Peer Review History

Original SubmissionAugust 28, 2019
Decision Letter - Kwasi Torpey, Editor

PONE-D-19-24277

Programmatic mapping and size estimation of key populations to inform HIV programming in Tanzania

PLOS ONE

Dear Dr Wambura,

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Kwasi Torpey, MD PhD MPH

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

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2. Thank you for including your ethics statement: "The geographical mapping study was granted ethics approval by the Medical Research Coordinating Committee (MRCC) of the National Institute for Medical Research (NIMR) in Tanzania (NIMR/HQ/R.8a/Vol.IX/2086), and Institutional Review Board of the Johns Hopkins University (IRB 00006668). Approval to work in the study communities was obtained through official permission from respective local government offices and leaders after authorisation from the regional and district government authorities. No personal identifying information was collected from respondents as part of the study. Interviewees provided verbal consent because sex work and same-sex relationships are illegal in Tanzania. The interviewers signed the consent form to confirm that they had obtained informed consent from the participant before conducting the interview."

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3. Please include additional information regarding the pretesting of the structured interviews used in the study, i.e. did pretesting take place and, if so, upon whom.

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Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

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2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

3. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

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4. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

5. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: This study, which sets out to map and estimate the number of female sex workers, men who have sex with men for the purpose of informing efforts directed at reducing HIV transmission in these hard to reach populations, is ambitious and in the main successful in identifying the places where these people can be accessed. Tanzania is large country geographically with diverse sociocultural populations. Tanga region, for example, is bordering Mombasa, a big seaport. It is not clear how it has influenced Tanga and might alter the picture that would emerge if it was included. There is therefore need to reflect this in the conclusions when discussing prevalence figures for Tanzania.

The design, methodology and conduct of the study has been technically and scientifically sound as well as of very high standard

Reviewer #2: The study addresses an important data and information need for effective HIV prevention programming in Tanzania. The study uses a methodology that has been applied in other countries in Africa and Asia for similar purposes. The methodology’s strengths and weaknesses are now well established. Overall, the study is described and presented well. The overall findings are also consistent with those from studies using a similar methodology in different parts of Africa.

The authors identify their three-step approach to adjust for potential double counting as the key strength of their study. However, I would advise that they provide further details on the adjustment factors, especially for double counting and frequency of visiting a venue. Reliable correction factors for key population (KP) size estimates from this methodology should be based on data on behaviours of KPs reached directly through the study itself, especially at Level 2 of the data collection process. The authors present on Table 1 (page 9) a set of questions that were used to derive adjustment factors for FSW estimates. The questions as phrased are not asking the FSWs about their own behaviour, but rather their views on other FSWs’ client solicitation practices, including client solicitation at multiple venues. Such an approach is prone to response biases, which could affect the associated assumptions built into the extrapolation models. Can the authors clarify if they asked the same set of questions to the KPs they interviewed focusing on the KP’s own behaviour and how the findings compared to the responses the KPs gave on their impressions of the practices of fellow/other KPs (as indicated on Table 1)? If not, can the authors comment on how not using data on actual behaviours of the sample of FSWs reached directly by the study could affect the assumptions for their population size estimation and extrapolation models?

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Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: Yes: Willis Omondi Odek

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Revision 1

Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

________________________________________

2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

________________________________________

3. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

________________________________________

4. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

________________________________________

5. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: This study, which sets out to map and estimate the number of female sex workers, men who have sex with men for the purpose of informing efforts directed at reducing HIV transmission in these hard to reach populations, is ambitious and in the main successful in identifying the places where these people can be accessed. Tanzania is large country geographically with diverse sociocultural populations. Tanga region, for example, is bordering Mombasa, a big seaport. It is not clear how it has influenced Tanga and might alter the picture that would emerge if it was included. There is therefore need to reflect this in the conclusions when discussing prevalence figures for Tanzania.

The design, methodology and conduct of the study has been technically and scientifically sound as well as of very high standard

Response: Thanks for the comment. The study was conducted in regions supported by Sauti project to provide programmatic data for local program planning, target setting and monitoring of program coverage. Please see the last paragraph on page 4, line number 89-96. Extrapolation was used for estimating the size of FSWs/MSM in the wards without direct estimates within the study regions. This study was not able to generate national FSW/MSM estimates because only 5 regions were mapped. Extrapolating estimates in non-mapped regions using estimates in the five mapped regions may have generated imprecise estimates because of the lack of useful data to group regions into strata that are more likely to have similar population proportions of MSM/FSWs.

Reviewer #2: The study addresses an important data and information need for effective HIV prevention programming in Tanzania. The study uses a methodology that has been applied in other countries in Africa and Asia for similar purposes. The methodology’s strengths and weaknesses are now well established. Overall, the study is described and presented well. The overall findings are also consistent with those from studies using a similar methodology in different parts of Africa.

The authors identify their three-step approach to adjust for potential double counting as the key strength of their study. However, I would advise that they provide further details on the adjustment factors, especially for double counting and frequency of visiting a venue. Reliable correction factors for key population (KP) size estimates from this methodology should be based on data on behaviours of KPs reached directly through the study itself, especially at Level 2 of the data collection process. The authors present on Table 1 (page 9) a set of questions that were used to derive adjustment factors for FSW estimates. The questions as phrased are not asking the FSWs about their own behaviour, but rather their views on other FSWs’ client solicitation practices, including client solicitation at multiple venues. Such an approach is prone to response biases, which could affect the associated assumptions built into the extrapolation models. Can the authors clarify if they asked the same set of questions to the KPs they interviewed focusing on the KP’s own behaviour and how the findings compared to the responses the KPs gave on their impressions of the practices of fellow/other KPs (as indicated on Table 1)? If not, can the authors comment on how not using data on actual behaviours of the sample of FSWs reached directly by the study could affect the assumptions for their population size estimation and extrapolation models?

Response: Thanks for this comment. Only one of the three adjustments was for double-counting. The other two adjustments (frequency of visiting sites and non-visibility) were making assumptions about people who may not have been at any venue during the mapping process. Therefore, the study was collecting information about people who may have been “absent” from people who were “present” because they would be in a better position to inform those assumptions than if we just made assumptions randomly.

Regarding double-counting, the study did not ask the FSWs/MSM about their behaviour, but rather their views on other FSWs’/MSM client solicitation practices, including client solicitation at multiple venues. We agree that such an approach may be prone to response bias, which could affect the associated double-counting assumption built into the extrapolation models. We have, therefore, acknowledged this as a weakness. Please see the last sentence on page 33, line number 639-649.

________________________________________

Attachments
Attachment
Submitted filename: Mapping comments Revised 15jan2020.pdf
Decision Letter - Kwasi Torpey, Editor

Programmatic mapping and size estimation of key populations to inform HIV programming in Tanzania

PONE-D-19-24277R1

Dear Dr. Wambura

We are pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it complies with all outstanding technical requirements.

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With kind regards,

Kwasi Torpey, MD PhD MPH

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Additional Editor Comments (optional):

Reviewers' comments:

Formally Accepted
Acceptance Letter - Kwasi Torpey, Editor

PONE-D-19-24277R1

Programmatic mapping and size estimation of key populations to inform HIV programming in Tanzania

Dear Dr. Wambura:

I am pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department.

If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper at this point, to enable them to help maximize its impact. If they will be preparing press materials for this manuscript, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information please contact onepress@plos.org.

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With kind regards,

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on behalf of

Professor Kwasi Torpey

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

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