Peer Review History
| Original SubmissionOctober 3, 2019 |
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PONE-D-19-26052 Predicting homelessness using integrated administrative data: Implications for targeting interventions to improve the housing status, health and well-being of a highly vulnerable population PLOS ONE Dear Dr. Byrne, Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process. We would appreciate receiving your revised manuscript by Mar 08 2020 11:59PM. When you are ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file. If you would like to make changes to your financial disclosure, please include your updated statement in your cover letter. To enhance the reproducibility of your results, we recommend that if applicable you deposit your laboratory protocols in protocols.io, where a protocol can be assigned its own identifier (DOI) such that it can be cited independently in the future. For instructions see: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/submission-guidelines#loc-laboratory-protocols Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:
Please note while forming your response, if your article is accepted, you may have the opportunity to make the peer review history publicly available. The record will include editor decision letters (with reviews) and your responses to reviewer comments. If eligible, we will contact you to opt in or out. We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript. Kind regards, Benn Sartorius, PhD Academic Editor PLOS ONE Additional Editor Comments (if provided): Editorial comments Please include a completed GATHER checklist as part of the supplementary material and make reference to this in the methods. Journal Requirements: When submitting your revision, we need you to address these additional requirements: 1. Please ensure that your manuscript meets PLOS ONE's style requirements, including those for file naming. The PLOS ONE style templates can be found at http://www.plosone.org/attachments/PLOSOne_formatting_sample_main_body.pdf and http://www.plosone.org/attachments/PLOSOne_formatting_sample_title_authors_affiliations.pdf 2. In your data availability statement, please add the date in the following statement: "The deadline for responding to the Notice of Opportunity was [XX]. 3. Thank you for stating the following in the Competing Interests section: "I have read the journal's policy and the authors of this manuscript have the following competing interests: Travis Baggett receives royalties from UpToDate for authorship of a topic review on health care for homeless people. No other authors have any competing interests to disclose." Please confirm that this does not alter your adherence to all PLOS ONE policies on sharing data and materials, by including the following statement: "This does not alter our adherence to PLOS ONE policies on sharing data and materials.” (as detailed online in our guide for authors http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/competing-interests). If there are restrictions on sharing of data and/or materials, please state these. Please note that we cannot proceed with consideration of your article until this information has been declared. Please include your updated Competing Interests statement in your cover letter; we will change the online submission form on your behalf. Please know it is PLOS ONE policy for corresponding authors to declare, on behalf of all authors, all potential competing interests for the purposes of transparency. PLOS defines a competing interest as anything that interferes with, or could reasonably be perceived as interfering with, the full and objective presentation, peer review, editorial decision-making, or publication of research or non-research articles submitted to one of the journals. Competing interests can be financial or non-financial, professional, or personal. Competing interests can arise in relationship to an organization or another person. Please follow this link to our website for more details on competing interests: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/competing-interests 4. Please amend your list of authors on the manuscript to ensure that each author is linked to an affiliation. Authors’ affiliations should reflect the institution where the work was done (if authors moved subsequently, you can also list the new affiliation stating “current affiliation:….” as necessary). 5. Thank you for stating the following in the Competing Interests section: "I have read the journal's policy and the authors of this manuscript have the following competing interests: Travis Baggett receives royalties from UpToDate for authorship of a topic review on health care for homeless people. No other authors have any competing interests to disclose." We note that one or more of the authors are employed by a commercial company: Future Laboratories.
Please also include the following statement within your amended Funding Statement. “The funder provided support in the form of salaries for authors [insert relevant initials], but did not have any additional role in the study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. The specific roles of these authors are articulated in the ‘author contributions’ section.” If your commercial affiliation did play a role in your study, please state and explain this role within your updated Funding Statement. 2. Please also provide an updated Competing Interests Statement declaring this commercial affiliation along with any other relevant declarations relating to employment, consultancy, patents, products in development, or marketed products, etc. Within your Competing Interests Statement, please confirm that this commercial affiliation does not alter your adherence to all PLOS ONE policies on sharing data and materials by including the following statement: "This does not alter our adherence to PLOS ONE policies on sharing data and materials.” (as detailed online in our guide for authors http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/competing-interests) . If this adherence statement is not accurate and there are restrictions on sharing of data and/or materials, please state these. Please note that we cannot proceed with consideration of your article until this information has been declared. Please include both an updated Funding Statement and Competing Interests Statement in your cover letter. We will change the online submission form on your behalf. Please know it is PLOS ONE policy for corresponding authors to declare, on behalf of all authors, all potential competing interests for the purposes of transparency. PLOS defines a competing interest as anything that interferes with, or could reasonably be perceived as interfering with, the full and objective presentation, peer review, editorial decision-making, or publication of research or non-research articles submitted to one of the journals. Competing interests can be financial or non-financial, professional, or personal. Competing interests can arise in relationship to an organization or another person. Please follow this link to our website for more details on competing interests: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/competing-interests [Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.] Reviewers' comments: Reviewer's Responses to Questions Comments to the Author 1. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Partly ********** 2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: I Don't Know ********** 3. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available? The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified. Reviewer #1: No Reviewer #2: No ********** 4. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English? PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here. Reviewer #1: Yes Reviewer #2: Yes ********** 5. Review Comments to the Author Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters) Reviewer #1: This is a very interesting use of a novel linked administrative dataset at a state level. The study methods are appropriate to the data, but one question is why the authors did not use a machine learning approach (e.g. PRM)? The primary limitation of the study is that homelessness is significantly underidentified in the data available and biased to specific service users. This undoubtedly contributes to the modest sensitivity. As the authors note in the study limitations section, the study would have been greatly strengthened by inclusion of general shelter user data. One of the indicators for homelessness was Emergency Assistance receipt, which I believe is the emergency shelter assistance program for families. If so, this means that nearly all of the homeless family adults were identified for the study, in contrast to the single adults. And given that homeless families are quite distinct from single adults, in terms of their risk factors and service use patterns, the study model may have been muddled by the combining of adults in homeless families and other homeless adults. Perhaps the model should be run separately for families and single adults to see if it improves model performance. However, based on their description, the dat may not be available to rerun the analysis in this way. Otherwise, I found the paper to be a strong contribution, particularly in light of the fact that the model could be used by other states to identify highly vulnerable people in various service systems who could be screened for homelessness risk, and provided prevention services. Reviewer #2: Date: 1/22/2020 Manuscript #: PONE-D-19-26052 Title: Predicting homelessness using integrated administrative data: Implications for targeting interventions to improve the housing status, health and well-being of a highly vulnerable population Overall comment: Identifying (classifying or predicting) homelessness is an important topic and has many applications in healthcare and elsewhere. The paper is well-written. I have two major concerns: (1) right type of analysis and (2) focus of the paper. First, in its current format, I think the analysis represents a cross-sectional classification/association type analysis rather than a prediction study. There is no indication whether the variables used occurred before, during, or after experiencing homelessness. As a matter of fact, authors do not have a good indication on when homelessness has occurred. For a prediction or prognosis study, predictors should occur before the event. The timing is important and key in a predictive model. This is not the case in this study. Having said that, I still see value in the study. Classification or identification of risks associated with homelessness is also important. It is up to authors to decide what they want to do and appropriately conduct the analysis. Second, the paper is not focused. I would remove the association between homelessness and other health condition and opioid overdose from the paper. They are irrelevant to the main topic. They can be presented separately and more in depth elsewhere. The followings are my minor comments: Abstract: The main purpose of the study was to develop and validate a model for homelessness prediction. This is an important topic. However, I am not sure why the authors lost the focus and brought into attention association between homelessness and a series of health conditions including opioid overdose. I would suggest the authors discuss these as potential applications of their predictive model and not as the main focus of the manuscript. Introduction: Page 3, line 56: Change “service systems” to “publicly-funded systems.” Page 4, lines 83-86: what is the basis for your assumption? Any citation to validate or explain how you made this assumption and how accurate it could be? Page 4, lines 86-88: Again, what is the basis for this claim? This is a huge assumption to make. You are basically validating your model not based on actual data on homelessness but based on measures that correlates with homelessness. What are the degrees of correlations? Elaborate. Cite your references for such assumption. Page 4. Lines 88-91: As I mentioned above, I strongly recommend keeping the paper focus. This paper is about a predictive model of homelessness based on integrated administrative data. Keep the rest for future papers. And stay focus on using various predictive models, make your model parsimonious, validate it properly, show its economic usefulness, etc., etc. Data and Sample: Page 5, line 97: What are programmatic decisions? Page 5, lines 104-105: What are the 15 data sets? What variables is linked with the main Chapter 55 dataset? Why these variables are chosen? Cite your multistage deterministic approach to merge the data across all these datasets (or put it in the appendix). Page 5, line 114: consider rewording the sentence. So, did I understand this correctly? Among 14,245,349 people included in the Chapter 55 dataset only 5,050,639 had a record in the APCD. Please include a complete and detailed schematic flow diagram of your sample size. This can be included in the appendix. Measure of Homelessness: Page 6, line 122-129. Please include number of homeless people identified based on each of the defined criterion in your schematic flow diagram. Analysis: Page 10, lines 155: Explain your stratified random sampling. How did you stratify? Did you consider other variables such as age, sex, race/ethnicity to be randomly distributed in both development and validation group? Page 14, line 233: How did you calculate 14 times? For each correctly identified homeless person, there are 8.5 false positive. Elaborate on this. Note: I would like to see a table with all related diagnostic measures (i.e. C-statistic, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, etc.) Note 2. The specificity of your model is extremely high (95.1%). Could it be because of timing of prediction, meaning that you included variables in your prediction model that was taken after a person experienced homelessness. So, your model actually did not predict homelessness. It assesses the risks of several variables and their associations with homelessness. This is different from prediction. Timing is important in a predictive model. Timing of prediction should be prior to the event. So, in building a predictive model, one should use only predictors that are available prior to being homeless. Note 3. Please include the following information for the logistic regression model in the appendix: 1. Full name of the abbreviated variables. 2. Diagnostic testing of your regression model. 3. Instead of using “unknown” or “missing” as your reference category, please use more meaningful groups for your categories. For example, for race, use “White” as your reference category. 4. This study covers a wide age-range group (11+). The question about one’s mother’s occupation for certain age group seems irrelevant. And, this variable may change frequently for certain jobs. 5. These data are gathered over time. What if the condition for one person changed? Any thought of including longitudinal (time-variant) variables in your model? In that case probably a generalized estimating equation would be more appropriate than simple logistic model. 6. What do these varibles mean or represent? Any record in BSAS Any record in Casemix mental health records Any record in DMH Any record in DVS Any record in Matris Any record in PMP a. ********** 6. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files. If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public. Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy. Reviewer #1: No Reviewer #2: No [NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files to be viewed.] While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Registration is free. Then, login and navigate to the UPLOAD tab, where you will find detailed instructions on how to use the tool. If you encounter any issues or have any questions when using PACE, please email us at figures@plos.org. Please note that Supporting Information files do not need this step.
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A classification model of homelessness using integrated administrative data: Implications for targeting interventions to improve the housing status, health and well-being of a highly vulnerable population PONE-D-19-26052R1 Dear Dr. Byrne, We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements. Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication. An invoice for payment will follow shortly after the formal acceptance. To ensure an efficient process, please log into Editorial Manager at http://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/, click the 'Update My Information' link at the top of the page, and double check that your user information is up-to-date. If you have any billing related questions, please contact our Author Billing department directly at authorbilling@plos.org. If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper to help maximize its impact. If they’ll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team as soon as possible -- no later than 48 hours after receiving the formal acceptance. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information, please contact onepress@plos.org. Kind regards, Benn Sartorius, PhD Academic Editor PLOS ONE Additional Editor Comments (optional): Reviewers' comments: |
| Formally Accepted |
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PONE-D-19-26052R1 A classification model of homelessness using integrated administrative data: Implications for targeting interventions to improve the housing status, health and well-being of a highly vulnerable population Dear Dr. Byrne: I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department. If your institution or institutions have a press office, please let them know about your upcoming paper now to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information please contact onepress@plos.org. If we can help with anything else, please email us at plosone@plos.org. Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access. Kind regards, PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staff on behalf of Dr. Benn Sartorius Academic Editor PLOS ONE |
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