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Table 1.

A compendium of the Chinese government’s progressive fertility policy adjustments over the past decade.

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Fig 1.

Research framework diagram.

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Fig 2.

Heterogeneous effects of urban public services on the reproductive intentions of the migrant population.

Note: Given the pyramidal structure of individual strata within the Migrant Population group, such as economic income and education level, the influence of received urban public services exhibits differentiation, manifesting a spindle-shaped structural characteristic.

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Fig 3.

Comparing the overall willingness to have more children among the migrant population in 2016 and 2018.

Notes: Data were from China’s Migration Dynamic Surveillance (2016) and China’s Migration Dynamic Surveillance (2018). This figure indicates that the willingness of the migrant population to have a second child is declining overall.

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Fig 4.

Comparison of public services owned by groups with different fertility intentions, 2016 and 2018.

Note: Data from China Urban Statistical Yearbook, China Mobile Population Dynamic Monitoring Data, and China Provincial and Municipal Statistical Yearbook data. Calculation method of growth rate = (Average value of public services per 10,000 resident population in China in 2018—Average value of public services per 10,000 resident population in China in 2016) / Average value of public services per 10,000 resident population in China 2016 * 100. The table shows that (1), in general, the influx rate of the Migrant Population is much faster than the rate of the supply of urban public services, which has led to a continuous decline in the accessibility of urban public services for the Migrant Population. Accessibility of urban public services for the Migrant Population has been declining. (2) The accessibility of public services for the group that has the intention to have a second child > the accessibility of public services for the group that does not consider whether to have a second child > the accessibility of public services for the group that does not have the intention to have a second child.

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Table 2.

Calculation method of variables.

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Table 3.

Comparative analysis of basic regression results.

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Table 4.

Regression results of the difference in human capital characteristics mobile population’s willingness to have another child.

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Table 5.

Regression results in the willingness to have another child among the mobile population with differences in employment characteristics.

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Table 6.

Regression results in the willingness to have another child among the mobile population with differences in mobility characteristics.

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Table 7.

Regression results after excluding some samples.

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Table 8.

Robustness tests for replacing public service indicators.

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