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Fig 1.

Location map of the study area.

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Table 1.

Data types and their sources.

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Table 2.

Definition of LULC classes.

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Fig 2.

Spatial variables selected for LULC modeling.

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Fig 3.

General methodological flow chart of LULC change and its prediction.

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Table 3.

Areas of LULC classes of BMNP in the years (1993, 2003, 2013, and 2023).

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Fig 4.

LULC maps of BMNP for the years 1993, 2003, 2013 and 2023.

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Fig 5.

LULC Areas (KM2) of BMNP in 1993, 2003, 2013 and 2023.

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Table 4.

Accuracy assessments of classified LULC classes for the years (1993, 2003, 2013 and 2023).

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Table 5.

Changes in area and the annual rate of growth of LULC classes (km2/year) in BMNP (1993 and 2023).

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Fig 6.

Area of LULC changes in BMNP (1993 – 2023).

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Table 6.

LULC transition matrix of Bale Mountains National Park (1993–2003).

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Table 7.

LULC transition matrix of Bale Mountains National Park (2003–2013).

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Table 8.

LULC transition matrix of Bale Mountains National Park (2013–2023).

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Table 9.

LULC transition matrix of Bale Mountains National Park (1993–2023).

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Fig 7.

Area of LULC changes in BMNP along elevation gradients (1993 – 2023).

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Table 10.

A reas of actual and simulated LULC in 2023.

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Fig 8.

Actual and simulated LULC map of BMNP for the year 2023.

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Table 11.

Predicted areas of LULC classes and their percentage of change in BMNP (2023–2053).

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Fig 9.

Projected LULC of BMNP (2033 and 2053).

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