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Fig 1.

Location map of the study area.

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Table 1.

Carbon density values of different land use types in Sichuan Province (t·hm ⁻ ²).

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Fig 2.

Research method framework.

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Fig 3.

Spatial distribution of land use types in Sichuan Province from 1980 to 2020.

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Table 2.

Changes in land use area in Sichuan Province from 1980 to 2020 (km²).

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Fig 4.

Sankey diagram of land use transitions in Sichuan Province from 1980 to 2020.

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Table 3.

Carbon storage of different land use types in Sichuan Province from 1980 to 2020 (Tg).

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Fig 5.

Spatial distribution of carbon storage in Sichuan Province from 1980 to 2020.

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Fig 6.

Spatial variation of carbon storage in Sichuan Province from 1980 to 2020.

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Fig 7.

Contribution of land use transitions to carbon storage in Sichuan Province from 1980 to 2020.

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Fig 8.

Global Moran’s I for carbon storage and the LUDI from 1980 to 2020.

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Fig 9.

LISA cluster maps of the study area from 1980 to 2020.

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Fig 10.

Driving force of individual factors on carbon storage changes.

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Fig 11.

Interaction detection results of driving factors.

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Table 4.

Evaluation results of seven machine learning models.

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Fig 12.

Relative contributions of individual factors to carbon storage changes.

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Fig 13.

Multi-scenario simulations of carbon storage from 2030 to 2050.

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Table 5.

Carbon storage of all land use types under multiple future scenarios (Tg).

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Table 5 Expand