has imposed them (e.g., an ethics committee). Please also provide contact information for a data access committee, ethics committee, or other institutional body to which data requests may be sent. b) If there are no restrictions, please upload the minimal anonymized data set necessary to replicate your study findings as either Supporting Information files or to a stable, public repository and provide us with the relevant URLs, DOIs, or accession numbers. For a list of acceptable repositories, please see http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/data-availability#loc-recommended-repositories. We will update your Data Availability statement on your behalf to reflect the information you provide. 3. We note that you have stated that you will provide repository information for your data at acceptance. Should your manuscript be accepted for publication, we will hold it until you provide the relevant accession numbers or DOIs necessary to access your data. If you wish to make changes to your Data Availability statement, please describe these changes in your cover letter and we will update your Data Availability statement to reflect the information you provide. Additional Editor Comments (if provided): Both of the reviewers have indicated concerns with the approach taken to analyse the data and the possible limitations in the data. It is important, that these concerns are addressed and if needed, a statistician sought to assist with updating the analysis. [Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.] Reviewers' comments: Reviewer's Responses to Questions Comments to the Author 1. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented. Reviewer #1: Partly Reviewer #2: No ********** 2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: No ********** 3. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available? The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 4. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English? PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 5. Review Comments to the Author Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters) Reviewer #1: Overall, I was excited to read this paper that uses video data to measure social distancing compliance. This is an important source of data to complement the more prevalent uses of cell phone data. I have the following concerns/comments: 1. The authors should clarify how 1.5m is measured in the videos. It is well known that a lot of media images showing beaches are misleading because of the focal points --- is this an issue here? 2. It looks like most of the change in 1.5m compliance occurred prior to the national mandate. This is consistent with previous work showing the importance of voluntary measures in the US. E.g., - Chetty, Raj, John N. Friedman, Nathaniel Hendren, and Michael Stepner. 2020. Real-Time Economics: A New Platform to Track the Impacts of COVID-19 on People, Businesses, and Communities Using Private Sector Data. - Allcott, Hunt, Levi Boxell, Jacob Conway, Billy Ferguson, Matthew Gentzkow, and Benny Goldman. 2020. Economic and Health Impacts of Social Distancing Policies during the Coronavirus Pandemic. In general, it would also be good to make sure the literature review is up to date when published. 3. In a lot of the correlations, the authors detrend the data. I'm not sure that is what you want to do. E.g., When examining the relationship between covid cases and social distancing behaviors, most people are going to be making inferences about the trends --- not deviations from those trends. It would be good to visualize the correlations both ways. 4. I'd maybe suggest removing the time series analysis section and placing it in a supplementary appendix. It's hard to know what inferences to make from these. I'd be interested in seeing a multivariate regression analysis looking at what predicts violations (e.g., cases, deaths, temperature, media mentions, etc). 5. I'm a bit concerned that the rise in 1.5m violations is purely mechanically related to the number of people in the video. I think it is important to try to distinguish between (a) 1.5m violations increasing purely because the # of people out is increasing vs (b) 1.5 m violations increasing because people are being less careful conditional on being outside. The correlation plot suggests a lot of this could be driven by (a). Two ways I can think of addressing this: - Compare the relationship between 1.5m violations and distancing in a placebo time peirod (e.g., a month or two before Covid or during the same period in 2019). - Compute the expected number of violations if people were placed randomly in the video screen. (This isn't ideal, but could still be suggestive of how much of this is mechanical.) Other points not required for revision, but would be great to see addressed if possible: 6. I was disappointed with the limited scope of the data actually analyzed. I was hoping machine learning was used to identify violations which would have allowed a minute-by-minute overview of these patterns across time and much richer analysis. The study as-is is still useful, but not to the same degree. 7. It would be great to compare the video violations to cell phone distancing behavior --- since that was part of the motivation for the paper. 8. It would be nice if the violations were also coded by demographics. E.g., Were 50% of all people on the video male, but males composed 70% of the violations? Reviewer #2: This paper studies an important and timely question: examining whether citizens are adhering to social distancing practice set by the government, and whether such adherence last over time is critical to inform how we project the effectiveness of such policies. This study uses a novel measure of social distancing behaviors from CCTV camera footage in Amsterdam, a measure that is rare in the existing literature. With this said, I think the paper’s analyses have a number of important limitations. 1. The authors do not perform any rigorous statistical tests, and hence it is impossible to tell whether there indeed is an upward trend of social distancing violation over time. With the current number of observations in the analyses, I do not think the authors have sufficient statistical power to draw any conclusions. 2. The primary outcome of interest is the total level of social distancing violation. This is very difficult to interpret, since as the authors show, the total number of people shown on the street is also increasing over time. Hence, it is not clear whether the rate of social distancing violation actually increases, which I believe is what the authors ultimately are interested in. Moreover, I do not think the current evidence can substantiate the claim that social distancing compliance and stay-at-home compliance coincide. One could mechanically result in the other: the absolute number of social distancing violation would go up (even if the compliance rate remains constant) if people are less likely to stay at home. ********** 6. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files. If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public. Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy. Reviewer #1: No Reviewer #2: No [NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files.] While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Registration is free. Then, login and navigate to the UPLOAD tab, where you will find detailed instructions on how to use the tool. If you encounter any issues or have any questions when using PACE, please email PLOS at figures@plos.org. Please note that Supporting Information files do not need this step. |
| Revision 1 |
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PONE-D-20-19629R1 Social distancing compliance: A video observational analysis PLOS ONE Dear Dr. Hoeben, Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process. ============================== Based on these reports, and my own assessment, I am pleased to inform you that it is potentially acceptable for publication, however, it is critical that you carry out the essential revisions suggested by our reviewers. Two of the reviewers have raised concerns that their previous suggestions have not been adequately addressed. Can I please ask that you ensure that you consider each of the suggested revisions and provide some dialogue around how the revision has been addressed (if appropriate). ============================== Please submit your revised manuscript by Feb 18 2021 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at plosone@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file. Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:
If you would like to make changes to your financial disclosure, please include your updated statement in your cover letter. Guidelines for resubmitting your figure files are available below the reviewer comments at the end of this letter. If applicable, we recommend that you deposit your laboratory protocols in protocols.io to enhance the reproducibility of your results. Protocols.io assigns your protocol its own identifier (DOI) so that it can be cited independently in the future. For instructions see: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/submission-guidelines#loc-laboratory-protocols We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript. Kind regards, Holly Seale Academic Editor PLOS ONE [Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.] Reviewers' comments: Reviewer's Responses to Questions Comments to the Author 1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation. Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed Reviewer #2: (No Response) Reviewer #3: (No Response) ********** 2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: No Reviewer #3: Partly ********** 3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: No Reviewer #3: Yes ********** 4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available? The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: (No Response) Reviewer #3: No ********** 5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English? PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: (No Response) Reviewer #3: Yes ********** 6. Review Comments to the Author Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters) Reviewer #1: I found the revised manuscript more suitable for publication. I view the main contribution to be demonstrated in Figure 10 and Table 2--- the correlation between 1.5m violations, people on the street, mobility patterns, and covid-19 searches. It is important to show the extent to which different measures of social distancing are correlated, and this paper provides new evidence on this for 1.5m violations in public. I think this meets criteria for publication in PLOS One. The manner in which the authors detrend each series separately is not standard procedure in the social science background I come from. Furthermore, if the main point is to show that different measures of social distancing are correlated, then you are interested in both the correlations in the trend and in the deviations from that trend. This isn't a causal question where you try to remove confounds, it is purely a descriptive question. For these reasons, I'd like to see, at least, a version of Figure 10 that shows the correlations of the raw data. The authors could probably also shorten the discussion of some of the other aspects of the paper. I think less is more in this context given data limitations. My only other comment is that there are a lot of figures in this paper. The authors could probably combine the plots with the violations on the Y-axis and the covariats on the x-axis into a single figure with multiple panels. And then a similar plot with the covariates on the Y-axis and the date on the x-axis into a single figure with multiple panels (possibly in the appendix). Reviewer #2: I do not think the author has satisfyingly addressed my second comment from the previous review. In particular, the author should put "people on the street" used in Table 2, or just simply counting the number of people on the street from the CCTV camera stream, on the RHS in Table 1. Without doing so, the conclusion "directives about keeping distance may work best in combination with stay directives" is not substantiated, as it is impossible to tell whether the lack of social distancing on the street is simply due to an increase in total number of people showing up on the street in the first place. Reviewer #3: I enjoyed reading this well-written article and the use of novel data sources to study human behavior. As the authors point out, manually coding hours of video footage can be labor intensive, which might limit the full potential that such data source represents. I would also argue that having two researchers to watch and manually code hours of video footage increases the risk of biases and errors. Have the authors considered using a machine learning approach instead? Alternatively, could the authors employ incentivized subjects (e.g. MTurk or students) to review the footage? This could help minimize errors and perhaps also use longer hours of footage (increasing the sample size). The authors also use new deaths and infections as a control. Would the same results hold if the authors only used deaths and cases within a smaller Km radius around the footage locations? Also, are deaths and cases considered as a percentage of the population? Another interesting test could be to use new COVID-19 cases between the previous week and the week of the footage, which might help control for saliency of infections. The authors also argue that their data source is more reliable than other studies using mobile data because they can better assess social proximity. However, most studies that use mobile data can measure proximity, for instance generating a measure of gyration (see Pepe et al. 2020, Scientific Data 7, 230). If the data allows, the authors could consider creating similar index of proximity and compare it with their footage data. If this is not possible, the authors should at least revise such statements from the manuscript. Can the authors add some screenshots of the footage in an Appendix, perhaps blurring faces to preserve anonymity of passengers? This would help the readers contextualize how different the streets looked between crowded and less crowded days. Also, from the footage, can the authors see whether or not passengers were wearing a mask? Was there any notable change in mask-waring behaviors over time and between mask-wearing and distancing? The authors should support with further tests and regressions their choice of the polynomial function, especially to test the null hypothesis of linearity, against the alternative that the regression is quadratic and/or cubic (e.g. a simple t-test should suffice). This can help control for whether differences between models are partly driven by outliers, which can be a problem in quadratic regression functions. ********** 7. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files. If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public. Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy. Reviewer #1: No Reviewer #2: No Reviewer #3: No [NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files.] While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Registration is free. Then, login and navigate to the UPLOAD tab, where you will find detailed instructions on how to use the tool. If you encounter any issues or have any questions when using PACE, please email PLOS at figures@plos.org. Please note that Supporting Information files do not need this step. |
| Revision 2 |
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Social distancing compliance: A video observational analysis PONE-D-20-19629R2 Dear Dr. Hoeben, We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements. Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication. An invoice for payment will follow shortly after the formal acceptance. To ensure an efficient process, please log into Editorial Manager at http://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/, click the 'Update My Information' link at the top of the page, and double check that your user information is up-to-date. If you have any billing related questions, please contact our Author Billing department directly at authorbilling@plos.org. If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper to help maximize its impact. If they’ll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team as soon as possible -- no later than 48 hours after receiving the formal acceptance. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information, please contact onepress@plos.org. Kind regards, Holly Seale Academic Editor PLOS ONE Additional Editor Comments (optional): Reviewers' comments: |
| Formally Accepted |
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PONE-D-20-19629R2 Social distancing compliance: A video observational analysis Dear Dr. Hoeben: I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department. If your institution or institutions have a press office, please let them know about your upcoming paper now to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information please contact onepress@plos.org. If we can help with anything else, please email us at plosone@plos.org. Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access. Kind regards, PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staff on behalf of Dr. Holly Seale Academic Editor PLOS ONE |
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