Fig 1.
Vegetation alliances within the Golden Gate Biosphere Network.
The inset map depicts the location of the California Floristic Province (dark gray) and the Golden Gate Biosphere Network terrestrial boundary (black outline) in California.
Table 1.
Model evaluation metrics.
Fig 2.
Mean summer precipitation and maximum summer temperature, and mean winter precipitation and minimum winter temperature (1981-2010) at occurrence locations throughout the model extents of six plant species.
Fig 3.
Percent change in mean value of 30-year normal climate predictors by GCM across the GGBN relative to the 1981-2010 baseline.
CCSM4 in yellow, CNRM-CM5 in blue, and MIROC-ESM in red.
Fig 4.
Area (km2) modeled and projected as suitable under baseline and future climate conditions within the GGBN region.
Fig 5.
Areas likely to persist, expand, and contract within the GGBN region for a. chamise (Adenostoma fasciculatum), b. coyote brush (Baccharis pilularis), c. Douglas fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii), d. coast live oak (Quercus agrifolia), e. California black oak (Quercus kelloggii), and coast redwood (Sequoia sempervirens).
Green indicates areas of persistence, orange indicates expansion, and red indicates contraction.