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Fig 1.

Map of the study area with high population concentration within Guangdong, China.

Base map from Resource and Environment Science and Data Center (https://doi.org/10.12078/2023120601). Created by author, licensed under CC BY 4.0.

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Table 1.

Description of meteorological factors and daily number of cases of three intestinal infectious diseases in Shenzhen, China.

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Fig 2.

Temperature-dependent risk profiles of predominant intestinal infectious diseases across population subgroups.

Each panel displays temperature-response relationships, with relative risk (RR) on the Y-axes. Solid curves represent mean risk estimates, bounded by 95% confidence intervals (shaded regions).

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Fig 3.

Exposure-dependent risk profiles of predominant intestinal infectious diseases across population subgroups.

Each panel displays exposure-response relationships, with relative risk (RR) on the Y-axes. Solid curves represent mean risk estimates, bounded by 95% confidence intervals (shaded regions).

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Fig 4.

Cumulative risk of predominant intestinal infectious diseases in warm and cold seasons.

SS represents spring and summer, AW represents autumn and winter; Tm stands for temperature (°C) and the Z-axis represents cumulative risk.

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Fig 5.

Prediction of case numbers across different age and gender groups under varying temperature and humidity conditions.

Um represents humidity (%), Tm represents temperature (°C), and log represents the base ten logarithm of the number of cases.

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Table 2.

Evaluation of the random forest model early warning system in 2012-2018.

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Table 2 Expand

Fig 6.

Prediction results of the early warning system.

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