Fig 1.
Map of the study area developed by the authors.
Source: Original shapefile data freely downloaded from https://public.opendatasoft.com/.
Table 1.
List of six selected CMIP6 climate models for climate projection in North Gojjam sub-basin.
Table 2.
The classification schemes of drought intensity [71].
Table 3.
Computation of duration, frequency, and intensity of droughts.
Fig 2.
Flowchart of the methodology applied in this study (Adopted from [83].
Table 4.
Mann-Kendall (M-K) test and Sen’s Slope values for Rainfall, minimum temperature (Tmin), and maximum Temperature (Tmax) for the 1985-2018.
Table 5.
Mann-Kendall test and Sen’s Slope values for Rainfall, Tmin, and Tmax from 2020–2050 under SSP2-4.5.
Table 6.
Mann-Kendall test and Sen’s Slope values for Rainfall, Tmin, and Tmax from 2020–2050 under SSP5-8.5.
Table 7.
Mann-Kendall test and Sen’s Slope values for Rainfall, Tmin, and Tmax from 2051 to 2081 under SSP2-4.5.
Table 8.
Mann-Kendall test and Sen’s Slope values for Rainfall, Tmin, and Tmax from 2051 to 2081 under SSP5-8.5.
Table 9.
Sen’s slope values for 3-month SPEI trends at seven stations under the baseline, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios.
Fig 3.
SPEI values over a 3-month timescale for seven locations between 1985 and 2018.
Fig 4.
SPEI trends over a 3-month timescale for seven locations between 2020 and 2050 under SSP2-4.5.
Table 10.
Duration and Frequency of drought events based on the 3-month SPEI across three time periods (1985–2018, 2020–2050, and 2051–2081) at seven stations under two SSP scenarios.
Fig 5.
SPEI trends over a 3-month timescale for seven locations between 2020 and 2050 under SSP5-8.5.
Fig 6.
SPEI trends over a 3-month timescale for seven locations between 2051 and 2081 under SSP2-4.5.
Fig 7.
SPEI trends over a 3-month timescale for seven locations between 2051 and 2081 under SSP5-8.5.