Response to Reviewers
First of all, we would like to thank reviewers for your insightful, constructive and
helpful comments on our manuscript entitled “Can the Establishment of National Key
Ecological Functional Zones Improve Air Quality? —— An Empirical Study from China”.
We have carefully considered and addressed all the comments and made necessary revisions
in the revised manuscript. We provide a point-by-point response to the reviewers’
comments below.
The points raised by the reviewers are written in bold font, whereas our responses
are shown in normal font, and the quotation of the revised manuscript is shown in
italic font.
Reviewer #1:
Li et al. used satellite image data of air pollutants pm2.5 to investigate whether
the policy making would be effective in improving the air environment before and after
taking measures. Then, the factors affecting the improvement of the air environment
were also investigated. The air environment is generally evaluated using time series
analysis, but the authors evaluated the difference between before and after the measures.
As a result, when comparing the two points before and after, they conclude that the
policy may be useful because the indicator of air pollution has improved considerably.
The improvement of the global air environment is currently entrusted to the United
States and China, and it is very meaningful to evaluate the effect of the improvement
efforts. This report presents an analysis method that is precise and well stated;
however, when evaluated as scientific research, several points of concern arise. Therefore,
the authors must improve some aspects of this report before publication.
Response:
Thank you so much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. We have done our
best to revise the manuscript, but if any additional revision is needed, we will certainly
do this in your directions.
Thanks for the referee’s suggestion. In accordance with the requirements of journals
and reviewers, we have introduced in detail the international policy comparison of
NKEFZ, as well as trends and goals of air pollution-related policies in the Introduction
section of the article. In addition, this article also re-emphasizes the application
and value of the article at the global level in the Discussion section, making the
research meet the interests of the global audience.
General
1) Global point of view: Although the report primarily explains China's policies,
it lacks an explanation of global trends such as the United Nations and World Health
Organization (WHO) policies. Adding this perspective is important because PLOS is
an international journal that has a global audience. For example, is the United States
now addressing air pollution? Likewise, what are the most recent United Nations Framework
Convention on Climate Change guidelines and sustainable development goals? These critical
aspects of current air policy should be added to the Introduction or Discussion.
Response:
Thank you so much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. Following your
suggestion, we add some international discussions, In the first chapter of the revised
manuscript as follows (please see Page 2-3 of the revised manuscript):
…
Since 1972, Environmental problems have become global problems. As an important global
Coordination Conference on environmental governance, United Nations Conference on
environment and development (UNCED) is held to discuss global environmental issues
and release corresponding policy documents. The countries all over the world have
put forward the goal of sustainable development and participated in the process of
environmental governance. The developed countries such as the United States have gone
through the stage of industrialization and environmental problems have changed from
pollution control to environmental behaviour governance. However, China is in the
process of development, and its environmental pollution is becoming more and more
serious. With the rapid growth of the economy and urbanization, air pollution has
become a serious issue in China. Since 2013, China has continuously suffered from
serious PM2.5 pollution with the average level of fine particulate matter (PM2.5)
reaching 72μg/m3; 99.6% of the Chinese population lived in areas with PM2.5 exceeding
the World Health Organization Air Quality Guideline of 10μg/m3 [1,2]. According to
the Asian Development Bank Annual Report in 2012, less than 1% of China’s 500 largest
cities had air quality up to the standards set by the World Health Organization; seven
Chinese cities were listed among the ten most polluted cities in the world. Air pollution
becomes not only a major long-term burden on the Chinese public but also a main obstacle
to sustainable development.
…
2) Effectiveness: Related to Point (1), the impact of air pollution policies may differ
between China and Western countries. It is unlikely that this research will be generalized
to the global stakeholders as it is currently written. Furthermore, it is also unlikely
that the proposed policy may affect Western countries because a higher degree of freedom
is culturally embedded. Although the effects of air pollution policies are important,
the discussion is missing the perspective of industry on these policy factors.
Response:
Thank you so much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. As mentioned in
the original text, the concept of functional zones in China is similar to the Spatial
Planning policy of Western countries (Stull, 1974), where both are through government
policies to influence the spatial expansion of a city to protect environment (Wilson
et al., 2003). Therefore, NKEFZ is essentially the same as the spatial planning of
Western countries. They all plan the type of land use through the government will
to achieve the goal of improving air quality. Studying the effect of NKEFZ (or spatial
planning) on air pollution in the Chinese scenario can not only show the world on
the improvement of air pollution in China as a developing country, but also provide
a good reference for other developing countries in the world. More importantly, because
China's NKEFZ has the same policy objectives as the spatial planning of western countries,
the research conclusions can provide a good comparative study for spatial planning
of developed countries. In the meantime, by showing the improvement effect of spatial
planning on air pollution under different parameters such as different cultures, different
degrees of freedom, and different levels of government intervention, this paper provides
a comparison and experience for Western policymakers to better formulate related policies
for spatial planning.
Please see Pages 4-5 of the revised manuscript:
…
The concept of functional zones in China is similar to those in Western spatial planning,
where policies influence the spatial expansion of a city to protect the environment.
Conway & Lathrop used a spatially-explicit model to examine the impacts of future
urbanization and alternative land use regulations on the environment before irreversible
changes occur. Deboudt et al. found that coastal zone management strategies are useful
for natural heritage preservation as land use planning was designed to control urban
expansion in coastal areas. Globally, protected areas have been established to preserve
natural areas and reduce deforestation. Some of them have made significant contributions
to environmental protection.
This paper extends the literature on functional zones and spatial planning in several
respects. First, it is the first paper to investigate whether and how the policy of
establishing National Key Ecological Functional Zones (NKEFZ) improves air quality
in China, using difference-in-differences approaches. It is important to examine the
effectiveness of the establishment of ecological functional zones in reducing air
pollution because pollution has detrimental impacts on quality of life. So far very
few studies have been done on the ecological impacts of functional zones in the Chinese
context. We further explore the specific mechanisms through which the designation
of NKEFZ may have influenced air quality in the region. Second, we use a new dataset
on air pollution derived from satellite raster data on the concentration values of
PM2.5 from 2008 to 2015. This enables the paper to evaluate the policy impact on air
pollution. Third, previous studies on functional zones primarily rely on data at provincial
level. We use county level data to construct a panel data, which provides details
at a finer spatial scale.
…
Ref:
Stull, William J. Land Use and Zoning in an Urban Economy. Am Econ Rev. 1974;64(3):337–47.
Wilson JS, Clay M, Martin E, Stuckey D, Vedder-Risch K. Evaluating environmental influences
of zoning in urban ecosystems with remote sensing. Remote Sens Environ. 2003;86(3):303–21.
3) Sentence structure and Table use: Using several methods for analysis is a good
approach for multilateral evaluation. However, if 7 Tables are required for an explanation,
then it is necessary to rethink the presentation overall at a structural level. Considering
the hypothesis and study in general, the connection from the one Table to the next
is weak. The readers would benefit from a streamlined explanation in text so that
the arrangement of analysis methods is reasonable and more easily understood.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. This paper mainly
attempts to use these 7 tables to conduct a more detailed study on the impact of NKEFZ
on air quality, so that the results of the study are innovative and robust. According
to the reviewer’s suggestions, we have reorganized the logical structure, research
process, and language expression of the full text based on hypothesis and study, making
the research process more rigorous, logical structure more reasonable.
4) The authors describe PM2.5 air pollutants in China in 2013, but the focus of this
study is the effect of NKEFZ in 2011. Please explain why PM2.5 air pollutants became
a problem after the measures to improve air quality were taken.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. The PM2.5 pollution
in 2013 is the most serious pollution phenomenon in the history of China, such as
the smog event experienced in Britain for 60 years. The main purpose of this paper
is to introduce the research problem of PM2.5 pollution control. The NKEFZ policy
implemented by the Chinese government in 2011 aims to divide the national land into
difference functional regions and implement difference industrial development policies.
Therefore, this policy can be used as a quasi-natural experiment of pollution control.
In our paper, the analysis of this problem is not very clear, which leads to the reviewers
don’t understand the two issues. In my revised manuscript, we have added a description
of China's PM2.5 pollution situation before 2011 in the first paragraph, and through
the comparison of PM2.5 concentrations before and after the implementation of the
NKEFZ policy, we have more vividly demonstrated the inhibitory effect of NKEFZ on
air pollution. Please see Page 5 of the revised manuscript:
…
The idea of "National Major Functional Zones" was proposed in the Eleventh Five-Year
Plan in China, with the purposes to use the limited land resources efficiently and
to improve environmental quality. The planning of "National Key Ecological Functional
Zones" is introduced in 2010 and officially put into effect in June 2011. A NKEFZ
refers to a restricted development zone, which plays a crucial role in protecting
the ecological environment by forbidding large-scale high-intensity industrial development.
It could include water source protection areas, soil and water erosion control areas,
wind break and desertification control areas and biodiversity maintaining areas. Twenty-five
areas of Development-Restricted Zones had been identified based on integrated nationwide
assessment, with the total areas of 3.86 million km2, covering 436 county-level administrative
regions and accounting for 40.2% of China’s territory.
…
5) The pollution level of China is shown in context of the WHO standard, but no information
about other countries’ pollution levels was provided. Do the authors have any global
information to share?
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. We have collected
pollution information about other countries from World Health Organization, World
Bank databases, satellite data. In our first paragraph, we have a comparative analysis
of China's urban pollution ranking in global urban pollution. The PM2.5 pollution
data used in this study is provided by the Centre for International Earth Science
Information Network (CIESIN) at Columbia University, which provides PM2.5 pollution
data for each country in the world. Please refer to the website: https://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/#
6) This study uses the difference-in-differences approach, and the authors should
cite and briefly discuss any other studies that have evaluated this issue using the
same method.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. Based on your
suggestions, we add a part of the explanation in part of Difference-in-differences
approach. Please see page 7 of the revised manuscript.
…
As a policy evaluation method, the difference-in-differences (DID) method is commonly
used in social science research. Specifically, the implementation of a policy is only
affected in some regions (some countries or some regions within the country), while
other regions are not affected by the policy. By comparing the differences of policy
implementation areas before and after, and comparing the the differences with other
regions that are not affected by policy shocks, the net effects of policy shocks on
policy implementation regions can be identified. This method takes a policy shock
in social science as a quasi-natural experiment and is widely used as a policy evaluation
method.
…
7) Data are presented using a 3-year moving average, and because the average value
is smooth, the fluctuation is moderate. Does this approach underestimate the data
when making before/after policy comparisons?
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. In the part of
“trend analysis of policy impact”, we do not use the three-year moving average method
to study. It is assumed that the policy shock occurred in the previous year, so that
the dummy variable of the previous year is set to 1, otherwise it is 0. Similar settings
are also adopted for dummy variables of other years. These dummy variables are independent
of each other. If these dummy variables are introduced into the regression model,
the estimated results will not affect each other. Therefore, we believe that there
is no bias in the estimation results.
8) The equation called “IPAT” was used in this study, and the authors should explicitly
state how data A and data T are quantified.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. Based on your
suggestions, we add a part of the explanation in part of Difference-in-differences
approach. Please see page 11 of the revised manuscript.
…
The following variables lnpopdes represents on population (P), the lnpgdp and lnpgdp2
represent economic development (A), agrstr and indstr represent technical level (T),
it is excluded from the analysis.
…
9) The regional economic development level is evaluated using the Kuznets curve, and
the degree of economic development is represented by lnpdgp. Because the approach
is comparison of 2 points---before and after---is it possible to also consider the
speed of development by region? If so, this aspect would be a valuable addition.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. Your suggestion
is very good. In the sample we studied, the areas of the treatment group are the areas
with national ecological function areas, which the economic development level of these
areas is not high. If following your ideas, the results will lead to very few samples
of treatment groups entering high development areas, which will lead to some errors
in the estimation results.
Because the problem we are considering is the treatment effect of NKEFZ policy, which
is an average effect. The treatment effect is of great importance to the implementation
of the NKEFZ policy, but the significance of sub sample may not be very important.
10) Regarding the industrial structure, the secondary industry has a positive impact,
but it is speculated that the primary industry may also have an impact of slash and
burn, organic dust, and an increase in carbon-containing gas due to livestock production.
Is it possible to ignore these effects and call it a negative coefficient?
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments.
First of all, as the reviewer said, slash and burn, organic dust, and an increase
in carbon-containing gas due to livestock production in the primary industrial process
can indeed have an impact on air pollution in theory. However, these impacts are not
large or even negligible compared to the impact of secondary industry on air pollution
in reality. Because the primary industry has little influence, the relevant literature
is also less involved in the selection and research of these variables.
Secondly, from the perspective of econometrics, this article has made every effort
to collect data and added major variables that can theoretically have a significant
impact on PM2.5. In the meantime, the random disturbance term of formula (1) contains
the impact of all unobserved variables on PM2.5, including slash and burn, organic
dust, and an increase in carbon-containing gas due to livestock production, etc.,
which can directly affect PM2.5 but have little effect, and all other direct or indirect
effects.
Finally, as a variable in the primary industry that can have a major impact on PM2.5,
the negative coefficient of the proportions of agricultural industry outputs in GDP
has been theoretically explained. On the other hand, it has also been proved in the
quantitative regression below, so in general, it is possible to ignore these effects
and call it a negative coefficient.
11) The authors used propensity score matching, but the explanation of the factors
used for matching was insufficient. It is desirable to supplement what variables are
used for matching and whether the matching was appropriate.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. In the process
of PSM-DID, we control all the control variables and directly use the diff command
of Stata. This command only reports the results and does not report the estimated
results of other control variables. The number of matched samples is reported in the
paper. See the page 18 of the revised manuscript.
…
When matching, all control variables are controlled.
In order to compare the results with the benchmark regression, Table 5 presents the
DID regression results after applying the matched samples. in Column (1) and (2),
14022 samples were matched, and the matching rate was 99%. in Column (3) -(6), The
matched samples were relatively few, but the matching rate was above 98%.
…
12) In the “Robustness check” part, the authors used the median and maximum data point
of PM2.5. Instead, would it be better to use data such as time-weighted average?
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. The median value
of PM2.5 pollution is most similar to the average value of PM2.5 pollution, so we
can see whether the results are robust. The maximum value is utilized to explain whether
the policy impact will reduce the pollution severity of the treatment group area.
The PM2.5 value with time weighting may be better, but the data we use is the current
year value provided by CIESIN, so time weighting is not available.
13) In Table1-7, the number of * does not match the significance test result.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. Thanks for your
corrections. We have reviewed the full text and corrected the relevant significance
level.
14) The Table 7 does not match the description in the text.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. The original
number was wrong, which caused misunderstanding by the reviewers. We have revised
the numbering of Table 7 in the Mechanism analysis section, and further corrected
the interpretation of Table 7. Please see pages 21-22 of the revised manuscript.
…
We have known that regional economic development, population density and industrial
structures tend to improve significantly the average concentrations of PM2.5. As shown
in Table 7, the coefficients of regional economic development (lnpgdp) were significantly
positive. But the coefficients of population density (lnpopdis) and the proportion
of second industry output in GDP (indstr) are significantly negative at the 5% significance
level. the coefficients of agriculture output in GDP (agrstr) is positive, but not
significant. It can be seen from the estimation results that the policies of the NKEFZ
policy mainly reduce the proportion of industry and increase the proportion of agriculture,
so as to improve the local economic development level, but the NKEFZ policy don’t
improve the local population density.
…
Once again, we would like to thank you for your thoughtful and valuable comments and
suggestions. If you have any further requests, please do not hesitate to contact us
so that we can address your further concerns.
Reviewer #2:
I read the paper. The paper estimates the effect of National Key Ecological Functional
Zones (NKEFZ) on environmental quality (PM2.5). The issues this paper address is important;
hence, the author is given an opportunity of major revision. I attach the comment
file.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. We have done
our best to revise the manuscript, but if any additional revision is needed, we will
certainly do this in your directions.
1. The existing title doesn't provide a complete picture of the study and need revision.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. The title is
“Can the Establishment of National Key Ecological Functional Zones Improve Air Quality?
—— An Empirical Study from China”. I want to study the relationship between the establishment
of National Ecological Functional Zones and air quality in China. The questions used
in the title may express partial information. We can revise it is: Establishment of
National Key Ecological Functional Zones and air quality —— An Empirical Study from
China. However, we are still not sure whether this title is OK or not, but if any
additional revision is needed, we will certainly do so under your directions.
2. Abstract:
2.1. Include the current PM2.5 level with reference to the standard level so that
it will be easier for the reader to understand the alarming situation of air pollution
and also the relevance of the study.
2.2. Mention when NKEFZ was established in the abstract itself.
2.3. The last sentence of the abstract needs revision to reflect the mechanism through
which NKEFZ reduced the PM2.5. The sentence is written in a way to present the result
of the effect of NKEFZ on land use.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. We have done
our best to revise the abstract. Please see page 2 of the revised manuscript.
…
Drawing on fine particulate matter (PM2.5) from satellite raster data and matching
with the county-level socio-economic data from 2008 to 2015 in China, this paper investigates
the impacts of the establishment of National Key Ecological Functional Zones (NKEFZ)
on environmental quality by employing the difference-in-differences method, which
was stablished in June 2011. The results indicate that the establishment of the NKEFZ
significantly decreased the concentration values of PM2.5, a drop of about 20% during
the study period, after we control for other factors affecting air quality. The robustness
tests using the maximum and medium concentration values of PM2.5 show similar results.
Through further analysis, we find that establishment of NKEFZ can improve the ecological
utilization efficiency of land.
…
Introduction:
2.4. There is a discussion of the restricted zones, which is one of the four zones
classified by the National Major Functional Zone Planning. Describing the criteria
used to classify helps the reader about the policy source for NKEFZ.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. The criteria
mentioned in the original text is based on population distribution, land use, economic
development and urbanization patterns, and the development potential and priorities
in different regions. By further reviewing the relevant policy documents of the main
functional zones, we found that the main functional zones are divided according to
the resource and environment carrying capacity of different regions. Different regions
are divided into different regional spatial units with specific main functions based
on their spatial differentiation of natural environmental factors, social and economic
development levels, ecosystem characteristics, and human activity forms. For example:
For regions with strong comprehensive strength, large economic scale, capable of supporting
and driving the national economic development, strong scientific and technological
innovation strength, capable of leading and driving national independent innovation
and structural upgrading, the state defines it as an optimized development zone. For
areas with strong resource and environmental carrying capacity and a certain development
space, they will be regarded as key development zones, and industrialization and urbanization
will be mainly implemented. For areas that have strong comprehensive agricultural
production capacity, or undertake important ecological functions such as water conservation,
soil and water conservation, wind prevention and sand fixation, and biodiversity maintenance,
the state defines it as a restricted development zone. Among them, the restricted
development zone related to national ecological security is the NKEFZ studied in this
paper. For areas such as nature reserves, scenic spots, forest parks, and geological
parks, the state defines them as restricted development areas.
Please see pages 3-4 of the revised manuscript.
…
The restricted development zones refer to the zones with weak carrying capacity of
resources, poor conditions of large-scale agglomeration economy and population, and
is related to the ecological security of the whole country or a large region; the
prohibited development zones refer to all kinds of nature protection areas established
according to law. Restricted development zones and the prohibited development zones
mainly include natural forest protection zones, grassland degradation zones, natural
disaster-prone zones, rocky desertification and desertification zones, and zones s
with serious soil erosion.
…
2.5. At the end of the first page, the author writes "They should adhere to the priority
of environmental protection and ecological restoration. Only moderate development,
dot-like development, or those characteristic industries suitable for local resources
and conditions should be promoted. Environmental protection should guide the orderly
transfer of overloaded population and gradually become an important national or regional
ecological functional zone.", Is this the author's view or description of the policy
documents? The description needs revision with appropriate reference.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. See the page
3-4 of the revised manuscript.
…
According to the requirements of National Major Functional Zone Planning, the four
function zones should be all adhere to the priority of environmental protection and
ecological restoration.
…
2.6. It seems NKEFZ is restricted development zone—named differently, yes? If so,
please provide reference and reason why it is a specialized functional zone.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. Your question
is very good. On the basis of the division of the National Major Functional Zones
Plan, China has issued the National Key Ecological Functional Zones plan, taking some
zones as the key areas proposed promoting the construction of ecological civilization
system. As of 2016, 676 counties have entered the National Key Ecological Functional
Zones, accounting for 53% of the total land area. Please see page 5 of the revised
manuscript.
…
On the basis of the division of the National Major Functional Zones Plan, China has
issued the National Key Ecological Functional Zones plan, the planning of National
Key Ecological Functional Zones (NKEFZ) is introduced in 2010 and officially put into
effect in June 2011.
…
2.7. First, it is the first paper to investigate whether and how the policy of establishing
National Key Ecological Functional Zones (NKEFZ) improves air quality in China, using
difference-in-difference approaches. Is this paper the first one to a) investigate
the NKEFZ effect or b) use DID to investigate the NKEFZ?
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. Ibe so sorry
that the expression in the manuscript has caused you to make an ideal deviation. We
have revised the manuscript, please see the page 5 of the revised manuscript.
…
First, it is the first paper to apply difference-in-differences mothed (DID) to examine
the impact of NKEFZ policies on air quality in China.
…
2.8. If used for one or very few time, please use full forms like D-U-H-P, DPZ, SD
and others.
Response:
Thank you very much for your advice. Many abbreviations are used in this manuscript
because these expressions can be used many times.
2.9. NKEFZ is mentioned here and there. A separate paragraph that describes NKEFZ,
its classification, programs, and other detail is helpful to understand the (NKEFZ)
program being investigated.
Response:
Thanks for your suggestion. We have revised the full text and use a separate paragraph
to describe NKEFZ, its classification, programs, and other details in Institutional
background. Please see pages 5-7 of the revised manuscript.
…
Institutional background
The idea of National Major Functional Zones was proposed in the Eleventh Five-Year
Plan in China, with the purpose to use the limited land resources efficiently and
to improve environmental quality. On the basis of the division of the National Major
Functional Zones Plan, China has issued the National Key Ecological Functional Zones
plan, the planning of National Key Ecological Functional Zones (NKEFZ) is introduced
in 2010 and officially put into effect in June 2011. A NKEFZ refers to a restricted
development zone, which plays a crucial role in protecting the ecological environment
by forbidding large-scale high-intensity industrial development. It could include
water source protection areas, soil and water erosion control areas, wind break and
desertification control areas and biodiversity maintaining areas. Twenty-five areas
of Development-Restricted Zones had been identified based on the integrated nationwide
assessment, with the total areas of 3.86 million km2, covering 436 county-level administrative
regions and accounting for 40.2% of China’s territory [10].
The strategy of National Major Functional Zones has gradually become one of the major
strategies for China's regional development. This can be seen from the policies issued
by the government in recent years. A section is designated to explain what the strategy
is at the 12th Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development. At the
13th Five-Year Plan, another section is designated to explain how to implement the
strategy. The concept of NKEFZ was mentioned several times at the 18th National Congress
of the Communist Party of China (CPC) in 2012. Since the implementation of the "National
Main Functional Zones Planning" in 2010, many supporting policies and documents have
been issued by the government, covering areas on fiscal arrangement, investment, industrial
development, land use, agricultural development, population, ethnicity, environment,
and climate change. In the report at 18th Party Congress, the government announced
its commitment to accelerate the establishment of eco-compensation mechanism based
on the principles including the coordinated development principle, prevention principle,
and polluter pays principle. A restricted industry access system in the NKEFZ is required
at the Fifth Plenary Meeting of the CPC.
There have been some studies on functional zones in China. Wu et al.[11] introduced
a system dynamic (SD) model to assess land use change in China led by the development
priority zoning (DPZ) strategy. By using the Delphi method, a corresponding suitable
prioritization of D-U-H-P for the four types of development priority zones, including
optimal development zones (ODZ), key development zones (KDZ), restricted development
zones (RDZ), and forbidden development zones (FDZ) were identified. Using indicators
such as ecological function index, ecological structure index and ecological stress
index, Wu et al. [11] analyses ecological changes in the key function zones in China
during the years of 2000-2010. Wang et al. [12] presents a system dynamics urban growth
model with Yiwu city and Qingtian County as case studies. Their results indicate that
the development priority zoning in these two areas influences urban growth in terms
of economic growth, migration and land conversion. Li et al. [13] used environmental
data from 2009 to 2011 in 37 counties that were granted financial transfer from the
government, and found significant correlations between environmental quality and transfer
payment funds to the NKEFZ. Fu and Miao [14] argued that the central financial transfer
payment to the local ecological function areas should be based on the compensation
of the spillover ecological value. Meanwhile, a unified financial transfer payment
system should be set up for ecological functional zones across the whole country.
So far existing studies have not evaluated the environmental impacts of the establishment
of NKEFZ. This paper employs the following methods and data to fill in the gap.
…
3. Method and Data:
3.1. Add paragraph describing the intervention and its implementation. For example,
after the establishment of NKEFZ, what happened to industry and other development
activities—that has a relationship with air pollution? Where did they shift to other
places (which is the control area in the study)?
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. Based on the
data, we can see the change of industrial structure from the descriptive statistical
table in Table 1. However, we can't see where the industry is going. Therefore, we
did not compare the data before and after the establishment of NKEFZ in the manuscript.
3.2. In section 3.1, in the third paragraph provide few previous strategies that have
used similar approach or estimation strategy (using longitudinal data at country or
area as a DID to estimate the effect of policy intervention).
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. According to
your suggestion. We have provided related similar revise. Please see the page 7 of
the revised manuscript.
…
The difference-in-differences method is widely used in China's policy evaluation,
such as the western development [1].
…
Ref:
[1] Jia, J., Ma, G., Qin, C., & Wang, L., 2020. Place-based policies, state-led industrialisation,
and regional development: Evidence from China's Great Western Development Programme.
Europ. Econ. Rev., (123): 1-21.
3.3. Mention a few recent studies that have used PM2.5 data from the Centre for International
Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN) at Columbia University.
Response:
Thanks for the referee’s kind advice. We have provided related a similar revision.
Please see page 7 of the revised manuscript.
…
Specifically, for each country-year observation, we calculate the average, median
and maximum PM2.5 concentration using the data of the grid points that fall within
the county [1-3].
…
Ref:
[2] Boys BL, Martin R V., Van Donkelaar A, MacDonell RJ, Hsu NC, Cooper MJ, et al.
Fifteen-year global time series of satellite-derived fine particulate matter. Environ
Sci Technol. 2014;48(19):11109–18.
[3] Van Donkelaar A, Martin R V., Spurr RJD, Burnett RT. High-Resolution Satellite-Derived
PM2.5 from Optimal Estimation and Geographically Weighted Regression over North America.
Environ Sci Technol. 2015;49(17):10482–91.
[4] van Donkelaar A, Martin R V., Brauer M, Hsu NC, Kahn RA, Levy RC, et al. Global
Estimates of Fine Particulate Matter using a Combined Geophysical-Statistical Method
with Information from Satellites, Models, and Monitors. Environ Sci Technol [Internet].
2016 Apr 5;50(7):3762–72. Available from: https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acs.est.5b05833
3.4. How big is the county as compared to grid value? Many counties in one grid or
many grids on one county? How was the average/median calculated at the county level?
When grid falls in two counties how was it taken care or resolved?
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. Your question
is very good. The size of a grid (0.01*0.01) is equivalent to but not equal to a square
kilometer, so the area of a county is much larger than the size of a grid. Because
the boundary of the county is not regular geometry, it is likely that a grid is on
the boundary of two counties. In this case, the data of this grid will enter the two
counties respectively. Then the average value is computed according to the amount
of raster data each county has. The calculation process is completed by ArcGIS software.
3.5. Figure 1; Is the map used from somewhere else? If yes, reference the source.
What is the figure on the bottom-right side? Use a clear figure.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. Figure 1 is based
on our own data through ArcMap. The text on the bottom right is not very clear. We
add a note on the edge. Please see page 7 of the revised manuscript.
…
Fig 1. Study region
Note: According to the author's own data, the author made it through ArcMap.
…
3.6. Figure on PM2.5 by country (if possible) would help the reader to understand
air pollution condition in a different location.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. Your question
is very good. We try to show the PM2.5 of each county in the diagram, but when it
is implemented by ArcMap. It is not possible to display the two indicators at the
same time (PM2.5 value and whether it is a treatment group). Therefore, we have not
dealt with this issue well.
4. Result:
4.1. Write the unit and measurement of the dependent variable.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. The calculation
method and specific economic meaning of each variable have been introduced in the
variable description section. Therefore, the unit and measurement of variables are
not marked in this part of the result.
4.2. A figure showing the mean difference between PM2.5 (before-after and with and
without the intervention) enables the reader to understand the effect of intervention
easily.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. In the part of
time trend analysis and dynamic analysis, it is actually a parallel trend test. Its
function is to analyze the differences before and after the implementation of the
policy. Therefore, we did not draw a graph to illustrate the parallel trend test.
4.3. Clearly describe the matching criteria (for result presented in Table 4).
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. Table 4 shows
the DID estimation after matching by four matching methods. In view of these matching
methods, we think its theoretical basis is relatively introduced in the classic textbooks,
we mainly use it, so there is no method description in the manuscript.
4.4. Is this "As shown in table 6, the coefficients." in the paragraph just before
Table 7 refereeing to Table 6 or Table 7? A sentence in the (same) paragraph just
before Table 7 reads "But the coefficients of population density (lnpopdis) and the
proportion of second industry output in GDP (indstr) are significantly negative at
5% significance levels." But the estimates are different when compared to Table-6
or Table-7.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. Your rigorous
attitude towards research is worth learning. In the process of writing and revising,
there are many small problems due to the strict examination of the text of the paper.
All the analyses in the Mechanism analysis are the description and explanation of
Table 7. We have made changes in the relevant places in the revised manuscript.
4.5. Add short discussion that relates to the effect of the similar or relevant intervention
on air pollution in China or other parts of the china or world, if available.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. Your rigorous
attitude towards research is worth learning. In the process of writing and revising,
there are many small problems due to the strict examination of the text of the paper.
All the analyses in the Mechanism analysis are the description and explanation of
Table 7. We have made changes in the relevant places in the revised manuscript.
5. Conclusion:
5.1. The use of NKEFZ and its full form is confusing. Use NKEFZ with full form first
time and continue to use NKEFZ.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. We have revised
all the abbreviations and full names as requiring by the reviewers. We use full form
and abbreviations when we first use terminology, and abbreviations in subsequent content.
We also listed a comparison table of abbreviations and full names
5.2. Include mean PM2.5 in non NKEFZ area so that reader can understand what 20% reduction
refers indicate.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. We have the corresponding
part of the conclusion. Please see page 23 of the revised manuscript.
…
Our results show the average concentrations of PM2.5 in national key ecological function
zones decrease about 20% (approximately 4 ug/m3, the average concentrations of PM2.5
is 23 ug/m3) compared with non-national key ecological function zones, after controlling
for other factors influencing air pollution.
…
B. Overall comment:
1. The paper needs revision through-out the manuscript for clarity and flow. An example
is breaking the long sentence in the second sentence of the Introduction into two
sentence
2. Recheck to improve typos and another formatting, for example in section 3.2.2 "The
green areas in" has a different font.; paragraph break in 4.1
3. Use standard note for significance level in all tables.
Response:
Thank you very much for your patience. We have revised the full text and modified
the existing grammar and other low-level errors. Of course, if any additional revision
is needed, we will certainly do so under your directions.
Reviewer #3:
Dear authors. Your work is good and promising. Congratulations.
(1) I thought that you need to revise your manuscript especially by improving English
language.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. We have done
our best to revise the manuscript, but if any additional revision is needed, we will
certainly do so under your directions.
(2) Use reference style that is acceptable by Plos One journal (i.e., numbering).
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. Depending on
the requirements of the Plos One journal, we have made a comprehensive revision of
the manuscript, including references.
(3) Add page numbers and line numbers (this help in reviewing).
Response:
Thanks again for your kind advice, we have added page numbers and line numbers in
the revised manuscript.
(4) Please add a map showing key ecological functions zones in China.
Response:
Thanks for the referee’s suggestion. The red part in the Fig 1 is the National Key
Ecological Functions Zones in China. Since the sample in this paper is county-level,
the county-level is also accurate in the map, and the administrative boundaries between
counties are drawn.
(5) Try to use passive voice when writing (past tense, i.e., reported form).
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. According to
your suggestion, we have rewritten in accordance with your requirements.
(6) Avoid or reduce the use of "we" and "our".
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. We have reorganized
the language and corrected the expression
(7) How do you explain the low values of Adj. R-squared? (Refer to your Tables - they
are very low). Do they have influence to your findings?
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. There are numerous
aspects to the explanation of Adj. R-squared has low values:
First of all, the sample size of this article is huge. Compared with other small sample
studies at the provincial level, this article studied samples of 436 county-level
administrative regions in China from 2008 to 2015, with a sample size of 3488 (436*8).
The huge sample size reduces the Adj. R-squared in the regression, which is reasonable
(for example, when there are only two variables and two samples, the Adj. R-squared
obtained by the regression is equal to 1, because two points determine a straight
line, and as the sample size gradually increases, Adj. R-squared will gradually become
smaller).
Secondly, China has a very large area, and there are huge differences in various factors
between different regions. These samples are scattered in various places in China,
and the variance between various variables is also very large. Therefore, Adj. R-squared
has low values are also reasonable.
Finally, low values of Adj. R-squared will not affect our findings. In the measurement
model, regression is divided into explanatory regression and predictive regression.
Predictive regression generally pays more attention to R-squared explanatory regression
pays more attention to the overall significance of the model, the statistical significance
of the independent variables and the significance of economic significance. This paper
belongs to an explanatory regression, so the conclusions obtained are still significant
and robust.
(8) See the attachment for few more comments. I have added/deleted some texts. Check
line by line.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. We have read
your attachment in detail and revised it one by one.
Once again, we would like to thank you for your thoughtful and valuable comments and
suggestion. If you have any further requests, please do not hesitate to contact us
so that we can address your further concerns.
Reviewer #4:
1. The language and the formatting of the article needs major revisions.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. We have reviewed
the original text and made changes in language and format.
2. The author needs to briefly introduce a terminology when used for the first time
in the article, for example - PM 2.5, moderate development, dot-like development etc.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. In the revised
manuscript, every terminology is explained when they are mentioned for the first time,
and the abbreviation for subsequent text is used.
3. In the introduction section, from the second paragraph onward coherence between
sentences seem lacking. Even though each sentence adds some new information but the
general flow of thought seems to be lacking in the introduction.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. Thanks for the
referee’s suggestion. We have revised the introduction to make the sentences more
fluent and the meaning expressed more complete and fluent. Please see pages 2-4 of
the revised manuscript.
…
Since 1972, Environmental problems have become global problems. As an important global
Coordination Conference on environmental governance, United Nations Conference on
environment and development (UNCED) is held to discuss global environmental issues
and release corresponding policy documents. The countries all over the world have
put forward the goal of sustainable development and participated in the process of
environmental governance. The developed countries such as the United States have gone
through the stage of industrialization and environmental problems have changed from
pollution control to environmental behaviour governance. However, China is in the
process of development, and its environmental pollution is becoming more and more
serious. With the rapid growth of the economy and urbanization, air pollution has
become a serious issue in China. Since 2013, China has continuously suffered from
serious PM2.5 pollution with the average level of fine particulate matter (PM2.5)
reaching 72μg/m3; 99.6% of the Chinese population lived in areas with PM2.5 exceeding
the World Health Organization Air Quality Guideline of 10μg/m3. According to the Asian
Development Bank Annual Report in 2012, less than 1% of China’s 500 largest cities
had air quality up to the standards set by the World Health Organization; seven Chinese
cities were listed among the ten most polluted cities in the world. Air pollution
becomes not only a major long-term burden on the Chinese public but also a main obstacle
to sustainable development.
The stress on the environment, society and resources are closely related to land use
and economic activity. To solve the increasingly urgent problem of environmental protection,
China's State Council issued the National Major Functional Zone Planning in 2010.
Based on population distribution, land use, economic development and urbanization
patterns, and the development potential and priorities in different regions, the country
has been divided into four different functional zones, i.e. optimal development zones,
key development zones, restricted development zones and non-development zones. The
restricted development zones refer to the zones with weak carrying capacity of resources,
poor conditions of large-scale agglomeration economy and population, and is related
to the ecological security of the whole country or a large region; the prohibited
development zones refer to all kinds of nature protection areas established according
to law. Restricted development zones and the prohibited development zones mainly include
natural forest protection zones, grassland degradation zones, natural disaster-prone
zones, rocky desertification and desertification zones, and zones s with serious soil
erosion. According to the requirements of National Major Functional Zone Planning,
the four function zones should be all adhere to the priority of environmental protection
and ecological restoration.
…
4. The key research questions that the article is trying to address should be mentioned
explicitly at the end of introduction section.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. We have revised
the introductory part and put forward the key research issues in the last paragraph
of the introduction section.
5. Description of the content of the article need not be mentioned in the article.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. Thanks for the
referee’s kind advice. We have deleted the description of the content as requiring.
6. In the 'Institutional Background' section, the author might want to give a detailed
account of how are NKEFZs different from other regions as it will help the reader
to understand the context.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. The manuscript
provides related introductions to NKEFZs in the Introduction section and Institutional
background section, but it is not detailed enough. Based on your suggestions, we re-describes
NKEFZs, and introduce in detail the differences from other regions in terms of development
intensity, industry guidance, ecological assessment, supervision, and compensation.
7. Since, the DID model detailed in the manuscript is essentially a regression model,
the author should also talk about the assumptions of regression and how they were
dealt with.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. We have added
an explanation of the 5 main assumptions of the regression model in the Difference-in-differences
approach section. Details as follows:
Assumption 1. The explanatory variable is a deterministic variable, not a random variable.
Assumption 2. The random error term has the property of zero mean.
Assumption 3. The random error term has the property of homoscedasticity.
Assumption 4. The random error term is not serially correlated.
Assumption 5. The random error term is not related to the explanatory variable.
For Assumption 1, the core variables of this article are derived from the government's
plan for NKEFZ, and other control variables are obtained from the China Statistical
Yearbook for Regional Economy or from the Chinese County Statistical Yearbook. They
are all historical data that have already occurred, so the explanatory variables are
all deterministic variables rather than random variables, so Assumption 1 holds.
For Assumption 2, we first read a lot of previous related theoretical studies and
set up the correct model so that Yi fluctuates up and down its expected value E(Yi),
and the probability of occurrence of random disturbance items is the same, which can
cancel each other. Therefore, Assumption 2 holds.
For Assumption 4, the model includes all the main variables related to the research
topic of this article, so the interference factors are completely random, independent
and uncorrelated, so Assumption 4 is established.
Furthermore, for Assumption 3, this paper takes the logarithm of all the control variables
and the explained variables, so that the macroeconomic variables that originally have
a right-skewed (or gradually increasing variance) nature become the same degree of
dispersion relative to their respective mean. Therefore, Assumption 3 holds.
Finally, for Assumption 5, in the regression analysis, the explanatory variable X
is a fixed value in repeated sampling and is a definite variable, while the random
error term is random and belongs to a random variable, so the independent variable
is not correlated with the random error term. Therefore, Assumption 5 holds.
8. The author should explain why the natural logarithm of PM 2.5 is taken as dependent
variable and not the actual PM 2.5 itself.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. The reason for
the logarithm of PM 2.5 is that the variation of the PM2.5 concentrations in each
county is relatively large. The PM2.5 concentrations in the seriously polluted county
reaches 70 ug/m3, while the low is only about 20. Such data differences can lead to
heteroscedasticity problems. After taking logarithm, the heteroscedasticity problem
can be avoided. The improvement percentage of PM2.5 (if the estimation coefficient
is negative) can be obtained. In the research of economics, if the economic variables
are absolute values, they are generally logarithmic, such as per capita GDP.
9. The parallel trend test appears to have been applied incorrectly. The correct method
should be testing for difference in PM 2.5 between treatment and control for the years
2008, 2009, 2010, and 2011 individually. Ideally if the data conforms to the parallel
trends assumption then the interaction term eco*year (eg. eco*2008) should not be
statistically significant.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. The parallel
trend test is basically satisfied, according to the conclusion of the time trend part.
The article is equivalent to using the method of placebo test: assuming that the policy
impact is in 2011, the treatment group is 1 and the others are 0 (eco*2011). The results
show that the policy shocks are not significant before 2011, but are significantly
negative only after 2012, indicating that policy shocks only have effect after 2012.
10. DID models can be easily interpreted using graphs/charts showing the deviance
in the treatment line. The author might want to charts in addition to the tables.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. Indeed, parallel
trend tests can be presented graphically. In this paper, regression table is used
to present the results of time dynamic analysis (Table 6), which is equivalent to
the parallel trend test.
11. The EKC hypothesis uses the economic growth as the independent variable and the
environmental quality as the dependent variable. However, in the section 3.2.3 the
author has concluded that establishment of NKEFZ (independent variable) has lead to
improved economic development (dependent variable). Therefore, the conclusion doesn't
exactly conform to the EKC hypothesis. Hence, the author should either avoid explaining
the model from the EKC hypothesis lens or the author should provide valid arguments
with regards to inverse relationship of the EKC curve.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. In our benchmark
model, our explanatory variable is the degree of environmental pollution, and the
level of economic development is one of the explanatory variables, so it meets the
model setting of EKC. Only in the mechanism part, we take the level of economic development
as the explanatory variable and the establishment of NKEFZ as the explanatory variable.
This model does not test EKC. So our model is not contradictory. It is also possible
that the conclusion of our study is inconsistent with EKC, since the county administrative
region is taken as the research sample.
12. At more than one place in the results section, significance level is incorrectly
mentioned as 'statistical level'.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. We have reviewed
the original text and corrected this problem.
13. The author should interpret the results in the manuscript at a pre-defined significance
level. At present, results have been interpreted at different significance level (1%,
5%, and 10%).
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. The definition
of significance level in the manuscript is a writing error. We have reviewed the manuscript
and corrected this problem. We believe that it is acceptable to be significant at
the 10% significance level, otherwise, the coefficient obtained is not significant.
14. In table 4, which of the variables are dependent and independent are unclear.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. In Table 4, the
explained variables are lnavgpm, lnmedpm and lnmaxpm. All the control variables are
controlled in all matching methods.
15. The paragraph preceding table 5 needs significant revision.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. We have made
a significant revision of the paragraph preceding table 5, and also made serious revisions
to other parts of the full text. Please see page 19 of the revised manuscript.
…
In order to compare the results with the benchmark regression, Table 5 presents the
DID regression results after applying the matched samples. in Column (1) and (2),
14022 samples were matched, and the matching rate was 99%. in Column (3) -(6), The
matched samples were relatively few, but the matching rate was above 98%. In the six
models, the coefficients of eco*T were significantly negative, ranging from 0.1486
to 0.1700, which indicates that the establishment of NKEFZ may significantly reduce
14.86%-17% of the average concentration of PM2.5 pollution, the median value of PM2.5
pollution and the maximum concentration of PM2.5 pollution. The estimated results
of PSM-DID model still do not support the Environmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis.
The proportion of industrial industry and agricultural industry have significant positive
and negative effects on PM2.5 pollution respectively.
…
16. In section 4.5, the in the first paragraph table 6 is mentioned instead of table
7.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. This problem
is mainly caused by our writing errors. We have revised section 4.5 (Mechanism analysis).
17. In the conclusion section, the author should discuss about the implication and
application of the research. How these results are useful for other geographies. The
conclusion section should also talk about the limitations of the study and should
provide recommendations to conduct similar studies in future.
Response:
Thank you very much for your kind, thoughtful and valuable comments. We have revised
the conclusion section and added content such as the implication and application of
the research, limitations and future studies in accordance with the reviewers’ suggestions.
Please see pages 23-24 of the revised manuscript.
…
The significance of this paper is that, on the one hand, it has confirmed that NKEFZ
can indeed reduce air pollution, which provides a policy basis for the implementation
of China's NKEFZ and other related policies. This paper also provides another governance
model for China to further control air pollution and achieve high-quality economic
growth. On the other hand, this paper not only provides experience and reference for
other developing countries in the treatment of air pollution, but also provides a
basis for policy comparison in developed countries such as the United States.
There are a few limitations to the study that are worth emphasizing. On the one hand,
this paper only studies the impact of NKEFZ on PM2.5, and lacks research on changes
in other air pollutants. On the other hand, this paper only studies the effect in
the Chinese scenario, and lacks comparative studies with other developed and developing
countries. The problem will leave this for future research.
…
Finally, thank you for your suggestions. All of your suggestions are very important.
They are of important guiding significance for my thesis writing and scientific research.
We have done our best to revise the manuscript, but if any additional revision is
needed, we will certainly do so under your directions.
- Attachments
- Attachment
Submitted filename: Response to Reviewers-1012.docx