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Fig 1.

Research framework.

Notes: LUTD, LDI, LFI, and LLD stand for Land Use Type Data, Landscape Disturbance Index, Landscape Fragility Index, and Landscape Loss Index, respectively.

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Fig 1 Expand

Table 1.

Classification accuracy.

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Table 1 Expand

Table 2.

Geographic data.

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Table 3.

Equations for calculating the ecological risk indicators.

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Table 3 Expand

Fig 2.

Location of the study area.

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Table 4.

Area statistics for oases, transition, and desert zones and changes in landscape patterns from 1990 to 2020.

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Table 4 Expand

Fig 3.

Areas of oasis, transition, and desert zones and shifts in landscape patterns from 1990 to 2020.

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Fig 3 Expand

Fig 4.

Land use change from 1990 to 2020.

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Table 5.

Areas of different land use types from 1990 to 2020 (km2).

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Fig 5.

Spatiotemporal distribution of ERI in oasis cities (1990—2020).

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Table 6.

ERI Thresholds Between Adjacent Zones.

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Table 6 Expand

Fig 6.

Boxplots of the Ecological Risk Index (ERI) in the Oasis, Transition, and Desert Zones (1990–2020).

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Fig 7.

Results of RF regression model validation and significance of influencing factors (desert area change and spatiotemporal characteristics of ERI).

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Fig 8.

Projected land use, ERI and OLS in 2030 under different conditions.

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Table 7.

Proportion of land use types in oasis, transition, and desert zones in 2020.

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Table 7 Expand