Fig 1.
(a) and (b) show the annual age distribution of enterovirus non-ED and ED visits in Taiwan from 2008 to July 2024, while (c) and (d) present the weekly trends of enterovirus non-ED and ED visits, respectively.
Fig 2.
Weekly non-ED enterovirus visits: (a) In-sample estimates; (b)–(c) One-week-ahead forecasts and prediction intervals using the BSTS model with summer and Lunar New Year effects during the out-of-sample period; (d) Adjusted prediction and interval with New Year adjustment for week 7.
Fig 3.
Weekly ED enterovirus visits: (a) In-sample estimation; (b)–(c) One-week-ahead forecasts and prediction intervals using the BSTS model with summer and Lunar New Year effects during the out-of-sample period; (d) Adjusted predictions and intervals with New Year adjustments for weeks 6 and 7.
Table 1.
In-sample period comparison of models with and without holiday effect.
Table 2.
Out-of-sample period comparison of models without holiday effect and adjustment.
Table 3.
Out-of-sample period comparison of models with holiday effect and adjustment.
Table 4.
Re-interpretation of MAPE values and comparison with interpretations by Lewis (1982)