Fig 1.
Testing capacity multipliers with group testing.
Notes: Median and 95% confidence interval of the testing capacity multiplier obtained with group testing in case the actual (ex-post) fraction of positives to tests is different from the forecasted fraction of positives to tests used to set the group size according to Dorfman [17].
Table 1.
Calibration.
Fig 2.
Notes: Loss functions (see equation 20) in units of total GDP per capita as a function of the test cost. Testing capacity equal to 5% and weight to the monetized value of deaths equal to 0.5. Solid lines: no group testing. Dotted lines: group testing. Triangles: contact tracing. Squares: random screenings. Circles: voluntary tests. The parameters used for the simulation are summarized in table 1. Optimal random screening strategy entails
.
Table 2.
Contact Tracing and Group Testing.
Fig 3.
Contact tracing and group testing during an epidemic.
Notes: Empirical distributions of the peak in new hospitalizations (upper-left panel), mortality (upper-right panel), median percentage of discovered infected (lower-left panel) and output gap (lower-right panel) over simulation runs. Solid line: tests to hospitalized agents only; Solid-dashed line: contact tracing; Solid line with asterisks: contact tracing with group testing. The parameters used for the simulation are summarized in table 1.
Table 3.
Contact Tracing with Group Testing, Robustness.