Peer Review History
| Original SubmissionAugust 18, 2020 |
|---|
|
Transfer Alert
This paper was transferred from another journal. As a result, its full editorial history (including decision letters, peer reviews and author responses) may not be present.
PONE-D-20-25853 A Method for Evaluating Breast Cancer Screening Strategies Using Screen-Preventable Loss of Life PLOS ONE Dear Dr. Carter, Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process. Please submit your revised manuscript by Nov 29 2020 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at plosone@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file. Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:
If you would like to make changes to your financial disclosure, please include your updated statement in your cover letter. Guidelines for resubmitting your figure files are available below the reviewer comments at the end of this letter. If applicable, we recommend that you deposit your laboratory protocols in protocols.io to enhance the reproducibility of your results. Protocols.io assigns your protocol its own identifier (DOI) so that it can be cited independently in the future. For instructions see: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/submission-guidelines#loc-laboratory-protocols We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript. Kind regards, Eugenio Paci, MD Academic Editor PLOS ONE Additional Editor Comments: I found the proposal of Screen-Preventable Loss of Life estimate very interesting and the tool potentially useful in order to assess the impact of different screening guidelines. The interesting example of USPSTF and ACS is a significant example. However, as the reviewer discussed, each guideline has many aspects to be considered and areas of uncertainties which must be considered. I guess that the new version of the paper should answer to some the suggestions , because it is important if the new tool might be considered in the future comparison of screening guidelines. In my view, the authors should assess the impact of the evaluation not only in terms of gain in term of better impact. The question is relevant when two guidelines which are different in minimal aspects in terms of benefit are justified? A guideline could increase minimally the benefit but with increasing costs or harms or , which is also important, practical complexity for the woman and service. Journal Requirements: When submitting your revision, we need you to address these additional requirements. 1. Please ensure that your manuscript meets PLOS ONE's style requirements, including those for file naming. The PLOS ONE style templates can be found at https://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/file?id=wjVg/PLOSOne_formatting_sample_main_body.pdf and 2. We note that you have stated that you will provide repository information for your data at acceptance. Should your manuscript be accepted for publication, we will hold it until you provide the relevant accession numbers or DOIs necessary to access your data. If you wish to make changes to your Data Availability statement, please describe these changes in your cover letter and we will update your Data Availability statement to reflect the information you provide. [Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.] Reviewers' comments: Reviewer's Responses to Questions Comments to the Author 1. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented. Reviewer #1: Partly ********** 2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? Reviewer #1: No ********** 3. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available? The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified. Reviewer #1: No ********** 4. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English? PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here. Reviewer #1: Yes ********** 5. Review Comments to the Author Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters) Reviewer #1: PONE-D-20-25853, A Method for Evaluating Breast Cancer Screening Strategies Using Screen-Preventable Loss of Life Line 72: The authors should completely describe the American Cancer Society guideline, which also encourages women to make an informed decision about beginning screening at ages 40-44 (but should begin no later than 45), while also having the choice to continue annual screening after age 55, with the same stopping criteria. I appreciate that you can’t practically model that. In the methods section you might note that guidelines are modeled according to the base recommendation and do not accommodate shared decision periods. Line 89: By this definition of screen-PLL, wouldn’t a breast cancer death at any age be a premature death? Loss of life is the projected remaining years of life among the cohort that is still living and has not died from breast cancer, but is it estimated from the expected date of death if the cancer had not been detected by screening? The example is clear in the context of a 0.2 cm tumor (very small), but the methods should describe how the model works for other occult tumor sizes that are not metastatic, unless all screen detected cancers have these parameters. Consider the ACS guideline, which could be judged to be a little extreme with respect to 10 + year longevity as a criteria for quitting--any estimate of Screen-PLL < 10 years would, by the guideline definition, should not have invoked a referral to screening, and any longevity over 85 is off the table for the USPSTF. Personally, avoiding a premature death with some meaningful number of years less than 10 (allowing for the treatment and recovery period) would likely be judged to be worth it by the patient, but also obviously, we have numerous studies in the literature of women with severe life-limiting comorbidity, who should not have been referred to screening, who die from another cause within a 1-2 years of their diagnosis. So, the question, is there a threshold for a screen-PLL that is not worth pursuing because it may lead to more harm than benefit? Also, I’m guessing that the role of therapy is assumed to be stage-specific and fixed, so that the contribution of screening, and earlier detection, is fixed. That is worth mentioning if that is the case. Line 92: The way screen-PLL is expressed could use a bit more explanation, I think. The authors state that screen-PLL increases to the difference between her expected non-breast cancer death age and her (expected?) breast cancer death age. In your example, the expected breast cancer death age is set at 12 years if she is detected with a 0.2 cm tumor. But, in this example, it seems that screen-PLL can only decrease as a function of age at diagnosis, specifically younger age at diagnosis, and to a lesser extent, tumor size (with screen-PLL also decreasing with < tumor size) within the detectable range, which runs up to metastasis. Does this model assume all symptomatic breast cancers are metastatic? Is metastatic here synonymous with distant disease? The logic of the PLL being a function of T4-T3 is obvious, but how T3 is estimated could be made clearer. Line 124: A description of the basis for comparison between the guidelines seems to be missing. Does the model assume that the age to begin and end screening results in 100 percent adherence with screening and 100% screen detection of cancers? If so, please explain, and explain how stopping ages were modeled for the ACS guideline. Is it just modeled on a life-table? Line 133: Is it reasonable to state that the PLL beings to accumulate as women increase in age, even though guidelines do not endorse screening for average risk women until 40? The authors might acknowledge that the true potential of reducing PLL is within the boundaries of the recommended screening protocols, before and after which we have to accept some breast cancer deaths and life years lost are unavoidable. Line 177: The first limitation could be judged to be perfunctory and is not worth mentioning since any study done in a single country faces the same global limitation in true generalizability, although you could note that this is a function of the screening recommendations and the burden of disease. I’d explain why it is a limitation, and perhaps just note that the results will vary by population risk and the screening protocol. In some respects, the US is perhaps the largest heterogeneous population in the world. Second, population estimates of overdiagnosis don’t vary greatly because of population differences, they vary greatly due to 1) the limitations of the data to estimate overdiagnosis, 2) the wide range of methodologies applied, which have been judged to range from quite good to quite flawed. Here the authors have chosen a quite flawed estimate (30%), which is many times higher than the estimates from studies that have shown more sophisticated awareness of factors associated with differences in incidence over time in a population exposed to screening vs. not exposed to screening. re are several limitations that the authors have not identified. If the authors have used overdiagnosis rates estimated from SEER because they’re using incidence and mortality from SEER, the model does not require this. I suggest that the authors consider the work of Danish investigators on this issue….. (1) Lynge, E., Beau, A. B., Christiansen, P., von Euler-Chelpin, M., Kroman, N., Njor, S., & Vejborg, I. (2017). Overdiagnosis in breast cancer screening: The impact of study design and calculations. Eur J Cancer, 80, 26-29. doi:10.1016/j.ejca.2017.04.018; (2) Lynge, E., Beau, A. B., von Euler-Chelpin, M., Napolitano, G., Njor, S., Olsen, A. H., . . . Vejborg, I. (2020). Breast cancer mortality and overdiagnosis after implementation of population-based screening in Denmark. Breast Cancer Res Treat. doi:10.1007/s10549-020-05896-9; and (3) Njor, S. H., Paci, E., & Rebolj, M. (2018). As you like it: How the same data can support manifold views of overdiagnosis in breast cancer screening. Int J Cancer, 143(6), 1287-1294. doi:10.1002/ijc.31420. The authors could do a sensitivity analysis (0, 5, 10, 19, and 30)…these estimates are all in the literature. There are some limitations the authors have not mentioned. At line 120, the authors state, “Age specific incidence data for breast cancer among average-risk white women in the United States are used to determine the age of onset of clinical disease.” The authors should acknowledge that only half, and maybe not that many breast cancers are screen detected, or preferred, detected among women attending screening in any give year (screen detected and interval cancers). So, the SEER data are a mix of high risk and average risk women, and a mix of screen-detected and clinically detected disease. This, and the implications for the model, should be acknowledged. Lines 183-189: I don’t really see these as study limitations. Perhaps shift to another part of the discussion, or move to the methodology. ********** 6. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files. If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public. Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy. Reviewer #1: No [NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files.] While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Registration is free. Then, login and navigate to the UPLOAD tab, where you will find detailed instructions on how to use the tool. If you encounter any issues or have any questions when using PACE, please email PLOS at figures@plos.org. Please note that Supporting Information files do not need this step. |
| Revision 1 |
|
A method for evaluating breast cancer screening strategies using screen-preventable loss of life PONE-D-20-25853R1 Dear Dr. Carter, We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements. Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication. An invoice for payment will follow shortly after the formal acceptance. To ensure an efficient process, please log into Editorial Manager at http://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/, click the 'Update My Information' link at the top of the page, and double check that your user information is up-to-date. If you have any billing related questions, please contact our Author Billing department directly at authorbilling@plos.org. If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper to help maximize its impact. If they’ll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team as soon as possible -- no later than 48 hours after receiving the formal acceptance. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information, please contact onepress@plos.org. Kind regards, Eugenio Paci, MD Academic Editor PLOS ONE Additional Editor Comments (optional): This is a very interesting and important tool in order to compare different screening policies. Reviewers' comments: Reviewer's Responses to Questions Comments to the Author 1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation. Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed ********** 2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented. Reviewer #1: Yes ********** 3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? Reviewer #1: Yes ********** 4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available? The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified. Reviewer #1: Yes ********** 5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English? PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here. Reviewer #1: Yes ********** 6. Review Comments to the Author Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters) Reviewer #1: (No Response) ********** 7. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files. If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public. Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy. Reviewer #1: Yes: Robert A. Smith |
| Formally Accepted |
|
PONE-D-20-25853R1 A method for evaluating breast cancer screening strategies using screen-preventable loss of life Dear Dr. Carter: I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department. If your institution or institutions have a press office, please let them know about your upcoming paper now to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information please contact onepress@plos.org. If we can help with anything else, please email us at plosone@plos.org. Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access. Kind regards, PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staff on behalf of Dr. Eugenio Paci Academic Editor PLOS ONE |
Open letter on the publication of peer review reports
PLOS recognizes the benefits of transparency in the peer review process. Therefore, we enable the publication of all of the content of peer review and author responses alongside final, published articles. Reviewers remain anonymous, unless they choose to reveal their names.
We encourage other journals to join us in this initiative. We hope that our action inspires the community, including researchers, research funders, and research institutions, to recognize the benefits of published peer review reports for all parts of the research system.
Learn more at ASAPbio .