Fig 1.
Anticipated key cost categories impacted by WildFireSat, once operational.
Fig 2.
Cost component values over the 2013–2018 period.
Table 1.
Description of the datasets used to form each cost category, an assessment of the confidence associated with the dataset/transformations, and dataset sources.
Fig 3.
Simulated distributions of impacts assumptions (percentage change) for each cost component a) Suppression costs, variable, b) Suppression costs, fixed, c) Timber losses, d) Property, asset and infrastructure losses, e) Evacuation costs, f) Health costs.
Note that the dashed line within each panel represents a 0% change in cost component value (i.e., the case without WildFireSat).
Table 2.
Assumed distribution parameters for all cost categories.
Table 3.
Description of the parametrization of the distribution of WildFireSat impacts.
Table 4.
Cost component estimates, in millions ($2019, CAD), 90% confidence intervals and median present values (in brackets).
Table 5.
Calculation results across all distributions, 90% confidence intervals with median present values in brackets, in millions ($2019, CAD).
Fig 4.
Results distributions, illustrating the Net Present Value (NPV) for each set of impact assumption distributions.
A negative value indicates costs exceed benefits, and a positive value indicates benefits exceed costs.
Table 6.
Calculation results across each sensitivity analysis simulation, 90% confidence intervals with median NPVs in brackets, expressed in millions.
Fig 5.
Correlation scenario results, by impact assumption distribution (a) Pessimistic, (b) Conservative, (c) Positively biased, (d) Optimistic.
Table 7.
Correlations between datasets used within the sensitivity analysisa.