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Fig 1.

Schematic diagram of the study area.

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Table 1.

The sources of data.

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Fig 2.

Land use changes in the study area from 1990 to 2020.

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Fig 3.

Study method flowchart.

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Table 2.

Construction of ecological sensitivity evaluation index system and indicator weights for the study area.

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Table 3.

Summary of Consistency Check Results.

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Table 4.

Ecological Sensitivity Factor Grading Criteria.

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Table 5.

Single land use dynamic index in the West Coast New Area.

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Fig 4.

Changes in Land Use Area (1990–2020).

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Fig 5.

Comprehensive Land Use Dynamic Index.

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Table 6.

Land use area of each period in the study area from 1990 to 2020 (ha).

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Table 7.

Land use type transfer matrix in the Study Area from 1990 to 2000 (ha).

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Fig 6.

Land Use Transition Chord Diagram in the Study Area from 1990 to 2020.

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Table 8.

Land use type transfer matrix in the Study Area from 2000 to 2010(ha).

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Table 9.

Land use type transfer matrix in the Study Area from 2010 to 2020(ha).

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Fig 7.

Spatial distribution of single-factor ecological sensitivity levels in the study area.

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Table 10.

Comprehensive Ecological Sensitivity Grading Criteria of the study area.

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Fig 8.

Spatial distribution of integrated ecological sensitivity levels in the study area from 1990 to 2020.

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Table 11.

Area of each sensitive area in different years and the proportion of the study area from1990 to 2020(ha).

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Table 12.

Neighborhood Weights.

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Table 13.

2020 Actual vs Simulated Area (ha).

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Fig 9.

Driving Factors.

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Fig 10.

Actual Land Use Data (2020) vs. Simulated Land Use Data (2020).

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Table 14.

Neighborhood Weights.

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Table 15.

Prediction of Land Use Areas in 2030 Under Different Development Scenarios (ha).

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Fig 11.

Atlas of Development Probability for Different Land Use Types.

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Fig 12.

Land Use Simulation Under Natural Development, Urban Development, and Ecological Protection Scenarios in 2030.

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Fig 13.

Ecological Sensitivity Assessment Maps for Three Different Scenarios.

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Table 16.

Area and Percentage of Each Ecological Sensitivity Zone Under Three Different Scenarios (ha).

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