Table 1.
Summary of the ten analyzed climate-related multi-sectoral indicators from ISIMIP2b under the RCP6.0 scenario, with corresponding multi-model simulations, and stressors vs beneficial changes meaning depending on each projected change sign.
Fig 1.
Spatial distributions of the multi-model median Time of Emergence (TOE) for the 10 analyzed climate-related multi-sectoral annual indicators under the RCP6.0 scenario.
Corresponding future projected changes are provided in S1 Fig. (a) Number of days with daily precipitation ge 20mm (in days/year). (b) High extreme total runoff. (c) Maximum number of consecutives days with daily rainfall le 3 mm. (d) Low extreme total runoff. (e) Maize yields. (f) Soy yields/ (g) Wheat yields. (h) Rice yields. (i) High extreme heat stress (simplified Wet-Bulb Globe Temperature sWBGT). (j) Burnt area fraction. Per indicator, red colors illustrate a TOE of projected adverse changes (stressors), whereas green colors indicate a TOE of projected beneficial changes (benefits). White color indicates no TOE (no indicator value or detected TOE).
Fig 2.
Spatial distributions of cumulated multi-model median emergences of the 10 selected climate-related cross-sectoral indicators.
Left panels exhibit cumulated adverse TOE and right panels show cumulated beneficial TOE. Cumulated TOE are displayed as the sum of indicators from 0 to 10 that are chracterized by a detected multi-model median TOE before 2020 (top panels), before 2050 (middle panels), and before 2100 (bottom panels). Consistently with Fig 1, the colorbar has been adjusted from 0 to 6 (not 10), as almost no TOE is detected for 5 over the 10 analysed indicators.
Fig 3.
Spatial distributions of multi-indicator the earliest and the latest emergences for stressors and benefits.
Values are obtained per grid point as the earliest and latest TOE during 2006-2100 among the 10 sectoral indicators.
Fig 4.
Boxplots illustrating regional multi-model spread in detected TOE for stressors (orange) and benefits (green) for four key regions.
Percentages above each boxplot indicate models ratio exhibiting the corresponding spread/boxplot. Solid black lines display the multi-model median of regional mean TOE.