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Fig 1.

Flowchart.

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Fig 1 Expand

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Fig 2.

PACF Plot of Data Phase I: (a)AR (1), MA (1), and (c) ARMA (1,1).

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Fig 2 Expand

Fig 3.

I-MR Control Charts for Data Phase I and Phase II: (a) AR (1), (b) MA (1), (c) ARMA (1,1).

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Fig 3 Expand

Table 1.

Number of Out-of-Control Observations.

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Table 1 Expand

Fig 4.

Time Series Plot of GDP Values: (a) Indonesia, (b) Brunei Darussalam, (c) Malaysia, (d) Singapore, (e) Thailand.

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Fig 4 Expand

Fig 5.

ACF plot for GDP Growth: (a) Indonesia, (b) Brunei Darussalam, (c) Malaysia, (d) Singapore, (e) Thailand.

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Fig 5 Expand

Fig 6.

PACF plot for GDP Growth phase I: (a) Indonesia, (b) Brunei Darussalam, (c) Malaysia, (d) Singapore, (e) Thailand.

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Fig 6 Expand

Table 2.

Evaluation Performance each Iteration.

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Table 2 Expand

Table 3.

Model Evaluation Performance.

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Table 3 Expand

Fig 7.

XGBoost Model for GDP Growth: (a) Indonesia, (b) Brunei Darussalam, (c) Malaysia, (d) Singapore, (e) Thailand.

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Fig 7 Expand

Fig 8.

ACF residual plot phase I and II: (a) Indonesia, (b) Brunei Darussalam, (c) Malaysia, (d) Singapore, (e) Thailand.

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Fig 8 Expand

Fig 9.

I-MR Residual Control Chart: (a) Indonesia, (b) Brunei Darussalam, (c) Malaysia, (d) Singapore, (e) Thailand.

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Fig 9 Expand

Table 4.

Model Evaluation Performance Comparison.

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Table 4 Expand

Fig 10.

ARIMA Forecast plot for GDP Growth: (a) Indonesia, (b) Brunei Darussalam, (c) Malaysia, (d) Singapore, (e) Thailand.

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Fig 10 Expand

Table 5.

Comparison of Out-of-Control Counts Across Models.

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Table 5 Expand

Fig 11.

I-MR ARIMA Residual based Control Chart: (a) Indonesia, (b) Brunei Darussalam, (c) Malaysia, (d) Singapore, (e) Thailand.

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Fig 11 Expand