Peer Review History
| Original SubmissionOctober 20, 2019 |
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PONE-D-19-29260 Predictors of Intra-Urban Residential Mobility of Street Children in Uganda: Implications for policy and practice PLOS ONE Dear Dr. Mulekya-Bwambale, Thank you for submitting your work to Plos ONE and apologies for the relatively long time needed to send you the Journal’s feedback. To make a long story short, the paper required a rather lengthy period of time to obtain at least two referee reports, that provided two rather opposite views on your paper. Referee 1 suggests to reject it, while Referee 2 advises minor revisions. After waiting for a third reviewer to somewhat settle this issue I decided to make a final decision myself in order to speed up the process. After carefully reading your paper and the two reviews I am attaching, I see some potential in it but I do agree with many of the points raised by Referee 1. While also suggesting you to go through all points raised by both reviewers in the attached reports, let me here briefly recap the major points you should in ,my view address in order to convince both reviewers, and especially Reviewer 1:
Please prepare a reply letter addressing each point raised by both reviewers in terms of the way you believe they have, or haven’t, been solved in your revised paper. I look forward to reviewing your revised paper in due time and I thank you once again for thinking of Plos ONE as a possible outlet for your research. Kind regards, Andrea Caragliu ============================== We would appreciate receiving your revised manuscript by May 31 2020 11:59PM. When you are ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file. If you would like to make changes to your financial disclosure, please include your updated statement in your cover letter. To enhance the reproducibility of your results, we recommend that if applicable you deposit your laboratory protocols in protocols.io, where a protocol can be assigned its own identifier (DOI) such that it can be cited independently in the future. For instructions see: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/submission-guidelines#loc-laboratory-protocols Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:
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We require that authors provide all relevant data within the paper, Supporting Information files, or in an acceptable, public repository. Please add a citation to support this phrase or upload the data that corresponds with these findings to a stable repository (such as Figshare or Dryad) and provide and URLs, DOIs, or accession numbers that may be used to access these data. Or, if the data are not a core part of the research being presented in your study, we ask that you remove the phrase that refers to these data. Additional Editor Comments (if provided): Decision letter PONE-D-19-29260 "Predictors of Intra-Urban Residential Mobility of Street Children in Uganda: Implications for policy and practice" Dear Dr. Mulekya-Bwambale, Thank you for submitting your work to Plos ONE and apologies for the relatively long time needed to send you the Journal’s feedback. To make a long story short, the paper required a rather lengthy period of time to obtain at least two referee reports, that provided two rather opposite views on your paper. Referee 1 suggests to reject it, while Referee 2 advises minor revisions. After waiting for a third reviewer to somewhat settle this issue I decided to make a final decision myself in order to speed up the process. After carefully reading your paper and the two reviews I am attaching, I see some potential in it but I do agree with many of the points raised by Referee 1. While also suggesting you to go through all points raised by both reviewers in the attached reports, let me here briefly recap the major points you should in ,my view address in order to convince both reviewers, and especially Reviewer 1: 1. Please provide details on the way mobility is defined in your data sample. Please control for the the exposure time in your analyses; explain why non-migrants have been excluded from your analyses as a potential control group; how you define mobility within Kampala; and, lastly, what are the physical boundaries describing this movement. 2. Please explain why the logistic model is discarded from your analyses and why in the first place you decide to retain it and show the results despite its worse performance. 3. Please explain why you are left with 207 observations out of the original 513 being interviewed. What are the criteria that excludes them? Does this introduce a bias in your estimates? 4. Please clarify whether the data you are analysing will be made available. 5. Please review your text so as to better clarify the aim of your work from the outset and strengthen its logic. 6. Please review your definition of “Street children”, that is used in your paper to talk about 12-24 year old people, while a usual definition of a child is arguably under 18. Please prepare a reply letter addressing each point raised by both reviewers in terms of the way you believe they have, or haven’t, been solved in your revised paper. I look forward to reviewing your revised paper in due time and I thank you once again for thinking of Plos ONE as a possible outlet for your research. Kind regards, Andrea Caragliu [Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.] Reviewers' comments: Reviewer's Responses to Questions Comments to the Author 1. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented. Reviewer #1: No Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? Reviewer #1: No Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 3. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available? The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified. Reviewer #1: No Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 4. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English? PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here. Reviewer #1: No Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 5. Review Comments to the Author Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters) Reviewer #1: • Is the manuscript technically sound? Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? This paper addresses two important and under-studied topics in low- middle-income countries, namely intra-urban mobility, and street children. However, the execution of analysis is flawed. Firstly, the definition of mobility is problematic since the period observed (the exposure time) differs from person to person when the outcome is defined as the number of places stayed in since migrating to the city. You can’t then compare the number of moves. Also, the paper does not do enough to address these children as being a select group- since, from my understanding, they are all migrants to the city. Why are the non-migrants excluded? Indeed, clarity in terms of rural-urban and intra-urban migration is needed throughout. It is also unclear what is defined as mobility within Kampala. Is someone considered to have moved if they shift parish? Or a certain distance threshold? What are the physical boundaries to describe this movement? Secondly, although the paper relies on what seems to be a unique set of data on street children, the data is not exploited to understand the drivers of their mobility to the fullest. The modelling relies on two methods (logistic and poisson) but the authors reject the logistic method. So one wonders why they even show the results of this model. The model is based on 207 observations but 513 were interviewed. What happened to the rest of the street-children in the model? (Only migrants were modelled it seems- but why?) Are they missing some answers to some questions? What are the criteria that excludes them- and does this cause bias? • Is the data fully available? There is no mention of the data availability. • Is the manuscript presented in intelligible fashion and written in standard English? The introduction section requires a fair bit of work- in part it is repetitious, and the ideas do not flow clearly from one statement to the next. It should also be expanded to cover some of the key relationships examined. For example, in the introduction we are not given enough to understand the relationship between having safe sex and residential mobility. Some language editing is needed and general re-reading of text. For example, on page 13, 2nd line the text reads “earn between UGX 5000 to UGX 5000 per day”. Another example- in Table 4 on page 16, there are two variables (categories) defined exactly the same “Duration of stay (<2 years)”. An additional problem with the paper is that, although the paper includes a long list of references – they are not accurately used. I noted a few that were misplaced and that raises doubts as to whether the rest of the citations are correct. Minor notes: Street children is used here to refer to 12-24 year olds. This is a bit misleading as the definition of a child is arguably under 18 years old – if not 16. Using the term street children is therefore confusing. The paper refers to youth and perhaps “street youth” could be a better and more accurate term. There is likely bias in the responses to questions on sex and use of reproductive health services. These are sensitive topics and “true” responses are not always disclosed to the interviewers. At minimum comment on this should be included. Not much is gained from the bivariate analysis in Table 2, beyond that of the multivariate modelling. In the results section it is noted where the street children reside more (the neighborhoods which are mainly slums)- Figure 2. Yet not all neighbourhoods were included in the sampling. It is misguided to define the location of street children as findings when parishes were pre-selected for possibility of contacting street children. A more appealing approach to looking at the spatial spread of children would be to see where they move from and where to. This could also help in understanding the drivers of their mobility. They may move to parish where health facilities are open to seeing street children. Or from parishes where gangs are particularly violent. Overall, this paper aims to use unique data on street children but falls short. I would suggest to authors to think what would be a more beneficial way to use the data. Perhaps it is not even the street children's mobility that needs to be examined as the outcome. Attention to this vulnerble under-studied population is commended. Reviewer #2: General comments: Thanks for the opportunity to review this interesting article on an understudied topic in low income countries. Generally this is a well conducted study and well written. My comments are mainly to address clarity with statistical approaches and the interpretation of findings/conclusions. I will point out each of these in the relevant sections 1- Title: I feel the word predictor is too strong to refer to associations that are derived from a cross sectional study. I would propose “Intra-urban mobility and associated factors among street children in Kampala, Uganda” with emphasis on Kampala because this was not a country wide study but was focused on one city. The findings from this city may not necessarily be generalizable to all cities in the country. Abstract: 2- Replace degree with “frequency” the second sentence to We evaluated both the frequency of residential mobility and characteristics “ Introduction 3- The first sentence should be supported with a citation, if there is evidence that urban street children are on the increase. 4- “Street children have been defined as any individuals for whom the street (including unoccupied dwellings) have become their place of living and/or source of livelihood, inadequately protected and supervised by responsible adults” Does this definition include adults? If not you need to clarify in the background why you called people aged 18-24 years street children. Otherwise we may be broadly referring to homeless people but not street children. If there is a strong reason for including young adults this should be made clearer in the background. Methods: 5- What is the rationale for sampling a wide age group 12-24 years? Unless you are including adults who first migrated as children and then transitioned into adults on the streets. Otherwise by the legal definition of a child in Uganda, you should have limited to age < 18 years. 6- According to Uganda National Council for Science and Technology (UNCST) guidelines, assent in conjunction with parental consent is needed for minors but children age 14-17 years who are “emancipated minors” because they are able to fend for themselves can give their own consent. Could you clarify how you obtained parental consent for street children under 14 years and therefore included these children in the study? 7- Where is it is clear as to how the 27 parishes were selected, It is not clear how the three divisions were selected out of five. Please clarify. 8- The use of venue based-time space sampling is on spot. However, it would be good to describe who the key informants were and how they were identified. This may indicate if adequate mapping of venues was conducted. Was it possible for the data collectors to locate these venues themselves in some instances? Were street children involved in locating other venues? 9- Figure 1 is rather blurred. There is need to increase the resolution. Otherwise it is a nice map except for the ineligible 10- About the questionnaire, did you develop this from scratch or did you adapt a standardized questionnaire from other settings? 11- Children were accessed through street uncles. Could you clarify who identified the street uncles since the uncles seem to be in some form of illegal business, it is important to highlight how they were identified. This would perhaps also help in suggesting future recommendations. 12- Outcome measurement: I have a particular concern regarding the measurement of the main outcome. Since this was defined as number of places the children lived in, there may be major differences in recall for recent migrant versus old migrants especially when they lived in several places. It would have been more accurate to limit the period of recall to the last two years or less. I imagine a study participant who is 24, and migrated 12 years ago, may have problems with recall and this recall period differs depending on how long they lived on the street. 13- Independent variables: A key behavioral variable I expected was drug use, as this could influence sexual behavior. Is there any reason why data on this variable was not collected? 14- Data Analysis: The rationale of using both continuous and categorical outcomes for residential mobility needs to be clarified. From my view, since the outcome was common (50% residential mobility, odds ratios should not have been computed. It is recommended that for a common outcome (>25% prevalence), odds ratios tend to exaggerate associations, as logistic regression is best used for rare outcomes. In such a scenario, Poisson regression is recommended even for a categorical outcome. But in this case since you also considered residential mobility as a continuous outcome, there was no need to also confirm this by logistic regression which is already known to exaggerate associations when an outcome is common. Indeed you reported that some associations disappeared or were attenuated when you treated the outcome as continuous. I suggest you drop the logistic regression in your analysis and only keep the continuous outcome. The aim of this paper is not to compare which approach is better, as this is already known. Just by looking at how frequent the outcome was, a decision should be reached on what approach to use. 15- Ethics: Please clarify this statement: ”Written informed consent and assent were obtained for all participating subjects”. Were all the children literate to give a written consent? Were there instances when witnesses were needed? What about the minors, how did you get parents/guardians to give consent? Could you also clarify what steps you took regarding those identified with STIs or other illnesses? Results 16- Table 1; this is a very nice table separating the children from the adults. It brings out clearly who is a child (12-17) and an adult (18-24) and I would recommend keeping these groups separate in all analyses. We can clearly see these are different groups eg. Although I know that that stratifying these groups will cause small numbers. But this may be something to do with the design of the study. You rapidly recruited the sample of 500 within 2 months. It would have been good to recruit more of the younger group referred to as children. Considering the high prevalence of residential mobility, the sample size may still be adequate for separate analysis. I propose you conduct a sub-analyses to explore the associations for the different age groups. Table 1 should include both demographic and behavioral characteristics. For example gender differences in sexual behaviour such as involvement in commercial sex are masked in the other tables but table 1 could ideally show this. 17- What is the difference between the two maps in figure 1 and 2? They seem to be communicating the same message. Keeping one figure may be sufficient. 18- Reporting qualitative findings: The glue between quantitative findings and qualitative lacking. Could you preferably use sub-headings based on themes emerging from qualitative findings, and then reinforce with findings from the quantitative 19- Tables 2 and 3 with the associated text could be excluded based on arguments highlighted before. Discussion The discussion is well structured but I suggest that the emphasis should be on factors that the authors should not focus on the advantages of using poission over logistic regression since the decision to use the former should have been taken at analytical stage based on the frequency of the outcome measure. So this statement “Application of the Poisson regression model as an alternative to logistic regression is another strength. In our analysis, logistic regression yielded high odds compared to the Poisson regression model, with SRH service use as significant predictor of residential mobility. However, when Poisson regression model was performed, the relationship become insignificant, implying that the Poisson model is a more appropriate for correctly identifying the predictors for number of street children residential places moved while controlling for confounding.” And other associated statements regarding the analytical approach should be omitted. Any conclusions drawn based on the logistic regression should be deleted as it was not the appropriate approach to analysis. On page 18, in the statement; “Notably, involvement in sex work was associated with street children increased residential mobility, with more males than females having engaged in sex in exchange for money”, the comparison of males and females is not shown in the data and therefore speculative. Please add this in the results section if it exists. ********** 6. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). 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PONE-D-19-29260R1 Demographic and behavioural drivers of intra-urban mobility of migrant street children and youth in Kampala, Uganda PLOS ONE Dear Dr. Bwambale, Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process. ============================== Decision letter PONE-D-19-29260R1 "Predictors of Intra-Urban Residential Mobility of Street Children in Uganda: Implications for policy and practice" Dear Dr. Mulekya-Bwambale, Thank you for resubmitting your work to Plos ONE and apologies for the delay in my decision. As anticipated in our previous email communications, the reviews I received for your resubmitted work led to a split opinion and this prompted me to resort to a third reviewer. Given that the third reviewer leaves the door open and also suggests that the paper does present some potential, I am inclined to suggest a further round of major revisions following mostly the suggestions provided in Reviewer 1 and 3’s letters. In particular, I would like to draw your attention on the following main points: • In your work, mobility seems to be basically attributable to two main determinants. On the one hand, children may be mobile because of push factors, and in that case policies should strive aim to provide better shelter and reduce the level of street crime. On the other hand, if children are moving for gaining additional income, no policy should be enacted. Is there any way to disentangle between these two typologies? • On the statistical analysis, a few issues still remain unresolved. o Firstly, your choice of the Poisson specification seems to be at odds with the fact that in your data variance seems to be almost twice as large as the mean, against the assumption that is typically requested for Poisson processes to hold, viz. that of equal mean and variance. o In your work, no discussion is offered of the varying exposure across sampled individuals. As argued by reviewer 3, “The Poisson process has the property that if the expected number of events over a period of length T is E, the expected number of events over a period of length 2T is 2E. In other words, the number of months between the interview and the year and month in which the person entered Kampala needs to be taken into account. This information was collected (see Table 1) and should be inserted in the exposure option in the command Poisson”. o Moreover, it seems that the moves are not classified in terms of distance made. As explained in Reviewer 1’s report, it seems you are making no difference in terms of the distance made during the move, so that it is not possible to really see which move made a difference in terms of the environment where children are acting, their relational space, etc. Would it be possible to add any more detail on this point? o Another way you may want to check your results for robustness is to calculate the number of moves per month of residence in the city and then to perform a classical linear (OLS) regression model with this indicator on the LHS of your model. o Another important issue in this context is that of behavioural homogeneity. This could be actually tested, for instance running regressions by subsamples, e.g. different age brackets, or gender. o Also, could you please check the consistency of variables included in Table 1 (descriptive statistics) and those shown for the main regression results Table 2? I would also suggest to take all comments, both from Reviewer 1 and 3, into account. In your resubmission, please prepare a reply letter addressing each point raised by all reviewers in terms of the way you believe they have, or haven’t, been solved in your revised paper. I look forward to reviewing your revised paper in due time and I thank you once again for thinking of Plos ONE as a possible outlet for your research. Kind regards, Andrea Caragliu ============================== Please submit your revised manuscript by Nov 27 2020 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at plosone@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file. Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:
If you would like to make changes to your financial disclosure, please include your updated statement in your cover letter. Guidelines for resubmitting your figure files are available below the reviewer comments at the end of this letter. If applicable, we recommend that you deposit your laboratory protocols in protocols.io to enhance the reproducibility of your results. Protocols.io assigns your protocol its own identifier (DOI) so that it can be cited independently in the future. For instructions see: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/submission-guidelines#loc-laboratory-protocols We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript. Kind regards, Andrea Antonio Guido Caragliu Academic Editor PLOS ONE [Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.] Reviewers' comments: Reviewer's Responses to Questions Comments to the Author 1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation. Reviewer #1: (No Response) Reviewer #2: All comments have been addressed Reviewer #3: (No Response) ********** 2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented. Reviewer #1: No Reviewer #2: Yes Reviewer #3: No ********** 3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? Reviewer #1: No Reviewer #2: Yes Reviewer #3: No ********** 4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available? The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes Reviewer #3: Yes ********** 5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English? PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes Reviewer #3: Yes ********** 6. Review Comments to the Author Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters) Reviewer #1: It is evident that this paper has been revised to address reviewers’ comments, and the authors are commended for taking note of some of the points raised. That said, I still find it hard to follow some points and the logic of the analysis undertaken. My main suggestion to authors is to consider abandoning the intra-urban mobility as outcome variable. This outcome variable is of particular concern since not all street youth answered the question on number of times moved. Instead, this data may be especially useful in looking at whether in-migrant street youth are involved in sex work, or even use health services, more/less than non-migrant street youth. Indeed this is related to the policy implications mentioned in conclusion. I still feel at a loss in following the logic of the paper. For example, what are the mechanisms that lead involvement in sex for money to higher mobility? Or why would higher income lead to greater intra-urban mobility? Below I raise my concerns (in no specific order). 1. If you hypothesis that migrant street youth are likely to experience disproportionate intra-urban mobility compared to native Kampala dwellers, then this should be examined. It seems though that the questionnaire wasn’t built to allow for such analysis. Therefore, it is important to back this assumption of higher intra-urban mobility among in-migrants with substantial references. 2. Of course since street youth are examined a clear definition of residence is not possible- and neither is it easy to look at physical boundaries of their movement. Yet, this is important. If a person moved from say the bus stop on road A to a temporary shelter on Road A, less than 50m away- the meaning of this move is different to moving say to a market on Road B 2km away (in a different parish). In the first move, this person remains in the same area- meets the same people most likely- know where to get food there etc. In the second move, the person may not have a social network, may be more vulnerable etc. Therefore the moves are essentially different and shouldn’t be combined. Thus I find that the outcome variable has little meaning. 3. On page 8, you indicate that in the Poisson model you only include covariates that were significant in bivariate analysis. As far as I understand this is misleading. A covariate may be theoretically important in explaining intra-urban mobility, and should therefore remain in the model even if not statistically significant. Moreover, there may be a covariate that is not significant in bivariate analysis, but is important to control for the other effects of the covariates in the model. 4. Although the model indicates statistical relationship between covariates and intra-urban mobility, this relationship isn’t necessarily causal, and I would refrain from using the term “drivers”. If the authors are specifically interested in intra-urban mobility this still could be used to explain use of health services for example (rather than the other way round). Authors should consider reverse causality. Overall, I believe the authors have important data on a topic that is understudied, and combining the data with qualitative analysis provides a richer perspective. However, how the data is used needs to be reconsidered. Reviewer #2: The authors have adequately addressed the comments that I raised. I found the manuscript generally well written. Reviewer #3: Beside reading this paper, I have also read the two reviews of the original paper, the decision letter of the editor, and the responses of the authors to the comments by the editor and the reviewers. This paper falls within the broad theme of wellbeing of migrant children and youth in large cities in developing countries. Their migration is often driven by poverty, joblessness and desperation in rural areas. They migrate to the city to escape the dire conditions in the home region and, to the extent that they can earn income in the city in the informal economy and perhaps even remit some money back to the family in the rural area, such migration can be welfare enhancing. However, many of these children and youth end up in situations that violate the 1989 United Nations Convention of the Rights of the Child (UNCORC). They have no access to adequate housing, education and health care; and they are often exploited economically and sexually. Hence, research that informs on the characteristics of these children and the problems they face is important for designing policies that can protect them and enhance their wellbeing. This paper provides a case study of this issue by studying migrant street children and youth in Kampala. The focus is on their intra-urban mobility. As the title suggests, the paper is concerned with the correlation between intra-urban mobility and the socio-demographic characteristics of these young migrants. The paper also investigates the correlates between mobility and some aspects of their sexual behaviour (by the way, it is safe to assume that the survey responses that close 90 % or more are not involved in sex work is an underestimate of engagement in sex work, particularly when their responses are censored or influenced by their “street uncles”). However, it isn’t clear at all why we should care about the intra-urban mobility of migrant street children. On the one hand, the qualitative research suggests that their intra-urban mobility is due to “push factors” such as a lack of safety and inadequate shelter. On the other hand, intra-urban mobility may be a voluntary response by the child or youth to reap greater earnings opportunities at a different location. The paper argues on pp. 17-18 that the findings have implications for policy, but it is entirely unclear what these implications are. If mobility is the response to negative push factors, the local government should aim to provide better shelter and reduce the level of street crime. This would then lower the intra-urban mobility of street children and that would be a good thing. However, if intra-urban mobility is the means by which the children can gain a greater income, mobility should be encouraged. The statistical analysis in this paper does not help us to understand what the impact of intra-urban mobility is on the children’s wellbeing. If the objective of this paper is simply defined as an inquiry into the characteristics of migrant street children and youth, then that can also be a perfectly legitimate research objective (but of lesseer importance), provided the analysis is done well and is convincing. However, while this paper has some strong aspects, the analysis is technically flawed. The strong aspects of the research reported in this paper are the sampling strategy and the use of mixed methods (analysis of qualitative and quantitative data). Nonetheless, I concur with reviewer #1 that the statistical analysis is flawed. Let me elaborate. If we define the variable of interest as the number of intra-urban moves that the child or young person makes after arriving in Kampala, this outcomes variable is an integer that takes on the values 0, 1, 2, …. The Poisson regression model can be an appropriate model for quantifying the determinants of this mobility process. At the top of page 8 the authors argue that the Poisson regression assumptions have been satisfied. However, rather than testing for the negative binomial model (and hence overdispersion) as an alternative, they simply note that there is “minimal data dispersion”. But in a Poisson process the mean and the variance are the same, whereas in the Kampala data the variance is almost twice the mean! Even more concerning is, as reviewer #1 notes, that no account is taken of varying exposure across sampled individuals. The Poisson process has the property that if the expected number of events over a period of length T is E, the expected number of events over a period of length 2T is 2E. In other words, the number of months between the interview and the year and month in which the person entered Kampala needs to be taken into account. This information was collected (see Table 1) and should be inserted in the exposure option in the Stata command poisson. An alternative approach is to calculate the number of moves per month of residence in the city and to run an OLS regression model with this statistic as the dependent variable. For this relatively large sample of 412 observations, this OLS regression is probably not a bad approximation to identifying the statistically significant determinants of intra-urban mobility. The distinction made by the authors between duration of stay > 2 years and duration of stay < 2 years is too coarse. The numbers of observations that were used in each of the bivariate regressions and in the multivariate regression in Table 2 were actually not stated but in many cases the number was less than 412 due to missing data. I think that this problem could have been overcome by using some form of data imputation, which can be done manually or by means of Stata. Another important issue in this context is the assumption of behavioural homogeneity. It is very likely that the Poisson model differs structurally across gender or age (12-17 versus 18-24). This can be tested by running separate regressions for the sub-samples. It is noted on p.8 that further stratification by age is not possible, due to missing data, but imputation may ameliorate this. Ditto for regressions by gender. Table 2: The number of observations in each of the bivariate regressions and in the multivariate regression should be stated in the Table. Additionally, there are no robustness checks of the multivariate model. For example, log likelihood tests could be used to check the importance of the sexual behaviour-related variables. Also, there does not seem to be a full correspondence between the descriptives in Table 1 and the regressors in Table 2. For example, why is “highest education attained” not in Table 1? Minor points Abstract: “continuous scale” should be “integer scale” Abstract: just stating IRR=0.67 for gender does not inform the reader that the mobility is less among girls. Abstract: “causal” should be “casual” By the way, the findings with respect to “Personal safety” and “cost of place of stay” are not shown in the regressions in Table 2. p.4, second para.: because the data come from a larger cross-sectional study, there should be a reference to a report or article that describes this larger study, as well as acknowledgement of the funding for this larger study. Table 1: In-school, all respondents: the frequency is 35, not 55. p.16, 4th line from bottom: if intra-urban mobility may not be predicted by duration of stay, the stochastic process is not Poisson! ********** 7. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files. If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public. Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy. Reviewer #1: No Reviewer #2: No Reviewer #3: No [NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files.] While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Registration is free. Then, login and navigate to the UPLOAD tab, where you will find detailed instructions on how to use the tool. If you encounter any issues or have any questions when using PACE, please email PLOS at figures@plos.org. Please note that Supporting Information files do not need this step. |
| Revision 2 |
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PONE-D-19-29260R2 Demographic and behavioural drivers of intra-urban mobility of migrant street children and youth in Kampala, Uganda PLOS ONE Dear Dr. Bwambale, Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process. Please submit your revised manuscript by Feb 06 2021 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at plosone@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file. Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:
If you would like to make changes to your financial disclosure, please include your updated statement in your cover letter. Guidelines for resubmitting your figure files are available below the reviewer comments at the end of this letter. If applicable, we recommend that you deposit your laboratory protocols in protocols.io to enhance the reproducibility of your results. Protocols.io assigns your protocol its own identifier (DOI) so that it can be cited independently in the future. For instructions see: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/submission-guidelines#loc-laboratory-protocols We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript. Kind regards, Andrea Antonio Guido Caragliu Academic Editor PLOS ONE Additional Editor Comments (if provided): Dear Dr. Bwambale, dear Mulekya : thank you for resubmitting your work to Plos ONE and for your attempt at dealing with the comments from the three reviewers. I read your revised paper with attention and although I realize that you decided not to take into account some of the comments from Reviewer 3, I also understand that your data are subject to structural limitations, which nevertheless do not cancel their (to me) clear informative power. In order to reconcile the somewhat opposite views of Reviewers 1 and 3 about the preferable empirical specification, I would advise a last round of minor revisions to the paper, whereby Table 2 may be potentially restructured by re-organizing the table with three columns, one dedicated to each specification (i.e. Negative Binomial, Poisson, and OLS). Statistics associated to each parameter estimate can be included vertically, and this would also offer the reader an informative way to show that your findings are indeed robust to the choice of different empirical strategies. Once this is done I plan not to send out the paper for an additional round of revisions, but simply to take a look at it myself. Given the very limited effort needed at this stage, I would be inclined to expect your revisions shortly - ideally, within the next 30 days - but please do let me know if this is not compatible with your schedule and if therefore you need more time. Thank you in advance for your attention, Kind regards, Andrea Caragliu [Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.] [NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files.] While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Registration is free. Then, login and navigate to the UPLOAD tab, where you will find detailed instructions on how to use the tool. If you encounter any issues or have any questions when using PACE, please email PLOS at figures@plos.org. Please note that Supporting Information files do not need this step. |
| Revision 3 |
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Demographic and behavioural drivers of intra-urban mobility of migrant street children and youth in Kampala, Uganda PONE-D-19-29260R3 Dear Dr. Bwambale, We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements. Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication. An invoice for payment will follow shortly after the formal acceptance. To ensure an efficient process, please log into Editorial Manager at http://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/, click the 'Update My Information' link at the top of the page, and double check that your user information is up-to-date. If you have any billing related questions, please contact our Author Billing department directly at authorbilling@plos.org. If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper to help maximize its impact. If they’ll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team as soon as possible -- no later than 48 hours after receiving the formal acceptance. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information, please contact onepress@plos.org. Kind regards, Andrea Antonio Guido Caragliu Academic Editor PLOS ONE Additional Editor Comments (optional): Dear Dr. Mulekya, dear Francis: thank you for resubmitting your work to Plos ONE. I believe your third submission addresses all my remaining concerns and agree with the proposal to only keep the Negative binomial regressions as the core findings of your paper. Please decide on your own whether to leave the two alternative estimates on the paper as robustness checks, perhaps in a technical appendix, or if instead simply leave a reference to these alternative results as a footote. Thank you all for your fine contribution to the journal, Kind regards, Andrea Caragliu Reviewers' comments: |
| Formally Accepted |
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PONE-D-19-29260R3 Demographic and behavioural drivers of intra-urban mobility of migrant street children and youth in Kampala, Uganda Dear Dr. Bwambale: I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department. If your institution or institutions have a press office, please let them know about your upcoming paper now to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information please contact onepress@plos.org. If we can help with anything else, please email us at plosone@plos.org. Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access. Kind regards, PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staff on behalf of Professor Andrea Antonio Guido Caragliu Academic Editor PLOS ONE |
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