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Fig 1.

Architecture of explainable residential building electrical energy consumption modeling.

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Table 1.

Statistical values and key attributes for residential building energy datasets.

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Table 2.

Selected input variables, descriptions, and types.

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Table 3.

Advantages and disadvantages of decision tree–based ensemble learning methods.

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Table 4.

List of hyperparameters for decision tree-based ensemble learning method.

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Fig 2.

Taylor diagram showing the performance of ensemble learning models on the University Residential Complex dataset.

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Fig 3.

Taylor diagram showing the performance of ensemble learning models on the Appliances Energy Prediction dataset.

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Table 5.

Comparative analysis of decision tree–based ensemble learning models trained with external factors on the University Residential Complex dataset.

All evaluation metrics are presented in percentage (%).

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Table 6.

Comparative analysis of decision tree–based ensemble learning models trained with internal factors on the University Residential Complex dataset.

All evaluation metrics are presented in percentage (%).

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Table 7.

Comparative analysis of decision tree–based ensemble learning models trained with external and internal factors on the University Residential Complex dataset.

All evaluation metrics are presented in percentage (%).

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Table 8.

Comparative analysis of decision tree–based ensemble learning models trained with external factors on the Appliances Energy Prediction dataset.

All evaluation metrics are presented in percentage (%).

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Table 9.

Comparative analysis of decision tree–based ensemble learning models trained with internal factors on the Appliances Energy Prediction dataset.

All evaluation metrics are presented in percentage (%).

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Table 9 Expand

Table 10.

Comparative analysis of decision tree–based ensemble learning models trained with external and internal factors on the Appliances Energy Prediction dataset.

All evaluation metrics are presented in percentage (%).

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Table 10 Expand

Table 11.

Harmonic mean comparison considering various input variable configurations on the University Residential Complex dataset, presented as percentages (%).

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Table 12.

Harmonic mean comparison considering various input variable configurations on the Appliances Energy Prediction dataset, presented as percentages (%).

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Table 13.

Performance comparison between deep learning models and the GBM model on the University Residential Complex dataset.

All evaluation metrics are presented in percentage (%).

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Table 14.

Performance comparison between deep learning models and the CatBoost model on the Appliances Energy Prediction dataset.

All evaluation metrics are presented in percentage (%).

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Fig 4.

Influence of input variables in the gradient boosting machine (GBM) model on the University Residential Complex dataset: (a) feature importance; (b) Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) summary plot.

See Table 2 for abbreviation definitions.

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Fig 5.

SHAP summary plots of other ensemble learning models on the University Residential Complex dataset: (a) random forest (RF); (b) extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost); (c) light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM); (d) categorical boosting (CatBoost).

See Table 2 for abbreviation definitions.

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Fig 6.

Comparison of partial dependence plots (PDPs) from the GBM model on the University Residential Complex dataset: Analyzing the relationship between holiday status (Holi) and average electricity consumption (Cons_avg) (a) using scikit-learn; (b) using SHAP analysis.

See Table 2 for abbreviation definitions.

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Fig 7.

Comparison of PDPs from the GBM model on the University Residential Complex dataset: Analyzing the relationship between temperature-humidity index (THI) and Cons_avg (a) using scikit-learn; (b) using SHAP analysis.

See Table 2 for abbreviation definitions.

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Fig 8.

Influence of input variables in the CatBoost model on the Appliances Energy Prediction dataset: (a) feature importance; (b) SHAP summary plot.

See Table 2 for abbreviation definitions.

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Fig 9.

SHAP summary plots of other ensemble learning models on the Appliances Energy Prediction dataset: (a) RF; (b) GBM; (c) XGBoost; (d) LightGBM.

See Table 2 for abbreviation definitions.

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Fig 10.

PDPs of the CatBoost model on the Appliances Energy Prediction dataset: (a) Hour_x and Hour_y; (b) holiday indicator (Holi) and Hour_y.

See Table 2 for abbreviation definitions.

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Fig 11.

SHAP decision plot for the test set on the Appliances Energy Prediction dataset.

See Table 2 for abbreviation definitions.

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Fig 12.

Scatterplots and R2 comparison for each decision tree–ensemble learning model.

(a) random forest; (b) gradient boosting machine; (c) extreme gradient boosting; (d) light gradient boosting machine; (e) categorical boosting; (f) R2 comparison.

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Fig 13.

Summary plot of the RF model on the hourly Appliances Energy Prediction raw dataset.

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